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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (13 Viewers)

61-62 percent on the bets are on GB, and the line keeps moving in reverse. +6 and could get +6.5 by game time. I would have never guessed the public bets on GB would be overwhelmed by money on the other side.

 
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I like the over at whatever number in the first game and Steelers ML in the second.

Hoping Steelers ML goes over +200 closer to game time. 

 
Went DLewis O2 and O15.5 rec

Jwhite u3 and u25.5

Regardless of the fumble last week, I think the guard has changed for this role. 

 
61-62 percent on the bets are on GB, and the line keeps moving in reverse. +6 and could get +6.5 by game time. I would have never guessed the public bets on GB would be overwhelmed by money on the other side.
5D, Hilton, MGM, Stations aren't giving the 6 to the Packers yet. I don;t know what that's worth. But the Pack have been backed by the public every game they've been lined the dog. Last week, to me, Dallas looked like they were the obvious choice in fading the public dog - and that didn't work out well at all. If this was NCAA football I'd agree with you, but I don't think that matters at all. Hell, go look at the $ discrepancy between those two sides at SBR: 77% of the 1.2MM is Falcons money. I'm not afraid of the line.

 
Aaron Rodgers 9-6 SU and 10-4-1 ATS in playoff games. The six SU losses were by margins of 3,6,6,6,14,17. It's 6½ or nothing for me.

 
5D, Hilton, MGM, Stations aren't giving the 6 to the Packers yet. I don;t know what that's worth. But the Pack have been backed by the public every game they've been lined the dog. Last week, to me, Dallas looked like they were the obvious choice in fading the public dog - and that didn't work out well at all. If this was NCAA football I'd agree with you, but I don't think that matters at all. Hell, go look at the $ discrepancy between those two sides at SBR: 77% of the 1.2MM is Falcons money. I'm not afraid of the line.
I'm holding a GB +4 ticket

:mellow:

i suck at betting lines early

 
In those 15 Rodgers playoff games:
Halftime margin ≥ -1: 8-2 SU and 10-0 ATS (avg halftime margin 10±5)
Halftime margin < -1: 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS (avg halftime margin -7±5)

Action junkie wants to wager 1Q, 1H, everything. That 1H +3½ jumping out at me, but might as well go full-game. I don't know. But this season Pack/Rodgers 12-6 SU and 10-8 ATS:
Halftime margin > 0: 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS
Halftime margin ≤ 0: 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS

 
Thoughts on Atletico Madrid over Bilbao?
This one is a bit tricky for me.

AM hasn't been stellar this season and have struggled away from home.

Bil only home loss is 1-0 barca.

I don't think am has lost at Bilbao. 

With that said I think AM goes on a run and lean AM with a slight worry of the draw.

I'm also on Real Betis -140

 
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Opposing playoff teams 9-23 SU and 16-15-1 ATS versus Belichick/Pats:
Turnovers ≤ 1: 8-8 SU and 11-4-1 ATS
Turnovers > 1: 1-15 SU and 5-11 ATS

 
Belichick/Pats 4-4 SU and 1-6-1 ATS (avg line -4.2) in the playoffs coming off a game in which they turned the ball over more than once (1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS L5 since 2006). The four SU wins in that situation were by margins of 3,3,3,17. That's so sick; a ***** in the armor! link

Might have to roll w/you on that Steelers ML. You know what looks even better is Steelers +3 +158. Today is going to be so good. I'm way to excited. Good thing I'm meeting booty call chick at 11; gotta roll out to the gym right now too.

 
I'm going to take the Pack +6½ and then whatever number they offer on the Steelers/Pats under tonight. Not sure when to buy the 6½ yet, but on the other one I figure they'll give an extra ½ point or so on that total right before kickoff. Those are my two wagers.
keep in mind key numbers are worth less with higher totals due to changes in scoring distributions.  at a total of 60 I'd be less willing to pay for 3, 6, 7, etc

 
americasbookie hanging 7 and 51 on the NE/PIT game

I parlayed Pit +7 and u51
+7 EV in fact.

the good thing is, in 20 years when there are documentaries on the Patriots of the 2000s and 2010s being the best team ever, I won't have to look back and remember all the money I lost betting against them because I won't be able to afford a TV.

 
Tailing.

Hopefully they don't dork around the first half and take a dumb red card in second half like the stupid gunners.
I should have posted

Thought burnley would hang tough.

Had a little on Burnley TT o1/2 and burnley +1.5 and +2

 
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I should have posted

Thought burnley would hang tough.

Had a little on Burnley TT o1/2 and burnley +1.5 and +2
Nice. Once Arsenal scored, I was hoping the flood gates would open but that red card squashed that.

Wild finish. Once a ref lets so much go, it's surprising when he starts giving penalties. 

 
No football for two weeks after today so making sure we get everything!


Player Name


Team


o/u


Quantity


Type


Line


Book


 


Davante Adams


GBY


under


76.5


receiving


-115


BOL


 


Davente Adams


GBY


under


6


receptions


-110


bookmaker


 


Jared Cook


GBY


over


4.5


receptions


-135


bookmaker


 


Randall Cobb


GBY


over


5


receptions


-115


BOL


 


Aaron Rodgers


GBY


over


39.5


passing attempts


-140


bookmaker


 


Aaron Ripkowski


GBY


over


0.5


receptions


-115


Bovada


 


Ty Montgomery


GBY


over


3.5


receptions


-135


Bovada


 


Geronimo Allison


GBY


under


37.5


receiving


-115


BOL


 


Geronimo Allison


GBY


under


2.5


receptions


115


BOL


 


Jordy Nelson


GBY


under


4.5


receptions


-130


sb.ag


 


Jordy Nelson


GBY


under


55.5


receiving


-129


sb.ag


 


Mohamed Sanu


GBY


vs


-9.5


Geronimo Allison


-110


BOL


 


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


67.5


rushing


-115


BOL


good to 61


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


4


receptions


-110


bookmaker


 


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


4.5


1st rush


-125


BOL


 


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


18.5


longest rush


-115


sb.ag


 


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


99.5


rush.rec


-105


5d


 


Julio Jones


ATL


under


98.5


receiving


-115


sb.ag


 


Justin Hardy


ATL


under


2.5


receptions


-130


bookmaker


 


Tevin Coleman


ATL


under


45.5


rushing


-125


BOL


good to 42.5


Tevin Coleman


ATL


under


73.5


rush.rec


-115


sb.ag


 


Mohamed Sanu


ATL


under


21.5


longest receptions


-115


sb.ag


 


Mohamed Sanu


ATL


under


4.5


receptions


-130


sb.ag


 


Mohamed Sanu


ATL


under


50.5


receiving


-115


sb.ag


 


Matt Ryan


ATL


under


38


passing attempts


-120


bookmaker


 

 
Pittsburgh has the flu bug and had to do a fire drill in the middle of the night. Ben still firmly believes yes means yes and no means anal. 

Pats -6. 

 
No football for two weeks after today so making sure we get everything!


Player Name


Team


o/u


Quantity


Type


Line


Book


 


Davante Adams


GBY


under


76.5


receiving


-115


BOL


 


Davente Adams


GBY


under


6


receptions


-110


bookmaker


 


Jared Cook


GBY


over


4.5


receptions


-135


bookmaker


 


Randall Cobb


GBY


over


5


receptions


-115


BOL


 


Aaron Rodgers


GBY


over


39.5


passing attempts


-140


bookmaker


 


Aaron Ripkowski


GBY


over


0.5


receptions


-115


Bovada


 


Ty Montgomery


GBY


over


3.5


receptions


-135


Bovada


 


Geronimo Allison


GBY


under


37.5


receiving


-115


BOL


 


Geronimo Allison


GBY


under


2.5


receptions


115


BOL


 


Jordy Nelson


GBY


under


4.5


receptions


-130


sb.ag


 


Jordy Nelson


GBY


under


55.5


receiving


-129


sb.ag


 


Mohamed Sanu


GBY


vs


-9.5


Geronimo Allison


-110


BOL


 


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


67.5


rushing


-115


BOL


good to 61


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


4


receptions


-110


bookmaker


 


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


4.5


1st rush


-125


BOL


 


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


18.5


longest rush


-115


sb.ag


 


Devonta Freeman


ATL


under


99.5


rush.rec


-105


5d


 


Julio Jones


ATL


under


98.5


receiving


-115


sb.ag


 


Justin Hardy


ATL


under


2.5


receptions


-130


bookmaker


 


Tevin Coleman


ATL


under


45.5


rushing


-125


BOL


good to 42.5


Tevin Coleman


ATL


under


73.5


rush.rec


-115


sb.ag


 


Mohamed Sanu


ATL


under


21.5


longest receptions


-115


sb.ag


 


Mohamed Sanu


ATL


under


4.5


receptions


-130


sb.ag


 


Mohamed Sanu


ATL


under


50.5


receiving


-115


sb.ag


 


Matt Ryan


ATL


under


38


passing attempts


-120


bookmaker


 
Check out RB, there's almost nothing even close to most of these! 

 
Isles  (-120)  2 units

I also like the Flyers U2.5 goals here, which you can get at EVEN money. I think I'm going to lay off of it because I was
more aggressive than normal on a side, which I typically don't do in hockey, but if you wanted another play, that one fits
the bill. I also like the Islanders on the PL at +230 if you want to be more aggressive.

 
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Isles  (-120)  2 units

I also like the Flyers U2.5 goals here, which you can get at EVEN money. I think I'm going to lay off of it because I was
more aggressive than normal on a side, which I typically don't do in hockey, but if you wanted another play, that one fits
the bill. I also like the Islanders on the PL at +230 if you want to be more aggressive.
Didn't get to gamble on Warriors 2H because of a damn customer!

 

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