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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (7 Viewers)

Also got one on the over on MNF the L17 seasons W13 or greater when the opposing team is coming in with less than six wins but it don't matter.

 
Tomorrow....Germany

Frankfurt has not lost at home this year.

13 of Mainz 20 pts have come off the 5 last place teams.

Going with

Frankfurt PK (tie push) 

Frankfurt -1/2

-120 each

 
The browns lost the last 3 games last season, all 4 games in the preseason and every game in the regular season, wow.

 
gussy said:
Seems like a terrible strategy. How many times do you go broke and what's your credit card balance? It's totally contingent upon a long undefeated streak. What's next? Betting 1241?
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I know my limits. I'm not recklessly forcing these bets, if I see something I like I take it.

Now I take my money and start over.

*shrugs*

 
The Busy said:
I know my limits. I'm not recklessly forcing these bets, if I see something I like I take it.

Now I take my money and start over.

*shrugs*
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I wish I were more of a statistics and probability type of guy. When most successful bettors are considered to be people that can hit, what? 58-60%? What are the odds of a run of 6 in a row? It's not like Vegas' numbers are easily exploitable even for people who are really good. At what point do you decide to pull your money out? if you wen't 5-1 in that stretch, you would have hit 83.3%, better than attainable, and been broke. Just sayin'

 
gussy said:
I wish I were more of a statistics and probability type of guy. When most successful bettors are considered to be people that can hit, what? 58-60%? What are the odds of a run of 6 in a row? It's not like Vegas' numbers are easily exploitable even for people who are really good. At what point do you decide to pull your money out? if you wen't 5-1 in that stretch, you would have hit 83.3%, better than attainable, and been broke. Just sayin'
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The most I've hit is 13 in a row, iirc, so it happens. It's like playing a video game or flipping a coin, eventually you're going to hit the perfect storm.

I know I'm going to hit 4-5 in a row eventually, so I'm willing to patiently wait for it to happen.

I decide to pull my money out when I feel it can do something good for my life personally. Last withdraw from them was a $25 to $500 run. $500 was a lot to me at that time so I walked.

Today I stared at that $680 in that account and told myself, "just one more bet and you'll have over a rack". Get one bet and I got it.

$1,300 is an amount that substantially helps my situation right now so I will happily walk with it and start over at $50 - 100 bets. I won't necessarily double-down over and over but if I see 4-5 confidence plays in a row, I will.

Nothing pisses me off more than hitting 5 bets in a row and not making like at least $500 for my trouble. I'll take some volatility.

 
I took Panthers to win game at plus money at half. Feel like Cam Newton has the clear edge.

If he can overcome the weather, it gives the Panthers a good chance. Kirk Cousins and his gang of receivers need to be on point to win.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
The Busy said:
I took Panthers to win game at plus money at half. Feel like Cam Newton has the clear edge.

If he can overcome the weather, it gives the Panthers a good chance. Kirk Cousins and his gang of receivers need to be on point.
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That's convenient. Just sayin, lol

 
So I got that new account set up at RB and today was told the max on a prop bet is $20. I thought maybe just my account settings were screwed up. Has this been the same with everyone?

 
gussy said:
So I got that new account set up at RB and today was told the max on a prop bet is $20. I thought maybe just my account settings were screwed up. Has this been the same with everyone?
Click to expand...
where have you been man... been almost 2 months since everyone either got them taken away compleyely or cut to $20

 
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