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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (9 Viewers)

I was able to watch CFL last night through a stream I found in a reddit thread. On TV full screen and everything via Fire Stick's web browser.

 
ChainsawU said:
Walk-off three-run homer in Philly to cash both those overs & taking the loss on the o10
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It seems like the Mets feel real shaky, especially on their back end, ever since all that Vargas stuff that went down. Coach on TV saying the players are sad but "can't give up, have to keep working." That says a lot to me. The way they've lost via dramatic comeback wins by the opposing team, and the way Braves have scored a ton of runs in late innings: Braves lead the lead with 2.54 average runs scored in the 6th thru 9th innings; and 3.24 rpg in the 6th thru 9th innings in June alone.. that makes me want to back the Braves tonight and hope for an early Mets lead to be able to buy the Braves +220 or so in live betting. With deGrom on the mound, the Braves propensity for scoring late, and the comeback wins the Mets have been handing out lately, give me Braves and look for a comeback win with an opportunity to buy a +220 live during the game.

Braves +125

 
I tell you what man. Being out of town for 10 days sure makes your women start to behave when you get back to town. Me being gone, especially to Vegas - I think  Booty woman kinda got her spirit broken a little bit. It's really cute. I've never seen her act so sweet.

 
I'm glad Chain got to see the Hard Rock before it closes after the Super Bowl and reopens next June as Virgin Hotels Las Vegas. The Mohegans are going to run the casino, I understand.

 
Both Ryu and Senzatela are making consecutive starts versus the opposing team. The book likes the Dodgers a lot. Opposing teams are 16-22 SU at Coors this season with a 24-13-1 O/U:
Lined less than +120: 14-5 SU
Lined +120 or greater: 2-17 SU

 
betonline has a casino bonus that looks good but is so confusing not sure if I can take advantage.  casino chat rep says even after the rollover is cleared it can't be used for anything but the casino but it can be withdrawn, so odd.

$1000 bonus, 130k in rollover but blackjack can maybe be used?

Only 14 days to clear the bonus

 
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lumpy19 said:
betonline has a casino bonus that looks good but is so confusing not sure if I can take advantage.  casino chat rep says even after the rollover is cleared it can't be used for anything but the casino but it can be withdrawn, so odd.

$1000 bonus, 130k in rollover but blackjack can maybe be used?

Only 14 days to clear the bonus
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Sounds fun

 
ChainsawU said:
Michael Wacha 23-12-4 O/U (avg total 7.7) as the underdog in his career.
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Padres just flew home from the east coast with a day of rest in between. That doesn't make me crazy about the over. But they did it earlier this season flying home from New York to San Diego, with a day of rest in between, and then beat the Marlins 5-2 on May 31st. They're 6-2-3 O/U after a day off this season (6-0-3 scoring more than 1 run). Cards are starting a 9-game road trip and won't be home until after the ASB. After a day off for the team, Wacha's starts have gone 15-4-1 O/U, and the Cards were off yesterday. I think that one is gonna provoke me on the over, the final provocation.

Cards/Pods o8½ -124
Cards/Pods F5 o4½ -125

 
At midway, I think there's lots to like still in Sergio Garcia +405 to win at Valderrama.

T2 with the leader 4 strokes up.  The wind picked up later in the day and Sergio ended up shooting +1.  Prior to that he had shot 10 straight rounds here under par and is a 3 time winner at this course, including the last 2 years.  Despite shooting over par, he is leading the field in both Driving Accuracy and GIR, the two most important keys to success at one of the hardest courses on the Euro tour.

Even without the hometown hero breathing down their neck, a 4 shot 36 hole lead converts just a shade over 50/50.

No sense entering a dogfight with only one bullet if this thing breaks wide open, so I'll throw in Lorenzo-Vera +3158 as well. 

Arnaus at +2510 and Suri +2312 made my short list but Arnaus is going to have a hard time staying on cloud 9 and as much as I like Suri, it's extremely hard to justify paying that number sitting 6 back.  It's a fair price, but not a value price.

Considering the conversion rate stats and the way the guy has been playing the last two months, I don't deny there being value in Bezuidenhout converting his 4 shot lead at +185 either.  

 
Kikuchi starts have gone 15-1-1 O/U (avg total 8.9; 15-0 O/U when M's plate more than 1 run).
Opposing teams 9-8 SU in those games:
Scoring 6+ runs: 8-0 SU
Scoring less than 6 runs: 1-8 SU

Astros o5½ -135
Mariners/Astros o9½ +106

 
Favorite with the pick six to start the game. That's not good for the under. That's not gonna be good for business either. Ball coach is challenging the play though - says he wants a roughing the passer called. Looks like they can review non-calls in the CFL. Roughing the passer would mean first down and negate the pick-six. ROUGHING THE PASSER! CALL CHANGED! LIONS FIRST DOWN! :lol: :lol: :lol:

 
Tailing Chain on CFL gonna completely alter my summer doldrums.  Get me to August and I'll have 7.5 months of football, CFL to NFL  preseason to CFB to Super Bowl.  Dear Lord, thank you for football in all of it's forms (I also did pretty well on that AAF stuff till it died).

 
Paddack 6-6 SU with 29 runs allowed in 65.2 innings:
Pitching on 5 days rest: 6-2 SU with 14 runs allowed in 46 innings
Pitching on more than 5 days: 0-4 SU with 15 runs allowed in 19.2 innings

He's on an extra day today, and they're 0-4 in his L4 overall with 7±1 orpg. Maybe he's corrected something, but I'm gonna roll the dice.

Cards +113
Cards F5 o1½ -130
Cards/Pods o7 -160

 
A's are 8-4 SU against Skaggs with 39 runs scored off him in 59 innings. And 61 total runs scored in those 12 games. I'm gonna try and buy them live right now.. top 1st 1 out 1 man on base.. Seven of the 8 wins were by 3+ runs. Might buy some ARL too

ML, ARL, and laid 2.5 as well.. and tt o3.5 cheers

 
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Hoos First said:
NY/Boston highest O/U ever?
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started at 16.5 - I took over 15 - 110. That might be square as I have read that the sharps were taking the under, but after yesterday's fireworks, these lineups, the ballpark has not changed and the bullpens are shredded after they combined to throw 17.5 innings as the two starters combined to last 3 outs... 

ETA - Action network says that the total is the highest they have ever tracked assuming it closes over 14. 

 
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facook said:
Nope.  Just played them plus 10 and played the under.  Did you?
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no, still have it. we're gonna cash that sucker. the over is the only thing I like tonight. kinda feeling another 30-point beat down by the fave, but shied away from that happening to Toronto two games in a row. wouldn't be surprised if it happened though, as the Roughriders have a game on them - playing their 3rd game of the season (it will only be Tornoto's second game this year), and it's Roughriders' home opener.

 
facook said:
the under
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that game was billed as "the two highest-paid QBs in the league" but it was the Stampeders' backup QB that came in after the half and f****d up that under for you (and dog ML)

I picked up 4u live betting the favorite after those fluke plays that got them in the hole in the 1Q. Had four wagers that averaged out to about -142 to win 4u so am glad you only took the points and didn't incur the heartbreak late

 
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ChainsawU said:
no, still have it. we're gonna cash that sucker. the over is the only thing I like tonight. kinda feeling another 30-point beat down by the fave, but shied away from that happening to Toronto two games in a row. wouldn't be surprised if it happened though, as the Roughriders have a game on them - playing their 3rd game of the season (it will only be Tornoto's second game this year), and it's Roughriders' home opener.
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Sweet, just let me know when it's official.

BTW the game is actually tomorrow afternoon.  Not sure why they are playing on a Monday.

 
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