who has college props!
6-Unit Play. Take #203 Houston (-3.5) over San Diego State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 17)
I like Houston to win this one going away. This is a Houston team that manhandled Oklahoma and Louisville this year, two of the best teams in college football. This team has a lot of talent. And I think that they are going to be playing very hard for their interim coach, Todd Orlando. Last year Houston beat Florida State in the Peach Bowl and the Houston players are going to play hard because they know that their new coaching staff is going to be scouting them. SDSU's head coach admitted that Houston has more speed and talent than anyone that the Aztecs played this year. It is true. San Diego State has not played well lately. They have lost two of their last three games, including a 63-31 blowout at home against Colorado State. SDSU barely beat Wyoming in the Mountain West title game (27-24) and I think that they peaked. Houston is the better team and will show it.
4-Unit Play. Take #208 Central Florida (-5) over Arkansas State (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 17)
I am going with Central Florida. I think that this Golden Knights team is certainly better than the Sun Belt team. Arkansas State has been hot down the stretch, winning seven of its past eight games. But I don't think that they will get it done here. Central Florida is 5-2 ATS as a favorite this year and they started the season 8-2 ATS before a late slide. This team turned around to 6-6 after going 0-12 last year so I think that they are more excited about being in this game. Central Florida has the edge of getting this one closer to home as well, as it is being played in Orlando. Arkansas State is 0-6 ATS in its last six nonconference games and UCF is 4-1 ATS after a loss. Lay the points.
3-Unit Play. Take #214 Tulsa (-12.5) over Central Michigan (2:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 19)
These two teams come into this game going opposite ways. Tulsa has gone 6-1 ATS down the stretch and this is a team that had a chance to win the AAC title this season. Central Michigan has struggled all season long and they are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games. Their only wins were over Ball State, Ohio and in overtime over Northern Illinois this year. This Central Michigan team isn't nearly as strong as CMU teams from years past. Tulsa is a team that played close in a lot of games. But they could be on a 10-game winning streak right now. Their only losses were at Navy and at Houston, two other good bowl teams. Tulsa has gone 5-1 ATS in bowl games and 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Central Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last four games against a team with a winning record.
7-Unit Play. Take #217 BYU (-8.5) over Wyoming (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 21)
These two teams are former conference rivals. And when they played together in the Mountain West BYU dominated the Cowboys. BYU has beaten Wyoming seven straight times and in nine of the last 10 meetings. A lot of those games were blowouts and BYU is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against Wyoming. BYU has won four straight games and seven of their last eight. This is a team that was playing well down the stretch. Wyoming lost three of four games down the stretch. They are also dealing with the disappointment of losing in the Mountain West title game. That game was at home and they nearly beat SDSU twice in three weeks, losing by just three points. Wyoming is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 nonconference games and I don't think that they will play well here. BYU is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games and they are 4-0 ATS against their former rivals in the Mountain West. This one looks like it will add up to a blowout win for the Cougars. Take BYU here.
4-Unit Play. Take #304 N.Y. Jets (+2.5) over Miami (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 17)
I am calling for the upset here. The last time that the Dolphins went on the road Baltimore got blown out. I think that could happen here. It has been a rough season for the Jets. But they would like a chance to play spoiler against a division rival. Miami lost Ryan Tannehill for the year last week. That is a tough loss and I don't think that Miami can recover. The Jets won last week to finally get back in the win column. I think that they can do it again here and this is a series that they have owned. The Jets are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games against the Dolphins. Miami is a terrible 1-12 ATS in their last 13 December games and the Jets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in December. The Dolphins are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 divisional games and the Jets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11.
4-Unit Play. Take #311 Green Bay (-5.5) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
The Packers are the play here. Aaron Rodgers will play. He has been red hot and the Packers have looked like their old selves while winning three in a row. They are coming off a blowout win over Seattle last week and it should be more of the same this week. The Bears are just 2-7 SU in their last nine games. This team is on a 4-0 ATS run. But the Bears are dealing with a lot of injuries and playing a lot of young players. They are already building to next year. Green Bay has absolutely dominated this series. Rodgers is 13-4 SU in his career against the Bears and has won 10 of the last 12. That includes a 26-10 win in the first meeting this year. The favorite is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The Packers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 trips to Chicago.
4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 47 Tampa Bay at Dallas (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
Tampa Bay's defense is one of the best in football right now. This team is dominating and just got done shutting down the Saints last week, holding New Orleans to just 11 points. The Bucs have only given up an average of 11 points per game over the last five weeks against some top offenses. Dallas has slowed down offensively. They only managed seven points against the Giants last week and just 17 points in Minnesota the week before that. The 'under' is 7-3 in Dallas' last 10 games and the 'under' is 4-0 in Tampa Bay's last four games. The 'under' is 3-0 in the last three meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the last five. I see both defenses getting the job done here.
4-Unit Play. Take #320 Houston (-6) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
That was a big win last week for the Texans. They have a great chance to win the AFC South now and I think that they will have a strong effort at home. Jacksonville is one of the worst teams in the league. They were one of the most overrated teams in the NFL this year. The Jaguars are just 2-11 SU in their last 13 games and Houston has beaten the Jaguars five straight times. Houston is 4-1 ATS in those five wins. This has been a very one-sided series and I think that Houston is much more motivated in this game. They will get it done.
4-Unit Play. Take #317 Tennessee (+5) over Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
I am going with the underdog here. I think that the Titans have a great chance to pull an upset here. Kansas City is coming off several big wins in a row, taking down Denver, Atlanta and Oakland. But I think that they could let up against the Titans in this one. Tennessee has won back-to-back games and three of their last four. This team is in the middle of the playoff hunt. They have played well on the road, winning two of their last four road games outright. The spread on this game opened with Kansas City -6. The public is on the Chiefs but the line is dropping. That tells me where the sharp money is going. The road team is 6-1 ATS in this series and the Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games.
4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 44.0 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
These two teams are heated division rivals. Both teams have always relied on tough defense and that will be the case in this one. Four of the last five meetings between these two have gone 'under' and seven of the last 10 meetings between these two teams have stayed 'under' the total. That includes a 24-16 game the first time that these two met. The Steelers have been an 'under' team all year. They are just 2-7 against the total in their last nine games. The Bengals have had a lot of injuries on offense and they have not been playing great on that side of the ball. Cincinnati is dedicated to the run and working the clock. The 'under' is 4-1 in their last five games overall. I see this one being another low-scoring game between these two.
6-Unit Play. Take #307 Detroit (+4) over N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
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3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 41.0 Detroit at N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
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4-Unit Play. Take First Half 'Under' 20.5 Detroit at N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
The play on Detroit (+4) is from the NFL 411 System.
These are two teams that look like they are headed toward the playoffs. I think that this game could have a playoff feel. And that means that it will be low scoring. The weather should be cold and neither offense has done anything this year. The 'under' has hit in seven straight Detroit games. That has been one of the best bets in the NFL. The 'under' has also hit in five straight Giants games and the 'under' is 8-2 in New York's last 10 games. These defenses are dominating and this total should have been around 38.5. I also like Detroit to win this game. The Giants are in a spot where they could let down after their big win over Dallas. And if this is a low-scoring game then those points could play a big factor down the stretch. The Lions are 8-1 SU in their last nine games. And just about every game that they have played this year has come down to the final seconds. The Giants last five home games have all been wins. But those wins have come by an average of less than four points per game. The Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team that is above .500 and the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six in this series. I like Detroit to win by a field goal again.
6-Unit Play. Take #325 New England (-3) over Denver (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
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5-Unit Play. Take First Half #325 New England (-1.5) over Denver (4:30 p.m.)
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3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 44.0 New England at Denver (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 18)
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4-Unit Play. Take First Half 'Under' 22.0 New England at Denver (4:30 p.m.)
The play on New England (-3) and the play on New England in the first half (-1.5) are both from the NFL 411 System.
The Patriots are going to get this win here in Denver. They have lost their last three trips here. But those games were against Peyton Manning and a dominating Denver defense. This Denver team is not the same level. The Broncos are just 4-5 SU in their last nine games overall. They are just 2-3 in their last five games and are coming off a tough loss at Tennessee last week. And several of the games that Denver won came because of defensive scores. New England is hot again. They have just one loss since Tom Brady has returned and they have won four straight. The Patriots are on a 7-2 ATS run and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Denver's offense has struggled all year. They are No. 25 overall and No. 27 running the ball. I don't think that will improve against the Patriots. New England has a Top 10 defense and they are No. 2 in the league in points allowed at just 17.7 per game. The 'under' is 7-1 in New England's last eight road games and the 'under' is 6-2 in Denver's last eight games against a team with a winning record. I think that this one is going to be played like a playoff game. Both teams will be conservative. Denver needs to win this game because they are fighting to get into the postseason. New England will be careful going against Denver's defense and because they are on the road. I have the Patriots winning this one 23-16 and I think that this one will hit on both ends.
Allen Eastman
docsports
4 Unit Play. #301 Take Los Angeles Rams +16 over Seattle Seahawks (Thursday 8:30 pm NBC) We will bite on the points as the Rams are now getting over two touchdowns with the announced firing of Jeff Fisher on Monday. I do not know why that bumped up the line and feel the Rams can only play better once this distraction was eliminated. One of the three wins for Los Angeles this year has come against the Seahawks, and they have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings (Won 4 of 5 straight up as well). Rams will do just enough to keep this game around 10-13 points and we will start off week 15 on a winning note.
4 Unit Play. #212 Take Over 58 in Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (New Orleans Bowl, Saturday, 12/17 9 pm ESPN) We will side with the over as these local teams are set to do battle in New Orleans in the fifth and final bowl game on Saturday. Both teams should be able to move the football up and down the field, and thus we will side with the over. The combined yardage of both defenses is an average of 700, and I see both teams reaching the 30s in scoring. Southern Miss has gone over the posted total in 14 of their last 17 games after allowing less than 275 yards in their previous game. Louisiana has gone over the posted total in 21 of their last 20 games (1 push) after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
4 Unit Play. #310 Take Baltimore Ravens -5.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Carson Wentz magic is long gone, and this is just a 5-8 team with a coach that looks overwhelmed. The home team is 10-3 ATS in Philadelphia games this season, and the Eagles have yet to win a game on the road this season (0-6 ATS as well). Baltimore needs to bounce back after losing to the Patriots on Monday Night Football last week. This will be the best defense that QB Wentz has seen all season, and I just do not see them being able to keep pace with the Ravens. Baltimore is giving up just over 13 points per game and Philadelphia has scored over 15 points just one time in their last 4 games. Baltimore has covered the spread in 4 straight home games.
7 Unit Play. #311 Take Green Bay Packers -5.5 over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK We have used the Packers the last two weeks as our top play and will do it once again hoping to complete the trifecta. The Bears have been playing a little better of late, but they are still 3-10 on the season and have a lame-duck head coach in John Fox that will be replaced after the season. Green Bay has beaten Chicago 13 of the last 16 meetings and has covered the spread in 12 of those 16 games (13-point average margin of victory). Green Bay needs to win out to ensure a playoff berth, and after starting 4-6 in their first 10 games they just cannot afford to take this game lightly. Green Bay is 43-21 ATS in their last 64 NFC North games.
4 Unit Play. #325 Take New England Patriots -3 over Denver Broncos (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) The Patriots have not had much luck in Denver over the years, but this is not the same Broncos teams they have faced the last couple of years. New England will relish the chance to knock Denver out of the playoffs, and expect them to win this game by 7-10 points. The Patriots hold the No. 1 seed in the AFC, and this year they realize how important it is to have home-field advantage. New England has covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games. Denver is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 Week 15 games. This is just a complete mismatch at the quarterback position, and sooner or later the Patriots will make enough plays on offense to win this game by close to double-digits.
4 Unit Play. #218 Take Wyoming Cowboys +9 over BYU Cougars (Poinsettia Bowl, Wednesday, 12/21, 9 pm ESPN) This is just too much love by the oddsmakers for BYU considering they are playing their second-string quarterback against a team that is thrilled to be bowling. Wyoming can score points, averaging over 40 points per game in their last 9 games to finish out the regular season. BYU has been great against the spread this year, but they have seldom been this big of a favorite. BYU has 8 wins on the season, but only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record. Wyoming is 6-1 this season as an underdog. Whichever team stops the run will win this game, and I expect the Cowboys to take care of business and win this game straight up. Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
