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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (12 Viewers)

I'm mentally checking out of work tonight, starting to drink and expecting to not go in tomorrow.  There better be over a foot on the ground when I wake up tomorrow!

 
I took under 202.5 max bet on sportsplays.com ($5.5 to win $5).  Current balance $75.75

I suppose adding what the #### game I was talking about could help.  Spurs/Hawks.

 
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Oppo teams 36-28-2 ATS versus Utah:
First meeting: 10-18-1 ATS
Second meeting: 14-9 ATS
≥ Third meeting: 12-1-1 ATS

I'm going to see about backing the Clippers in their third meeting with the Jazz tonight. Going to see if I can wait and get the +2.

 
got_nugs said:
I took under 202.5 max bet on sportsplays.com ($5.5 to win $5).  Current balance $75.75

I suppose adding what the #### game I was talking about could help.  Spurs/Hawks.
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oh cool, Hawks fouled while being down 8 with less than 24 seconds left.  I never get the game endings right.  Well that's $5 i'll never get back.

 
@JaxBill

I have 6 to win 2 on Sevilla to advance today. That late LC goal in Spain and LCs improved play has me a tad worried.

Looks like I can buy out and put 2 to win 560 on LC to advance and take the 40 hit.

Any thoughts on chances of LC advancing? Surprised to see that the odds on Sevilla to advance actually went up from when I initially placed my bets before the 1st leg.

 
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comfortably numb said:
@JaxBill

I have 6 to win 2 on Sevilla to advance today. That late LC goal in Spain and LCs improved play has me a tad worried.

Looks like I can buy out and put 2 to win 560 on LC to advance and take the 40 hit.

Any thoughts on chances of LC advancing? Surprised to see that the odds on Sevilla to advance actually went up from when I initially placed my bets before the 1st leg.
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Alright, I'm a wuss. I bought out and will take a $50 hit. 

3 straight months of getting an envelope and not ready to take the chance of a hit that will deplete my current winnings and put me near sending package status and ruin my March madness betting.

 
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S&BJ Day

Under the rule of Claudius the Cruel, Rome was involved in many unpopular and bloody campaigns. Claudius believed that Roman men were unwilling to join the army because of their strong attachment to their wives and families. To get rid of the problem, Claudius banned all marriages and engagements in Rome. Valentine, realizing the injustice of the decree, defied Claudius and continued to perform marriages for young lovers in secret. When Valentine’s actions were discovered, Claudius ordered that he be put to death. Valentine was arrested and condemned to be beaten to death with clubs and to have his head cut off. The sentence was carried out on February 14th in the year 270. Gradually, February 14th became a date for exchanging love messages, poems and simple gifts such as flowers - a debilitating practice that most men detested.

However, on March 14th in the year 271, men finally gained equal rights while women lost many of theirs. They called it Steak and BJ Day. Until S&BJ Day became an official Roman holiday, the family had been a biological unit - but the importance of a different type of unit soon emerged. Wives became legally obliged to the practices of S&BJ Day, and women who did not follow the new traditional functions faced harsh legal consequences. Women were now the legal wards of their husbands and had no rights of their own; the most damning of which being that they could no longer receive birthday cards from their mothers. A woman during this time did not even have custody over her own set of gigantic boobs, as they also now became the legal property of her mating partner. Additionally, if a woman committed adultery she would either be banished or executed, whereas men had numerous legal sexual outlets (so to speak) in which to commit their sick, adulterous purges. What we all learned after the emergence of S&BJ Day on March 14th, was that men were now able to bask within the patriarchal constructs of their newfound society, while most women could not even leave the house without permission from a gynecologist.
 
Tomorrow will be the Blazers' 4th game in five days. I'm gonna give these two unders a shot.

Blazers u106 -110
Blazers/Pels u216 -107

 
this guy is usually pretty decent with his soccer plays

England championship league, league 1, league 2, conference 12:45pm Fulham vs Blackburn Over 2.5-125Rochdale FC vs S####horpe UnitedOver 2&2.5 -115Bolton vs Gillingham Over 2.5 +110 Torquay vs Tranmere Over 2&2.5 +101Fleetwood Town vs Walsall FCBTTS yes Walsall win +150 Draw +205 half unit on over 2&2.5 -120 Brentford vs Wolverhampton Brentford win +130Bristol Rovers vs Bury FCOver 2&2.5 -110Grimsby Town vs Portsmouth FCPortsmouth -.5&1 -120Dover Athletic vs Boreham WoodDover win +145Draw +215 Luton Town vs Carlisle UnitedBtts (yes) Champions league 12:30/12:45Leicester city vs Sevilla Btts yes 2 units Over 2.5 2 units Half unit Leicester win +185Juventus vs FC Porto Juventus win -143 3.8units Champions league record (23-25)?+37units YTD 346-159-22???+78units 

 
If you want to say n:date-pp:date=4, you can get that situation: "date of next game is 4 days' difference than the date two games ago" :nerd:

 
I had the Raps' team total over 100½ last night and they scored 100! Should have just done them ATS but that would have been laying points which I dislike hate. :bag:

 
Everyone is filling out brackets and waiting for the first round of the NCAA tournament to start on Thursday, but there are betting opportunities in the First Four games (aka the play-in games to get the field of 68 down to bracket-friendly 64).

Here's a look at Tuesday night's games (both televised on TRU TV) in Dayton, Ohio, with No. 16 seeds Mount St. Mary's and New Orleans squaring off for the right to face East No. 1 and defending champion Villanova on Thursday; and a No. 11-seed game between Wake Forest and Kansas State, two of the last four at-large teams to make the NCAA field, vying for the right to take on No. 6 Cincinnati.

Best bets are marked with an asterisk(*). Lines are from the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Tuesday morning.




No. 16 Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. No. 16 New Orleans Privateers (-1.5)


When: 6:40 p.m. ET - Dayton, Ohio
Over/under: 131.5


EDITOR'S PICKS




Andrew Lange: These are two teams bettors don't know much about as Mount St. Mary's and New Orleans reside in small conferences. Mount St. Mary's opened the year 1-11, thanks to a daunting nonconference slate, but it won the Northeast Conference regular season and tournament. New Orleans is a great story, having nearly dissolved the program due to the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. In five years, head coach Mark Slessinger took the Privateers from a low 300-rated Independent to Southland champs.

When I see these competitively lined First Four matchups featuring low mid-major teams, I tend to rely on basic handicapping principles. Which team is poised to win the rebounding and turnover battles is very important in the postseason. Mount St. Mary's isn't a very big team, and it finished ninth out of 10 teams in rebounding margin (-4.5) in conference play. New Orleans, meanwhile, showed far more ability on the glass, with a +4.8 margin. The Privateers do two things very well: hit the offensive glass and get to the free throw line. Both leagues are similarly power rated, and yet New Orleans recorded 220 offensive rebounds and shot 448 free throws. Mount St. Mary's has only 146 offensive rebounds and went to the line 339 times.

The Mountaineers appear to have an edge with their guards, with a league-best +2.44 turnover margin. The Privateers struggled to hang on to the basketball, with a league-worst 16.6 turnovers per game, but they offset it by forcing 17.1.

The Northeast Conference hasn't fared well in its First Four matchups, with a 1-3 SU/ATS record. The Southland has a stronger pedigree, albeit from one program, Stephen F. Austin, which had memorable upsets over West Virginia last season and VCU in 2014. Without being able to see either team play, it's hard to really know what you're walking into. Small lean toward the more athletic and experienced New Orleans side at the current price, though I wouldn't lay more than a bucket.

The pick: Lean to New Orleans -1.5




No. 11 Kansas State Wildcats (PK) vs. No. 11 Wake Forest Demon Deacons


When: 9:10 p.m. ET - Dayton, Ohio
Over/under: 152.5


CBB PickCenter


http://insider.espn.com/insider/pickcenter/indexWondering which side to take? Check out PickCenter and do your research before making that critical decision. PickCenter

Dave Tuley's take: This game is a pick-em, and it's easy to see why. Both teams are seeded No. 11 as two of the last four teams in the field, and both were both on the bubble the past two weeks. The South Point sportsbook, which released its power ratings in advance of posting the NCAA openers on Sunday night, also had these teams rated the same. In addition, their records are nearly identical (Kansas State is 20-13, Wake Forest is 19-13), with Wake Forest more of an over team and Kansas State more of an under team. Their ATS records are also similar, with K-State at 15-12-2 (55.6 percent) and Wake at 16-14 (53.3 percent). Likewise, both teams also won their regular-season finales on March 4 while on the bubble, and then won two conference tourney games before getting ousted.

Now, unlike the earlier matchup, we've had a lot of chances to see both teams plays in recent weeks, and I give the "eye test" to Wake Forest, which goes against a personal bias, as I had Kansas State against Baylor in its 70-64 win as a 4.5-point underdog on Thursday that pretty much locked up the Wildcats' NCAA tournament bid. However, Kansas State is a tough team to watch, as it relies on defense, doesn't have a go-to scoring stud and often loses the rebounding battle. Meanwhile, Wake Forest has John Collins (19.1 points per game) doing an impression of his head coach, Danny Manning, in carrying the team on his back. Collins, however, is supported by several other 3-point shooters, and the Demon Deacons also are solid at the free throw line. Defense is where Wake Forest has issues -- and why it is unlikely to make a deep run -- but I don't see that being a problem against Kansas State.

The pick: Wake Forest pick 'em* (lean to under 152.5)

 
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Tiger Fan said:
IIRC, Those are volume of public bets, not $ amount, right?
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correct, the number of bets.  SI Premium has actual dollars.  swirven and I are trying to figure that out as we speak.

 
All aboard the Zaga fade train, playing these props with a local for 1U:

Nova more tournament wins +100

Kansas mor tournament wins -105

UNC more tournament wins -150

 
So far so good. Just saw a fat girl climb a pole and I negotiated a $25 table down to  $10. But I think my skinny waitress is already throwed, like, a lot throwed like she may lose a shoe.

 
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