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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (16 Viewers)

Yeah but I got another one for you first. Since 2009 Belichick 26-1 SU at home versus AFC looking at a road game next week (26-0 SU scoring > 0). They went 18-8-1 ATS against a line of -8 so that seems significant too but really just wanted to point out the other thing.

 
Gronk was drafted in 2010 so If you narrow those SNF+MNF games down to 2010 and greater - the ones in which Gronk didn't record a catch - you get 4-1 SU, ATS, and O/U with the Pats scoring 42,34,30,41,23. Small sample.

3-1 SU and ATS with 4-0 O/U in the games Brady threw a pass; Pats scored 42,34,30,41

 
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Loco mentioned the Raves' schedule and how they beat the Jags on the road. Last time they beat a non-divisional opponent on the road before that was Pearl Harbor Day in 2014. I honestly have no idea on the side.

 
Aaron Rodgers had gone 23 consecutive home games between 12/02/12 and 09/28/15 without throwing a pick, and they were totally making a big deal about it during pregame before the Rams game that day. He ended up throwing two picks. They were almost DD faves that day and I think the "no picks" prop cost like -185 and I had ended up betting it twice.

 
comfortably numb said:
Stop it!

I wanna take the Ravens +7 in a low scoring match but you're not fitting my narrative!
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Yeah, that's what my mush a$$ is playing.  Also tailing your Flacco tds play.

 
Dan Lambskin said:
I know the dude has the best leg in the game but I'm putting a couple bucks down on Tucker missed FG or XP at +800 (SB.ag).  they're definitely not afraid to let him try a long kick and you gotta figure he's due to miss sooner or later
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Dude.

 
Just missed my freaking Mitchell first TD by ? 6 inches? UGH
I'm guessing this is also going to kill my Blount NO TD bet............FML

 
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Maybe we go with Deandre Jordan O13.5 rebounds? The line was 2-1 in the regular season last year. 4-1 in the playoffs.

0-2 this year. One game was a blowout, the other he had 12. He only played 23 minutes last game and avoiding a blowout, he's got a good matchup against Plumlee.

 
swirvenirvin said:
double brady and edelman winner!
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Difference between Edelman 6.5 vs. Edelman 7. Had almost a 30 point lead on the team I was playing in the playoffs tonight, he had Brady. Going to lose by a 1/2 point. Mitchell gets taken down at the 1/2 yard line killing one of my first TD bets, Blount promptly scores killing my Blount no TD's bet. Swirve has a winning night, I have a losing night. It's what seperates Swirve from me. I try to beat his post so that I can get better lines and I felt like I was on the same side for the most part of everything, I still lose. You guys get cut, I send packages. It's fantastic.

 
gussy said:
Difference between Edelman 6.5 vs. Edelman 7. Had almost a 30 point lead on the team I was playing in the playoffs tonight, he had Brady. Going to lose by a 1/2 point. Mitchell gets taken down at the 1/2 yard line killing one of my first TD bets, Blount promptly scores killing my Blount no TD's bet. Swirve has a winning night, I have a losing night. It's what seperates Swirve from me. I try to beat his post so that I can get better lines and I felt like I was on the same side for the most part of everything, I still lose. You guys get cut, I send packages. It's fantastic.
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i lost to brady also by 2 points :(

 
Things I learned this weekend:

I'm no longer betting first TD plays
I'm no longer betting 2H plays of any games that I'm not watching

The end.

 
I've also quit betting teasers this year. At some point I'll probably have quit everything. Oh and parlays. I've quit parlays. Although that probably should have happened a long time ago.

 
gussy said:
I've also quit betting teasers this year. At some point I'll probably have quit everything. Oh and parlays. I've quit parlays. Although that probably should have happened a long time ago.
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I'm going to quit not being in Vegas to bet this ish.  Was able to get Flaco over 257.5 there.

 
37 completions and steve smith can't get to 5?

I guess I'll be satisfied with the pats -6 and ravens +7.5 middle I caught even after that early safety screwed up the scoring.

 
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