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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (9 Viewers)

So I'm seeing a ML of around -$185-200 on NE. 16-0 in playoffs when facing a team for 1st time that year.

 
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Huskers -6
Huskers -3.5 Eff the Sharps. I guess I'll just keep taking your money.
Jayhawks -7
Creighton -12.5
Illinois St -3.5
Oregon -7.5
Drake +6
Drake +220
S. Utah/Montana St. O154.5
St. Joes PK
UL Lafayette -10.5
Iowa/NU U147.5
Cuse/Pitt U122
S. Dakota -8.5
Bill & Mary/UNC Wilmington O166

Leans
Bama -1
Georgia +7
Utah +8.5
TCU -3.5
Rutgers/Penn St. U130
Old Dominion/Charlotte O136.5

 
Leroy Hoard said:
So I'm seeing a ML of around -$185-200 on NE. 16-0 in playoffs when facing a team for 1st time that year.
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That's a good find. I got 15-0 for Belichick in that spot. However, as far as risk/return goes, eight of the 15 were decided by 4 points or less, with neutral site games decided by 3,3,4,6. You might be right with that public dog. But still risking two to win one. After doing zero research so far I still have no idea personally.

 
gussy said:
Huskers -6
Huskers -3.5 Eff the Sharps. I guess I'll just keep taking your money.
Jayhawks -7
Creighton -12.5
Illinois St -3.5
Oregon -7.5
Drake +6
Drake +220
S. Utah/Montana St. O154.5
St. Joes PK
UL Lafayette -10.5
Iowa/NU U147.5
Cuse/Pitt U122
S. Dakota -8.5
Bill & Mary/UNC Wilmington O166

Leans
Bama -1
Georgia +7
Utah +8.5
TCU -3.5
Rutgers/Penn St. U130
Old Dominion/Charlotte O136.5
Click to expand...
This is crazy man, how can you reasonably expect to win all these games?

 
Stuart Ullman said:
This is crazy man, how can you reasonably expect to win all these games?
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I don't expect to win all of those. I hope to win 60% of those. If I go .500 for 3 or 4 days and then have a 6-0 or 7-1 day every once in
a while, it's fine. It's how you get to keep gambling instead of starting over, waiting for credit card space and being really angry.

 
gussy said:
I don't expect to win all of those. I hope to win 60% of those. If I go .500 for 3 or 4 days and then have a 6-0 or 7-1 day every once in
a while, it's fine. It's how you get to keep gambling instead of starting over, waiting for credit card space and being really angry.
Click to expand...
I'd rather you pick one game you felt SURE about than putting your hands into luck over an entire day.

I don't believe you know each team's players so well you can forecast outcomes. Some of those have to be wild stabs or made on fleeting inferences.

Agree to disagree man, if you're bringing in stacks, bet 20 games of Women's Intrrnstional Volleyball for all I care.

 
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Stuart Ullman said:
I'm suggesting if he slowed down, he could hit much higher than 55%. Not specifically talking about bet size here. 
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Dude, when are you going to bet your customary Patriots -3.5 1H bet? I've been waiting on it. You always bet that. Do you seriously don't know the concept of hitting 55% of your bets over the long-term? Have you learned nothing from us? :lol:

Dude, you realize that during the time you've come here and started posting you could've earned an associates degree already. :lol:

 
Stuart Ullman said:
I'd rather you pick one game you felt SURE about than putting your hands into luck over an entire day.

I don't believe you know each team's players so well you can forecast outcomes. Some of those have to be wild stabs or made on fleeting inferences.

Agree to disagree man, if you're bringing in stacks, bet 20 games of Women's Intrrnstional Volleyball for all I care.
Click to expand...
You literally have zero idea what you're talking about. You are welcome to go back through all of my posted CBB plays the last month and report back
if you'd like. If you want my one "play of the day" that I feel most confident in, PM me. For a nominal fee I'll give it to you.

 
There are very few teams that I bet on that I don't or haven't watched. There's not one team in that
group that I haven't seen this year, and most of them I've seen numerous times. Speaking of which,
did any of you watch that crazy Drake finish? Of course you didn't. You don't watch Drake basketball.

It won. You're welcome.

 
gussy said:
You literally have zero idea what you're talking about. You are welcome to go back through all of my posted CBB plays the last month and report back
if you'd like. If you want my one "play of the day" that I feel most confident in, PM me. For a nominal fee I'll give it to you.
Click to expand...
PS. It's not Nebraska. With the amount you bet I can probably charge you, what, $200? PM me.

 
gussy said:
You literally have zero idea what you're talking about. You are welcome to go back through all of my posted CBB plays the last month and report back
if you'd like. If you want my one "play of the day" that I feel most confident in, PM me. For a nominal fee I'll give it to you.
Click to expand...
spoiler alert:  It's Nebraska

 
Em, just looked at my last two sheets of picks. 22-12 over my last 34, 64.7%.

It's going ok. Thanks for looking out.

 
I'm not on edge, having a fantastic day. Suns out, about to get my drink on before Husker hoops. I just think a long time ago
we all decided that you were probably the last person that any of us would take gambling strategy advice from. I told you on
Twitter. Know what you're good at and do it.

 
When Iowa travels to Lincoln to take on Nebraska, the Hawkeyes will be doing so with just two conference wins to their name, ahead of only Illinois in the Big Ten. Unsurprisingly, they opened as 6.5-point underdogs.

What is surprising is how the line has moved since then. Despite receiving only 19% of tickets — making them the least popular bet of today’s entire slate at the time of publication — Iowa has gone from +6.5 to +5, a strong indication that sharp bettors are among the minority taking the Hawks.

One explanation for the heavy sharp action is Iowa’s recent style of play. As college hoops guru Jordan Majewski notes, Iowa has been pounding the post as of late, making for a good matchup against a Nebraska team that has gone to a smaller lineup.

Need more reason to like Iowa? Two of the five winning systems in Bet Labs’ “Create a Pro System Contest” have matches on the Hawkeyes.

With both sharp action and on-court matchups lining up in Iowa’s favor, we could be looking at an upset in the Big Ten tonight.

 
This the Niagara dudes + their minutes played when they pulled the upset in this game last season, with a check mark next to the dudes who are back this season:

✔Prochet 35:00
✔Robb 17:00
✔Dukes 35:00
✔Scott 29:00
✔Barton 20:00
Taylor 20:00
✔Larkin 25:00
✔Towns 5:00
Gattling 11:00
Tew 3:00


They actually upset Canisius both games last season. These are just the minutes from the road upset. I figure they can go back and do it again. Seven of the 10 dudes are back. Why not.

 
Ooh child, Big Daddy got him some of that Niagara. Big Daddy, I'm put these beans on the stove till your Niagara kick in take hold. Cecil! That Niagara take hold yet?!

 
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gussy said:
There are very few teams that I bet on that I don't or haven't watched. There's not one team in that
group that I haven't seen this year, and most of them I've seen numerous times. Speaking of which,
did any of you watch that crazy Drake finish? Of course you didn't. You don't watch Drake basketball.

It won. You're welcome.
Click to expand...
Nice hit, Big Man. ;)  

 
gussy said:
You literally have zero idea what you're talking about. You are welcome to go back through all of my posted CBB plays the last month and report back
if you'd like. If you want my one "play of the day" that I feel most confident in, PM me. For a nominal fee I'll give it to you.
Click to expand...
Mine was Virginia.  If I'd posted it it would have lost!

 
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