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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (8 Viewers)

In terms of drinking and hot nasty sluts, it's about to be a good four days - with just the right amount of planning and a Christmas-like abundance of resources.

 
Tried to get the jump on a few of these:

Eli U254.5  (-115)
Eli O1.5 TD  (-150)
Jennings U43.5  (-115)
Wentz  O23.5  (EV)
R. Matthews U52.5  (-115)

 
Anyone have a feel on the game tonight? I think I'm leaning Vandals catching the 15 1/2 and MAYBE over the 64.5? Thoughts?

 
he just tweeted that his work internet sucks

He's the chief now, if I were the chief that'd be my first order of business, fixing the work internet.  I'm just sayin
see it on his site:

Carson Wentz


PHI


over


37.5


pa attempts


-115


Bookmaker


 


Carson Wentz


PHI


over


22


completions


-115


Bookmaker


 


Nelson Agholor


PHI


over


1.5


receptions


-140


Bookmaker


 


Jordan Matthews


PHI


over


5


receptions


-115


Bookmaker


4.5 is available at bol


Zach Ertz


PHI


under


6.5


receptions


-140


Sportsbook


middle at 5.5's


Eli Manning


NYG


under


255.5


passing


-115


Sportsbook


 


Will Tye


NYG


under


25.5


receiving


-115


Sportsbook


 


Will Tye


NYG


under


2.5


receptions


110


Sportsbook


 


Dorial Green-Beckam


PHI


under


3


receptions


-130


Bovada


 

 
Anyone have a feel on the game tonight? I think I'm leaning Vandals catching the 15 1/2 and MAYBE over the 64.5? Thoughts?
Passing on tonight. Idaho is dropping down to FCS after tonight. Is that good or bad?

Colorado State should roll them but not sure they give a damn. They only sold 445 of 8000 ticket allotment.

I'll play NHL and NFL tonight instead 

 
@RVacchianoSNY: Strong winds here at Lincoln Financial Field tonight. ... @weatherchannel  says 15-25 mph currently with gusts into the 30s.

 
Philly +7.5/Under 48.5 teaser prop sttill available in props at 5D even though Philly is now lined -1.5.

 
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So what's with the line movement in NYG PHL?
Not sure.  Giants got 79% of bets but line has moved from +3 to -1/-1.5 Philly.  I'm tailing that Steam tonight.

Also on under 42', under 21' first half.

Under 3' field goals cause of wind.

Longest TD under 39'.

 
I'm still taking Giants. Liked them at -2.5, love them at +1. Feel like the books are trying to get people to take Eagles.
Not so fast though. Yo, I'm impressed because I feel the same way. The man has made it this far he is entitled to his opinion. Dude has been around over a year. And has NBA on lock compared to everyone else here, imo. Anyway, I think it can be built on if TB,TT can look at what the values of the +1 and +3 are in the NFL. And if he can go find some percentages on which side has the most action. Dude, Em. Seriously, and I'm being serious.

 
I'm not lying I think it's a pump fake by the books as well. I'd just sleep better tonight if I knew that Em knew what he was disagreeing with.

 
It just seems like a weird time of year. If this was a Wednesday in October and we saw this movement on a Sunday at 1245PM, then yeah. But everyone and their dog is watching these percentages now. Everyone is off work. And everyone has their money out. Perfect time for the ol' pump fake by the book crossing the zero like that

 
It's kind of unfair for me to chime in as my woman's going to be here at seven. So I won't get to watch the game as she said she has to be in bed by ten or else she's going home.

 
Pucks:

Flyers  (+110)
Phi/NJ U5  (+110)
NJ TT U2.5 (+105)

please remember it's the Thursday before Christmas so you know what I spent all afternoon doing..............

 
by making it more expensive to do so?
Exactly, everyone knows the Giants are playing for playoff seeding and should destroy the Eagles.

They moved the line to -1 to give the illusion that this will be a tight game and that the Eagles are tough at home. They don't want you to think the Giants will win which is what a -2.5 / 3 spread tells people.

They know the Giants will win so they want you to think it's unlikely they will by making them the underdogs. The line move will also scare "experienced" bettors who will correlate the line move with an actual less likelihood of the G-Men covering.

When in reality nothing has changed, they just want to change your perspective and plant the seed of doubt about the Giants.

 
Exactly, everyone knows the Giants are playing for playoff seeding and should destroy the Eagles.

They moved the line to -1 to give the illusion that this will be a tight game and that the Eagles are tough at home. They don't want you to think the Giants will win which is what a -2.5 / 3 spread tells people.

They know the Giants will win so they want you to think it's unlikely they will by making them the underdogs. The line move will also scare "experienced" bettors who will correlate the line move with an actual less likelihood of the G-Men covering.

When in reality nothing has changed, they just want to change your perspective and plant the seed of doubt about the Giants.
Not really sure I'm agreeing with you, but one thing I will say is that the books generally only move the lines on "sharp" money from my understanding. And the "sharp" money has gotten killed this year.  So...even though I tailed the steam, I kinda think your side is right Em.

 
Exactly, everyone knows the Giants are playing for playoff seeding and should destroy the Eagles.

They moved the line to -1 to give the illusion that this will be a tight game and that the Eagles are tough at home. They don't want you to think the Giants will win which is what a -2.5 / 3 spread tells people.

They know the Giants will win so they want you to think it's unlikely they will by making them the underdogs. The line move will also scare "experienced" bettors who will correlate the line move with an actual less likelihood of the G-Men covering.

When in reality nothing has changed, they just want to change your perspective and plant the seed of doubt about the Giants.
quoting for @lumpy19

 

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