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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (11 Viewers)

tjnc09 said:
Do you think you are special because you post losing plays?  The only reason I don't have you on ignore is because you post easy stuff to fade.  I've already told you all of this.
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Dude, I don't care about anything you do or say if you're not gonna post any plays.

You don't just go places and say you're the biggest, smartest guy around and never offer any substance. What you're doing is the definition of bull####.

You're bull####, I don't deal with bull####, I deal with winners, capeche?

 
The Busy The Tired said:
Dude, I don't care about anything you do or say if you're not gonna post any plays.

You don't just go places and say you're the biggest, smartest guy around and never offer any substance. What you're doing is the definition of bull####.

You're bull####, I don't deal with bull####, I deal with winners, capeche?
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I've not seen HIM do that. I've seen YOU do that. And now you just #### the bed. You also didn't respond to my challenge. Probably good thing. You'd have a pretty big hole to dig out of after your start today Em.

 
The Busy The Tired said:
Dude, I don't care about anything you do or say if you're not gonna post any plays.

You don't just go places and say you're the biggest, smartest guy around and never offer any substance. What you're doing is the definition of bull####.

You're bull####, I don't deal with bull####, I deal with winners, capeche?
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You do care what I have to say.  The whole reason this conversation started was because YOU sent me a notification.  I tried giving you some advice before.  You are still dumb enough to think you are going to beat the NBA betting the Cavaliers and Warriors every night.

Posting plays is -EV on small markets.  The reason I don't post a lot is because college basketball totals is not a large market.  There are winning guys at Bettingtalk who post similar free plays to mine and the market moves four points.  My CBB model for totals beats closing lines 70% of the time over 10,000+ plays.  That is not something I can willingly hand out free plays for because all the value I have spent years finding will get sucked right out of the market.  RAS and Dr. H - two long time winners - can't even beat CBB anymore.  

This is why we are different.  I compare my stuff to successful people in the industry, take into account markets and CLV, who is betting what, actually use math to beat lines, etc over a massive sample size.  You spend five minutes playing Cleveland and a Golden State as often as they play.  

Nobody here cares about seeing a picture of $1,000.  Stop trying to impress people in this thread when people who have been here years know you don't have a clue.  

 
tjnc09 said:
You do care what I have to say.  The whole reason this conversation started was because YOU sent me a notification.  I tried giving you some advice before.  You are still dumb enough to think you are going to beat the NBA betting the Cavaliers and Warriors every night.

Posting plays is -EV on small markets.  The reason I don't post a lot is because college basketball totals is not a large market.  There are winning guys at Bettingtalk who post similar free plays to mine and the market moves four points.  My CBB model for totals beats closing lines 70% of the time over 10,000+ plays.  That is not something I can willingly hand out free plays for because all the value I have spent years finding will get sucked right out of the market.  RAS and Dr. H - two long time winners - can't even beat CBB anymore.  

This is why we are different.  I compare my stuff to successful people in the industry, take into account markets and CLV, who is betting what, actually use math to beat lines, etc over a massive sample size.  You spend five minutes playing Cleveland and a Golden State as often as they play.  

Nobody here cares about seeing a picture of $1,000.  Stop trying to impress people in this thread when people who have been here years know you don't have a clue.  
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At least you gave me a response that wasn't overtly an insult, I'll consider that progress.

 
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The Busy The Tired said:
At least you have me a response that wasn't overtly an insult, I'll consider that progress.
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I remember when Chainsaw started posting here.  He wanted to learn and learn and learn some more.  I'm not surprised at all by his success here and in his real life.

You have none of that.  Nothing remotely close. You want to pretend like you know everything and don't want advice from anyone.  That should be the first thing you worry about - not some hand selected W/L records.

 
tjnc09 said:
I remember when Chainsaw started posting here.  He wanted to learn and learn and learn some more.  I'm not surprised at all by his success here and in his real life.

You have none of that.  Nothing remotely close. You want to pretend like you know everything and don't want advice from anyone.  That should be the first thing you worry about - not some hand selected W/L records.
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Dude, get off it. I don't like you, okay? I don't want your approval and you've shown nothing for you to earn my respect.

I take advice from people I respect, I have seen the results of others but none from you. Why should I care what you think? I don't.

 
The Busy The Tired said:
Dude, get off it. I don't like you, okay? I don't want your approval and you've shown nothing for you to earn my respect.

I take advice from people I respect, I have seen the results of others but none from you. Why should I care what you think? I don't.
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Dude, you effing beg for everyone's approval. You don't get it because A)You're a tool and B)If it was so simple as to go out and bet a bunch of favorites FQ/FH there would be no Vegas as we know it. You haven't discovered ANYTHING Christopher Columbus. Except how to be an #######. You've got that figured out. Em, answer me. Are you willing to post all of your plays with dollar amounts bet? If not, GTFO

 
tjnc09 said:
I remember when Chainsaw started posting here.  He wanted to learn and learn and learn some more.  I'm not surprised at all by his success here and in his real life.
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Dude, thank you - sincerely. Thanks. That is one of the nicest things anyone has said to me here. Things are going really well at the moment, too. I hope everything is good out in Cali. Cheers dude.

:thanks:

 
The Busy The Tired said:
Dude, get off it. I don't like you, okay? I don't want your approval and you've shown nothing for you to earn my respect.

I take advice from people I respect, I have seen the results of others but none from you. Why should I care what you think? I don't.
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lol.  Once again, YOU sent me the notification asking for MY opinion.  

 
Do you guys think that there might be more value in fading "overbet" teams in the conference tourneys and especially the big tourney?  I'm wondering if it's like NFL playoffs or college bowls, more rubes bet so fading the public means more.  It was very profitable especially this bowl season.

 
I think I'm cursed at Betonline.  Last night, 3-0 on Bovada props, 0-4 on Betonline.  Tonight I'm 0-3 on sides/totals over there.  Cursed!

 
The Busy The Tired said:
Dude, I don't care about anything you do or say if you're not gonna post any plays.

You don't just go places and say you're the biggest, smartest guy around and never offer any substance. What you're doing is the definition of bull####.

You're bull####, I don't deal with bull####, I deal with winners, capeche?
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I told you this before - he's already proven himself long before you found this forum.

 
facook said:
Do you guys think that there might be more value in fading "overbet" teams in the conference tourneys and especially the big tourney?  I'm wondering if it's like NFL playoffs or college bowls, more rubes bet so fading the public means more.  It was very profitable especially this bowl season.
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yeah,.. this is  system i just threw together and was the zaga fade today 26-10 last 2 yrs



  • Record26-10, 72.2%

  •  

  • Margin 2.96

  •  

  • Money Won +$1,466

  •  

  • ROI40.7%

  •  

  • GradeB


Copy Rename Delete
 

Hide Duplicates:      Fade System:  






Theory:



Add the theory behind your system.    (Edit)

 


Filter


Details


 


 Edit


Season Type


the game is played during the Postseason season


http://account.betlabssports.com/index.aspx?ScreenId=276603#


 Edit


Spread Dollars %


the percentage of money bet on the spread is between 0% and 20%


http://account.betlabssports.com/index.aspx?ScreenId=276603#


 Edit


Spread %


the spread % is between 13% and 25%


http://account.betlabssports.com/index.aspx?ScreenId=276603#


 Edit


Favorite / Dog


the team is the Dog


http://account.betlabssports.com/index.aspx?ScreenId=276603#


 Edit


Spread Range


the spread is between 4 and 27.5




 
swirvenirvin said:
I didnt ask any questions I just came in and starting posting ####, and got a "There he is" <_<
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i wonder who the OGs are here anymore. I know the reason i joined with footballguys and this site was because a buddy of mine who has been around longer mentioned there was a wagering thread (i still remember those nights of GooRoo posting player props and all of us scrambling to put them in, all before player props were a "thing"  :wub: )

 
Wow is Miami Ohio stupid.. Amazing.  I mean they are going to cover but down 4 with 30 seconds and they just like Western dribble for 22 seconds

and the western dood mised both of the FT's 

 
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I came here and acted like a ##### bag (although, in comparison to u know who, not douchey at all). I thought I had found some
stupid CBB system by simply following ESPN's picks over a certain percentage or something. Somebody called me out on it. Then
I started posting everything reverse line movement and sucked. I left for a while, I came back, mostly kept my mouth shut, tried to
learn, asked for help when needed and now at least have a half baked idea of what I'm doing some times. I realized that you'll get
recognition if and when you deserve it. Some times. In the end, I didn't care because I was finally starting to make money and not
paying my bookies every other week. Nobody ever gave me a there he is. Most probably wanted me gone when I came back, lol.
I think Dr. D (who I follow on Twitter) or RN (I think I also follow) couldn't stand me. I don't blame them. Now they are pretty much
gone from what I see.

 
Dan Lambskin said:
Do you guys think Joe Lunardi lives in his mom's basement? 
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I have a life long axe to grind with Lunardi. I went to St. Joe's when there was a number of kidnapping robberies in the neighborhood near the school. Lunardi, in addition to Bracketology, is the PR rep for the school. This is story of a good friend of mine who I rowed with for two year's story about what happened to him, excellent read when you have some time. He's a writer in Dallas, and wrote this piece for Philly Mag. http://www.phillymag.com/articles/kidnapping-pearson-west-philadelphia/

After reading the above, process this: Joe $)#@'s response to this on behalf of the school was that the students who are able should try to defend themselves better. Makes me angry every time I see his smug mug on ESPN. It kills me to not be able to dig up a link on that as it's come up a number of times talking to friends and family about this, but I'll never forget that he said it.

 
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