*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (13 Viewers)

[ChainsawU]

my wife puked all over their bathroom

that's SO unNavylike! dude I would do something nice for her today

 

[ChainsawU]

Went to bed at halftime, can't imagine how the golden gophers covered the 4. You don't want to know and I don't know.

 

[ArbyMelt]

I think buying his service is a good investment.

His twitter indicates a losing year last year. I think I'll stick to the free guy who clobbers openers.

 

[lumpy19]

His twitter indicates a losing year last year. I think I'll stick to the free guy who clobbers openers.

he released into friday night limits and still had ~2points of CLV.  He's releasing earlier this year and I'm not worried about a 1 year sample.  Nothing wrong with the free guy and a service.

 

[ArbyMelt]

he released into friday night limits and still had ~2points of CLV.  He's releasing earlier this year and I'm not worried about a 1 year sample.  Nothing wrong with the free guy and a service.

I'm just happy to find a way to at least break even on straight bets to not only cover/disguise my Prop betting, but to also hit the rollovers. 

I checked out that procap website and his documentation, you are right he is getting good line value even on his losses. Seems solid. 

 

[lumpy19]

Wish Ty Mont wasn't coming back today, really screws things up

 

[Tiger Fan]

he released into friday night limits and still had ~2points of CLV.  He's releasing earlier this year and I'm not worried about a 1 year sample.  Nothing wrong with the free guy and a service.

CLV = closing line value?

 

[lumpy19]

CLV = closing line value?

yes

 

[hagmania]

LoL Worlds 2017

SKT, despite being the overall tournament favorites and 3-0 in their first week of group play, enter Week 2 with an average Gold Differential at 15 Minutes (GD@15) of -1,119. They play a methodical macro game, slowly taking away resources from their opponents until they finally overwhelm them.

This setup time does allow early game objectives to other teams, which SKT will cede in favor of their consistent timing patterns with their champions drafted.

Kkoma, SKT's coach, won't fix what isn't broken. I'm fading their early game objectives, which all of the "beatable" props revolve around.

AHQ vs SKT

AHQ First Blood +130, Tower +150, Dragon +150

EDG vs SKT

EDG First Blood +115, Tower +130, Dragon +130

5-1 here. EDG got an early lead but could not put SKT away. 6-2 Worlds Day 8, +5.75u

 

[lumpy19]

Wow some sweet primetime games this week

 

[Tiger Fan]

Kittle or Hooper in non PPR?

 

[hagmania]

Kittle or Hooper in non PPR?

Silva seems optimistic on both, think I would lean Kittle based on his column

 

[gussy]

Research sure speeds up when I'm only looking for under type plays. Here's who I'm targeting:

Maclin
Crowell
Montgomery
L. Murray
Ajayi
J. Reed
Hyde
M. Evans
Bortles
Hurns
M. Lee
Woods
Watkins
T. Hill
Carr
J. Cook
Siemian
D. Thomas
any NYG RB's
Gore
D. Murray
any Titans WR's

 

[Tiger Fan]

Silva seems optimistic on both, think I would lean Kittle based on his column

thanks

 

[facook]

Facook/Regular Guy, I'd be interested in sharing.

No thanks, I mostly meant I was interested from a curiosity standpoint, not so much interested in investing.  Sorry to confuse.

I would like a pm of your free twitter line killer though if you are willing to share.  If not, no biggie.

 

[The Ref]

San Diego St wait!

Wrongy McWrong Pants

we move on

 

[ChainsawU]

Coming off the bye, playing with revenge, at home, after the neutral-site game: Saints score ≥ 30 and win by double digits whether Stafford plays or not.

Saints Over 27 -110
Lions/Saints o51 +106

 

[ChainsawU]

Vikes just had that MNF game. Since 2010 McCarthy and the Pack are 17-2 SU scoring 36±9 points per game with the opponent coming in on 5 days rest. The total went 15-4 to the over (9-0 O/U away). They get the Vikings twice in that spot this season. sdql

Packers o24 -120

 

[ChainsawU]

SNF 45-23-2 (.662) O/U L5 seasons 51±13 ppg.

Giants/Broncos o38 -130

more at -102

 

[got_nugs]

Wife and I just got back from a neighbors house. The 4 of us finished 6 bottles of wine and my wife puked all over their bathroom. We cleaned it all up...but the shower curtain didn't make it.

I'm not shocked that you offered to clean their bathroom given your tub fetish.  Mrs nugs got a kick out of your story and says she hopes your lady is feeling better this am.

 

[comfortably numb]

I'm not shocked that you offered to clean their bathroom given your tub fetish.  Mrs nugs got a kick out of your story and says she hopes your lady is feeling better this am.

Thanks!

She is up and about...going to target to get a gift card to give to them to replace curtain

 

[Mr.Pack]

Wish Ty Mont wasn't coming back today, really screws things up

I'm just not convinced he will be a factor today. Jones proved he can run and block. If he plays well early, I think they rest TM another week and in reality try to rest him next week too with a bye the following week.

 

[ChainsawU]

It's all division matchups from now thru week 9 on MNF

This will be the Colts' first division game this season. First division game! Division opener.

Pagano 23-7 SU and 19-10-1 ATS versus the division (11-3 SU and 10-3-1 ATS away). He has only faced division opponents five times without Andrew Luck - five games in 2015 in which the Colts went 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS (weeks 4,5,14,15,17 of 2015). They've had a lot of "dress rehearsals" to prepare for this game without Andrew, holy crap. Week 6 Monday Night Football Division opener. Just sounds crazy to me.

Since 1989 the Underdog in a MNF division opener has gone 21-14-2 ATS and 23-14 to the over (13-3 O/U since 2008). No one has released a total yet.

 

[comfortably numb]

Marseille - 115 with a road win can jump from 6th place into a tie with Monaco for 2nd. Meanwhile Strasbourg looks like they are heading back to the 2nd division this year

 

[gussy]

Maclin U4 and U45.5
Crowell U49.5
Ajayi U65.5, 66.5, 67.6
J. Reed U49.5
Hyde U54.5

 

[ChainsawU]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DMMeu5MVAAEKNnr.jpg

 

[comfortably numb]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DMMeu5MVAAEKNnr.jpg

Too bad Aaron Rodgers couldn't have landed on her succulent thighs

 

[regularguy]

Big luck element in today's Talladega race, but here's what I've played.

Stenhouse -125 o Kenseth
Elliott -120 o Kenseth
Kyle Busch -120 o Truex
Hamlin -115 o Earnhardt
Keselowski -150 o Earnhardt
A. Dillon -110 o Suarez
A. Dillon -110 o Jones
T. Dillon -110 o Patrick
Menard -120 o Allmendinger

 

[ChainsawU]

they're just letting everyone lay a juiced 3 on Sunday without Minnesota even naming a QB yet

They knew. The book knew Rodgers would pull an Aikman. And now we'll never know

 

[ChainsawU]

Too bad Aaron Rodgers couldn't have landed on her succulent thighs

That's what I should've said!

 

[comfortably numb]

A.C. Milan changed up there lineup to a more aggressive one.

I'll bite they can get 1 goal

TT o1 -130

 

[gussy]

Ravens 2H -3 (-125)

 

[hagmania]

I've got a bug in me to clean up and redo the cable management (read: implement for the first time) in my computer room. Which means i need some late-night action plays! Quick hits on SDQL that give me brief justification. Also, OVERS.

Oregon-Stanford o58 - These two teams have went 3-1 O/U playing each other since 2013.

San Jose St-Hawaii o60.5 - Hawaii 12-5 O/U in conference games at Home since 2013.

https://i.imgur.com/ytbZy7f.jpg

It's one of the ugliest cable jobs I've ever seen, but by god it already makes a ton of difference to me not just seeing free wires every which way. I've got some ideas for the next build now at least.

 

[zander_s]

https://i.imgur.com/ytbZy7f.jpg

It's one of the ugliest cable jobs I've ever seen, but by god it already makes a ton of difference to me not just seeing free wires every which way. I've got some ideas for the next build now at least.

I've seen much worse from people that are supposedly "in the biz". 

 

[comfortably numb]

Looks like Rodgers is done for the the year

 

[hagmania]

https://t.co/58vmVqeYLs

Lol

 

[LOCO]

raiders -2.5

 

[zander_s]

Jags -1

 

[lumpy19]

AP goes over on the first drive, at least I don't have to sweat that bet anymore

 

[comfortably numb]

Tease.

o39.5 kc/pit & o31.5 nyg/den

 

[ChainsawU]

what was the payout if you took Miami -17 2H

 

[Good Posting Judge]

https://t.co/58vmVqeYLs

Lol

I don't think that's particularly humorous what if he has some actual questions regarding the workplace and how best to optimize his performance.

 

[zander_s]

Allen Eastman

Jacksonville (-2.5) over Los Angeles Rams

I think that Jacksonville is going to build on its win last week at Pittsburgh. The Jaguars are back at home. This is their first home game in four weeks. And I think that they will have a home-field advantage in this one as the fans get behind this team and its winning record. The Rams have to fly all the way across the country for this one. It is not an early start, but the Rams still have to travel one week after losing their big game against Seattle. The Rams are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven. Los Angeles is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games and 1-7 ATS after a loss. This team is overvalued. I think that the Jaguars are underrated, and they are 4-2 ATS in their last five games, with one of the losses coming in OT. The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team that is above .500. Jacksonville will get the job done.

?

 

[swirvenirvin]

AP goes over on the first drive, at least I don't have to sweat that bet anymore

what and where was he listed.. would have lost that for sure but I didnt see anything

 

[lumpy19]

what and where was he listed.. would have lost that for sure but I didnt see anything

bookmaker u48.5

 

[swirvenirvin]

bookmaker u48.5

must have missed it.. although bookmaker did suck today lots of laggy issues

 

[facook]

?

He is an auto fade.

 

[ArbyMelt]

what and where was he listed.. would have lost that for sure but I didnt see anything

Was 62.5 during the week at Bovada, glad they limited me to $100

 

[ChainsawU]

2nd Half Over 22½ -107
Chiefs 2nd Half Over 13½ +100

 

[swirvenirvin]

Was 62.5 during the week at Bovada, glad they limited me to $100

damn forgot to look at the midweek ####..

although have no bovada right not but hopefully chagning soon