*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (5 Viewers)

[Peyton Marino]

You guys think they're making it up?  I just thought it was super interesting and that they take all the fun out of betting sports.  Didn't figure they were lying though.

I think DPP could have asked some more investigative questions and wrote an ultimately more informative article (ie: why not bet more? oh, Vegas won't take more. Well wait, why not keep a lower profile then? For the poker player, why not focus on 50/100 NL?) but he chose to do what he normally does, which is write fluff pieces. Which is fine I guess, I just think he could do better.

 

[Zegras11]

Well ####. Thanks for the heads up. 

Stephens saying Getz out and Gibson doubtful.

 

[JaxBill]

NHL

MTL-BUF ov 5 -135

PIT-CHI ov 5.5 -115

B2B for Pens, look at CHI TT over ? and 1st period ov 1.5

 

[TheGooRoo.]

I'm on gronk unders, hammer away fellas

 

[Pigskin Fanatic]

I'm on gronk unders, hammer away fellas

Sleeperbot posted about 10 minutes ago he's likely out for the game. My local took the game off the board about 5 minutes ago.

 

[ChainsawU]

Since last season Pats 19-4 SU and 16-6-1 ATS:
Gronkowski receptions > 0: 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS
Gronkowski receptions = 0: 13-0 SU and 11-1-1 ATS

Last time Gronk went without a catch and the Pats lost was Dec 06, 2015.

 

[mquinnjr]

Are the odds makers just ####### with me?  Washington State opened +2 to +2.5 vs Oregon.  It's now WSU -2.5 but I pounced at the open and hold WSU +2.  For the life of me, I cannot understand this opening line.  Oregon's going with either a QB (Taylor Alie, who can't throw a forward pass with any accuracy) that was converted to WR but thrust back into QB action after 2 high recruits transferred because they were stuck behind Hebert or a true freshman QB who had to burn his redshirt last week because Alie was concussed.  The drop-off from starter to back-up QB in Oregon's history has been an abysmal failure - see the Alamo Bowl vs TCU or injuries to Mariota, Dennis Dixon, Kellen Clemons in the past.  The offense seems to go from Ferrari to Geo every single time.  

And now red hot Washington State comes in, fresh off a USC victory last Friday?  A team that donkey punched Oregon last year and won in Eugene two years ago as 17 point dogs?  A team with a Heisman contender at QB, a sound run game and a defense that sealed the victory over USC?  

I don't get it.  I mean, I'm going to the game on Saturday, I'll be rooting for the Ducks, but I am astonished that oddsmakers listed the Ducks as favorites early in the week.  Makes me worry a bit holding this big WSU +2 ticket.  Call it the misery hedge, but I don't see any way the Ducks win this game with a back-up QB.  Not against this WSU team.

Public is dumb, enjoy the value! I like Wazzu under a FG anyways.

 

[Adderall Slim]

I'm on gronk unders, hammer away fellas

Under 5 receptions and 72.5 yards playable?  Thanks.

 

[facook]

Are the odds makers just ####### with me?  Washington State opened +2 to +2.5 vs Oregon.  It's now WSU -2.5 but I pounced at the open and hold WSU +2.  For the life of me, I cannot understand this opening line.  Oregon's going with either a QB (Taylor Alie, who can't throw a forward pass with any accuracy) that was converted to WR but thrust back into QB action after 2 high recruits transferred because they were stuck behind Hebert or a true freshman QB who had to burn his redshirt last week because Alie was concussed.  The drop-off from starter to back-up QB in Oregon's history has been an abysmal failure - see the Alamo Bowl vs TCU or injuries to Mariota, Dennis Dixon, Kellen Clemons in the past.  The offense seems to go from Ferrari to Geo every single time.  

And now red hot Washington State comes in, fresh off a USC victory last Friday?  A team that donkey punched Oregon last year and won in Eugene two years ago as 17 point dogs?  A team with a Heisman contender at QB, a sound run game and a defense that sealed the victory over USC?  

I don't get it.  I mean, I'm going to the game on Saturday, I'll be rooting for the Ducks, but I am astonished that oddsmakers listed the Ducks as favorites early in the week.  Makes me worry a bit holding this big WSU +2 ticket.  Call it the misery hedge, but I don't see any way the Ducks win this game with a back-up QB.  Not against this WSU team.

I think you're right that they SHOULD win easily except it's a tough spot for WSU.  Huge win over USC last game, first time away from home this season.  At least that's what the Twitter handicappers say.  

 

[ChainsawU]

Pats 1H -7 +195
Pats 1H -2½ +100
NE touchdowns o3 -175
NE touchdowns =3 +290

 

[Adderall Slim]

Never mind, Gronk's inactive.

 

[ChainsawU]

Pats/Bucs u55 -120

 

[ChainsawU]

Interesting that Pats have a nine-day break before starting division play; versus Jets. Pats play their division games in weeks 6,12,13,14,16,17.

 

[ChainsawU]

Falcons kind of have it the same way, not starting play until week nine. Falcons' division games occur in weeks 9,12,14,15,16,17.

 

[facook]

Any early NFL leans?  In a contest where I have to pick 7 games ATS each week and I'm sort of at the middle of the pack...and this week looks brutal to the average joe's eye.

7?  Wow.  I do one picking 5. It's brutally hard this week in my opinion.  The spreads in mine are not the same as Supercontest, they are a little different and set by CBS.  So far I have 49ers +1.5, Bills +3.5, Giants -3.5, Eagles -6.5, and Jets +1.5.  Of those I waver the most on NYG and Philly.

 

[ChainsawU]

first time away from home this season

good spot

 

[ChainsawU]

On those NFL I'd lean backing Pagano ATS after a loss and fading Chiefs trying to MNF to SNF in the same week.

 

[ChainsawU]

HEY!

 

[jamil]

Thegooroo(dot) might be the best poster in here when it works.

 

[ChainsawU]

Last time Gronk went without a catch and the Pats lost was Dec 06, 2015.

This also happens to be the last time both Edelman and Gronk went without a reception. Brady had Edelman in all of those L13 wins without Gronk.

 

[ChainsawU]

James White had 10 receptions for 115 yards that game.

 

[comfortably numb]

Lotta juice but squeezed in u3.5 - 175 for Argentina and peru

 

[ChainsawU]

NE/TB total points 43-49 +385

 

[swirvenirvin]

Gronk not playing all 16 games!

 

[lumpy19]

Gronk not playing all 16 games!

Who offered that?

 

[swirvenirvin]

Who offered that?

bunch of books.  Got it at several places juice ranging from -450 to -600 tho

 

[swirvenirvin]

Good week for futures in Mitch and Gronk

 

[mquinnjr]

Let's go 

 

[gussy]

Evans O83.5 (-125)
Humphries O4 (-125)
Humphries O46.5 (-135)
Amendola O4.5 (-145)

 

[lumpy19]

Great, he throws to Hogan, the only Patriot over I didn't bet

 

[ChainsawU]

Ron Rivera career 18-5-2 O/U artificial surface 56±16 ppg. That's the best coach in the league in that spot. They saw ≥ 41 points in 23 of the 25 games. One unit on this and then on Sunday I'm going to buy the highest number I can find at the + number, all the way up to 47 if I can.

Panthers/Lions o41 -140

 

[swirvenirvin]

Hoyer/Goff > Brady/Winston

 

[lumpy19]

I thought new England declined the penalty when amendola had the 14 yard catch?

 

[Clorox]

I thought new England declined the penalty when amendola had the 14 yard catch?

He said they declined but also that it was a first down, so I was confused too

 

[swirvenirvin]

Great, he throws to Hogan, the only Patriot over I didn't bet

was scared of the over only grabbed amendola overs and winston

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Get Martin out of there!

 

[gussy]

Two penalties and Amendola has 3 receptions instead of 5. UGH.

 

[got_nugs]

Winston looks like all the poo tonight.

 

[ChainsawU]

This looks like a trifecta for Mr. Action Junkie on Sunday. Check it out - three home teams at pick'em in each of the three time slots: Browns, Rams, and Texans. They all cost 11 to win ten right now, but those probably get cheaper by Sunday if the % remain the same. I'd take them all at +101 right now if they let me.

 

[ChainsawU]

looks like Browns/Jets set Sagarin's system(s) back twenty years

 

[kevzilla]

looks like Browns/Jets set Sagarin's system(s) back twenty years

What about Giants/Chargers?

 

[lumpy19]

Alright amendola overs in, throw to cooks

 

[ChainsawU]

Pats 3Q -½ +125

 

[ChainsawU]

Pats 2H -3 +137
Pats 2H -4½ +180

 

[lumpy19]

Winston BEEEEELOWS

 

[swirvenirvin]

Winston BEEEEELOWS

guys are wide open.. he is turrable

 

[gussy]

Folking Folk dumb mother Folker

 

[ChainsawU]

wind SSW 20-30 mph chance of rain 90%

Minnesota/Purdue u46½ -110 2u

 

[got_nugs]

Folking Folk dumb mother Folker

2 weeks 6 missed kicks

 

[lumpy19]

Brate is killing me, o33.5 bro stop the dropsies

THANKS BUDDY!!!!