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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (14 Viewers)
- Thread starter The Ref
- Start date
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
rebuilt offensive line and draft aRB in the 1st round for this.
Eli Manning’s first half passing chart, via Next Gen Stats. 16 of 20 for 97 yards, 4.9 YPA, 4 sacks.
Eli Manning’s first half passing chart, via Next Gen Stats. 16 of 20 for 97 yards, 4.9 YPA, 4 sacks.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
pass pass pass pass pass pass pass pass pass pass pass.. gonna go go 40-50 for 228
Stuart Ullman
Footballguy
The team is averaging 1.77 YPC. Seems like Dallas' defensive line is just eating New York's offensive line for lunch.
Remember a few years back when you said Gurley sucked because he had a bad line? Fast forward a few years later and now he's the man. You know, I'm not really sure I had a point here but definitely bookmark how ####ty New York's offensive line looks tonight, lol.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
look at that running game go
Warehouse Nasty
Footballguy
I logged in here to check on this. I was owed from Aug. Never got a note. Then I reached out. New guy said he forgot, and would send ASAP. Still waiting, and now it’s halfway through Sep. Anybody else?
gmbacm
Footballguy
Stuart Ullman
Footballguy
So there's a legit chance this Eli Manning completion bet might not go over. 
Stuart Ullman
Footballguy
THAT'S WHAT I DO!!!Stuart Ullman said:
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
missed my other post.. I dropped the site and told him to shut it down. Red flags always been there but now with 4 different people running the accounts and many many excuses writing is on the wall
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
That ####### sucked
Stuart Ullman
Footballguy
1H - Panthers O9.5, EVEN (W)
1H - Packers ML, EVEN (W)
2H - Packers ML, +193 (L)
Eli Manning O24.5 completions, -125 (W)
Given my role in this thread, it's important for me to lead by example and that's exactly what I did today by going 3-1 (75%). I know exactly what needs to be done to turn a winning day on NFL Sunday. It's easy to be tempted into betting multiple games and making a ton of bets, but less is more. We've got 17 weeks of this and precision is more important than having a piece of action on every game.
If you want action, play Draft Kings. Sports gambling is about efficiency. Notice how my ONLY LOSS was a +193 underdog play? Efficiency. I have a play I REALLY like tomorrow at significant plus money but I'm going to let the dust settle at little before I post it. How did everyone else do today? Can anyone beat my 75%?
1H - Packers ML, EVEN (W)
2H - Packers ML, +193 (L)
Eli Manning O24.5 completions, -125 (W)
Given my role in this thread, it's important for me to lead by example and that's exactly what I did today by going 3-1 (75%). I know exactly what needs to be done to turn a winning day on NFL Sunday. It's easy to be tempted into betting multiple games and making a ton of bets, but less is more. We've got 17 weeks of this and precision is more important than having a piece of action on every game.
If you want action, play Draft Kings. Sports gambling is about efficiency. Notice how my ONLY LOSS was a +193 underdog play? Efficiency. I have a play I REALLY like tomorrow at significant plus money but I'm going to let the dust settle at little before I post it. How did everyone else do today? Can anyone beat my 75%?
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got_nugs
Footballguy
Yeah I was thinking that TD pass was nice for you, catching the attempts by the hook while staying under the yards. Unlucky and stupid.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
good night 10-4 I think, but thought we caught a break there with Eli. 11-3 would have been more fun. Getting reverse swept by stupid Eli is the worst
regularguy
Footballguy
Thanks swirve! Like old times
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Wait, so Kurt's out?
Stuart Ullman
Footballguy
"Hello my name is Mike, I will be filling in for KH while he is in Tulsa, OK at CTCA undergoing chemotherapy and treatment for cancer. He is sub agent that essentially showed me the ropes years ago. We both happen to also work under the same agent that is based in San Jose, Costa Rica. I am sure there are many prayers going out his way along with mine. He is not only a friend but a co-worker that showed me this type of business can be run with integrity and honesty. All customers will be paid on time and the same is expected in return. If you do not have the financial means to play, please seek out a store that requires a deposit so that you do not get stuck and unable to play. Essentially, play within your means, do not bet with rent money, your child’s college tuition money, etc.
There will only be a few changes while I am operating while I am operating here at Wager707, looking after KH’s accounts.
-Monthly settle up number for ALL customers is 400
-The end of each month will fall on the last Sunday of the month closest to the last day of the month
-If your account is 400+ or 400- we settle up
Note: All balances will be rounded up to the next whole dollar. Meeting $399.01 equals $400
-The Friday following settle up Sunday, customers will need to send out their package along with a tracking number to me at wager 707.cs@gmail.com. Depending on the length of KH’s absence, a cell phone number to reach me will be provided if need be. This number can be used to send tracking numbers, submit requests, or ask general questions.
In return customers receiving packages after a winning month will also receive a tracking number on the Friday following settle up Sunday. With the exception of unusually busy months, then you should expect your package to be shipped out on Monday along with receiving your tracking number.
NOTE: Please send all packages FedEx, UPS 2nd day, or USPS priority overnight. Please deduct $20 from your balance to cover cost of your shipping.
This should cover many of the questions, feel free to contact me at anytime should you have any other questions. Will be glad to help. Taking on the extra customers may slow me down a bit but I will get back to you as soon as possible. Always good to have football back. I hope you enjoy the season. Also don’t forget to put a good word in with the big guy regarding KH. Let’s hope he returns to health.
Regards,
Mike"
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mquinnjr
Footballguy
Stuart Ullman
Footballguy
Seahawks ML, +180
This play to me is the most polarizing play of the week. I liked it on Friday when it was +150. I liked it even more on Saturday when it was +165. I am absolutely head over heels in love with it at +180. I don't understand why the line is what it is. I don't understand who in their right mind would bet the Chicago Bears at -215. Hell, I don't even know the last time the Bears were the favorite in an NFL game. I'm not sure what it is that I "don't know" or am "missing" in this equation.
The Chicago Bears are 6 - 18 (25%) over the past 3-season at home. The current narrative is that "the sky falling" in Seattle and that "things are turning the corner" in Chicago. But why? What proof do we have of that? The Seahawks barely lost to a tough Broncos team on the road 24-27 in the season opener. The Bears barely lost to a Green Bay Packers team that didn't have Aaron Rodgers for almost half the game.
I get it. The Bears signed Khalil Mack and he's a "game changer". But if he's this unstoppable force, why did the Oakland Raiders only go 6-10 last year? Why did the Bears defense give up 21 points in the 4th Quarter to lose, if Khalil Mack is such a game changer? You know who else is a game changer? Russell Wilson. The guy has been a top tier Quarterback since he joined the league and I'm comfortable putting him in the same tier as Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. He can beat the Bears by himself. If the Seahawks give up points on every defensive possession, I have faith that Russell Wilson can match them point-for-point. The Seahawks have not had a losing record since Wilson came to town
2012: 11-5
2013: 13-3
2014: 12-4
2015: 10-6
2016: 10-5-1
2017: 9-7
Yes, this is Russell Wilson's 7th year as a pro (feel old yet?). His career record is 65-30-1 (72%). Mitchell Trubisky's career record is 5-9. The two Quarterbacks aren't even in the same league. But somehow, this Bears defense is supposed to stonewall one of the most dynamic Quarterbacks in the league? Then, on top of that Mitchell Trubisky is going to outgun Russell Wilson as well? I just don't see it. Don't even get me started on Doug Baldwin. Doug Baldwin wouldn't be Doug Baldwin without Russell Wilson. The same way that Tom Brady makes everyone he plays with superstars.
If the Seahawks can't beat the Bears. Who can they beat? Are they going to go 0-16? No, they're not. This entirely line is based on the narrative that the Seahawks are a team on the decline and the Bears are a team on the upswing. And while that might make sense on paper, there was nothing I personally saw Week 1 that indicated that that's the case. It's pretty simple to me, the Bears only scored 1 Offensive Touchdown in Week 1. The Seahawks scored 3 Offensive Touchdowns against a much tougher Broncos Defense than the Bears Defense they will face on Monday.
The topper? Russell Wilson is 6-1 in his career on Monday Night Football. The guy is a winner.
This play to me is the most polarizing play of the week. I liked it on Friday when it was +150. I liked it even more on Saturday when it was +165. I am absolutely head over heels in love with it at +180. I don't understand why the line is what it is. I don't understand who in their right mind would bet the Chicago Bears at -215. Hell, I don't even know the last time the Bears were the favorite in an NFL game. I'm not sure what it is that I "don't know" or am "missing" in this equation.
The Chicago Bears are 6 - 18 (25%) over the past 3-season at home. The current narrative is that "the sky falling" in Seattle and that "things are turning the corner" in Chicago. But why? What proof do we have of that? The Seahawks barely lost to a tough Broncos team on the road 24-27 in the season opener. The Bears barely lost to a Green Bay Packers team that didn't have Aaron Rodgers for almost half the game.
I get it. The Bears signed Khalil Mack and he's a "game changer". But if he's this unstoppable force, why did the Oakland Raiders only go 6-10 last year? Why did the Bears defense give up 21 points in the 4th Quarter to lose, if Khalil Mack is such a game changer? You know who else is a game changer? Russell Wilson. The guy has been a top tier Quarterback since he joined the league and I'm comfortable putting him in the same tier as Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. He can beat the Bears by himself. If the Seahawks give up points on every defensive possession, I have faith that Russell Wilson can match them point-for-point. The Seahawks have not had a losing record since Wilson came to town
2012: 11-5
2013: 13-3
2014: 12-4
2015: 10-6
2016: 10-5-1
2017: 9-7
Yes, this is Russell Wilson's 7th year as a pro (feel old yet?). His career record is 65-30-1 (72%). Mitchell Trubisky's career record is 5-9. The two Quarterbacks aren't even in the same league. But somehow, this Bears defense is supposed to stonewall one of the most dynamic Quarterbacks in the league? Then, on top of that Mitchell Trubisky is going to outgun Russell Wilson as well? I just don't see it. Don't even get me started on Doug Baldwin. Doug Baldwin wouldn't be Doug Baldwin without Russell Wilson. The same way that Tom Brady makes everyone he plays with superstars.
If the Seahawks can't beat the Bears. Who can they beat? Are they going to go 0-16? No, they're not. This entirely line is based on the narrative that the Seahawks are a team on the decline and the Bears are a team on the upswing. And while that might make sense on paper, there was nothing I personally saw Week 1 that indicated that that's the case. It's pretty simple to me, the Bears only scored 1 Offensive Touchdown in Week 1. The Seahawks scored 3 Offensive Touchdowns against a much tougher Broncos Defense than the Bears Defense they will face on Monday.
The topper? Russell Wilson is 6-1 in his career on Monday Night Football. The guy is a winner.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Damn that sucks. Hope he pulls thru ok.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Campbell / Okolie / Joshua parlay, around -115, all on the same bill. Matchroom's very careful with their matchmaking, we should be ok here.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Entering the 2018 season, 13 consecutive teams failed to cover on the road in Week 2 after playing on the road in Week 1. The Chiefs ended that streak on Sunday, but the Texans fell victim to it again.
hagmania
Footballguy
This is something I had found a couple years ago and forgot. Thank you for reminding me. New hags takes notes.
hagmania
Footballguy
Speaking of taking notes: oh snap, the search function comes through with something.
Edit: it went 3-0 O/U last year ftr.
Edit2: Apparently 8-1-1?! According to SDQL I missed several games that qualified...
Edit3: Ohhhhhhh, winless is the key adjective. So yes, that was 3-0. Bigger trend in play it would seem.
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Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
What’s Pats road record when facing a former assistant coming off a loss?
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Wu-banger
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Very strange no one has posted Smiley like there's a major injury out there anythingTake your time bookmaker, I haven't been f5ing for 2 hours
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
All the books probably stopped offering them after that SNF beating you have them
Stuart Ullman
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Speaking of openers, is anyone up on PaddyPower or Bet365/living in Euro-land? Eyeballing una pelea next weekend that I think is gonna get opened way too low.
Stuart Ullman
Footballguy
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
week 3 winless teams away - BIlls, Raiders, Giants, Steelers and Bears(depending upon this evening)
BIlls and Steelers went over both games;
Raiders and Giants went under both games;
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Dave Mason just tweeted that 74% of tonight's action is on Inexplicably Being Logged Out (-2.5) over Error Message Stating That No Bets Can Be Displayed.
lumpy19
Footballguy
This has completely stopped for me, no issue since football started.
Lockett o3.5 -125 2x
Brandon o3 -125 2x
Russell o20.5 comp -130
Game Under 5.5 sacks -130
Trubisky u34.5 att -115
Dissly u2.5 rec -130
Stuart Ullman
Footballguy
Looks like a sweep to me. Except for that Dissly guy potentially catching some security blanket 5-yard catches if Bears pass rush is legit.
