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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (5 Viewers)

Is it possible to discuss betting Trump Futures without turning this thread into another political ####storm?

I don't know how it will end, but I really cannot see it lasting until 1/1/18

I think there is a great chance he walks away/quits. His agenda is pretty much dead, other than exec. orders. He cannot be enjoying this and as the investigations start up and dominate the news, he's got to be pining for full-time residency in Mar Lago. 

Impeachment is a distinct possibility imo, but the timeline gets dicier. otoh, the pros lined up against him have their ducks in a row and  will be on a mission to get to the answers, not politically grandstand ad infinitum.

To me the biggest indicator is  public support. If he gets to the low 30s, its over.

SO... the timeline and current odds

Trump will not be president on:

10/1/17 +550

1/1/18 +320

1/1/19 +135

1/120 +100

These lines tells us he will not serve his term. The question is wehn he's out

I have 13u (ranging from +210 to +450) on 1/1/18 and 1u on 10/1/17 (+850)

Thoughts (note the lines listed are at 5dimes and have a max 100 wager, but you can rebet it at different odds)

 
Is it possible to discuss betting Trump Futures without turning this thread into another political ####storm?

I don't know how it will end, but I really cannot see it lasting until 1/1/18

I think there is a great chance he walks away/quits. His agenda is pretty much dead, other than exec. orders. He cannot be enjoying this and as the investigations start up and dominate the news, he's got to be pining for full-time residency in Mar Lago. 

Impeachment is a distinct possibility imo, but the timeline gets dicier. otoh, the pros lined up against him have their ducks in a row and  will be on a mission to get to the answers, not politically grandstand ad infinitum.

To me the biggest indicator is  public support. If he gets to the low 30s, its over.

SO... the timeline and current odds

Trump will not be president on:

10/1/17 +550

1/1/18 +320

1/1/19 +135

1/120 +100

These lines tells us he will not serve his term. The question is wehn he's out

I have 13u (ranging from +210 to +450) on 1/1/18 and 1u on 10/1/17 (+850)

Thoughts (note the lines listed are at 5dimes and have a max 100 wager, but you can rebet it at different odds)
i dont follow anything but I think you are going to lose a bunch of money

 
I'm waiting on 2 payouts from March and April and still need to request 2 more to get out whole. Crossing my fingers. 

What are your thoughts on the SBR F? 
sbr ratings are kind of a joke.  sportsbook.ag sat at D- for almost 8 years or w/e while they routinely took 6 mos to process payouts, freerolled people who bet correlated parlays that their software allowed, etc.  but sbr never downgraded them because they probably get some sort of compensation from sb.ag (this is pretty well documented for multiple books, and not really disputed by sbr afaik).  now they offer bitcoin and look to be in good shape, but that doesn't change history.  topbet on the other hand just got upgraded by sbr a few months back, so in this case it only takes a couple months of trouble for a book to go from D to F?  don't make no sense.

 
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Is it possible to discuss betting Trump Futures without turning this thread into another political ####storm?
best thing about this thread is that this would never devolve into those political sh!t show. luckily enough self-regulation in here that it would be tossed out the window quick. and i am realll thankful for that.

all about the good guys beating the books

 
best thing about this thread is that this would never devolve into those political sh!t show. luckily enough self-regulation in here that it would be tossed out the window quick. and i am realll thankful for that.

all about the good guys beating the books
#### yes.

Now...MMA lets go. 

 
UFC 212 undercard starts in about 3 hours, this to get started.

Beltran +130 and Beltran Inside the Distance +300

Chagas/Wallhead u 2.5 rounds -115

Pereira -155

 
5* picks are going to be reserved for only underdog plays going forward, otherwise Chagas/Wallhead would be one.

 
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We may have a record on our hands or close to it this evening...

Combined age of Marquart/Belfort is 78.

Vitor is 40, Marquart 38.

 
UFC 212 undercard starts in about 3 hours, this to get started.

Beltran +130 and Beltran Inside the Distance +300

Chagas/Wallhead u 2.5 rounds -115

Pereira -155
yeah these Brazilian cards are always light cards for me. Pumped to see Moraes and Borrachinha, but not too many plays in for me. I did throw a bit on Kowaliecheck and got 1 unit on Aldo. 

 
Preds over 32.5 SOG

Desperation time. Not sure they'll be successful but they'll throw kitchen sink at Murray. Hometown scorer doesn't hurt.

 
UFC 212:. Alcantara/kelleher u2.5 -115

UFC 212: Lopez/Eduardo u2.5 -105

from Hoot

 
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Mike Hooter‏ @Hooter311  26m26 minutes ago

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UFC 212: spicely r2+1025, spicely r3 +2000 for .1 units each.

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