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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (8 Viewers)

This is unreal. 

A couple buddies sitting on Bennett O39.5.

Chicago spot challenge took a yard away from 40 to 39.

Next reception they gave him a yard, then 2 minutes later it changed back to no gain and 39 yards.

One more reception after that for no gain. And it doesn’t look promising up 35-7.

:mellow:  

 
Bundesliga - Leverkusen TT ov 1.5 +140

Leverkusen promoted  Lucas Alario to starting role last week and they won 3-0 over lowly Hamburg. Alario is an Argentinian National Team striker whose transfer had finally been approved .

More goals have been scored in matches involving Leverkusen than any other Bundesliga team this year.

 
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JaxBill said:
Bundesliga - Leverkusen TT ov 1.5 +140

Leverkusen promoted  Lucas Alario to starting role last week and they won 3-0 over lowly Hamburg. Alario is an Argentinian National Team striker whose transfer had finally been approved .

More goals have been scored in matches involving Leverkusen than any other Bundesliga team this year.
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Im heading to the 2nd division and jumping on o2.5 -127 Ingolstadt/Darmstdat

 
Portugal

I'll get off the Chaves train in 2 weeks after the break when they face one of the big boys but for now lets see if we can get 3 in a row
Chaves-119 over Tondela

 
hagmania said:
Our boys from Fenerbahce should handle Team oNe and advance to the Main Stage Group Round, but they give a lot up early. They play a patient, passive early game and transition into a strong mid- to late-game team with solid macro.

Map 1

Team oNe First Dragon +115

Match starts at 10 central. I'll be betting the other maps at that time.
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Bovada has this graded as a loss.  Is there an official link I can reference that would show this in the stats?

 
I bought myself out of that Dolphins  +3 play I posted a few days ago. For some reason my brain thought that game was
in Miami. It's not.

 
gussy said:
I bought myself out of that Dolphins  +3 play I posted a few days ago. For some reason my brain thought that game was
in Miami. It's not.
Click to expand...
Teased Miami with the Packers. Might get out depending on how CFB goes tomorrow. If tomorrow goes not as drawn up, I think I'm out.

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Luis Ortiz (see avatar) +185. 

Kind of like with the Parker fight, these two dudes are in the beauty pageant to land an Anthony Joshua fight, which means a sold-out soccer stadium, several millions of dollars, and probably getting knocked on your ### in front of drunk, screaming limeys.

Deontay Wilder, his opponent, has been incredibly well-protected/guided. He appears to be able to hit hard, but he has #### fundamentals, minimal defensive ability, and what appears to be a weak chin. He's also definitely had at least one opponent just straight up dive for him, probably more. Which is why this fight is confusing, because Ortiz is the goods, could legit threaten to take his belt away, and then end up in line for Joshua.

Ortiz is no Adonis, and his gas tank might be a question, but he can hit hard and he has very good hands for a heavyweight. It's hard to see him trading with Wilder and not getting the best of nearly every exchange. He's either been sandbagging a bit the last couple fights, has been utterly disinterested in crap opposition, or his age (unknown!) is catching up with him.

This doesn't make much sense, unless Wilder's people are just wildly under-estimating Ortiz. He's a lot of risk and relatively minimal reward, which is a big step-up for a guy who's up to almost 40 pro fights and has beaten almost exclusively bums. So, something might be up here, but at this price there's no way you can't take a swing. If this was completely on the up-and-up, it's better value than Mayweather was.

Outstanding boxing bets:

Avalos +3500

Yildrim +500
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Fight cancelled

 
Speaking of Pagano, W4 has been the most profitable SNF over out of all the weeks and Pagano 6-0-1 O/U SNF. Has anyone looked at that one yet.

 
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ChainsawU said:
Air Force/New Mexico o50½ -110
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"Air Force utilizes plenty of men on offense, as 20 different players have recorded a run. Tim McVey has been the workhorse over the last few years, leading the team with 204 yards and two scores [in 2017]. Two years ago in UNM's 47-35 win over Air Force, McVey scored all five Air Force touchdowns." McVey has played in all 30 Air Force games since 2015 and owns six career TDs versus New Mexico - the most he's scored versus any Air Force opponent.

Since 2015 Air Force 17-10-3 O/U:
McVey TD = 0: 5-7-2 O/U
McVey TD > 0: 12-3-1 O/U

 
Someone please talk me out of backing up the truck on UGA -8 in Knoxville this Saturday? 

Home game in Neyland... sure... but so was UMass. The Crowds are thinning... the fans have turned on Butch. The team is dinged up. 

 

 
hagmania said:
Man, kinda liked the odds even more if our guy was cheating.
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Whole thing was weird from the start. Will be fading Wilder against any credible opp until he loses tho. Might back up the truck if he fights Joshua next year.

 
[icon] said:
please talk me out of backing up the truck
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What's up dude. This comes with an obligatory shrug, but since you asked, seven out of every 10 people who bet the spread in this game are laying > a touchdown on the road. That's not a spot I'd want to be in. And the number has already been stepped on. Vegas is like Rome in a lot of ways, and not just regarding erotic artifacts and architecture. A city like that isn't built overnight.

:shrug:

 
ChainsawU said:
What's up dude. This comes with an obligatory shrug, but since you asked, seven out of every 10 people who bet the spread in this game are laying > a touchdown on the road. That's not a spot I'd want to be in. And the number has already been stepped on. Vegas is like Rome in a lot of ways, and not just regarding erotic artifacts and architecture. A city like that isn't built overnight.

:shrug:
Click to expand...
Thanks for the response! I do hate laying 8 on the road, but this Vols team just looks like dog#### and Georgia looks like a legit top 10-12 squad. I'm just torn. The only concern I have is their playing to level of opponent... OT road win against solid Ga Tech squad and a decent Florida team needed a hail mary in the swamp to best us. But then I look at stinkers like the UMass game combined with the overall "Dead Man Walking" Feeling around the program... Just feels like Georgia is going to walk into Neyland and drive that stake into Jones' heart.  But I suppose you're right... 

Any thoughts on Miss St getting 9 going into Auburn? 

Beginning to wonder if a UGA -1.5 / AUB -2.5 tease doesn't feel +EV.... 

 
[icon] said:
Georgia looks like a legit top 10-12 squad.
Click to expand...
Sagarin has them at #8, so you're right. But look at recent history. Tennessee has scored 179 points on Georgia the L5 seasons (36±5 ppg). That's the most points that Georgia has allowed to any team during that time, with the next-closest being 137 allowed in five games versus the Gamecocks. So since 2012 Tennessee has scored 42 more points on Georgia than any other team in football. The last time Georgia beat them by more than 8 points was seven years ago, with the last six games decided by 8,7,3,3,-7,-3 points per game. And the average line in those games was Georgia by a touchdown.

That's a strong argument not to back the truck up is all. I didn't mean to rain on you that hard. :lol:

 
[icon] said:
Any thoughts on Miss St getting 9 going into Auburn?
Click to expand...
I'm on a lot of MAC stuff. But someone in here will, no doubt. Yo, I'd been meaning to tell you we should have just taken Toledo 1H last week! The second half of that game kind of got out of hand. Gus had the right idea. He had the Rockets +7 1H and cashed the #### out of that ticket.

 
ChainsawU said:
Sagarin has them at #8, so you're right. But look at recent history. Tennessee has scored 179 points on Georgia the L5 seasons (36±5 ppg). That's the most points that Georgia has allowed to any team during that time, with the next-closest being 137 allowed in five games versus the Gamecocks. So since 2012 Tennessee has scored 42 more points on Georgia than any other team in football. The last time Georgia beat them by more than 8 points was seven years ago, with the last six games decided by 8,7,3,3,-7,-3 points per game. And the average line in those games was Georgia by a touchdown.

That's a strong argument not to back the truck up is all. I didn't mean to rain on you that hard. :lol:
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Zero worries man.... I asked for Info, and you hooked a brotha up bigtime. Thank you VERY much for the historicals. Eye opening. I'm admittedly too close to the Vols and am as down on them as anyone given last week's performance. File under the old "Nobody's ever as bad or as good as they looked in that last game". 

Again, really appreciate the info, GB. :thumbup:  

 
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