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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (15 Viewers)

wow bookmaker just got me, bet rodgers o26.5 comp, got 1 bet in, hit rebet, they usually change the vig, i didn't look real close and they jumped the line to o28.5 comp but didn't move the vig, ouch  :wall:

Went back to get out of it and the line was at 27.5, annoying.

Good news is I got 15k down on NFL props there, gonna be an exciting weekend!

So many overs, swirv is NOT gonna be happy

 
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Peyton Marino said:
squares buy hooks.  sharps find them.  good words to keep in mind as a bettor.
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I normally do and I wouldn't be caught dead betting on a total without buying a half point.

There are little nuances like this you pick up on. It just sucks because I was doubling-down my bets. 3-0 and a half point away from being 4-0.

You hit 4 in a row and that's a 1600% return on investment. It's like building a house of cards. Whole thing split right down the middle.

 
Peyton Marino said:
seems like a good question for government employees to be considering (and posting about on a public message board).

also are you taking drugs for your back currently?
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no i hate the drugs.. I guess I would like them if they made me feel better but I havent really seemed to tell the difference.  I am going to the dr buddies 40th suprise b-day with open bar tonight so there's that

 
Peyton Marino said:
squares buy hooks.  sharps find them.  good words to keep in mind as a bettor.
Click to expand...


The Busy The Tired said:
I normally do and I wouldn't be caught dead betting on a total without buying a half point.

There are little nuances like this you pick up on. It just sucks because I was doubling-down my bets. 3-0 and a half point away from being 4-0.

You hit 4 in a row and that's a 1600% return on investment. It's like building a house of cards. Whole thing split right down the middle.
Click to expand...
:unsure:  

 
Its not worth tying money up by would would a brand new coach get fired?

TOTAL GAMES SEAN MCVAY BEFORE GET FIRED IN 2017-18

Wager Cutoff: 09/01/2017 16:00:00



ROT
TEAM
 
Odds




90071
1-6 GAMES (REG SEASON)
+500 





90072
7-12 GAMES (REG SEASON)
+400 





90073
13-16 GAMES (REG SEASON)
+300 





90074
NOT FIRED (REG SEASON)
+125 


 
swirvenirvin said:
Its not worth tying money up by would would a brand new coach get fired?

TOTAL GAMES SEAN MCVAY BEFORE GET FIRED IN 2017-18

Wager Cutoff: 09/01/2017 16:00:00



ROT
TEAM
 
Odds




90071
1-6 GAMES (REG SEASON)
+500 





90072
7-12 GAMES (REG SEASON)
+400 





90073
13-16 GAMES (REG SEASON)
+300 





90074
NOT FIRED (REG SEASON)
+125 
Click to expand...
$100 max, so I guess it's ok

 
The Busy The Tired said:
I normally do and I wouldn't be caught dead betting on a total without buying a half point.

There are little nuances like this you pick up on. It just sucks because I was doubling-down my bets. 3-0 and a half point away from being 4-0.

You hit 4 in a row and that's a 1600% return on investment. It's like building a house of cards. Whole thing split right down the middle.
Click to expand...
not quite what I meant, but I enjoyed the house of cards visual

 
TSM vs C9

Map 1 - TSM ML -135

Haven't seen C9 with their new jungler, unsure how he affects the map, so no props Game 1.

 
gabriel o3 -160

rodgers o290.5 -150

ryan o25 -140

Hardy o1.5 -160 and 22 -115
cook o4.5 -115
montgomery o42 -115 and a little on u52.5 -115
julio o6 -130
freeman o3.5 -115
cook o53 -115
coleman o39.5 -115
rodgers o39.5att -140
rodgers o26.5comp -125
sanu u4.5 -150
allison u37.5
 
 
floyd o1.5 -115
big ben u272.5 -115
blount u57 -115
big ben o35.5 att -140
brady o36at -140
hogan o3rec -115 o39 -115
edelman o76.5 yards -115
brown o6.5-140
 
 
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gussy said:
Not sure what I'm missing here, I watch a lot of B1G basketball. Indiana is talented but major underachieving team. I question them even making the tournament at times.
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It wouldn't shock me if they miss the tournament. And it wouldn't shock me if they get hot and win it all. 

 
The Busy The Tired said:
Adults play at night you're a little kid go ride your bike.
Click to expand...
yo a question for you is this weird for a cleaning lady:(1/2) My son my Sleeping Beauty you rest and sleep drink and eat and have lots of fun take care God bless you have a great week the most greatest week I wish th(2/2) e best for you English is her second language and she is about 51 years old I think .

 
ChainsawU said:
yo a question for you is this weird for a cleaning lady:(1/2) My son my Sleeping Beauty you rest and sleep drink and eat and have lots of fun take care God bless you have a great week the most greatest week I wish th(2/2) e best for you English is her second language and she is about 51 years old I think .
Click to expand...
I'm with you chainsaw.  :thumbup:

 
I'm working on a new character for screenwriting class a cleaning lady with a dirty vagına well talk to you later this script isn't going to write itself.

 
Oh my goodness I have good news and bad news it turns out that despite the fact I left a window open and haven't been home in a few days, despite the fact that I left a window open a nest of raccoons infested my cleaning lady's vagına but she discovered the perfect combination of water and bleach to mix into a windex bottle and she sprayed them right on out of there.

 
hagmania said:
Sorry about that Map 1 loss GB.

Map 2 - TSM ML -130

TSM live ML +210. I think they win the next 2, they got surprised by a champ that I think they won't let beat them next time.
Click to expand...
Holy crap, Contractz is gonna be ROY.

We move on.

 
modogg said:
this line may move so i'll post now:

1/21 Bellator

  Chael Sonnen -160
Click to expand...
-210 now so not as sexy but I still added more. 

ETA: friggin chore going through this thread these days. i don't know if that is good or bad

 
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Been toying around with live basketball bets.  I've hit some decent payouts including +400 on the 76erz tonight when they were down 5 in the early 4Q.  

Just fired $50 on New Orleans at +775

 
gussy said:
Not sure what I'm missing here, I watch a lot of B1G basketball. Indiana is talented but major underachieving team. I question them even making the tournament at times.
Click to expand...
To expand, their are a few things about Indiana which make me not be able to write them off.  

1.  One of the top teams in the country in shots from in the paint and 3 - thus avoiding 2 point jumpers.

2.  High shooting percentage from at least 2 of 3 of 2s, 3s, and FTs (they have all 3).

3.  Either never turn it over OR get a bunch of offensive rebounds - create extra possessions (they turn it over a ton, but kill it on the o-boards)

4.  Not terrible on defense with at least some kind of defensive identity (they block a lot of shots, low eFG against)

5.  Could conceivably get hot enough to hit 100 threes in a game.

6.  Demonstrated ability to play at a high level (wins over Kansas and UNC).

7.  Good guard play (check)

8.  1 or more players who could carry the team on their back John Wallace/Kemba Walker/Shabazz Napier style (check).

They've struggled badly lately, and I just now looked it up and their RPI is 75 which ugh, they're going to have to get really, really hot, but 40-1?  They hit too many of my checkmarks to write them off yet.

 
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