The UFC has 2 different cage sizes. When hosting events outside of Vegas and especially at smaller venues, they use a much smaller cage. It results to a finishing rate almost 20% more than the standard cage. The UFC doesn't post anywhere that I'm aware what cage will be used, but generally someone will ask the media on twitter for the information.
So that's why you may notice a trend of hammering unders on cards taking place in Timbuktu.
Tonight is not one of those nights, the standard cage size will apply.
One of the many reasons we are going to cash Hunt/Lewis o1.5 rounds -108
Some of the line movement tonight has gotten me a little gunshy. There are a handful of fighters tonight that don't have the resume for WSOF, let alone the UFC. But, on the one of the other South Pacific cards last year there was a Yakuza attempt to throw the fight. The fighter agreed to it but couldn't follow through and won a split decision. It could be the Austrailia is the most nationalistic country when it comes to backing their guy, and Aussie/New Zealand is one place with the jet lag and everything else that offers a significant homefield advantage. These lines could have shifted the 70 cents or so this week just based on public money rather than something shady.
I think we'll have a good idea after the first fight. Gouti is 0-3 in UFC, does not train BJJ or wrestling, and only is getting this fight because his last opponent missed weight.
Kim opened at -185 and has dropped to -120. Going to sniff around this a few more hours before committing.