*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (9 Viewers)

[cosjobs]

Live betting provide fantastic hedging

 

[cosjobs]

just laid 600 to win 1500 on a LAA hedge

existing parlay would bring in 2600 (-the 600)

 

[gussy]

Caps/Leafs OT-Y  +270

 

[ChainsawU]

I'm going Bulls "home after a playoff loss at home as the < 4 point dog" link

 

[The Ref]

Toronto blows....

And to think I was seething mad at myself for getting involved with Toronto again.  I was constructing my post about how Toronto STINKS.....

needless to say when I pulled in the driveway and checked the final I was surprised.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Live betting provide fantastic hedging

https://media.tenor.co/images/bac35d4c056becf7ffa3f7ebcead0bd4/tenor.gif

 

[cosjobs]

Big on Scherzer -152 v Mets

 

[cosjobs]

I'm going Bulls "home after a playoff loss at home as the < 4 point dog" link

Took the BUlls +204 (live)

 

[facook]

I know I know, in progress bets are horse####, but after going 2-3 yesterday, i didn't want any tailers.

Today's 6trr by 6,5,4,3 - HOU/PHI/PIT/TOR/DET/STL

Seriously?

 

[facook]

Caps/Leafs OT-Y  +270

Tail

 

[cosjobs]

Seriously?

yes. for a whopping $6 per wager (about 250 total, I think)

 

[facook]

yes. for a whopping $6 per wager (about 250 total, I think)

Yeah. Wish you woulda hit like that yesterday. 

 

[ChainsawU]

when I pulled in the driveway and checked the final I was surprised

you know what they say it ain't over until a fat chick throws up on your ####

 

[The Ref]

Bought some bulls 8.5 at the end of the 1q.

70% of money on Celtics and .5 RLM..... kind of feel like we will see a come back.

 

[cosjobs]

Headed to the Black Sheep Lodge to watch Scherzer &, the Bulls and root for a Caps/Leafs tie

 

[cosjobs]

Yeah. Wish you woulda hit like that yesterday. 

I tried just as hard yesterday as I did today

 

[TheGooRoo]

NFL Draft Hooker o 5.5 -110 sbet

 

[ChainsawU]

a hundred and ten dollar discrepancy between the live ML offered by two different online sportsbooks things that make you go hmm amirite

 

[lumpy19]

NFL Draft Hooker o 5.5 -110 sbet

Thoughts on fournette u4.5? Walter football moved him up to 2 going to niners, even if he doesn't go there lots of mocks have him at 4.

 

[cosjobs]

a hundred and ten dollar discrepancy between the live ML offered by two different online sportsbooks things that make you go hmm amirite

not sure about the 100 but the ten is juice

 

[TheGooRoo]

Thoughts on fournette u4.5? Walter football moved him up to 2 going to niners, even if he doesn't go there lots of mocks have him at 4.

No play for me, but 80%+ of mocks seem to agree.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Favors fade

 

[Billy Bats]

No play for me, but 80%+ of mocks seem to agree.

How many RBs expected to go first round? 

 

[JaxBill]

Thoughts on fournette u4.5? Walter football moved him up to 2 going to niners, even if he doesn't go there lots of mocks have him at 4.

Fournette to Jags at 4 seems to be default but I have my doubts. Saw an article where he is terrible in shotgun and/or without FB. Jags expected to play alot of 11 (1 TE, 1RB) out of gun next year.

Coughlin calling shots now and picking Top 5 RB behind bad OL doesn't seem like something he'd do

 

[TheGooRoo]

How many RBs expected to go first round? 

3 is the expectation with a couple guys thinking 4.

 

[Shane Ricketts]

Rudy Gobert with obvious limp. Gobert has food poisoning. Jazz favored by 6?

 

[hooter311]

a hundred and ten dollar discrepancy between the live ML offered by two different online sportsbooks things that make you go hmm amirite

With live betting being such a smaller market, books have to risk adjust more in house.  Their software automatically adjusts lines based on money movement because the situation is obviously "live".  The smaller the spread between the favorite and dog at a book should give you an idea of the size of their market.  Smaller spreads meaning more money flowing.

 

[gussy]

Caps/Leafs OT-Y  +270

It's what I do, or whatever. Now the Caps can feel free to close this ##### out.

 

[facook]

It's what I do, or whatever. Now the Caps can feel free to close this ##### out.

Nice hit, my negro modelo.

 

[gussy]

Nice hit, my negro modelo.

lol

 

[facook]

lol

You just gotsta be so careful nowadays.

 

[gussy]

You just gotsta be so careful nowadays.

right?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Rudy Gobert with obvious limp. Gobert has food poisoning. Jazz favored by 6?

I saw the Heyward thing on Twitter and bet the Clips for +3.5, for whopping -1.5 points of CLV. I consider myself fairly adept at betting NBA props, and yet I'm completely confounded/dumb in regards to betting full game lines/totals.

 

[cosjobs]

Caps/Leafs OT-Y  +270

Thanks!

 

[gussy]

Caps series winner. Leafs are going to be here for a long time. Great series.

 

[comfortably numb]

Caps series winner. Leafs are going to be here for a long time. Great series.

needed that, have too much on the caps at -400 and -700 in a parlay

 

[gussy]

needed that, have too much on the caps at -400 and -700 in a parlay

I may try to find a way to hedge out of my Caps to win Cup plays by hitting the Pens somehow, either to win series or win Cup. I think whoever comes out of that series wins the Cup. Little concerned about the Caps after 5 of 6 OT's.

 

[TheGooRoo]

I saw the Heyward thing on Twitter and bet the Clips for +3.5, for whopping -1.5 points of CLV. I consider myself fairly adept at betting NBA props, and yet I'm completely confounded/dumb in regards to betting full game lines/totals.

I faded the wrong guy.  Weird how Favors goes from non-existant part of offense with 3 shots in 38 minutes last game to 3 shots (6 pts) in his first 2 minutes today.  Struggled like hell to go over in games 1 and 2 in 30+ minutes, not even close in 38 minutes game 3, and almost over in 12 minutes game 4.  Will go back to it game 5.

 

[comfortably numb]

I may try to find a way to hedge out of my Caps to win Cup plays by hitting the Pens somehow, either to win series or win Cup. I think whoever comes out of that series wins the Cup. Little concerned about the Caps after 5 of 6 OT's.

Good thing I don't have to worry about that with all my Blackhawks futures 

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

nothing big, but I played these yesterday

NYR +125 - WIN
CBJ +163 - LOSS
MIN -145 - LOSS
EDM -135 - WIN
OTT +170 - WIN
TOR +330 - LOSS
NSH +173 - WIN
CGY +158 - LOSS

Not bad

 

[swirvenirvin]

I saw the Heyward thing on Twitter and bet the Clips for +3.5, for whopping -1.5 points of CLV. I consider myself fairly adept at betting NBA props, and yet I'm completely confounded/dumb in regards to betting full game lines/totals.

####ting himself in the batroom..

Big on the hayward unders and BOL isnt going to cancel these this time

 

[Shane Ricketts]

RIPPER!!!

 

[facook]

RIPPER!!!

What happened to being busy and tired?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Two boxing bets I like coming up are Indogo at +170 and Brook at +135, both at 5D. Brook/Spence is a helluva matchup at 147, and Spence is a destroyer, but I think Brook's savvy and home advantage are going to nab a decision for him.

Brook now +165 at 5D (reduced). You should.

 

[swirvenirvin]

What was the consensus on Americasbookie?

They cut really quick or took a while to get money out?

 

[lumpy19]

Total WRs drafted in 1st round u3.5 -250

Williams, Ross, Davis

Williams is the only lock for the 1st round, Ross and Davis have a pretty good shot as well but I can't get to 4(assuming it's Curtis Samuel).  The draft is too deep at other positions.  Hate paying -250 for a draft prop but I like this one quite a bit.

I read some stuff early on about New England grabbing Samuel but that's about it.

 

[regularguy]

I added these plays this morning.  I also threw a little on Stenhouse to win & top 3 and Bowyer to win just for fun.

Bowyer +120 o Hamlin
Harvick -110 o Truex
Kyle Busch -150 o Larson
Jones -130 o Blaney

@hooter311

 

[VA703]

afternoon soccer

AS Roma -1.5
Besiktas -1.5
Novara ML +200
Union Berlin 02.5
 

 

[gussy]

Took the Cubs at -116. Pirates have struggled with lefties thus far and the Cubs have hammered Kuhl when they've seen him. Better team, decent matchup, low juice. Hit me.

 

[cosjobs]

Big on Scherzer -152 v Mets

A rare 7-0 in MLB yesterday. More than doubled my Dak Prescott winnings.

Today"s five:

COL +104 / SFG +128 / TEX -131 / TB -118 / TOR +112