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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (11 Viewers)

OT: just watched Uncut Gems, it’s out on the torrent sites in very good quality. Highly recommend, amazing flick and Sandler crushed it.

 
The Vrabel/Tannehill combo has gone 6-3 SU and ATS so far with a 7-2 O/U. In the 3 losses they were totally shut out in the 1H - zero 1H points - but in the six wins they scored (at least 7) before halftime. Scoring 21 or fewer full game went 0-3, while scoring 23 or more they are 6-0. sdql

 
Their team total just happens to be lined o23 -115 right now, too. Look like 23 is the magic number for the Titans today :tinfoilhat:

Vrabel career 15-1 when they keep it to within 3 points at the half, but only 2-12 trailing by more than 3 at the half. I think it'll say a lot about the final result if they 1) score points in the 1H (don't get shut out) and 2) keep it to within 3 points at the half.. then they'll have a good chance of hitting 23 for the full game and winning straight up

 
Panthers 26-8-2 (.765) O/U on artificial surface since 2011 and 14-0 O/U in games they were catching more than 5 points on the spread.

Panthers/Colts o47 -105

 
Not gonna fox with the Titans. This game means nada for the playoffs. They sitting Derrick Henry, inactive. They need a Steelers loss and a win versus the Texans next week. This game is just kind of a nothing game for them I think

@ClayTravis 2m2 minutes ago I think it’s smart of Titans to rest injured Derrick Henry today. Saints game is highly unlikely to matter in playoff race. Give him two weeks off for a game that might matter against Texans.
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CIncy -1.5

Indy -7

taking Baltimore light - I think Cleveland is done and Baltimore would love nothing more than to get revenge after their worst game of the year against the Browns in September. Problem is everyone and their brother seems to love Baltimore today which more often than not is not a good sign. 

 
Stupid Skins screwing me again.  Should have went for 2 at the end of regulation.  Another great line (+3) wasted.  Story of this season. 

 
facook said:
gmbacm said:
facook said:
NFL junkie, looking at 5d NFL props.  Most losses under 13.5 -150 seems like a no brainer at first glance.  I mean, EVERY team is going to get at least 4 wins right?  No so fast my friends....the last time every NFL team won at least 4 games in a season was ***2003***.

NFL most losses OVER 13.5 +110.  Thanks for my January payday 5d! 
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When was the last time every NFL team won at least 3 games in a season? :oldunsure:
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Lol.  What a maroon.  :crossesfingers:

ETA: Last year.

So....my hope is the tanking Dolphins.
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Never a doubt. :oldunsure:

 
Pederson's defense has shut the opponent out in the 3Q in eight of the Eagles' L9 divsion games since last Nov 11th. The one time he didn't they allowed exactly 3.

Cowboys 3rd Quarter Under 3½ +105

 
Since Mahomes made his first start on December 27, 2017, the Chiefs have gone 6-10-2 (.375) O/U at home and 11-4 (.733) O/U on the road. They have also gone 6-1 O/U versus the NFC during that time. In those 15 road games the opposing team averaged 28 points per game. The Bears are offensively challenged though. This season they're 5-9 to the over and 0-9 when they score less than 21 points. The Bears have been shut out in the 1Q nine times this season - tied with the Redskins for most times shut out in the 1Q - and in the 1Q of seven of their L8 games. They have zero 1Q points in the five games they weren't favored by more than 2 points on the spread.

Bears failure on scripted plays on the opening drive has been epic. Much of the blame belongs on players, But Nagy deserves the lions share and he needs to look to correct this, along with abandonment of the run, to fix this.
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I also remember researching Bears' prime time first quarter defense under Nagy:

ChainsawU said:
Bears' defense has been STRONG in the 1Q in prime time. I think somebody's getting shut out in the 1Q tonight.
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Regarding prime time/late games: Since 2018 Andy Reid and the Chiefs 8-10 O/U in games starting later than 4PM EST. In the eight games that went over the total, Chiefs allowed 28+ points each time. But the ten games that went under, Chiefs allowed 23 or fewer.

 
This was looking like a sure loser a few weeks ago:  NFL Props Football  40004 Dwayne Haskins starts in under 7½ games +160* vs Dwayne Haskins starts in over 7½ games 

Thanks Dan Snyder for being a meddling owner!

 
I think if they "have it their way," Pack will start fast to begin both halves.

Packers o26½ +235
Packers 1Q o6½ +175
Packers 1Q o13½ +1100
Packers/Vikings o47 -102

 
facook said:
This was looking like a sure loser a few weeks ago:  NFL Props Football  40004 Dwayne Haskins starts in under 7½ games +160* vs Dwayne Haskins starts in over 7½ games 

Thanks Dan Snyder for being a meddling owner!
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did we win the under now?

 
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Vikings shut the Packers out in the 2H at Lambeau. Now Packers shut the Vikings out in the 2H at Minnesota. LaFleur 5-0 to the under in division games this season. Packers 10-4-1 overall to the under and 8-0-1 when they allow less than 24 points. Another division matchup on deck.

 
Urban Meyer on this FS1 college show. Talking about how Iowa just has a base defense and then they coach to defend the individual plays, that's just how they do it. He said it worked in B10 West against inferior competition, but things will be different against caliber of athlete USC will bring. I believe him yo. I don't know why but I do.

Southern Cal +115

 
ChainsawU said:
Urban Meyer on this FS1 college show. Talking about how Iowa just has a base defense and then they coach to defend the individual plays, that's just how they do it. He said it worked in B10 West against inferior competition, but things will be different against caliber of athlete USC will bring. I believe him yo. I don't know why but I do.

Southern Cal +115
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I could easily see myself holding a usc ticket by the end of the week.

Only game I like between now and then is UNC.  Maybe fading Miami.

 
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