*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (11 Viewers)

[lumpy19]

@Steve Stevens happenings in Cleveland can't be good for business even with the slight spelling difference

 

[gussy]

Monday Night Playoff Hockey

Bruins/Sens U5  -125
Preds   -110  (.6U)
Preds PL +265  (.4U)
Hawks TT U2.5  -110

I also lean Ducks and a play similar to what I did with the Preds at +110 and +270 wouldn't be out of line. Also lean Ducks TT O2.5 which has hit 80% of the time over the teams last 20 games, but I have a stinking feeling the Flames may come out with fire in their eyes tonight. The two games in AN could have legitimately went either way. I'll pass for now, but if I'm looking good on the early games I may roll some in to the Ducks.

 

[Steve Stevens]

@Steve Stevens happenings in Cleveland can't be good for business even with the slight spelling difference

I kill the bookies, not people my man. I can't even have a gun, because I'm a felon. I'm a felon because I'm not a snitch, because snitches get stitches.

But no seriously, I'm not the guy on a killing spree in Cleveland. I'm too busy in Vegas collecting all this MLB money. Hit me up @vipsportslv for my owner's selection today.

 

[lumpy19]

I played mccaffrey u14.5 at BOL @ -115, -130 and -150

Lots of recent mocks showing him going  at 8 to Carolina and even if he misses there other options before 15 that make good fits.  Even a few articles with the Broncos trading up.  I'm not a draft expert but like this bet.

Chad kelly 7th round our undrafted +160

Joe Mixon lined at 46.5, I remember some posts earlier about the line being 84.5, Ray Rice needs to hire Joe's PR team.

 

[The Ref]

I played mccaffrey u14.5 at BOL @ -115, -130 and -150

Lots of recent mocks showing him going  at 8 to Carolina and even if he misses there other options before 15 that make good fits.  Even a few articles with the Broncos trading up.  I'm not a draft expert but like this bet.

Christian McCaffrey
Draft Position o15½ (-120)

Not buying the hype on RB this year.  Fournete may go top 6 but the rest are a dime a dozen.

 

[lumpy19]

Christian McCaffrey
Draft Position o15½ (-120)

Not buying the hype on RB this year.  Fournete may go top 6 but the rest are a dime a dozen.

Why would you bet o15.5 -120 when I gave you o14.5 +135 at BOL?  I'm fine with you being on the opposite side but cripes at least bet the best line, you're killing me today.

 

[The Ref]

Why would you bet o15.5 -120 when I gave you o14.5 +135 at BOL?  I'm fine with you being on the opposite side but cripes at least bet the best line, you're killing me today.

Because I bet this back in December.

 

[lumpy19]

Because I bet this back in December.

OK I'll allow it

 

[regularguy]

Why would you bet o15.5 -120 when I gave you o14.5 +135 at BOL?  I'm fine with you being on the opposite side but cripes at least bet the best line, you're killing me today.

I don't think Ref likes non-local books.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Anything to see here @The Ref or @Aaron Rudnicki

Date#TeamSideTotalM Line

NHL - SHOTS ON GOAL - Apr 17

Total Shots on Goal - Capitals vs Maple Leafs

Apr 1723017CAPITALS SHOTS ON GOALo34½-115

7:00 PM23018CAPITALS SHOTS ON GOALu34½-115

Total Shots on Goal - Capitals vs Maple Leafs

Apr 1723019MAPLE LEAFS SHOTS ON GOALo31½-115

7:00 PM23020MAPLE LEAFS SHOTS ON GOALu31½-115

Total Shots on Goal - Senators vs Bruins

Apr 1723021SENATORS SHOTS ON GOALo29-115

7:00 PM23022SENATORS SHOTS ON GOALu29-115

Total Shots on Goal - Senators vs Bruins

Apr 1723023BRUINS SHOTS ON GOALo32-115

7:00 PM23024BRUINS SHOTS ON GOALu32-115

Total Shots on Goal - Blackhawks vs Predators

Apr 1723025BLACKHAWKS SHOTS ON GOALo30½-115

9:30 PM23026BLACKHAWKS SHOTS ON GOALu30½-115

Total Shots on Goal - Blackhawks vs Predators

Apr 1723027PREDATORS SHOTS ON GOALo29½-115

9:30 PM23028PREDATORS SHOTS ON GOALu29½-115

Total Shots on Goal - Ducks vs Flames

Apr 1723029DUCKS SHOTS ON GOALo30-115

10:00 PM23030DUCKS SHOTS ON GOALu30-115

Total Shots on Goal - Ducks vs Flames

Apr 1723031FLAMES SHOTS ON GOALo30-115

10:00 PM23032FLAMES SHOTS ON GOALu30-115

 

[gussy]

I'm also on McCaffrey O15 from a while back. Not feeling great about it. McShay has him going 10 now I think I saw.

 

[lumpy19]

#### ref started this thread I forgot to steer clear of him for subtitle purposes, that one's on me.

 

[lumpy19]

I'm also on McCaffrey O15 from a while back. Not feeling great about it. McShay has him going 10 now I think I saw.

I wouldn't sweat it, I think it was last year's draft, total #### storm, nothing even close to the mocks.  Expecting more of the same this year with the Browns  :X leading things off

 

[regularguy]

#### ref started this thread I forgot to steer clear of him for subtitle purposes, that one's on me.

 

 

[E-Z Glider]

According to longtime draft analyst Tony Pauline, a team currently picking in the teens of the 2017 NFL Draft has guaranteed running back Christian McCaffrey that they would select him if he were available when they selected.

 

[The Ref]

OK I'll allow it

Walter football has him going 8 to Carolina now so there is good reason to back the under 15.  I don't see it personally but what do I know.

the team in the teens has to be either Washington or Tampa.  Both are looking for playmakers.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Walter football has him going 8 to Carolina now so there is good reason to back the under 15.  I don't see it personally but what do I know.

the team in the teens has to be either Washington or Tampa.  Both are looking for playmakers.

I could totally see the Saints grabbing him at 11

 

[swirvenirvin]

I wouldn't sweat it, I think it was last year's draft, total #### storm, nothing even close to the mocks.  Expecting more of the same this year with the Browns  :X leading things off

agreed the talking heads are rather clueless when all said and done on draft position.

 

[regularguy]

agreed the talking heads are rather clueless when all said and done on draft position.

I don't have data to support it, but I feel like I've had better luck fading the overreactions to "news" & mocks and playing + odds.

 

[swirvenirvin]

I don't have data to support it, but I feel like I've had better luck fading the overreactions to "news" & mocks and playing + odds.

yes if getting + ods on something that isnt really leaked would think you can take advantage of 

 

[ChainsawU]

A Hare Krishna tried to recruit me at school today. He handed me three large texts and asked me if I had any used gift cards I didn't need. The pamphlet he gave me says that devotees follow four regulations: No eating of meat, fish, or eggs. No gambling. No illicit sex. No intoxication of any kind, including tobacco, coffee, and tea. I was like dude those are my plans for Friday.

 

[ChainsawU]

The Marlins started the season with twelve division games on the East coast, and now all the sudden they're in Seattle versus non-conference on zero rest.

 

[lumpy19]

I don't have data to support it, but I feel like I've had better luck fading the overreactions to "news" & mocks and playing + odds.

Maybe you should post some of these things

 

[regularguy]

Maybe you should post some of these things

I keep waiting for more sites to put these up...soon hopefully.

 

[lumpy19]

ellis u9.5points -145

 

[The Ref]

Ottawa under 29 is worth a play. 

That said betting these is more predictable in the middle of the regular season than the playoffs.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Ottawa under 29 is worth a play. 

That said betting these is more predictable in the middle of the regular season than the playoffs.

I was curious about that since it's a completely different game in the playoffs.

 

[lumpy19]

kawhi o8.5ra -160

 

[lumpy19]

gasol o9.5ra -125

 

[chet]

Blackhawks are +1000 to win the cup.  I just put a little on them.  Tonight is a must win.

 

[The Busy The Tired]

Pro tip - stop tracking his record and start tracking if he's beating the market. 

What does this mean?

 

[derek245583]

Blackhawks are +1000 to win the cup.  I just put a little on them.  Tonight is a must win.

Ill wait until they lose another

 

[VA703]

Pirates F5 u4.5

 

[gussy]

MIL/CHC F5 U3.5  -110

 

[The Ref]

What does this mean?

I think the theory is any one of us jerks can flip a coin 20 times and go 17-18-19 out of 20 one time.  The mark of a good capper is how often someone bets a play at +/- X and the market adjusts in the direction of the lean.

 

[gussy]

MIL/CHC F5 U3.5  -110

God Im bad at baseball right now

 

[The Ref]

Well this is some next level math here, like calculus and trigonometry and stuff, but 4+4 > 8.5 last I checked

 

[Frostillicus]

Steve Stevens banned from youtube no!

This account has been terminated due to multiple or severe violations of YouTube's policy against spam, deceptive practices, and misleading content or other Terms of Service violations.

 

[gussy]

Monday Night Playoff Hockey

Bruins/Sens U5  -125
Preds   -110  (.6U)
Preds PL +265  (.4U)
Hawks TT U2.5  -110

I also lean Ducks and a play similar to what I did with the Preds at +110 and +270 wouldn't be out of line. Also lean Ducks TT O2.5 which has hit 80% of the time over the teams last 20 games, but I have a stinking feeling the Flames may come out with fire in their eyes tonight. The two games in AN could have legitimately went either way. I'll pass for now, but if I'm looking good on the early games I may roll some in to the Ducks.

Should have played my gut with the Ducks. Ugh. Between that and my winning my bet AGAINST my team, even though it was a slight up night, somehow it doesn't feel like winning.

 

[VA703]

Bayern Munich ML

Team Total over 1.5

 

[The Ref]

Steve Stevens banned from youtube no!

I found the information on his chanel to be informative.

Except the part when he posted an under on a 145 point total in a NCAAB game and paid an extra .10 to buy it down to 144.5 -120.  He wasn't able to explain that one.  Also wasn't able to explain why the game finished with 160 points.

 

[The Ref]

Lol.....!!!! "Technical Issue"

We are aware of the technical issue with our YouTube channel and are working to resolve asap. We apologize for the inconvenience

 

[VA703]

10-3-1  +6.75

Giants/Royals over 9 -110

 

[VA703]

jazz/clips u199

 

[VA703]

Orioles ML

Orioles f5 -.5

 

[VA703]

look at me im addicted

 

[ChainsawU]

During the L5 seasons when the Orioles have gone to NL parks the games have seen a total of 374 runs scored in 40 games (9.35 runs per game). That's the most abundant combined runs per game out of any AL team visiting NL parks during that time.

 

[VA703]

Bronson Arroyo admitted after Thursday's loss versus the Brewers that he needs to show progress over the next two starts "or we might be at dead end."
For what it's worth, Reds manager Bryan Price indicated that he might be willing to have a longer leash than that with Arroyo. Either way, there's little disputing that the veteran righty allowing 11 runs over 10 innings of work in his first two starts isn't going to cut it. That the 40-year-old was able to make it back to the majors at all after his arm trouble the last couple years is a feat in and of itself, but we're almost surely nearing the end of the road here. Apr 14 - 9:02 AM
 
O's to destroy the reds tonight

 

[ChainsawU]

Great American Ball Park opened in 2003. They've hosted the Orioles once. The Reds and O's combined for 34 runs in a three-game series between June 10th thru 12th of 2005. The O's haven't been back since.

Then, for the 2015 season, Great American Ball Park became the first MLB ballpark to feature a suite designed exclusively as a place for mothers to feed and care for their babies. Reds Chief Operations Officer Phil Castellini said he felt compelled to do his best to provide a worthwhile solution after stadium officials told him an increasing number of women were asking where they could nurse their children at the ballpark. As a result the Orioles felt compelled to return to the stadium as soon as possible, but due to inter-league scheduling issues had not had the opportunity to do so until today.

Tonight's game starts promptly at 7:10 PM EST with weather expected to be 71° with partly cloudy skies, a 15% chance of rain, and southeast winds at 10 MPH.

 

[ChainsawU]

I was going to go with the Reds tonight but it's probably arbitrary: In the 14th game of the season they're 8-0 SU L8. I need to win some money though, for sure. Just had a professional arborist quote me 7 bills plus tax to do my trees.