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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (15 Viewers)

Andy catching > 8 in his career, Bill laying > 8 in the first four weeks, non-division getting 8 or more in W1. I think I'll need seven points max.

Chiefs +8½ -105
Chiefs +3½ +179
not trying to jinx this at all bud, but no matter what happens tonight bud this is a great call. I didn't have the balls to tail it, but congrats.

and i wonder what the line will be next week with the Cheifs at home against the Eagles. Has to be a little bit of a letdown after this game right?

 
anybody with Jets under wins for the season, there is a good middle opportunity now. i grabbed earlier

Jets ov 3.5 +125.  i like it better then my under 4.5s

 
not trying to jinx this at all bud, but no matter what happens tonight bud this is a great call. I didn't have the balls to tail it, but congrats. and i wonder what the line will be next week with the Cheifs at home against the Eagles. Has to be a little bit of a letdown after this game right?
Thank you. Yeah man, I was already thinking about the Eagles catching some serious value W2 after tonight. You already mentioned it a week ago too - the "reunion" between the coach and his old team. I know you already love Andy Reid in the first place.

 
Mo I saw two cars today - two cars - with love my pitbull stickers on them today. I already was wondering when I was going to tell you that.

 
Memphis' team total is 32½ right now. Sagarin's number puts Memphis at 32.12. So that's about right, but Sagarin's number also makes UCF the underdog - wrong team favored - yet there are about 7 out of every ten bets laying points with the home team at both SI and S&O.

 
Memphis' team total is 32½ right now. Sagarin's number puts Memphis at 32.12. So that's about right, but Sagarin's number also makes UCF the underdog - wrong team favored - yet there are about 7 out of every ten bets laying points with the home team at both SI and S&O.
Phil Steele is also on Memphis FYI

 
Em did some nice "specializing in NFL" tonight, lol
Sorry Em. I checked out your timeline after seeing this post. We all have bad days. That's the point. Don't get too high on wins or too low on losses. It's a grind. 

Grow some hard bark. 

 
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Monster night for dumb bookies. Teasers blown to ####, raked on the KC ML, raked on KC covering.

Between this and the Mayweather fight, those guys are having a pretty good few weeks.

 
ChainsawU said:
Thank you. Yeah man, I was already thinking about the Eagles catching some serious value W2 after tonight. You already mentioned it a week ago too - the "reunion" between the coach and his old team. I know you already love Andy Reid in the first place.
Plus the Eric Berry injury is bad news for KC defense

 
Plus the Eric Berry injury is bad news for KC defense
That's a big hit but it's a pretty brutal spot for the Eagles next week. A non-conference road game sandwiched in between two division games. And in arrowhead for their home opener? Against what we seen last night?? I thought they got rolled even before watching Hunt and Hill go ape#### last night. 

 
That was an odd Pat's offense last night.
Well the good news is at least we've seen it and now we know how things will be split up on that offense.......................................or not.

I think we've established the goal line back and that's about it.

 
That was an odd Pat's offense last night.
To me, the defense is what was odd.  537 yds to a game manager qb and rookie rb?  Very odd.  I thought the Pats offense was what we thought it would be, minus about 7 completions and 50 yards for Brady.  Cook had 88 but it felt like he could have had 158, looks like a serious deep threat and pass interference machine.  Hogan will have Amendola's 6-100 line soon enough, but who knows when.  Gronk will eat, but probably 50-75% of the time.  The running game will be a cluster #### unless/until Bill does something.  Burkhead love was false, thoughts that Lewis might be inactive were false, thoughts that maybe Gillislee wasn't quite there yet were false.  A whole lot of uncertainty on who will get the ball, which is what we should expect from a Belichick team period, now with 4 capable rb's, minus Edelman, healthy Gronk, new stud wr, etc. it's even more cloudy.  The only thing that surprised me with the Pat's offense was that they couldn't put together a 2 minute drill and get another 70 garbage yards and a TD at the end, just couldn't protect the QB.  My initial thought was that I hope the linemakers inflate the KC numbers next week against Philly.

 
I smell blood in the water...

UFC 215

Cejudo/Reis u2.5 +220

Cejudo ITD +362

Cejudo R1 +675

Think Cejudo absolutely destroys Reis.  

 
To me, the defense is what was odd.  537 yds to a game manager qb and rookie rb?  Very odd.  I thought the Pats offense was what we thought it would be, minus about 7 completions and 50 yards for Brady.  Cook had 88 but it felt like he could have had 158, looks like a serious deep threat and pass interference machine.  Hogan will have Amendola's 6-100 line soon enough, but who knows when.  Gronk will eat, but probably 50-75% of the time.  The running game will be a cluster #### unless/until Bill does something.  Burkhead love was false, thoughts that Lewis might be inactive were false, thoughts that maybe Gillislee wasn't quite there yet were false.  A whole lot of uncertainty on who will get the ball, which is what we should expect from a Belichick team period, now with 4 capable rb's, minus Edelman, healthy Gronk, new stud wr, etc. it's even more cloudy.  The only thing that surprised me with the Pat's offense was that they couldn't put together a 2 minute drill and get another 70 garbage yards and a TD at the end, just couldn't protect the QB.  My initial thought was that I hope the linemakers inflate the KC numbers next week against Philly.
Agreed, I was confident we'd see a garbage TD and they had nothing left after KC took the 28-27 lead, their last 3 drives were disasters.  With cooks stretching them I thought we'd see a lot more crossing routes and dumpoffs but they weren't there.

 
Hmmm I have the complete opposite take, he's one thing and it's fake.
I've never elaborated on hooter's 3 days in Miami with Em....

he's a good kid, but I left him alone for like two minutes and came back to some homeless guy yelling at him outside the grocery store.  He's a magnet for hate, and I get how he brings it upon himself in a lot of ways.  When he tells a story though, they've all checked out so far.  He can't defend himself here so I thought I'd chime in.

 
That -6 yard final carry was probably pretty important to you
:thumbup:   Good job on that one.  It was a strong outcome at sbet, but nearly nothing in the big picture for me.  I played 33 accounts last night and Sbet was the only one that had White.  IMO the pod was Alex Smith o 7.5 rush yds, thankfully I only had 7 accounts that offered it, but that was a GREAT bet and a bad beat for sure.  Keep an eye on that for the future, he can run the ball, we saw them run some zone read, had some injury issues last year and didn't run much, was 15-1 in 2015 o 7.5 rush yds.  Brady u 25.5 was a success, Gillislee u 50 through 45.5 was a huge success, albeit a fortunate win imo.  Gronk u 5.5 was comfortable.  Smith o 31.5 attempts (juiced) and 21.5 completions was solid.  Great start. Will be looking to possibly fade Smith if the books get silly and put up completions in the 24 range, especially if Hill is gimpy.  I think Hunt's line could be bloated as well, but damn he looked good.  For the Pats, against the Saints, wow.  Brady should go for 350-400, Cooks should torch his old mates, Gronk 2 tds.  Pro-Hogan for sure.  Pro-Ginn for sure. Should be a fun one!

 

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