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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (5 Viewers)

@swirvenirvin Here's what I have:

Ben 13 1/2
Ben 156 1/2
Bell 38 1/2 RU
Bell 3 1/2
Bell 36 1/2 RE

Dalton 9 1/2
Dalton 104 1/2
AJ 34 1/2

thoughts?

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Under 43 is gonna go to ####.

Bet 3 of those unders from that division list and lost them all.

I'm going back to not paying attention ?

 
So I've noticed that whenever I play a ncaab player prop at Bovada the line moves .5-.10 cents.  I don't bet nearly enough to move it on money amount, so I assume I've been flagged or something.  I like it.

 
Frostillicus said:
So I've noticed that whenever I play a ncaab player prop at Bovada the line moves .5-.10 cents.  I don't bet nearly enough to move it on money amount, so I assume I've been flagged or something.  I like it.
Click to expand...
If you show any sort of aptitude, they'll auto-shift the juice when you play  something. Bovada are too dumb to have any real opinion about how many points Trae Young is going to score against Baylor. They get their lines from some outside dude who's only about 10% less of a moron than they are.

Have I thought about auto-shifting the juice the wrong way, and being in league with someone who would then pound the right side at optimal juice? GD right. 

It is also worth reiterating that these people are complete dummies. They copy other people's work, never stick their necks out first, and just get rich off dummies. It's a great racket, but lots of dummies fall ###-first into great rackets.

 
Good Posting Judge said:
If you show any sort of aptitude, they'll auto-shift the juice when you play  something. Bovada are too dumb to have any real opinion about how many points Trae Young is going to score against Baylor. They get their lines from some outside dude who's only about 10% less of a moron than they are.

Have I thought about auto-shifting the juice the wrong way, and being in league with someone who would then pound the right side at optimal juice? GD right. 

It is also worth reiterating that these people are complete dummies. They copy other people's work, never stick their necks out first, and just get rich off dummies. It's a great racket, but lots of dummies fall ###-first into great rackets.
Click to expand...
I kinda want that job as the dumb guy who sets the line.

 
Good Posting Judge said:
If you show any sort of aptitude, they'll auto-shift the juice when you play  something. Bovada are too dumb to have any real opinion about how many points Trae Young is going to score against Baylor. They get their lines from some outside dude who's only about 10% less of a moron than they are.

Have I thought about auto-shifting the juice the wrong way, and being in league with someone who would then pound the right side at optimal juice? GD right. 

It is also worth reiterating that these people are complete dummies. They copy other people's work, never stick their necks out first, and just get rich off dummies. It's a great racket, but lots of dummies fall ###-first into great rackets.
Click to expand...
As much as it sucks for us (and I'm not cut at sportsbook, I'm flat out banned which I feel is a feather in my cap) it makes sense.  We should start our own book.  No props and if anyone starts winning we just cut them.  Boatlads.  

 
Frostillicus said:
As much as it sucks for us (and I'm not cut at sportsbook, I'm flat out banned which I feel is a feather in my cap) it makes sense.  We should start our own book.  No props and if anyone starts winning we just cut them.  Boatlads.  
Click to expand...
I'd only offer multi-way props. First TD, first basket made, first HR, first goal, which stupid horse is going to win, etc. etc. People eat that #### up.

 
Frostillicus said:
I kinda want that job as the dumb guy who sets the line.
Click to expand...
If you can be the bank: https://payperhead.com/

I don't have that kind of scratch, and don't like being the book with people I know. I was asked if I wanted to be an agent after I referred some friends to a local that was I was referred to by my friend, as I settle their accounts with our guy. Great setup, meets me down the block from where I live when it's convenient for me. You'd owe 10% of wins and keep 25% of losses for your troubles. I don't have the stomach to take money from people I know knowing I'm enjoying their misery, never want to blur that line or catch a rap.

 
lumpy19 said:
So bummed I was asleep drooling all over my couch missing all the excitement.
Click to expand...
went to bed in the 3rd.. by looking at stats Pittsburgh had the ball the entire 4th qtr and cincy basically went 3-0 every time they had the ball?

 
mquinnjr said:
If you can be the bank: https://payperhead.com/

I don't have that kind of scratch, and don't like being the book with people I know. I was asked if I wanted to be an agent after I referred some friends to a local that was I was referred to by my friend, as I settle their accounts with our guy. Great setup, meets me down the block from where I live when it's convenient for me. You'd owe 10% of wins and keep 25% of losses for your troubles. I don't have the stomach to take money from people I know knowing I'm enjoying their misery, never want to blur that line or catch a rap.
Click to expand...
I have a similar situation, keeping 20% of losses paying 0% for winnings though.

 
The Bengals TT never went over 23.5 last night, even when they were up 17-0. Huge red flag. They still had the entire 2H to play. Huge red flag since I knew Cincy never scores more than 20 in this game. Started live-betting Steelers ATS and ML. Bengals TT under 23.5. Over and over again. Then Steelers -14 2H for the death blow. On the final play of the game I was Ben Roethlisberger on one knee in my living room as time expired and it all worked.

 
ChainsawU said:
Dan! Lay the key number in all of sports on a game that kicks off twenty six days from now!
Click to expand...
Like I thought half the team got caught with a bunch of whores or something.  Also last time I unloaded on a bowl game suspension news was Oregon TCU 2 or 3 years ago.  Thank god my slow to react book canceled those bets

 
Dan Lambskin said:
Like I thought half the team got caught with a bunch of whores or something.  Also last time I unloaded on a bowl game suspension news was Oregon TCU 2 or 3 years ago.  Thank god my slow to react book canceled those bets
Click to expand...
Probably the worst beat I've ever suffered

 
Posted earlier that I like this weekend's fight to go the distance earlier, but I think you can confidently narrow this one down to Lomachenko by Decision +185. 

Think Lomachenko wins narrowly without assistance, but I think the cards will be a little wide due to some, *ahem*, you know. Loma, as much as I love him, is Arum's golden goose and a possible PPV attraction, and he's going to make sure all safeguards :moneybag:  are in place. The weight issue (Rigondeaux moving up from 122 to 130) will probably play a part, too.

BTW this is straight up one of the best fights of the year, on paper. Both are technically peerless, albeit with very different styles. It's gonna some real wizard-v-wizard ####.

 
Carter (wvu) u 17.5p

Bridges (nova) o 16.5p

Perkins (zaga) u 3.5 made 3

Hogg (tamu) u 8r

Hogg (tamu) u 4 made 3

Battle (cuse) o 2 made 3

Adams (uconn) o 7.5r+a

 
UAB is 9-0 SU in this in-state rivalry. But that is history and they were all games in which they were heavily-favored.

Troy ML

 
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