When we were watching WWE last night, my son looked at me and said "Daddy, you got every winner right so far".
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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (13 Viewers)
- Thread starter The Ref
- Start date
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Last yr for father's day the 6 yr old had I tie he colored, and it was stuff I do kinda thing. He work so and so, he loves to do this, he always says this, etc. The one question. Was what is he best at, or what he likes to do and his answer was gambling
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MarshallPlan
Footballguy
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Couple more I played:
Gostkowski +.5 fg over McDavid pts - line should be Gost -.5. See if you can find this.
Ryan +1.5 pass td vs Tiger 4th round bogeys. Screenshot this and make sure your book just counts bogeys (check Westgate prop list because they have the writing). Anyway, I analyzed the final round scores from last year at Dubai. Most bogeys made was 6 (1 golfer) and 2 guys had 5 bogeys. Besides those 3 guys of 70, most guys were around 3 or less. If Ryan beats his 2.5 number it will be tough to lose this. If he gets to 2 I think it still has legs.
Gostkowski +.5 fg over McDavid pts - line should be Gost -.5. See if you can find this.
Ryan +1.5 pass td vs Tiger 4th round bogeys. Screenshot this and make sure your book just counts bogeys (check Westgate prop list because they have the writing). Anyway, I analyzed the final round scores from last year at Dubai. Most bogeys made was 6 (1 golfer) and 2 guys had 5 bogeys. Besides those 3 guys of 70, most guys were around 3 or less. If Ryan beats his 2.5 number it will be tough to lose this. If he gets to 2 I think it still has legs.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
turbotax always asks me for net winnings on gambling income. never had to itemize anything. YMMV.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Is there a site where you can see how far the kickoff went into the end zone to try to analyze how risky a team is when bringing the ball out? NFL.com just says kicked to end zone, touchback.
regularguy
Footballguy
That might be the definition of "plausible deniability" for you non-accountants.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
https://www.irs.gov/uac/newsroom/five-important-tips-on-gambling-income-and-losses-1
- You can claim your gambling losses up to the amount of your winnings on Schedule A, Itemized Deductions, under ‘Other Miscellaneous Deductions.' You must report the full amount of your winnings as income and claim your allowable losses separately. You cannot reduce your gambling winnings by your gambling losses and report the difference. Your records should also show your winnings separately from your losses.
WilliamBonney
Footballguy
Do you have to withdrawal it for it to be considered winnings? I only ended up $2kish in 2016 and have zero intentions of letting the IRS know. Seems like a coke dealer telling them his profit on how much powder he slang around.
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Insoxicated
I've had cashouts around that level and didn't bother reporting. IMO that in and of itself isn't going to get you flagged for an audit. If the rest of your books are in good order I'd not sweat it. Now if you're depositing lots of 4 and 5 figure checks like some of these guys... It's tougher to hide.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
nothing like 5d timing out on you as you scroll through 10000 props
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Here's an article on legality of playing online as a player: http://vegasclick.com/online/legal
TL;DR - It's not against federal law to play off-shore as a player. I think of it as an Al Capone trap - if you don't declare the winnings like you would gambling winnings earned within the US, you can get popped for tax evasion, not gambling offshore in and of itself.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
i cant fricken bet on 5dimes keeps saying I aleady placed wager
Mr.Pack
Footballguy
comfortably numb
Footballguy
Glad I suck at gambling. Don't have to worry about reporting anything.
lumpy19
Footballguy
ChainsawU
Footballguy
ChainsawU
Footballguy
gussy
Footballguy
I realize what's happening, can't figure out y. I think ND is a better team and at home.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Don't you see what towels like these are capable of? You get out of the shower and dry yourself off. But then, the towel makes you drier and keeps on making you more dry. Can you imagine it? What it would be like to be way, way too dry? I'll tell you something. You don't want to know, and I don't know.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
I tell my son it's what makes the games more fun for me...like even games I wouldn't usually watch. He likes it because we always have a team to root for.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
@swirvenirvin
You may be right in regards to the returns prop. Lewis had a return in the Pitt game and the Houston game where he was 2 yards and 1 yard deep respectively and didn't even think about taking the ball out of the end zone. This was after he brought back a 98 yard kick to the house in the Houston game.
Bosher first kick TB -215 for sure. Still researching the other side.
You may be right in regards to the returns prop. Lewis had a return in the Pitt game and the Houston game where he was 2 yards and 1 yard deep respectively and didn't even think about taking the ball out of the end zone. This was after he brought back a 98 yard kick to the house in the Houston game.
Bosher first kick TB -215 for sure. Still researching the other side.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
good nice backup research i didnt look at where they were received I know I did last yr. Just thinking good ol Bill doesnt like to give up any field position.
Do we know if roof closed for weather yet?
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
so they pats havent scored a td in the 1st qtr in the last 6 superbowls eh
facook
Footballguy
Did ya win it?When we were watching WWE last night, my son looked at me and said "Daddy, you got every winner right so far".
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
I remember the Pats were one of the first teams during the year to realize that with the new touchback rules the optimal KO strategy is to kick high and to the goal line so the opposing team would have to run it out. they're third in opponent starting LOS/KO this year at an average of the 23.5 yard line.
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facook
Footballguy
I was at a poker party last night where they were playing the RR and we did a pool just for the big match. I took Orton at #2 and got made fun of. Winning offset my poker losses.tied for first
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Think I'll have something solid for Mayweather/McGregor. I would be stunned if this didn't happen, there are just too many rubes out there who'd shell out for this.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Square, octagon's never ever gonna happen. Mayweather's only getting pulled back in because this is light work for a lot of money.
McGregor's going to be a big underdog and will get a lot of recreational bets on him at +800 to +1000, it's probably going to be fairly close odds between Mayweather decision and Mayweather KO, and honestly, the outcome is more or less up to Mayweather. If he wants to put on an exhibition and gets his normal unanimous decision and dance around McGregor all night, he can. If he wants to really try and pour it on...even though he's not carrying much power (for nearly his entire run at welterweight, if we're being honest), he's going to be able to hit McGregor at will, I think.
The Ref
Footballguy
At first I thought the same but I don't think the UFC is going to bend on this one. Not a chance Floyd gets in the ring for anything less than 6 figures and the UFC team was trying to lure him in for $25M which $$ insta laughed off.
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Insoxicated
Was talking about this with some buddies last night and this was exactly what I was saying. Mayweather Decision -400 or better is value IMO. It may be -500 or -600. Mayweather TKO has some legs. Snowball chance in hell MacGregor catches him with a good one, but I can't see Floyd getting anywhere near a position that could cost him a haymaker to the face.
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Insoxicated
Yep, IF this fight happens, it's on Money's terms. He has quite literally ALL the leverage. The only way he bothers with Connor is for a massive, massive payday. Not sure if Dana is capable of the ego check of sending his breadwinner out as a massive ##### (Financially and odds) to another fighter. Basically screams that UFC is 3rd or 4th fiddle to Boxing, still.
jamil
Footballguy
Some espn dork said that if he fought McGregor he would move up on their personal rankings of top boxers. Cut that youtube video off quick after that.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Don't you mean 9 figures?
and while I think Floyd will be the rightful favorite, I do think McGregor would have a punchers chance here. If McGregor can cut off the ring and force Floyd to exchange anything can happen.
