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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (9 Viewers)
- Thread starter The Ref
- Start date
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
some random gambling stuff here for your reading pleasure
Since 2005, NFL favorites of 7.5+ points have gone 7-2 ATS in the wild-card round.
Over the past four seasons, the under has gone 13-3 on wild card weekend
Connor Cook's sister
The New England Patriots finished the regular season atop the NFL ATS standings with the best record at 13-3 ATS.
The Patriots beat the Miami Dolphins 35-14 on Sunday as 7.5-point road favorites for their fifth straight point-spread cover heading into the playoffs.
The second-best bet this NFL season might come as a surprise to some: the 7-9 New Orleans Saints covered their last three games to finish 11-5 ATS. They had to score three fourth-quarter touchdowns to rally from a 38-13 deficit against the Atlanta Falcons in the season finale before losing 38-32 as 7.5-point road underdogs. It was the fourth time this season that the Saints lost a game but covered as 'dogs. The Dallas Cowboys finished with the third-best spread record at 10-5-1 ATS, despite failing to cover five of their last six games. The Oakland Raiders, Atlanta Falcons and Washington Redskins were next at 10-6 ATS, while the Pittsburgh Steelers and Green Bay Packers were the only other teams to cover at a 60 percent clip at 9-6-1 ATS.
The Cleveland Browns were the worst bet all season and ended the season at 3-12-1 ATS. They pushed in their 27-24 overtime loss at Pittsburgh in Week 17 after closing as 3-point road underdogs after being bigger 'dogs all week. However, even if the Browns had covered, they still would have finished behind the San Francisco 49ers at 4-11-1 ATS; the 49ers covered their last two games to avoid the basement. The worst bet down the stretch was the Los Angeles Rams, as they failed to cover their last seven games to finish 4-10-2 ATS.
On an interesting side note, nine of the 12 playoff teams had winning ATS records. The three exceptions were the Seattle Seahawks and Detroit Lions -- who face each other in the wild-card round on Saturday night -- at 7-8-1 ATS, and the Houston Texans at 6-9-1 ATS.
In totals wagering, the Falcons went over in their last four games to finish 13-2-1 with the over. The Washington Redskins and Miami Dolphins were 12-4 with the over, while the Buffalo Bills and Oakland Raiders were 11-5.
The New York Giants, led by their defense down the stretch, finished with the best under record at 12-4. The Dallas Cowboys, Pittsburgh Steelers, Kansas City Chiefs, Detroit Lions and Cincinnati Bengals were two games back at 10-6 with the under.
Since 2005, NFL favorites of 7.5+ points have gone 7-2 ATS in the wild-card round.
Over the past four seasons, the under has gone 13-3 on wild card weekend
Connor Cook's sister
The New England Patriots finished the regular season atop the NFL ATS standings with the best record at 13-3 ATS.
The Patriots beat the Miami Dolphins 35-14 on Sunday as 7.5-point road favorites for their fifth straight point-spread cover heading into the playoffs.
The second-best bet this NFL season might come as a surprise to some: the 7-9 New Orleans Saints covered their last three games to finish 11-5 ATS. They had to score three fourth-quarter touchdowns to rally from a 38-13 deficit against the Atlanta Falcons in the season finale before losing 38-32 as 7.5-point road underdogs. It was the fourth time this season that the Saints lost a game but covered as 'dogs. The Dallas Cowboys finished with the third-best spread record at 10-5-1 ATS, despite failing to cover five of their last six games. The Oakland Raiders, Atlanta Falcons and Washington Redskins were next at 10-6 ATS, while the Pittsburgh Steelers and Green Bay Packers were the only other teams to cover at a 60 percent clip at 9-6-1 ATS.
The Cleveland Browns were the worst bet all season and ended the season at 3-12-1 ATS. They pushed in their 27-24 overtime loss at Pittsburgh in Week 17 after closing as 3-point road underdogs after being bigger 'dogs all week. However, even if the Browns had covered, they still would have finished behind the San Francisco 49ers at 4-11-1 ATS; the 49ers covered their last two games to avoid the basement. The worst bet down the stretch was the Los Angeles Rams, as they failed to cover their last seven games to finish 4-10-2 ATS.
On an interesting side note, nine of the 12 playoff teams had winning ATS records. The three exceptions were the Seattle Seahawks and Detroit Lions -- who face each other in the wild-card round on Saturday night -- at 7-8-1 ATS, and the Houston Texans at 6-9-1 ATS.
In totals wagering, the Falcons went over in their last four games to finish 13-2-1 with the over. The Washington Redskins and Miami Dolphins were 12-4 with the over, while the Buffalo Bills and Oakland Raiders were 11-5.
The New York Giants, led by their defense down the stretch, finished with the best under record at 12-4. The Dallas Cowboys, Pittsburgh Steelers, Kansas City Chiefs, Detroit Lions and Cincinnati Bengals were two games back at 10-6 with the under.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
As we head into the NFL playoffs, I want to thank our loyal readers for their support this year. Although betting against the public produced mixed results during the 2016 regular season, the postseason has historically created unique opportunities for our contrarian strategies. In fact, we're already off to a hot start, with our college football system matches posting a 10-6-1 record during bowl season.
If you're a frequent reader of this column, you know the team at Sports Insightstends to be oppositional to mainstream convention. We extract value by taking teams others won't and grabbing lines that have been artificially inflated based on public perception. By examining some of the top historical betting trends and identifying sharp money indicators, we inform bettors on how they can capitalize on these market overreactions. Whenever the public zigs, we zag.
Of course, the regular season and postseason are completely different beasts, and bettors can't always employ the same strategies. During the playoffs, the number of tickets placed on every game nearly doubles, with much of the action from square bettors. These recreational weekend warriors place wagers based on instinct and gut feelings rather than data and analysis.
EDITOR'S PICKS
In the past, we have stated that the value derived from betting against the public is directly correlated with the number of bets placed on each game. Contrary to popular belief, oddsmakers do not attempt to balance their book by attracting 50 percent of the action on each side. Instead, they shade their opening lines to capitalize on public perception and allow their sharpest bettors to shape the line. However, with this influx of money from casual bettors during the postseason, sportsbooks are increasingly willing to adjust their lines in order to encourage action on the unpopular side of a game and limit their exposure.
To learn more about how the handle changes between the regular season and playoffs, I spoke with Scott Cooley, an odds consultant from Bookmaker.eu.
"It does increase per game, but not as much as you might think," Cooley said. "On average the handle might be up 5-10 percent for a playoff game [compared with] that of a Sunday Night Football or Monday Night Football game."
During the regular season, casual bettors overwhelmingly hammer the favorite, and oddsmakers adjust by shading their lines and forcing casual bettors to take bad numbers when they play the popular side of a game. This has historically created value on underdogs. However, that's not necessarily the case during the playoffs.
Since 2003, the underdog has received the majority of spread bets in less than 20 percent of regular-season games. However, underdogs have received the majority of bets in 42.7 percent of all playoff games. That's largely because casual bettors overvalue elite offenses and undervalue stout defenses.
"The public is always going to play the high-profile, high-octane, sexy teams," according to Cooley. "The old adage is that defense wins championships, and that's true, but the square bettors don't subscribe to that theory when putting their money down."
My research found that elite defenses -- which I defined as any team allowing fewer than 18 points per game -- have gone 56-44 ATS (56 percent) during the NFL playoffs. Despite that winning record, these teams have received the majority of spread tickets in less than 40 percent of their games.
Conversely, teams with potent offenses have historically struggled to cover the spread during the postseason. Since 2003, playoff teams averaging more than 26 points per game have gone just 37-58 ATS (38.9 percent). In spite of that atrocious record, these teams have received the majority of spread tickets in roughly 60 percent of their games. When an elite defense faces off against a potent offense, bettors should go against the grain and back the superior defensive team.
NFL Playoffs: Defense Beats Offense
CRITERIA
ATS RECORD
UNITS WON
ROI
Defense Allowing <18 PPG
56-44 (56.0%)
+9.62
+9.6%
Opponent Averaging >26 PPG
58-37 (61.1%)
+18.25
+19.2%
Defense Allowing <18 PPG, Opp. Averaging >26 PPG
24-13 (64.9%)
+9.39
+26.8%
As we mentioned earlier, square bettors routinely overreact to recent results and will typically place bets based purely on instinct. These bettors generally pound high-scoring teams, so oddsmakers will shade their lines to account for this inevitable influx of public money. By taking the unpopular side of the game, opportunistic contrarian bettors are often able to get an extra half-point or more.
This trend intensifies during the playoffs, when sportsbooks take an even higher volume of public money. During the regular season, sportsbooks will typically take more than enough sharp action to balance this flood of public money; however, there is far more public money in play during the playoffs. That creates additional opportunity for our contrarian strategies.
Since 2003, underdogs receiving less than 50 percent of spread bets have gone 1,367-1,344 ATS (50.4 percent) during the regular season and 44-35 ATS (55.7 percent) during the playoffs. When we look at larger underdogs, that winning percentages increases even further.
NFL Playoffs: Betting Against The Public
CRITERIA
ATS RECORD
UNITS WON
ROI
Receiving <50% of spread bets
72-67 (51.8%)
+1.59
+1.1%
Underdogs receiving <50% of spread bets
44-35 (55.7%)
+7.11
+9.0%
Underdogs of 4+ points receiving <50% of spread bets
32-16 (66.7%)
+13.98
+29.1%
In order to have long-term success in sports betting, it's crucial that bettors avoid forcing plays when the value's not there. There's only one game fitting each of these criteria, and it's my favorite value play during the wild-card round.
Wild card system matches
Note: All lines courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas as of Tuesday evening.
New York Giants (+4.5) at Green Bay Packers
In this weekend's most heavily bet game, the Packers opened as 4-point home favorites at the Westgate Superbook. The line dropped from Green Bay -4 to -3.5 shortly after opening, but it had jumped to -4.5 by Tuesday night. These teams previously played in Week 5, with Green Bay (closed -7) beating New York by the final score of 23-16.
In an interesting twist, Green Bay has received the majority of spread tickets (57 percent) in Sunday's game, but New York has received the majority of spread dollars (60 percent). That type of split indicates that several large bets, probably placed by sharp bettors or syndicates, have taken the road underdog.
There's clearly value on the Giants as a large contrarian underdog, but there's also value based on the public's tendency to overvalue offense and undervalue defense. This season, New York boasted the league's second-best scoring defense, allowing just 17.8 points per game. On the other hand, Green Bay's offense ranked fourth in scoring with 27.0 points per game.
We always recommend selling on good news in order to capitalize on market overreactions, and Green Bay has won six consecutive games, including a big road win over Detroit on national television. This is the perfect opportunity to sell high on the Packers.
My research also found that 10-win teams have gone 50-37 ATS (57.5 percent) when they're underdogs during the playoffs. When we look at underdogs of at least 4.5 points, that record improves to 31-14 ATS (68.9 percent). That's another reason to like the Giants plus the points.
Weather is always an important factor to consider when handicapping a game, and forecasts call for single-digit temperatures at Lambeau Field this weekend. Although bettors typically think road teams are adversely affected by inclement weather, that's simply not the case. Since 2003, road teams have actually gone 24-16 ATS (60 percent) in playoff games played at freezing temperatures.
Moreover, Eli Manning has been very successful on the road during his 13-year career. Since being drafted in 2004, Manning has gone 56-41 ATS (57.7 percent) as a visitor, including a 6-0 ATS record during the playoffs. That trails only Tom Brady (57-40 ATS) among active quarterbacks.
There's no questioning Aaron Rodgers' talent, but this New York defense still hasn't received its proper due. Olivier Vernon is a premier pass-rusher, Janoris Jenkins is a lockdown cornerback and Landon Collins has emerged as one of the best safeties in football. Teams who lost their previous head-to-head matchup have gone 75-60 ATS (55.6 percent) during the playoffs, so I like the Giants to bounce back from their Week 5 loss this weekend.
The pick: New York Giants +4.5
If you're a frequent reader of this column, you know the team at Sports Insightstends to be oppositional to mainstream convention. We extract value by taking teams others won't and grabbing lines that have been artificially inflated based on public perception. By examining some of the top historical betting trends and identifying sharp money indicators, we inform bettors on how they can capitalize on these market overreactions. Whenever the public zigs, we zag.
Of course, the regular season and postseason are completely different beasts, and bettors can't always employ the same strategies. During the playoffs, the number of tickets placed on every game nearly doubles, with much of the action from square bettors. These recreational weekend warriors place wagers based on instinct and gut feelings rather than data and analysis.
EDITOR'S PICKS
- http://www.espn.com/chalk/insider/s...rankings-all-12-playoff-teams-wild-card-round
Giants, Chiefs ascend in Vegas NFL ranks
The New York Giants and Kansas City Chiefs enter the playoffs with a head of steam, and gain ground in this week's NFL Vegas power rankings. Our handicappers rate all 12 playoff teams.
In the past, we have stated that the value derived from betting against the public is directly correlated with the number of bets placed on each game. Contrary to popular belief, oddsmakers do not attempt to balance their book by attracting 50 percent of the action on each side. Instead, they shade their opening lines to capitalize on public perception and allow their sharpest bettors to shape the line. However, with this influx of money from casual bettors during the postseason, sportsbooks are increasingly willing to adjust their lines in order to encourage action on the unpopular side of a game and limit their exposure.
To learn more about how the handle changes between the regular season and playoffs, I spoke with Scott Cooley, an odds consultant from Bookmaker.eu.
"It does increase per game, but not as much as you might think," Cooley said. "On average the handle might be up 5-10 percent for a playoff game [compared with] that of a Sunday Night Football or Monday Night Football game."
During the regular season, casual bettors overwhelmingly hammer the favorite, and oddsmakers adjust by shading their lines and forcing casual bettors to take bad numbers when they play the popular side of a game. This has historically created value on underdogs. However, that's not necessarily the case during the playoffs.
Since 2003, the underdog has received the majority of spread bets in less than 20 percent of regular-season games. However, underdogs have received the majority of bets in 42.7 percent of all playoff games. That's largely because casual bettors overvalue elite offenses and undervalue stout defenses.
"The public is always going to play the high-profile, high-octane, sexy teams," according to Cooley. "The old adage is that defense wins championships, and that's true, but the square bettors don't subscribe to that theory when putting their money down."
My research found that elite defenses -- which I defined as any team allowing fewer than 18 points per game -- have gone 56-44 ATS (56 percent) during the NFL playoffs. Despite that winning record, these teams have received the majority of spread tickets in less than 40 percent of their games.
Conversely, teams with potent offenses have historically struggled to cover the spread during the postseason. Since 2003, playoff teams averaging more than 26 points per game have gone just 37-58 ATS (38.9 percent). In spite of that atrocious record, these teams have received the majority of spread tickets in roughly 60 percent of their games. When an elite defense faces off against a potent offense, bettors should go against the grain and back the superior defensive team.
NFL Playoffs: Defense Beats Offense
CRITERIA
ATS RECORD
UNITS WON
ROI
Defense Allowing <18 PPG
56-44 (56.0%)
+9.62
+9.6%
Opponent Averaging >26 PPG
58-37 (61.1%)
+18.25
+19.2%
Defense Allowing <18 PPG, Opp. Averaging >26 PPG
24-13 (64.9%)
+9.39
+26.8%
As we mentioned earlier, square bettors routinely overreact to recent results and will typically place bets based purely on instinct. These bettors generally pound high-scoring teams, so oddsmakers will shade their lines to account for this inevitable influx of public money. By taking the unpopular side of the game, opportunistic contrarian bettors are often able to get an extra half-point or more.
This trend intensifies during the playoffs, when sportsbooks take an even higher volume of public money. During the regular season, sportsbooks will typically take more than enough sharp action to balance this flood of public money; however, there is far more public money in play during the playoffs. That creates additional opportunity for our contrarian strategies.
Since 2003, underdogs receiving less than 50 percent of spread bets have gone 1,367-1,344 ATS (50.4 percent) during the regular season and 44-35 ATS (55.7 percent) during the playoffs. When we look at larger underdogs, that winning percentages increases even further.
NFL Playoffs: Betting Against The Public
CRITERIA
ATS RECORD
UNITS WON
ROI
Receiving <50% of spread bets
72-67 (51.8%)
+1.59
+1.1%
Underdogs receiving <50% of spread bets
44-35 (55.7%)
+7.11
+9.0%
Underdogs of 4+ points receiving <50% of spread bets
32-16 (66.7%)
+13.98
+29.1%
In order to have long-term success in sports betting, it's crucial that bettors avoid forcing plays when the value's not there. There's only one game fitting each of these criteria, and it's my favorite value play during the wild-card round.
Wild card system matches
Note: All lines courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas as of Tuesday evening.
New York Giants (+4.5) at Green Bay Packers
In this weekend's most heavily bet game, the Packers opened as 4-point home favorites at the Westgate Superbook. The line dropped from Green Bay -4 to -3.5 shortly after opening, but it had jumped to -4.5 by Tuesday night. These teams previously played in Week 5, with Green Bay (closed -7) beating New York by the final score of 23-16.
In an interesting twist, Green Bay has received the majority of spread tickets (57 percent) in Sunday's game, but New York has received the majority of spread dollars (60 percent). That type of split indicates that several large bets, probably placed by sharp bettors or syndicates, have taken the road underdog.
There's clearly value on the Giants as a large contrarian underdog, but there's also value based on the public's tendency to overvalue offense and undervalue defense. This season, New York boasted the league's second-best scoring defense, allowing just 17.8 points per game. On the other hand, Green Bay's offense ranked fourth in scoring with 27.0 points per game.
We always recommend selling on good news in order to capitalize on market overreactions, and Green Bay has won six consecutive games, including a big road win over Detroit on national television. This is the perfect opportunity to sell high on the Packers.
My research also found that 10-win teams have gone 50-37 ATS (57.5 percent) when they're underdogs during the playoffs. When we look at underdogs of at least 4.5 points, that record improves to 31-14 ATS (68.9 percent). That's another reason to like the Giants plus the points.
Weather is always an important factor to consider when handicapping a game, and forecasts call for single-digit temperatures at Lambeau Field this weekend. Although bettors typically think road teams are adversely affected by inclement weather, that's simply not the case. Since 2003, road teams have actually gone 24-16 ATS (60 percent) in playoff games played at freezing temperatures.
Moreover, Eli Manning has been very successful on the road during his 13-year career. Since being drafted in 2004, Manning has gone 56-41 ATS (57.7 percent) as a visitor, including a 6-0 ATS record during the playoffs. That trails only Tom Brady (57-40 ATS) among active quarterbacks.
There's no questioning Aaron Rodgers' talent, but this New York defense still hasn't received its proper due. Olivier Vernon is a premier pass-rusher, Janoris Jenkins is a lockdown cornerback and Landon Collins has emerged as one of the best safeties in football. Teams who lost their previous head-to-head matchup have gone 75-60 ATS (55.6 percent) during the playoffs, so I like the Giants to bounce back from their Week 5 loss this weekend.
The pick: New York Giants +4.5
comfortably numb
Footballguy
Mich st -13
1H Mich st -7
1H Mich st -7
gmbacm
Footballguy
6-1 on player props. 
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
havent done any stats but ajayo +350 for most rushing out of the 4 listed has some nice value
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
im no nba guy but sounds like the entire cavs team is sick.. irving and lov out.. lebron questionable others guys sick
bulls +3.5
bulls +3.5
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
rutgers +13
whoops forget it started at 6:30
whoops forget it started at 6:30
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JaxBill
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
also played lynn for the bills and shannahan for broncos at bovada
gussy
Footballguy
Wish I would have bet this instead of taking the dog for a walk. I think Sparty is about to go on a run. We've got one of those absolutely beautiful snows coming down right now, no wind, just big flakes falling real slow. Had to take the big boy for a quick walk. 10 degrees, but with no wind felt pretty nice. I've got a 175 lb golden retriever if you can imagine that. Beautiful night for a walk. This looks good. Good call numb.
The Busy The Tired
Footballguy
1H - Bucks ML, -135
ChainsawU
Footballguy
So, since last season Oklahoma State is 3-17 SU versus the B12. Even with home-court Jeff says Texas should be getting between 2.93 and 4.79, final score 82-77. What did KP say it should be, because the majority of folks who already locked-in said they'd back the Cowboys at that number, "All they have to do is win!"
comfortably numb
Footballguy
Rutgers has a nice record. All show. I'll be looking to fade them in certain spots.
175 holy crap! Sign em up in the Otis weigh loss challenege.
gussy
Footballguy
We're both trying to be more active this year lol. I say this as I am eating 2 Hawaii'n roles with a boatload of butter
After 2 bowls of my wife's home made corn chowder. Not easy when your wife is a ridiculously good cook. We're happy, lol.
comfortably numb
Footballguy
Keeping my eye on the Knicks.
All hear about on the radio is the discord amongst Melo/coach/Phil. Things don't look right at all.
I can see an implosion coming. 17 games in January against mediocre teams (1 vs Tor) they should see soft lines with good opportunity if my doomsday scenario plays out.
comfortably numb
Footballguy
Nice. Get out there as much as you can!We're both trying to be more active this year lol. I say this as I am eating 2 Hawaii'n roles with a boatload of butter
facook
Footballguy
We really are on the same wavelength...that sounds amazing. If you are also currently on your second large vodka/soda we might be long lost brothers.We're both trying to be more active this year lol. I say this as I am eating 2 Hawaii'n roles with a boatload of butter
gussy
Footballguy
Had a scotch and soda at work before I came home and walked the dog. Rough day. I've got a 22 year old kid who had a baby with his mama baby back in October. Great being a grandpa, but both kids are absolute dumbasses. Every time they fight it turns in to this whole "I'm getting a lawyer and blah blah blah". My phone was blowing up all day. Needed a scotch to help me settle down. Kind of a ####ty Wednesday.
facook
Footballguy
Dang dude sorry. I've got a client harassing me via phone, threatening litigation and generally pissing me off. So...cheers!
gussy
Footballguy
Dude, my second wife is the most ridiculously good cook, it's insane. And terrible, lol. I have seriously gained 60lbs in the 9+ years we've been together.
She is Czech and everything is fattening and amazing. She #####es at me for gaining weight and keeps cooking this way, lol. She makes a home made
mushroom soup that is the best soup I've ever had in my life. Good soup weather this time of year. She's cooking home made chicken and noodles now
to have for tomorrow night's dinner because we have a Husker home game right after work.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
That's a business idea right there. Snow-cones in the summer and soup in the winter; food-truck style. Reminds me because there is a local small business owner here called The Soup Peddler who I always feel for in the 100-degree summertime heat. Looks like he actually added a juice bar. That's probably smart. He's probably banking on soup right now though.
Last edited by a moderator:
WilliamBonney
Footballguy
Hart with 2 boards in consecutive possessions for the over!!!
WilliamBonney
Footballguy
Sweep on Nova game. Nice Frosty!!
WilliamBonney
Footballguy
Duke is up 6 touchdowns. Hopefully Luke gets benched.
The Busy The Tired
Footballguy
Last edited by a moderator:
WilliamBonney
Footballguy
The Busy The Tired
Footballguy
Q3 - Bucks -1, -120
A Blue to Score a TD and HOU Wins Game
4/1
A Cooper Over 124.5 Receiving Yards
10/1
A Cooper Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
7/5
A Cooper Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
7/2
A Cooper to Record 6 or More Receptions
5/4
A Cooper to Record 7 or More Receptions
13/5
A Cooper to Record 8 or More Receptions
7/1
A Cooper to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
11/2
B Osweiler to Score a Rushing TD and HOU Wins Game
13/2
C Cook Attempts 40 or More Passes
4/1
C Cook Over 2 Interceptions Thrown
2/1
C Cook Over 249.5 Passing Yards
3/1
C Cook Over 274.5 Passing Yards
8/1
C Cook Throws 23 or More Pass Completions
13/5
C Cook Throws 26 or More Pass Completions
5/1
C Cook to Score a Rushing TD and OAK Wins Game
12/1
C Cook to Throw 3 or More TD Passes
6/1
C Fiedorowicz Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
5/4
C Fiedorowicz Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
6/1
C Fiedorowicz to Record 7 or More Receptions
4/1
C Fiedorowicz to Score a TD and HOU Wins Game
13/5
C Walford to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
10/1
D Hopkins Over 124.5 Receiving Yards
9/1
D Hopkins Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
7/5
D Hopkins Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
3/1
D Hopkins to Record 6 or More Receptions
5/4
D Hopkins to Record 7 or More Receptions
3/1
D Hopkins to Record 8 or More Receptions
7/1
D Hopkins to Score a TD and HOU Wins Game
11/5
D Washington to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
12/1
L Miller Over 119.5 Rushing Yards
17/5
L Miller Over 139.5 Rushing Yards
9/1
L Miller Over 99.5 Rushing Yards
9/5
L Miller to Have 21 or More Rushing Attempts
6/5
L Miller to Have 24 or More Rushing Attempts
3/1
L Miller to Have 27 or More Rushing Attempts
10/1
L Miller to Score a TD and HOU Wins Game
6/5
L Murray Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
11/10
L Murray Over 79.5 Rushing Yards
3/1
L Murray Over 99.5 Rushing Yards
9/1
L Murray to Have 16 or More Rushing Attempts
7/4
L Murray to Have 19 or More Rushing Attempts
7/2
L Murray to Have 22 or More Rushing Attempts
15/2
L Murray to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
4/1
M Crabtree Over 124.5 Receiving Yards
15/1
M Crabtree Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
7/4
M Crabtree Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
5/1
M Crabtree to Record 7 or More Receptions
2/1
M Crabtree to Record 8 or More Receptions
4/1
M Crabtree to Record 9 or More Receptions
10/1
M Crabtree to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
5/1
Osweiler Attempts 35 or More Passes
2/1
Osweiler Attempts 40 or More Passes
5/1
Osweiler Over 2 Interceptions Thrown
9/4
Osweiler Over 224.5 Passing Yards
1/1
Osweiler Over 249.5 Passing Yards
5/2
Osweiler Throws 21 or More Pass Completions
11/10
Osweiler Throws 24 or More Pass Completions
3/1
Osweiler to Throw 2.5 or More TD Passes
5/1
S Roberts to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
14/1
W Fuller Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
9/5
W Fuller Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
9/2
W Fuller to Record 5 or More Receptions
5/2
W Fuller to Record 6 or More Receptions
13/2
W Fuller to Score a TD and HOU Wins Game
4/1
A Cooper Over 124.5 Receiving Yards
10/1
A Cooper Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
7/5
A Cooper Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
7/2
A Cooper to Record 6 or More Receptions
5/4
A Cooper to Record 7 or More Receptions
13/5
A Cooper to Record 8 or More Receptions
7/1
A Cooper to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
11/2
B Osweiler to Score a Rushing TD and HOU Wins Game
13/2
C Cook Attempts 40 or More Passes
4/1
C Cook Over 2 Interceptions Thrown
2/1
C Cook Over 249.5 Passing Yards
3/1
C Cook Over 274.5 Passing Yards
8/1
C Cook Throws 23 or More Pass Completions
13/5
C Cook Throws 26 or More Pass Completions
5/1
C Cook to Score a Rushing TD and OAK Wins Game
12/1
C Cook to Throw 3 or More TD Passes
6/1
C Fiedorowicz Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
5/4
C Fiedorowicz Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
6/1
C Fiedorowicz to Record 7 or More Receptions
4/1
C Fiedorowicz to Score a TD and HOU Wins Game
13/5
C Walford to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
10/1
D Hopkins Over 124.5 Receiving Yards
9/1
D Hopkins Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
7/5
D Hopkins Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
3/1
D Hopkins to Record 6 or More Receptions
5/4
D Hopkins to Record 7 or More Receptions
3/1
D Hopkins to Record 8 or More Receptions
7/1
D Hopkins to Score a TD and HOU Wins Game
11/5
D Washington to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
12/1
L Miller Over 119.5 Rushing Yards
17/5
L Miller Over 139.5 Rushing Yards
9/1
L Miller Over 99.5 Rushing Yards
9/5
L Miller to Have 21 or More Rushing Attempts
6/5
L Miller to Have 24 or More Rushing Attempts
3/1
L Miller to Have 27 or More Rushing Attempts
10/1
L Miller to Score a TD and HOU Wins Game
6/5
L Murray Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
11/10
L Murray Over 79.5 Rushing Yards
3/1
L Murray Over 99.5 Rushing Yards
9/1
L Murray to Have 16 or More Rushing Attempts
7/4
L Murray to Have 19 or More Rushing Attempts
7/2
L Murray to Have 22 or More Rushing Attempts
15/2
L Murray to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
4/1
M Crabtree Over 124.5 Receiving Yards
15/1
M Crabtree Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
7/4
M Crabtree Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
5/1
M Crabtree to Record 7 or More Receptions
2/1
M Crabtree to Record 8 or More Receptions
4/1
M Crabtree to Record 9 or More Receptions
10/1
M Crabtree to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
5/1
Osweiler Attempts 35 or More Passes
2/1
Osweiler Attempts 40 or More Passes
5/1
Osweiler Over 2 Interceptions Thrown
9/4
Osweiler Over 224.5 Passing Yards
1/1
Osweiler Over 249.5 Passing Yards
5/2
Osweiler Throws 21 or More Pass Completions
11/10
Osweiler Throws 24 or More Pass Completions
3/1
Osweiler to Throw 2.5 or More TD Passes
5/1
S Roberts to Score a TD and OAK Wins Game
14/1
W Fuller Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
9/5
W Fuller Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
9/2
W Fuller to Record 5 or More Receptions
5/2
W Fuller to Record 6 or More Receptions
13/2
W Fuller to Score a TD and HOU Wins Game
The Busy The Tired
Footballguy
Q1 - Warriors -5.5, -110
gussy
Footballguy
Um, no offense Em, because I AM the one tailing YOU here, but I made what MIGHT have been a +EV bet and lost. You made what was clearly a -EV bet and pushed. It's things like this that used to infuriate me when you would brag because you were clearly making TERRIBLE bets, and not only getting away with it, but BRAGGING about getting away with it. Proceed. End of rant.
The Busy The Tired
Footballguy
I don't get it. I'm two plays away from another $1,000 that's all I'm worried about right now.
The Busy The Tired
Footballguy
I need to average $1,000 a week.
The Busy The Tired
Footballguy
If I can do that, I can set myself free.
