*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (4 Viewers)

[swirvenirvin]

wahoo i made a bunch of money!

 

[The Ref]

Over 58

 

[lumpy19]

Graded: No Action 

damnit

 

[The Ref]

wahoo i made a bunch of money!

If Blount didn't turn a 11 yard run into a 18 yard run I'd be a millionaire 

 

[swirvenirvin]

If Blount didn't turn a 11 yard run into a 18 yard run I'd be a millionaire 

what was that bet

 

[TheGooRoo]

what was that bet

Blount longest run u 17.5 

 

[The Ref]

Blount longest run u 17.5 

Yup.  It was my favorite bet of the night too.   

We move on.

 

[The Ref]

Life long Pats Homer.

Im not 100% sure the right team is favored here.

 

[mquinnjr]

Life long Pats Homer.

Im not 100% sure the right team is favored here.

the Falcons teased to over a possession, even moreso after the Pats SB history Swirve posted.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Life long Pats Homer.

Im not 100% sure the right team is favored here.

Bet #1 in the books! 

 

[Frostillicus]

All over Atlanta.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Team Fluff +8 (Puppy Bowl) - 5d

 

[Peyton Marino]

which way is the line going to move?

 

[Dan Lambskin]

which way is the line going to move?

No idea but I hope some Atlanta money comes in.  I'm gonna guess it stays on NE -3 though 

 

[lumpy19]

which way is the line going to move?

Who cares, need to save every cent for props.

 

[Peyton Marino]

Who cares, need to save every cent for props.

full bankroll in play on props then take out a loan to bet on the side.

 

[lumpy19]

full bankroll in play on props then take out a loan to bet on the side.

Full bankroll in play on props and take out loan to play more props

 

[jamil]

Full bankroll in play on props and take out loan to play more props

what gatorade color is the play

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

So, apparently they filmed the Puppy Bowl in October. Wish someone had connections that could let us know the score in that game.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

So, apparently they filmed the Puppy Bowl in October. Wish someone had connections that could let us know the score in that game.

@Walking Boot

 

[Dan Lambskin]

So transferred some Bitcoin from blockchain to coinbase at 7:30 this morning.   Still pending 

Hopefully it doesn't take dive before I can transfer to my bank 

 

[[icon]]

which way is the line going to move?

Current lines at SB indicate money coming in on NE:
NE -3 -115
ATL +3 -105
 

 

[Leroy Hoard]

No idea but I hope some Atlanta money comes in.  I'm gonna guess it stays on NE -3 though 

I thought the line on such a "public" team would be a little bigger than 3. But I also thought Bama's would be a little bigger than 6.

 

[swirvenirvin]

So transferred some Bitcoin from blockchain to coinbase at 7:30 this morning.   Still pending 

Hopefully it doesn't take dive before I can transfer to my bank 

it's a lot easier than any other way for withdrawing but 1.5% fomr coinbase sucks and so does the timing of everything

 

[Dan Lambskin]

it's a lot easier than any other way for withdrawing but 1.5% fomr coinbase sucks and so does the timing of everything

Yeah usually a small delay like 30 min but this seems excessive.   Guess it happens occasionally and either gets processed or canceled 

 

[swirvenirvin]

Interesting that the Pats won and took the ball yesterday

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Interesting that the Pats won and took the ball yesterday

Pats seem to be all about breaking tendencies. Which is why every game they seem to feature a different offensive player to go off?

 

[tjnc09]

Current lines at SB indicate money coming in on NE:
NE -3 -115
ATL +3 -105
 

Sportsbook is a square book. That doesn't mean anything.

 

[ChainsawU]

Better go check Bovada next.

 

[[icon]]

Sportsbook is a square book. That doesn't mean anything.

It means something to me since that's primarily where I make my plays. I am hoping to get ATL +3.5 if they get enough action to move the line, so I'm happy to see the -105. 

 

[tjnc09]

which way is the line going to move?

My guess is if you like New England take the -3 now.  If you like Atlanta, wait and should be able to get the hook.

 

[ChainsawU]

Holy crap Bovada has the Pats at -3 -125!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

 

[ChainsawU]

Since 2002 opposing teams getting a field goal or more are 4-0 ATS versus the Pats. Here are all the Super Bowls since then, broken down from underdog point of view: link

 

[[icon]]

Holy crap Bovada has the Pats at -3 -125!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

Not sure I get the book snobbery, but okay. From what I understand the majority of folks here have accounts with Bovada and Sportsbook for props. Are you saying if you liked Atlanta and could get them +3.5 from either of these books, you'd turn your nose up at the action because its not with 5 dimes? 

Such an odd mindset, but if it works for ya. 

 

[tjnc09]

It means something to me since that's primarily where I make my plays. I am hoping to get ATL +3.5 if they get enough action to move the line, so I'm happy to see the -105. 

I'm just saying Sportsbook is one of the last places I would consider to gauge where "money is coming in"

 

[ChainsawU]

Also just wanted to mention that NFL games land on a margin of 9 less than two percent of the time and it's the weakest number to have on an NFL underdog out of all the possible numbers you can be holding.

 

[[icon]]

I'm just saying Sportsbook is one of the last places I would consider to gauge where "money is coming in"

Fair enough, carry on. 

 

[swirvenirvin]

Pats seem to be all about breaking tendencies. Which is why every game they seem to feature a different offensive player to go off?

In the last 2 seasons the Patriots have won the opening coin toss 20 times. They've elected to receive just twice (2015 AFCCG, 2016 AFCCG).

 

[Peyton Marino]

I saw speculation that they chose to receive first because they expected the weather to be bad at start of 2H

 

[Peyton Marino]

My guess is if you like New England take the -3 now.  If you like Atlanta, wait and should be able to get the hook.

that would be my guess as well, but with the way Atlanta disposed of GB and SEA so easily, might could see the public backing them.  square money so far is certainly on NE, but it's way early.

 

[swirvenirvin]

I saw speculation that they chose to receive first because they expected the weather to be bad at start of 2H

Makes sense.  Pats are also 13-1 when they score first this yr.  Could see them maybe not wanting to kickoff to that offense to start things off.

 

[ChainsawU]

Fair enough, carry on.

That's what I was trying to say too. But I was kind of ribbing you a little bit too, I'll admit.

 

[swirvenirvin]

So the QB Brady and Ryan MVP bets seem like better value than either team ML especially with high o/u

 

[Dan Lambskin]

So the QB Brady and Ryan MVP bets seem like better value than either team ML especially with high o/u

What's Hogan at?

 

[Tiger Fan]

In the last 2 seasons the Patriots have won the opening coin toss 20 times. They've elected to receive just twice (2015 AFCCG, 2016 AFCCG).

first score Falcons?

 

[swirvenirvin]

What's Hogan at?

not as good as it would have been without his 180 yard game.. Brady still would have gotten it yesterday tho.  It's Brady

 

[tjnc09]

that would be my guess as well, but with the way Atlanta disposed of GB and SEA so easily, might could see the public backing them.  square money so far is certainly on NE, but it's way early.

Yeah, I think square money typically bets the "elite" offense early and doesn't properly value an elite defense for the SB.  Denver (off) vs Seattle (def), New England (off) vs Seattle (def) and Carolina (off) vs Denver (def) the early square money was very lopsided for the last three years.  

Definitely agree with your statements as both teams looked impressive.

 

[The Ref]

Just in case you guys need some help

Get my GUARANTEED #OwnersSelection today for just $99 by calling 877-220-6540. This play cashes or the rest of January is on the house!

 

[The Ref]

So Gatorade..... pats are purple/clear and Atlanta is green?

 

[John Bender]

In Boca this week Ref