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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (17 Viewers)

gussy said:
I have no idea. Got introduced to them by a college kid that was on the local college golf team at our golf club.
I'm assuming something to do with the Mailman moniker, but not sure of the connection. I was just trying to be
a 47 year old hanging out with the cool kids, lol. Little did he know this 47 year old man has a bit of a built up
tolerance.
 
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I'm guessing it is called The Mailman because, like Karl, it ALWAYS delivers.

 
Don't Noonan said:
I run a college bowl pool with spreads.   There is a guy who was 3 for 24 going in to today.  He picked South Florida to cover 10.5 points.  Never a doubt that South Carolina would come back.  FYI - He picked Arkansas getting 7 and Colorado by 3.
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Wow, he is going to find a way to lose the VT/Arkansas game after being up 31 points at halftime.

 
Bielema a gave up. We should be against him every 2nd half next year.

 
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got_nugs said:
I used to bathe in Crown.  Try it on ice, the coke is only going to promote a hangover.  If i'm not drinking red wine, I stick to vodka and club soda or tonic, I can drink a water tower full and feel like a champ in the morning.  Froggie B vodka is as good / better than titos or the goose and much cheaper.  Total Wine is here in Florida and has the best prices anywhere IMO.

I don't think you were asking for any of that...oh well.  Hope all your bets cash.  Then you can go buy some Froggie B.
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yeah man up and drink it on ice.. Jack and coke ehhh OK but crown and above should be straight

 
Now if Washington can get us a 17-0 lead he will have really have done his job.

 
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3-3 on the ice tonight. Meh. Probably need to start focusing there a little more, I was doing fairly well before the bowl disaster distracted me.

 
Don't Noonan said:
I run a college bowl pool with spreads.   There is a guy who was 3 for 24 going in to today.  He picked South Florida to cover 10.5 points.  Never a doubt that South Carolina would come back.  FYI - He picked Arkansas getting 7 and Colorado by 3.
Click to expand...
Please post his picks for tomorrow, this is a Lhucksian-level run here. 

 
Doctor Detroit said:
@gussy What about your BIG RED tomorrow? 
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Westerkamp is out which is our top WR and will be the next Welker in my opinion and Nate Gerry is out, which is our best guy in the backfield cause he can't pass a class to save his life. line opened at +3 Skers now up to +6.5 not sure what to think. The only way we stay in the game is if Armstrong is healthy to run and throw..

 
swirvenirvin said:
ok 2nd half is set up for a prop sweep couple more for roudolph establish the run and fields can get his
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Pretty close, 3-0-1 with Justice Hill banging out a 37 yarder with 3:44 left to go over  :hifive:

 
Here are both of the clowns plays

docsports

4 Unit Play. #258 Take Georgia Bulldogs +3 over TCU Horned Frogs (Liberty Bowl, Friday, 12/30 12 pm ESPN) Not impressed with TCU at all this season. They had quarterback issues down the stretch and did not record a quality victory this season. Georgia has won all three matchups with TCU, and they are building under first-year head coach Kirby Smart. TCU has been blown out in their last two losses and lost three games as a favorite over their last five games. SEC is better than the Big 12, and playing in Memphis will allow the Dawgs to pack the stands.

4 Unit Play. #264 Take Tennessee Volunteers -6.5 over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Music City Bowl, 12/30 3:30 pm ESPN) The Vols return to Nashville looking to make amends to their loss last game out against Vanderbilt. Nebraska started off hot, but as usual they folded down the stretch and there is no guarantee that QB Tommy Armstrong will play in this game. Nebraska lost three of their last five games, including a blowout loss to Iowa to close out the regular season. Tennessee was one of the most underachieving teams this season, but they still have talent and they blew out a Big 10 team last year in a bowl game. Tennessee has a huge edge in special teams, and that will allow them to win this game by 10-13 points.

4 Unit Play. #267 Take LSU Tigers -3 over Louisville Cardinals (Citrus Bowl, 12/31, 11 am ABC) LSU has continuity by keeping Ed Orgeron as coach and he will have a motivated team on Saturday as his players really want to justify this was a good decision to keep him. LSU has an up and down season but they have talent and none of their four losses were considered bad losses. Louisville has the most exciting player on the field in Lamar Jackson but they are missing a couple of key pieces on defense and struggled down the stretch. Their loss to Kentucky was embarrassing and it will linger in this game as well. Louisville is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

5 Unit Play. #274 Take Clemson Tigers +3 over Ohio State Buckeyes (Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, 12/31 7 pm ESPN) The wrong team is favored in this game, and we expect Clemson to win straight-up. The Tigers have won both meetings with the Buckeyes, including the 2014 Orange Bowl as an underdog like they are here. Ohio State just does not see teams as explosive as Clemson is from the Big Ten. DeShaun Watson is due for a breakout game, and like last year he will get it in the semi-finals of the College Football Playoff. Both teams are young, but Clemson has the experience from last year to propel them into the Championship game.

5 Unit Play. #278 Take Wisconsin Badgers -7.5 over Western Michigan Broncos (Cotton Bowl, Monday, 1/2 1 pm ESPN) Wisconsin has too much beef for this mid-major to stay within double digits in the Cotton Bowl. Wisconsin will be the best defense Western Michigan has seen all season long as they are No. 8 in the country in total defense. Some feel that Wisconsin and their fans are not excited about being in the Cotton Bowl, but that is not the case. Wisconsin always travels well, and they will have a good crowd in the stands come Monday. The Broncos are just average at stopping the run, and expect Wisconsin to exert their strength in this area.

4 Unit  Play. #282 Take Oklahoma Sooners -3 over Auburn Tigers (Sugar Bowl, Monday, 1/2 8:30 pm ESPN) Bob Stoops loves to beat up on the SEC in meaningless bowl games, and he will get another chance to accomplish this on Monday night. Auburn was not the same team down the stretch, losing two of their last three games, and now they must face a team that ran the table in the Big 12. Baker Mayfield just has too many weapons on offense for Auburn to keep up. This was not a typical Auburn offense as the Tigers relied more on their defense to win games. OU wins their 10th straight game as we collect in the process as well. Auburn will have their moments but just cannot match Oklahoma score for score.

7 Unit Play. #309 Take Green Bay Packers -3 over Detroit Lions (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK. Nobody will be giving the Lions a chance to win this game, and we will be in that boat as well. Detroit has not performed well in two consecutive games and now likely faces a winner-take-all on Sunday Night Football. The Lions have not win a division title since 1993 and they have never made it to the Super Bowl in their franchise existence. Green Bay has beaten Detroit 20 of the last 25 meetings and they are just functioning much better now. Detroit got picked apart by the Dallas passing attack on Monday night, and I just do not expect their corners to be able to slow down the Packer wide receivers. Aaron Rodgers is now able to use his feet, and that makes him the best dual-threat quarterback in the league. Green Bay has won five straight games and Clay Matthews is playing at a high level, making this one of the better defensive teams in the league. Detroit is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 divisional games. Green Bay is 23-11 ATS in their last 34 divisional games.

4 Unit Play. #327 Take Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 over San Diego Chargers (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) The Chiefs have a great chance to earn the No. 2 seed in the AFC Playoffs but must win this game to accomplish that. San Diego has really faded down the stretch, losing four straight games, including to the Cleveland Browns last week (first win of the season). This may be their final game in San Diego as well, but I just do not see that being an emotional edge for the Chargers. The stadium will be full of Chiefs fans, and Kansas almost lost to San Diego this year so they will not take them lightly. Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. San Diego is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games.

4 Unit Play. #332 Take Denver Broncos -1 over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) I just do not see the Super Bowl Champs going down in their final game without a fight. Denver was embarrassed last week against Kansas City, but now they have a chance to help the Chiefs. Oakland was playing above their heads all season long mostly due to the play of QB Derek Carr. They do not have that to fall back on now and expect them to struggle to move the football on offense against the Broncos. Denver is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a loss in their previous game.

eastman

 
 
4-Unit Play. Take #264 Tennessee (-6.5) over Nebraska (3:30 p.m., 3:30 p.m., Friday, Dec. 30)

Music City Bowl.

Tennessee has been a big underachieving team this year. This team was supposed to compete for an SEC Championship. They have been up and down all year. But this team has several future NFL players on it. Butch Jones has a lot of talent here. And with the Volunteers playing closer to home with this game in Nashville I think that they have a big edge. This team really needs this win to put a positive spin on the season. And I think that they will get it. The Vols closed the year winning three of hteir last four games. Nebraska was just 2-3 SU in its last five. The Cornhuskers were able to pad their record against weak teams this year. The Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. I will go with the Vols in their home state.

6-Unit Play. Take #266 Michigan (-6.5) over Florida State (8 p.m., Friday, Dec. 30)

Orange Bowl.

I like the Wolverines here. Jim Harbaugh is one of the best coaches in the country. I think that he will take advantage of the long break and will have his team ready for this one. Michigan is one of the top teams in the country. They think that they should be playing in the playoffs right now and will want to prove to everyone that they are among the best teams in the country. Harbaugh has won his last two bowl games, including a big win in the Citrus Bowl last year. Florida State is the younger team in this game. And this team didn't play its best against the top teams on its schedule. The Seminoles are just 1-5 ATS in their last six neutral site games. Michigan is 7-2 ATS after a loss and I think that they will come back strong after their tough loss against Ohio State. The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five nonconference games. This spread opened at 6.0 and has moved up to 7.0. The sharp money is on the Wolverines in this one and I think that they will get it done.

4-Unit Play. Take #275 Iowa (+3) over Florida (1 p.m., Monday, Jan. 2)

Outback Bowl.

I am backing several teams from the Big Ten this year. That includes Iowa. I think that the Big Ten was the best conference in football this year with several powerhouse programs like Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan and Iowa each having great years. Iowa has most of the players back from last year's 12-2 team. They were embarrassed in the Rose Bowl last year against Stanford, losing 45-16. I think that left a bad taste in these players' mouths. I think that they will want to come back and get a win in a major bowl against a team from the SEC. Florida won't be as up for this game. Their last time on the field was in the SEC Championship Game and they were blown out 54-16. They were also blown out 31-13 against Florida State in their final regular season game. Florida is 0-7 ATS in its last seven nonconference games and come into this bowl game on a 1-4 ATS slide. I like the underdog in this one. This should be a low-scoring game with two tough defenses taking control. I will take the points and I can see Iowa winning 24-20.

6-Unit Play. Take #278 Wisconsin (-8) over Western Michigan (1 p.m., Monday, Jan. 2)

Cotton Bowl.

I will go with the Badgers here. I am sticking with the Big Ten! The Badgers have won back-to-back bowl games, beating USC last year in the Holiday Bowl and beating Auburn in the 2015 Outback Bowl. Wisconsin is one of the best teams in the country. They were this close to winning the Big Ten championship. Before that they had won six straight games in the Big Ten by an average of 19.3 points per game. I think that they can get another blowout here. Western Michigan is undefeated and excited to be in this bowl game. But this team is just 4-4 ATS in its last eight games. They barely beat a Northwestern team that Wisconsin dominated and beat easily. The other common opponent between these teams was Akron. WMU won 41-0 and Wisconsin won 54-10. The Badgers have dominated MAC teams and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams from that smaller conference. The Badgers are on a 12-3 ATS run overall and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five nonconference games, including a win to start the season over LSU. I don't think that WMU is going to be able to slow down Wisconsin's powerful running game and I think that this team from the Big Ten is too much for the Broncos. Lay the points.

7-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 41.5 Baltimore at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 1)

This is a game that neither team wants to play. Baltimore missed out on a chance to win the division and go to the playoffs last week when they lost in the final seconds at Pittsburgh. The Bengals had made the playoffs five straight years. They entered this season expecting to make the playoffs again but have had a disappointing season. The Bengals have had a lot of injuries to key offensive players and they are averaging just 19.9 points per game. This team has really struggled to score in the second half of the season and the 'under' is 6-1 in Cincinnati's last seven games overall. Baltimore has a Top 5 total defense and is allowing just 19.6 points per game. The defense has given up 87 points over the last three weeks. That is more than any other three-week stretch and I expect this group to bounce back. Both teams will run the ball a lot and I expect a game similar to the 19-14 game that these two teams played on Nov. 27 this year. The 'under' has hit in back-to-back games and is 5-3 in the last eight meetings. The 'under' is 13-6 in Cincinnati's last 19 games in Week 17 and the 'under' is 6-1 in the Bengals' last seven conference games.

4-Unit Play. Take #318 Tampa Bay (-5) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 1)

The Bucs have a slim chance of making the playoffs. They need to win this game so they will be putting in their full effort into this one. Tampa Bay already beat Carolina once this year, 17-14 on the road. And I think that they will get the job done here as well. The Panthers have had a disappointing season. They just want this year to be over. This team played in the Super Bowl last February and now isn't even going to the playoffs. I think that the Panthers could rest some of their key players or not have their stars play the whole game. Carolina will be without Luke Kuechly in this one and I can see them resting Cam Newton at some point as well. Tampa Bay is coming off back-to-back losses. But they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall and have won three straight home games with wins over New Orleans, Seattle and Chicago. The Bucs will take this one.

4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43 Cleveland vs Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 1)

Tough game to handicap with Pittsburgh locked in as number 3 seed. With Browns partying over there 1st win of the season and the fact we will see Landry and many second-Stringers. I feel the number is way to high in this game. Play the Under in a game that should not be over 32 points.

4-Unit Play. Take #331 Oakland (+1.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 1)

The Raiders lost star quarterback Derek Carr to injury last week. But I think that everyone on this team is going to step up without Carr. The Raiders can still clinch the No. 1 seed in the playoffs and if they win and New England wins then the Raiders can get the No. 2 seed. That is important for this team because it would give them a bye week and extra time to get backup Matt McGloin ready. I won a big play on Kansas City against Denver on Sunday night. This Broncos team has quit on this season. They have lost three straight games and four of their last five games. This team won the Super Bowl last year. But they know they are not going to the playoffs this season so they are looking ahead to the offseason and next year. The Raiders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games and have beaten the Broncos twice in a row, including a win in Denver last December. The Raiders have a lot more to play for in this one and I think that they will get the win.

6-Unit Play. Take #325 Arizona (-6.5) over Los Angeles (4 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 1)

Los Angeles is a team in turmoil. They fired their coach and there will be a lot more changes this offseason. The Rams just want the season to end and I don't see them putting forth much of an effort. Arizona is coming off a big win over Seattle. And this team has revenge for a tough home loss early in the season to Los Angeles. The Cardinals dominated that game. They outgained the Rams by 132 yards and blew several chances to break that game open thanks to five turnovers. That won't happen again. The road team has won four straight in this series and the Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven against the Rams. The Rams are just 1-9 SU in their last 10 games. They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and are on a 0-6 ATS slide. The Rams lost in the final seconds at home against the 49ers last week in a big in-state rivalry game. I don't think they will give that level of effort here for an interim coach. Arizona is a talented and well-coached team. They are 9-4 ATS in Week 17 and 21-10 ATS against a team with a losing record. The Rams are 0-6 ATS at home and I think that Arizona will deal them one last loss. Lay the points.

Allen Eastman
 
So think we have plays for everything today

TCU is 3-9 ATS trend and fade of DOC and currently 35%

North Carolina goo early play at 3.5

Nebraska is a double Eastman/doc fade

S. Bama is a 3-9 ATS trend

FSU is a Eastman fade

Look at that...all dogs but TCU

 
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