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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (10 Viewers)

ROCKET said:
I gave my son the option to hedge and he was offered to split one of the pools (would have guaranteed him $120 as opposed to $240 if UNC wins) and he decided to go all in on UNC. So he's at $900 with UNC or $15 with Gonzaga. This is the most anticipated college bb game for him of his life. FWIW he's very confident that UNC will pull it off.
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Since 2004 (entire database) CC has allowed 49R in 70.2 IP in his first start of the season (37R in 44.1 IP as a Yankee). The games went 11-2 O/U (10-0 O/U when the Yankees scored > 2 runs). link

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Kershaw u8.5, Felix u5.5, Darvish (sorry Swirv) u6.5, Estrada u5.5.

Typically I feel solid right out of the gate (I was 0-1 on Sun), usually in hoops it takes me until around Jan. to start making some headway. 
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feel baseball can pounce on early and by around mid-july they get pretty sharp on their lines

 
I lasted 1 whole day of pitcher props before being cut to $100 at mybookie.  Only made 2 bets over $100 rest were under.. They were basically just waiting

 
swirvenirvin said:
I lasted 1 whole day of pitcher props before being cut to $100 at mybookie.  Only made 2 bets over $100 rest were under.. They were basically just waiting
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Yeah happened to me last week.  Seems like they let you get up 3-5K then they mark your account as out of compliance with the 50/50 rule.   Then they give you 1-2 more K and then they cut you to $100.

cant imagine a full cut is far behind.

 
My son was pretty stoked after UNC won. I was very happy for him, told him to enjoy it as it's not easy to win these pools and to go 2-2 is pretty damn good. Thanks to all for the feedback.

Go Jordan Spieth @ 7-1 this weekend. Any Masters plays out there?

 
ROCKET said:
My son was pretty stoked after UNC won. I was very happy for him, told him to enjoy it as it's not easy to win these pools and to go 2-2 is pretty damn good. Thanks to all for the feedback.

Go Jordan Spieth @ 7-1 this weekend. Any Masters plays out there?
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Looks like we have roped another in here

 
Not to go all Alan Boston here but....

I love March Madness but this is the first year where I honestly thought there might be a chance  the  thing was rigged. Too many games where refs played key roles.

The change in tone between halves last night is a huge red flag IMO.

 
swirvenirvin said:
I lasted 1 whole day of pitcher props before being cut to $100 at mybookie.  Only made 2 bets over $100 rest were under.. They were basically just waiting
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Be careful....they called me and said to make sure it was crystal clear that i had to wager the same amount on regular lines/totals as I did on props from here on out.

ETA: What Regularguy and Ref said

 
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Tiger Fan said:
Be careful....they called me and said to make sure it was crystal clear that i had to wager the same amount on regular lines/totals as I did on props from here on out.

ETA: What Regularguy and Ref said
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In all honesty it's really not all that bad a deal compared to other sites.  Build up $1000 and take a big swing at a side and hope to double up.

better than being cut to zero allthough someone else said that eventually they will do just that.

 
The Ref said:
In all honesty it's really not all that bad a deal compared to other sites.  Build up $1000 and take a big swing at a side and hope to double up.

better than being cut to zero allthough someone else said that eventually they will do just that.
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yeah, but you have to make sure you track everything well too.  They only have up to the last 4 weeks searchable

 
lumpy19 said:
A few props for the national championship game

Berry u3.5 FTM -115

Justin Jackson u21p -150

Berry u14.5p -125

Meeks u11.5r -140

UGH all unders, AWFUL
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Berry free throws was brutal, last point of the game :clyde: took 8 attempts to get that 4th make.

 
The Ref said:
In all honesty it's really not all that bad a deal compared to other sites.  Build up $1000 and take a big swing at a side and hope to double up.

better than being cut to zero allthough someone else said that eventually they will do just that.
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They have a pretty nice live interface, at least for football they did.  I don't think those count towards sides/totals but doesn't hurt to ask.  I believe they pull from the same source as 5d.  During football they had a massive menu of live betting options with what I thought were some soft lines.

 
Tiger Fan said:
Be careful....they called me and said to make sure it was crystal clear that i had to wager the same amount on regular lines/totals as I did on props from here on out.

ETA: What Regularguy and Ref said
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I got that notification about 2 weeks in..  said not cutting you but need to play sides more.. So I did, and I am way ahead on sides than props right now and withdrew recently  but they still said #### you

 
swirvenirvin said:
I got that notification about 2 weeks in..  said not cutting you but need to play sides more.. So I did, and I am way ahead on sides than props right now and withdrew recently  but they still said #### you
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Yeah, when I talked to them...I reinforced that this was only from here on out and that all the money that I made from them was still good...and they obliged....transferred me to the withdrawal group.  I made the withdrawal (still in process), so we'll see.  

I blew about $4k chasing bull#### rollovers at 1V...not going to play that game again as long as they keep paying me.

 
Tiger Fan said:
Yeah, when I talked to them...I reinforced that this was only from here on out and that all the money that I made from them was still good...and they obliged....transferred me to the withdrawal group.  I made the withdrawal (still in process), so we'll see.  

I blew about $4k chasing bull#### rollovers at 1V...not going to play that game again as long as they keep paying me.
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ah see they wouldn't budge... I lost about 2k trying to get the sides to match up as I owed them 7k in sides.. ####ers.

 
lumpy19 said:
They have a pretty nice live interface, at least for football they did.  I don't think those count towards sides/totals but doesn't hurt to ask.  I believe they pull from the same source as 5d.  During football they had a massive menu of live betting options with what I thought were some soft lines.
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Well that's a problem with these guys.  EVERYTHING that's not a full game side or total is considered a prop.  1h, live everything.

 
Since 2009 the White Sox are 5-20 SU against Verlander (1-20 SU scoring less than 7 runs).

Since 2015 Tigers 17-8 SU 6±3 rpg day/away versus AL Central:
Lined < -103: 7-0 SU 8±2 rpg (avg line -124)
Temp ≤ 72°F: 10-1 SU 7±2 rpg (avg temp 60±6)

 
Good Posting Judge said:
So when mybookie hits you with the 1:1 thing, do they let you cash out at that point instead?
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Yes and no.  With me they said they noted my account with the 50/50 rule 5 weeks prior and I had to get back into balance with that point and time.  They made me clear a side rollover of $3100.

 
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Good Posting Judge said:
That's every sports betting market. 
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I feel strikeout props are particularly bad in this scenario seeing how scarce they are and how quickly they'll get you cut.

You know what I'm saying, anyone who offers K props is so fickle whereas with sides and other props they'll give you more rope to bang yourself.

 
The Busy The Tired said:
I feel strikeout props are particularly bad in this scenario seeing how scarce they are and how quickly they'll get you cut.

You know what I'm saying, anyone who offers K props is so fickle whereas with sides and other props they'll give you more rope to bang yourself.
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I think that's just a function of how easy they are to beat. I'm just a shmoe, and I've gotten comfortably north of 60% beating K props. AFAIK that kind of number is near-impossible for any sort of major sport side.

 
Good Posting Judge said:
I think that's just a function of how easy they are to beat. I'm just a shmoe, and I've gotten comfortably north of 60% beating K props. AFAIK that kind of number is near-impossible for any sort of major sport side.
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If you're a schmoe, then I must be a ######ed 3rd cousin with down syndrome because you're the best damn gambler I've ever seen besides that Goo guy.

 
Check yo' readin' skills partner!

ChainsawU said:
Since 2009 the White Sox are 5-20 SU against Verlander (1-20 SU scoring less than 7 runs).

Since 2015 Tigers 17-8 SU 6±3 rpg day/away versus AL Central:
Lined < -103: 7-0 SU 8±2 rpg (avg line -124)
Temp ≤ 72°F: 10-1 SU 7±2 rpg (avg temp 60±6)
Click to expand...

 
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