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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (11 Viewers)

Winston u26.5 pass attempts -105 (Caesar’s)

Winston has thrown more than 23 passes once this year. Is he gonna pick a road game in the rain in Seattle to start flinging it all over the place? Probably, cuz I’m betting he won’t!

 
Also, Payton off a bye pretty good.   
I played the look ahead line last week at NO -3.5.  Sitting tight on that, rather than the -5 or whatever.

You can get some pretty nice plays if your book offers the week to come before Sunday's games go off.  I played several for Week 8 on Friday.  One I didn't?  Cinci -3.5 at NYJ.  Check out that line today.  Ugh.   :doh:

 
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Winston u26.5 pass attempts -105 (Caesar’s)

Winston has thrown more than 23 passes once this year. Is he gonna pick a road game in the rain in Seattle to start flinging it all over the place? Probably, cuz I’m betting he won’t!
Need to stick with lower level soccer

 
Titans are +1 at the Colts for next week in most books. Have to think this flips before too long so get it now if you like the Titans.
on draftkings.  Titans are now -1.5 :(

Still like it.  although ive done very well picking the colts this year

 
Has anything in the history of civilization ever been more overrated than weather?
The times I know it's usually real is on Saturday mornings when NCAAF games are experiencing some kind of hurricane fallout or other wind event later that day, and the total crashes down a couple points. And then everyone chases the steam and it goes down a couple more points. Wind is the only thing. And I think it's gotta be 30mph or better the entire game, not just gusts.

 
The times I know it's usually real is on Saturday mornings when NCAAF games are experiencing some kind of hurricane fallout or other wind event later that day, and the total crashes down a couple points. And then everyone chases the steam and it goes down a couple more points. Wind is the only thing. And I think it's gotta be 30mph or better the entire game, not just gusts.


I mean, that was a legitimate BOMB CYCLONE.  But I think the turnovers --> short field thing crushed it.

 
Nice hit big pimpin. I took the day off yesterday. You couldn't pay me to talk about NBA yesterday, lol.

Q1 - Hornets / Magic U57, -105


Feels kinda square, but I like the over in PDX tonight.  I think Ja and Dame might just run and run and run and run...

 
I moved domiciles. Pressed reset. Haven't had any special guests on the show yet, but in doing new house laundry I'm finding intermittent articles of four different female womens' clothing lingering among the launderings and it's causing me to feel remorse.

 
I played the look ahead line last week at NO -3.5.  Sitting tight on that, rather than the -5 or whatever.

You can get some pretty nice plays if your book offers the week to come before Sunday's games go off.  I played several for Week 8 on Friday.  One I didn't?  Cinci -3.5 at NYJ.  Check out that line today.  Ugh.   :doh:


This one lost, so maybe fade these?  Week 9:

NE -2.5 at Carolina

Bengals -2.5 vs Clev

Ariz -3.5 at SF

Pitt -5 vs Chi

[Square]

 
The world's biggest mush (not me, a DIFFERENT huge mush) announced he was playing this same angle Friday.  I'm tempted to go 2X over 41 and pray for a nice middle.  :mellow:


Seriously this guy....I will post his play to fade each Friday.  It's unbelievable.


Just found out he was on AZ -6.5 last night.  Grrr...

He is on Cincinnati -10.5 Sunday.  Would really have to hold my nose to take Mike White and the Jets, so may just stay away.

 
UFC this afternoon

Jingliang +420

I'd line this at about +160 and still would be on jingmiester, so this is probably one of the best value spots of the year for me.

 
Q1 - CLEVELAND CAVALIERS @ PHOENIX SUNS O55, -110

Not many of these Q1 have gone over today, statistics and intuition are both telling me this is the one.


BUNKER BUSTER!!!

 
I’m going to assume Leeds is getting a plus number as a favorite because their body of work hasn’t really been dazzling this season and they’re without Bamford, and not because of some super secret sharp reason. Norwich is dreadful in every way possible. Leeds +108 (BetRivers); it’s +105 most other places. 

 
BIG NIGHT FOR KADARIUS TONEY (MNF)

TONEY 70 receiving, +188 (.2 unit)

TONEY 80 receiving, +280 (.2 unit)

TONEY 90 receiving, +400 (.2 unit)

TONEY 100 receiving, +580 (.2 unit)

TONEY 110+ receiving, +800 (.2 unit)


(KADARIUS TONEY O51.5 RECEIVING, -110 BUNKER BUSTER!!!)

 
when u ballin, your credit card company will do you favors if you ask them. as opposed to leaving you on hold and making you press 1 for english. it makes you feel good when you realize you've established a mutual trust with a faceless, global organization who could just as well crush you, but just does little favors for you on the side instead.

 

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