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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (10 Viewers)

Opposing teams 9-8 SU and 8-7-2 O/U versus Holmberg:
Homlberg K's < 3: 7-0-2 O/U 6±2 rpg
Holmberg K's ≥ 3: 1-7-0 O/U 3±1 rpg

 
Holmberg 4.1 innings per start - lowest average innings per start in the AL. After the bullpen usage yesterday I'm going Yankees ML live after 18 pitches and three outs.

Yanks -130

 
BIG3 basketball! 

:bag:

Got a free Thursday Friday stay at Caesars AC in the mail today with a $90 free bet on red with no rollover each night, a slot free play promotion I'll get info on upon arrival, and bonus rewards points for the stay. I'm not a whale by any means, which tells me in the summer even these NJ casinos are on absolute life support.

 
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Woah, definitely betting on this. Just not sure what i am taking:

 Odds to win

 06:00a ET Who will sit on the Iron Throne at end of Season 7

Cersei Lannister   +100 

Daenerys Targaryen  +140 

Jon Snow   +350 

Sansa Stark    +400 

Tyrion Lannister    +750 

Arya Stark    +1000 

Petyr Baelish    +1200 

Bran Stark    +1200 

Gendry    +1700 

Jamie Lannister    +1700 

Davos Seaworth    +2500 

Yara Greyjoy    +1700 

Melisandre    +6000 

Ellaria Sand    +6000 

Samwell Tarly    +5000 

Jorah Mormont    +8000 

Olenna Tyrell    +8000 

Tormund Giantsbane    +5000 

Brienne of Tarth    +5000 

Lyanna Mormont    +2500 

Grey Worm    +8000 

Bronn of the Blackwater    +8000 

Benjen Stark    +10000 

Sandor Clegane    +8000 

Gregor Clegane    +10000 

Missandei    +10000 

Meera Reed    +10000 

Podrick Payne    +8000 

Gilly    +10000 

Daario Naharis    +10000 

Jaqen Hghar     +8000 

The Night King     +2500 

EuronGreyjoy    +3000 

Varys    +2500 

Qyburn    +3000 

Theon Greyjoy    +1700

 
In one of my classes we have a weekly 10 question quiz, simple true false stuff, 5 weeks in and every single one has been true, this professor is really ####### with my head.

 
I always figured Daenerys Targaryen to be the odds on favorite or Jon Snow as her husband.

the "value" would be Littlefinger as Martin always let's the bad guys win.  But I think the true dark horse is the Night King, because Martin.

 
Yankees 7-0 O/U in Severino's starts versus lefties 11±3 rpg. Also, since 2004 Yankees average 6.1 rpg with Jim Wolf behind the plate, going 17-6 SU in those games (13-0 SU L13 since Jun 14, 2009). Only the Brewers average more runs per game (6.5) with Wolf behind the plate. The king of the hill can only go down. Or stay up. But the wolf on the hill. He is not as hungry as the wolf climbing the hill. That's true, he's not as hungry.. but when he wants the food it's there. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RlLtyDVD0Gg

 
Also Betances and Chapman have both done work the last two days.

Yankees o4½ +115
White Sox o3½ -105
Yankees/White Sox o8 +105

 
Yankees/Wolf saw first inning runs in 15 of those 23 games and first inning runs in eight of nine G2 of the series.

NYY/CWS score 1st inn yes +100

 
Dan Lambskin said:
I need to look more into the set-up. Like does the shark know it's racing? What's it's motivation?
Click to expand...
But then another time me and Chip were driving. Now I'm not driving. Chip is driving, and he's driving a little crazy. He's been drinking. Now I don't like to let my friends drive drunk - but - you know. I was smoking a joint. I couldn't really say anything to the guy.

Then we get at a red light. We stopped at a red light, a car pulls up next to us, and I'll never forget it. Chip looks at me all drunk and he's like, "Dave.. I'm gonna race him." I knew it was a bad idea - but I was high - and I tried to explain to him that it was a bad idea, but all that came out was: "Well, nıgga sometimes you gotta race."

Man. That light turned green and Chip took off. Zig-zagging and shıt so no one could pass him, the other car didn't even know he was racing.

Then the police seen us and pulled us over. Now you gotta understand, I'm scared as shıt. I mean come on. The car smells like weed, we've been speeding, this man is drunk, and I'm scared. Chip was not scared at all. It was weird. He didn't even turn his radio down. Isn't that weird a little bit? I mean if you get pulled over, wouldn't you turn your radio down? Nobody wants to get beat up to a soundtrack. You know what I'm saying? Chip had the music blasting: "We're not gonna take it."

I look over at him, he says:
"Dave, just relax. Close your buttcheeks! Just relax.
Let me do the talking."

You wanna know what he said? This was almost exactly what he said. I couldn't believe it. He says:
"Oh, oh. Sorry officer. I..
I didn't know I couldn't do that."

I was shocked! The cop said, "Well now you know!
Just get outta here. Just get the hell outta here!"

Chip said, "Okay, I will, sir. Thank you."
What? What's wrong with you Dave?"
"I didn't know I couldn't do that..?"
He was like, "That was good, wasn't it?
Because I did know I couldn't do that!"
 
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Good Posting Judge said:
Been eyeing this bet for months for this fight. Dunno if itll pop up stateside at this price, ¡ got it in europe.

McGregor to get knocked down -150
Click to expand...
Yep.  Been watching Floyd's old fights and even if Floyd was 60 his speed is on a whole nother level.  Conor is a precision fighter, and he's not going to have a target.  In his UFC wins he is so very often stretching himself out going for the kill shots.  

Foot work is so much different in MMA to boxing, and even in an octagon to the ring.  The ropes might be what Conor ends up struggling the most with.

 
modogg said:
well good news is plenty of MMA still coming up. between Boestch and Mitrione i am just cruising. Hope UFC keeps Hendricks around at MW for a few more fights
Click to expand...
Starting next weekend Hooter will have a livestream with plays, commentary, and reactions.

Live from the 24th floor on Miami Beach...

 
Segal ump 41-27 (.603) O/U:
18-5 O/U G2
30-13 O/U night
12-4 O/U total ≥ 9
22-13 O/U NL park
17-4 O/U home dog

Brew/Cincy o9½ -105

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Been eyeing this bet for months for this fight. Dunno if itll pop up stateside at this price, ¡ got it in europe.

McGregor to get knocked down -150
Click to expand...


hooter311 said:
Yep.  Been watching Floyd's old fights and even if Floyd was 60 his speed is on a whole nother level.  Conor is a precision fighter, and he's not going to have a target.  In his UFC wins he is so very often stretching himself out going for the kill shots.  

Foot work is so much different in MMA to boxing, and even in an octagon to the ring.  The ropes might be what Conor ends up struggling the most with.
Click to expand...
let us know if y'all see it anywhere where we can play it stateside

 
Wow.... my buddy sent me a local book with the absolute worst Hiesman trophy odds possible.

then one of my locals said "hold my beer"

then I looked at RB "Lerrrrroy Jennnnnnkinnnis"

 
Good Posting Judge said:
I think that line is accurate. I'll keep an eye out for a better price stateside.
Click to expand...
That line is very specific as well, it must be Mayweather that knocks him down.  The line for him to get knocked down is -300(assuming this one covers a trip or some other weird thing if he goes down on his own)

 
lumpy19 said:
That line is very specific as well, it must be Mayweather that knocks him down.  The line for him to get knocked down is -300(assuming this one covers a trip or some other weird thing if he goes down on his own)
Click to expand...
The -300 line is knocked down or knocked out. So a knock-out/no knock-down scenario would be like a TKO situation where the ref stops the fight because McGregor's taking punishment to the point where he's not fighting back.

 
Freeland is 2-0 SU v SF with 1R in 13 innings so I think about the under. And then Blach said, "Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice not gonna get fooled again," because he is 5-9 SU and 6-6-2 O/U in these starts and he improves after he's seen you:
First start v oppo team: 4-6 SU and 6-2-2 O/U with 39R in 59 IP
Subsequent start v oppo: 1-3 SU and 0-4 O/U with 5R in 26 IP

Rockies u4½ +105
Rockies/Giants u9 -115

 
ChainsawU said:
Freeland is 2-0 SU v SF with 1R in 13 innings so I think about the under. And then Blach said, "Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice not gonna get fooled again," because he is 5-9 SU and 6-6-2 O/U in these starts and he improves after he's seen you:
First start v oppo team: 4-6 SU and 6-2-2 O/U with 39R in 59 IP
Subsequent start v oppo: 1-3 SU and 0-4 O/U with 5R in 26 IP

Rockies u4½ +105
Rockies/Giants u9 -115
Click to expand...
Blach o 3.5 k's -125

 
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