*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (6 Viewers)

[CFB Sicko]

NCAAB is garbage bro. Don't beat yourself up, nobody makes money on the kids. The professionals will be back on Wednesday.

 

[facook]

NCAAB is garbage bro. Don't beat yourself up, nobody makes money on the kids. The professionals will be back on Wednesday.

Zags are fine.  The Avs are pooping the bed.  Thanks for trying.

 

[Northern Voice]

Zags are fine.  The Avs are pooping the bed.  Thanks for trying.

 

[facook]

So you're saying check your posts before this poop I post?  Man, I need a reset. Great dog winner, bro.  

 

[Northern Voice]

So you're saying check your posts before this poop I post?  Man, I need a reset. Great dog winner, bro.  

It's very early but yeah I was on Arizona.

 

[facook]

It's very early but yeah I was on Arizona.

See you guys in September.

 

[Northern Voice]

See you guys in September.

:(  Any thoughts on MTL/VCR tonight? I put a small bit on Vancouver based entirely on the goalie matchup.

 

[CFB Sicko]

See you guys in September.

See you in Vegas for NBA Playoffs!!

 

[facook]

:(  Any thoughts on MTL/VCR tonight? I put a small bit on Vancouver based entirely on the goalie matchup.

I'm joking, I'm addicted, I'm not going anywhere.

No man, for real you know LOADS more about hockey than I do.  I actually thought about passing on the Avs cause of the Arizona goalie and didn't listen to that whisper in the back of my mind saying it might be a bad idea.  Let me follow your lead in that sport, certainly not the other way around.

 

[facook]

See you in Vegas for NBA Playoffs!!

Veteran's Day Weekend with my boys, maybe.

 

[CFB Sicko]

You've got to be out of your gosh darn mind if you think you can successfully predict the college kids.

 

[Northern Voice]

St. Louis Blues -152. Blues have had one goal games in 10 of their last 11, including 3 against the Sharks (they won 2, lost 1), so this probably won't be stress free but I still think they should be bigger favourites than this. Ideally it's Binnington/Dubnyk but I'm fine with any goalie combination.

Arizona Coyotes +164. Value bet, they should only be +140-150ish. If Mackinnon and Makar both play it changes things a bit but I don't expect Makar to be back and Mackinnon alone doesn't move the line 10%.

Vancouver/Montreal is in play on both sides, if it's Demko/Price combo then I'd fire up Vancouver. If it's Holtby/Allen, I'd go Montreal. Demko/Allen will depend on line movement/may not have a play.

Edit - what the hell, let's do a STL/EDM parlay too.

####### Blues. Coyotes win almost covers the Blues and parlay loss, but again, ####### Blues.

 

[Northern Voice]

NHL Shot Props

• Tarasenko O2.5 -137
  
• Kaprizov O2.5 +132
  
• Perron O2.5 +119 
  
• DBrown O2.5 +105
  
• Pacioretty O3.5 -146
  
• Rakell O2.5 -176
  
• Toffoli O2.5 -141
  

I'm packing it in for tonight at 4/6 here, with Rakell at 2 shots (and 2 goals) with the third period to go. I think it's going end up close to another break even night, with Rakell shots prop and Canucks win the only ones in the balance   

 

[CFB Sicko]

I love betting on the kids. 

 

[swirvenirvin]

I'm packing it in for tonight at 4/6 here, with Rakell at 2 shots (and 2 goals) with the third period to go. I think it's going end up close to another break even night, with Rakell shots prop and Canucks win the only ones in the balance   

Whats the record overall on these

 

[swirvenirvin]

Talk to me when you hit Justin Herbert ROTY at +4000.

Had some 1400

 

[Northern Voice]

Whats the record overall on these

After last night on the shot props, I'm 22-14, +4.8 units. Still pretty small sample though. 

 

[Northern Voice]

My hockey numbers for the year - the big parlay win is carrying a lot of weight in the parlays and overall totals here, sides are what I've been best at and should be sticking too but the props are so much fun:

OVERALL +50.183units  89-71

SIDES +17.666u   57-33

PARLAYS +28.751u   7-14

SHOT PROPS  +4.824u   22-14

ALL OTHER PROPS  +2.442u  3-4

TOTALS    -3.5u    0-6

 

[Northern Voice]

Dallas Stars -123  - Number seems way too low to me. edit - and it's climbed to 132. Still worth in anything under 140.

Toronto Maple Leafs -186. Should be back to Andersen in net, Toronto hasn't lost 3 straight all season.

New Jersey Devils +171. They should be in the 160 range with Vanecek in net, Tom Wilson out, etc... I don't love this but value, etc..

I'll likely do a few parlays involving TOR, PHI, CAR, TB, all big favourites who should be even bigger favourites. I may look at the math and see if it makes sense to round robin all of them.

 

[Northern Voice]

I'll likely do a few parlays involving TOR, PHI, CAR, TB, all big favourites who should be even bigger favourites. I may look at the math and see if it makes sense to round robin all of them.

So I did this. I haven't done it before. Basically I have 6 x two team parlays, 4 x three team parlays and 1 x four team parlay. 

If 3 win, I should be close to even, if all 4 win it's 2.7x on a significant (5.5 unit, I did these all at half) size bet. If 2 or fewer win, I set stuff on fire. 

I'm obviously fairly confident at least 3 hitting, here's to not having anything dumb happen tonight. 

 

[CFB Sicko]

1H - Boston College / Duke U72

 

[CFB Sicko]

1H - Boston College / Duke U72

SCOREBOARD!!!

 

[CFB Sicko]

1H - Long Beach State / CS Northridge O72

 

[Courtjester]

So I did this. I haven't done it before. Basically I have 6 x two team parlays, 4 x three team parlays and 1 x four team parlay. 

If 3 win, I should be close to even, if all 4 win it's 2.7x on a significant (5.5 unit, I did these all at half) size bet. If 2 or fewer win, I set stuff on fire. 

I'm obviously fairly confident at least 3 hitting, here's to not having anything dumb happen tonight. 

I did a Stars/Leafs Parlay at +168

Then I had to use a 3 leg parlay bonus today on college B-Ball I just took Duke/Iona/Gonzaga at -138. Not going to be a big payday, but I already lost one bonus this week due to me not using it. 

 

[CFB Sicko]

BYU ML

 

[facook]

:blowsout:

Ok, here we go.  Lightning/Bryant/Zags parlay.  -107

 

[Northern Voice]

I didn't do many shot props tonight. I've got a lot in the others (I added Carolina -200 ) Just Crosby, Couturier and Svechnikov all over 2.5

 

[CFB Sicko]

Cleveland State / Oakland O141.5


That should smash.

Cal Poly Slo vs  CS Fullerton O140
Oral Roberts / North Dakota State U145

 

[facook]

Cal Poly Slo vs  CS Fullerton O140
Oral Roberts / North Dakota State U145

Em what's the deal with that Justin Odonnel dude on twitter?  Is he not paying lost bets?  Or is someone not paying him?  I got a little lost.

 

[CFB Sicko]

CASH  CLEVELAND STATE / OAKLAND O141.5

THAT'S WHAT I DO!!!

 

[CFB Sicko]

I HAVEN'T LOST AN NCAAB BET YET TODAY

IM A GENIUS

 

[facook]

BYU ML

Grrat call bud.

 

[Northern Voice]

So I did this. I haven't done it before. Basically I have 6 x two team parlays, 4 x three team parlays and 1 x four team parlay. 

If 3 win, I should be close to even, if all 4 win it's 2.7x on a significant (5.5 unit, I did these all at half) size bet. If 2 or fewer win, I set stuff on fire. 

I'm obviously fairly confident at least 3 hitting, here's to not having anything dumb happen tonight. 

Toronto  got goalie'd big time, were better team.

Carolina  Came down from 2-0 to win 3-2 in OT

Philly   Came down from 3-1 and 4-2 to win 5-4 in shootout

Tampa  OT

---

A slight loss on this gambit. And the day as a whole will be the same with DAL and CAR winning and NJ and TOR losing. I tailed @CFB Sicko on the BYU call but haven't been in here tonight to get on the rest.

As always, ####### Leafs.

 

[facook]

Em is on the right track in cbb.  The touts I tend to tail have been heavy on faves lately.  Dogs are covering at a crazy rate lately.  Tread lightly, squares like me.

 

[CFB Sicko]

1H - Marquette / Georgetown U68

Starts in 10 minute.

 

[Northern Voice]

Minnesota Wild -104 - Alex Pietrangelo is out, Mark Stone is a game time decision. Kaapo Kahkonen is in net for Minnesota and is red hot.

Montreal Canadiens -145 - I'd like to see Allen in net but have some confidence in this either way.

Early shot calls (these are still just small bets for me)

• Kirill Kaprizov O2.5 +136
  
• Mikko Rantanen O2.5 -176
  
• Dustin Brown O2.5 +100
  
• Tyler Toffoli O2.5 -140
  

 

[Northern Voice]

1H - Marquette / Georgetown U68

Starts in 10 minute.

Did this come under by 22 points or am I looking at something wrong.

 

[CFB Sicko]

Did this come under by 22 points or am I looking at something wrong.

That's betting on the kids for you. Their brains aren't fully developed yet. 

 

[gump]

Any good TPC targets?

 

[CFB Sicko]

1H - Marquette / Georgetown U68

Starts in 10 minute.

Air Force / UNLV U127.5

It's one of the lowest totals of the day. These teams played each other twice this year and the totals for that game were: 126 & 133

Air Force appears to be awful. I can see them being held under 50 points with this being a "tournament game" the kids should dial up a little defense and play the game the right way.

Starts in 15 minutes.

@Northern Voice

 

[facook]

Every tout in the world is on Oklahoma -11.5 vs Iowa State tonight.  You know what to do.

 

[CFB Sicko]

Air Force / UNLV U127.5

It's one of the lowest totals of the day. These teams played each other twice this year and the totals for that game were: 126 & 133

Air Force appears to be awful. I can see them being held under 50 points with this being a "tournament game" the kids should dial up a little defense and play the game the right way.

Starts in 15 minutes.

@Northern Voice

1H - Duke / Louisville U65.5

I hope all the kids die.

 

[CFB Sicko]

It is remotely funny that I go into a meltdown after going 1-2 on a sport that I am inexperienced with.

Like I'm trending 50% but even that disgusts me. Losing is unacceptable.

 

[facook]

Northwestern setting college basketball back to the peach basket era.  2 points through 11 minutes of playing time.

 

[Northern Voice]

I'm throwing a bit on Anaheim Ducks at +120 tonight with news that LA is starting Troy Grosenick (3rd string) in goal with Cal Petersen put on covid list today. 

 

[CFB Sicko]

1H - Duke / Louisville U65.5

I hope all the kids die.

SCOREBOARD

 

[CFB Sicko]

Wizards / Grizzlies O237

Vegas is begging you to take the under. First game back from All-Star Break and THIS is the game they dangle in front of us.

Not the Lakers.
Not the Nets.

The Wizards vs the Grizzlies. Neither team plays defense. Nearly 100% certain this is a honeypot to get people on the under.

 

[CFB Sicko]

@facook

@Good Posting Judge

@The Ref

@gussy

@beer 30

@TheGooRoo

@swirvenirvin

@hooter311

@got_nugs

@Angry Beavers

Next stop, paydirt... chugga chugga chugga 

 

[facook]

Northwestern setting college basketball back to the peach basket era.  2 points through 11 minutes of playing time.

97 total points.  Went UNDER the Vegas total by ***44*** points.  Both teams shot in the 30s percent overall, 20% from 3....

*****41.7%***** from the FREE THROW LINE.

Might as well have played with a medicine ball.  What a poop show.

 

[Courtjester]

Minnesota Wild -104 - Alex Pietrangelo is out, Mark Stone is a game time decision. Kaapo Kahkonen is in net for Minnesota and is red hot.

Great call!!