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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (9 Viewers)

The Busy The Tired said:
Diamondbacks are much better than last year and the ML being offered aren't reflecting that just yet.
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That's great advice, thank you. How do you come up with your MLB moneylines? I myself haven't come up with a system or formula to make my own MLB lines yet, so whenever you see any that you deem favorable please be sure to let us know if you can! TIA! Let's cash some tickets!

 
The total has dropped two runs since it opened. That's weird. It's the first time LAD have been lined as the dog this season, and since 2015 they're 28-18-3 O/U (1st MLB) as the underdog.

Dodger Dogs o7 -125

 
ChainsawU said:
That's great advice, thank you. How do you come up with your MLB moneylines? I myself haven't come up with a system or formula to make my own MLB lines yet, so whenever you see any that you deem favorable please be sure to let us know if you can! TIA! Let's cash some tickets!
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You gotta use your gut.

 
That is great advice, thank you. You are an effortless genius, a natural-born leader, and deserve the respect and admiration of your peers. Thanks again. You really do help people.

 
Half tempted to play Dodgers after all of the celebrating. Hell, as a Cubs fan I don't want to play. I'm spent. Can't we just drink and celebrate again?

 
Dodgers 9-1 SU 7±3 rpg L10 when it's less than 52 degrees outside (avg temp 46±4). link

Might jump in on them if they're scoreless after three outs.

 
Oh wait, that's right... you guys just like to talk ####. Funny how the people who actually win in here DON'T talk ####.

They end up my friends?

 
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The Busy The Tired said:
+$700 day for me today

https://s28.postimg.org/a6wbwsqj1/IMG_8212.jpg
https://s28.postimg.org/zbnca7pzh/IMG_8211.jpg
https://s28.postimg.org/c8wtb1oi5/IMG_8210.jpg
Hey geniuses who think I should go to Covers: @Donkey Derp, @ChainsawU, @gussy, @Dan Lambskin

Let's see some of your plays from today. Or is there none because you're useless unless you're getting spoonfed plays?
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Dip####, I posted the 3 plays I made today. Went 1-2. Didn't run here after I won the last play I posted and SCREAM THIS IS WHAT I DO! You know why? Because I'm not a moron. I can tell you there have been numerous times since January I could have came here and posted big winning tickets. I don't. You know why? Because my assumption is nobody wants to see it. I've also been quick to tell everyone I've been on a monumental cold streak since NCAA conference tournaments. I get spoonfed nothing unless I'm tailing HOOTER on MMA, GOO on pretty much anything or Swirve on props, or Chainsaw on angles that I think make sense. I've not hidden my plays and I've offered to go head to head with you on baseball. If I were you I'd take me up on that while I'm cold. Every time I say something you refuse to respond.

 
 I wanted to take a moment and send out My sincere condolences to the former LA Kings executive management general management and head coach.  No other professional sports franchise has made me more money over the past five years. Your play style at home has caused the least amount of shots on goal by a fairly wide margin over these past five years in my bank account has reaped the benefits.   I wish you the very best in finding new employment in the NHL if you need a  letter of recommendation I would be more than happy to author one for you.

Godspeed

The Ref

 
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The Busy The Tired said:
Twins 3-0 against lefties this year.
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Making a bet based on a 3 game sample size in the MLB is paramount to making a bet after an NBA team has played 1 1/2 games. Good call genius. Also about as smart as betting on Matt Boyd because he had a 23/1 K/BB ratio in spring training..........................oh yeah. He did. He was that good. Did you know the Twins were right in the middle of the pack vs. lefties when you look at OPS last year? It pays to know. Like the gut call.

 
gussy said:
Making a bet based on a 3 game sample size in the MLB is paramount to making a bet after an NBA team has played 1 1/2 games. Good call genius. Also about as smart as betting on Matt Boyd because he had a 23/1 K/BB ratio in spring training..........................oh yeah. He did. He was that good. Did you know the Twins were right in the middle of the pack vs. lefties when you look at OPS last year? It pays to know. Like the gut call.
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It's one play that barely lost with one out left in the bottom of the 5th... not really a big deal.

Why don't you talk #### about GooRoo who got his Pirates play wrong yesterday?

 
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The Busy The Tired said:
Why don't you talk #### about GooRoo who got his Pirates play wrong yesterday?
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Maybe because TheGooRoo doesn't come in here and pound his chest after posting winners for all of us like this one.....

TheGooRoo said:
MMA sharp fired early on Mousasi.


Ticket#:212106752
Apr 08 11:45 PM 


INTERNET / -1


Apr 03 12:59 PM 



MU


STRAIGHT BET
[24205] GEGARD MOUSASI -115 
(GEGARD MOUSASI vrs CHRIS WEIDMAN)



5750 / 5000
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or this one....

TheGooRoo said:
Kenseth -140 over Hamlin
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The Busy The Tired said:
It's one play that barely lost with one out left in the bottom of the 5th... not really a big deal.

Why don't you talk #### about GooRoo who got his Pirates play wrong yesterday?
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Nobody hits them all, including GR. He's proven himself around here and doesn't spout every time he wins. It wasn't even talking ####, it was pointing out that your logic
is faulty, and when you post #### like "they're 3-0 vs. lefties this year" in a sport that plays 162 games it just makes everyone here realize you have no idea what you are doing. There's a lot to look at/know when it comes to baseball. If you based your bet upon the fact that the Twins, on the road, vs. a better team, are 3-0 vs. lefties without looking at Matt Boyd's peripheral stats from last year and at least taking in to consideration how he looked this spring, then I think you're missing a lot of the picture. There's a ton to look at, or at least that I look at when deciding to bet or not on a baseball game. I look at a pitchers past performance in the venue, how he has historically pitched against certain teams, I look at pitch vs. bat stats so that I'm looking at current players on team he's opposing. Once we get some usable data I look at each team's bullpen strength, I look at how teams are hitting lefties/righties, and I use OPS. I look at teams OBP vs. pitchers that I know historically have control issues. I grade each pitchers starts for every game through the season based on Ron Shandler's PQS score and then try to find value on pitchers that I think are breaking out before Vegas starts valuing them that way. I play in 3 keeper leagues and a season long contest that I've played for years, so I have a pretty good idea of pitchers I think might be on the verge of breakout even before the season starts and I look for value there. Paxton would be an excellent example. Right now with Graveman, are you asking yourself after 2 starts, real? or imagined? There's always value in baseball before the AS break. Matt Boyd was another pitcher I had my eyes on. He's on one of my keeper squads. He had a terrible first outing but I wasn't ready to bet against him against the Twins. Just rambling here.

 
The Busy The Tired said:
Excuse me, was I talking to you? All I know is that my play was muuuuch closer to hitting than GooRoos.

So if we're all about being objective here (you know, since we're gambling), that's the play that should be critiqued, not mine!

Otherwise you're just being petty.
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You must have little man syndrome. Nobody here even remotely considers you and Goo in the same sentence. Except you.

 
gussy said:
Nobody hits them all, including GR. He's proven himself around here and doesn't spout every time he wins. It wasn't even talking ####, it was pointing out that your logic
is faulty, and when you post #### like "they're 3-0 vs. lefties this year" in a sport that plays 162 games it just makes everyone here realize you have no idea what you are doing. There's a lot to look at/know when it comes to baseball. If you based your bet upon the fact that the Twins, on the road, vs. a better team, are 3-0 vs. lefties without looking at Matt Boyd's peripheral stats from last year and at least taking in to consideration how he looked this spring, then I think you're missing a lot of the picture. There's a ton to look at, or at least that I look at when deciding to bet or not on a baseball game. I look at a pitchers past performance in the venue, how he has historically pitched against certain teams, I look at pitch vs. bat stats so that I'm looking at current players on team he's opposing. Once we get some usable data I look at each team's bullpen strength, I look at how teams are hitting lefties/righties, and I use OPS. I look at teams OBP vs. pitchers that I know historically have control issues. I grade each pitchers starts for every game through the season based on Ron Shandler's PQS score and then try to find value on pitchers that I think are breaking out before Vegas starts valuing them that way. I play in 3 keeper leagues and a season long contest that I've played for years, so I have a pretty good idea of pitchers I think might be on the verge of breakout even before the season starts and I look for value there. Paxton would be an excellent example. Right now with Graveman, are you asking yourself after 2 starts, real? or imagined? There's always value in baseball before the AS break. Matt Boyd was another pitcher I had my eyes on. He's on one of my keeper squads. He had a terrible first outing but I wasn't ready to bet against him against the Twins. Just rambling here.
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I mainly made the bet since they blew up Boyd in Detroit last year and that Boyd looked like crap in his last start.

I figured at best it would be tied, losing in the bottom of the 5th doesn't hurt me so much.

Super annoying but I still liked the bet.

 
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