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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (8 Viewers)

Brees 266+yds -115

Kamara 53+yds -125

Hill score 1st TD +1600

Edwards score 1st TD +2200

Kamara score 1st TD +600

 
Just to repeat what I said pre season. 

Be sure to get some Arizona futures wherever you can find it. Including Kyler for MVP. Obviously the prices aren't going to be as good as when I posted it originally and they are in a touch division, but if they aren't in the NFC championship game I'd be shocked. That team is nutty good. 

 
Cook 2/13 I’m glad they lost
I whiffed on that one, I thought cook would be the beneficiary of the Thomas loss.  He had 5 targets I guess but didn't seem to be involved in the game plan AND Brees threw 38 times which wasn't expected.  Just a whiff.

 
N Just to repeat what I said pre season. 

Be sure to get some Arizona futures wherever you can find it. Including Kyler for MVP. Obviously the prices aren't going to be as good as when I posted it originally and they are in a touch division, but if they aren't in the NFC championship game I'd be shocked. That team is nutty good. 
He was 10-1 when I looked last. Problem is he’s got R “I’ve never got a MVP vote” Wilson to contend with.

wilson gets hurt he’s probably the favorite.

 
It's early, yes but I want to start thinking about placing some Masters bets because I'll be at the casino this weekend. 

Let's just talk in terms of 'to win' right now. 

I'm looking hard at the following 

Rahm, Ancer, Xander, Bubba and Webb

Xanders price sucks because of his performance last year but hell be in all my Dfs lineups.

Bubba has actually been sneaky good on some key Masters metrics over the past few months and at +4000, I'm almost certain that's going to be a play for me. 

Any opinion or discussion on the others? 

Again, it's early, just throwing it out there. 

 
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Btw I brought it up this early because as the tourney gets closer, people start to focus more on past performance etc (the typical square metrics) and will remember quickly Bubba top 10d last year, won twice, and has been sneaky good this year without getting talked about. 

So what I'm saying, I expect Bubba not to be as good as +4000 in a few weeks. 

 
Two locks of the week:

TEN -2.5 and ARI -5.5

Think both teams roll against opponents that are severely out matched. 

Teaser of the week:

TEN +3.5, CLE -1.5, TB PK, ARI +0.5, CIN +12.5 & IND -4.5

 
Two locks of the week:

TEN -2.5 and ARI -5.5

Think both teams roll against opponents that are severely out matched. 

Teaser of the week:

TEN +3.5, CLE -1.5, TB PK, ARI +0.5, CIN +12.5 & IND -4.5
With the vikings at 0-2 and titans at 2-0, vikings home, I find that to be a bit of a stay away to be honest. However I'm over here shouting daily for months about Zona going 13-3 so I can't question ya there. 

Best of luck mate! 

 
Btw I brought it up this early because as the tourney gets closer, people start to focus more on past performance etc (the typical square metrics) and will remember quickly Bubba top 10d last year, won twice, and has been sneaky good this year without getting talked about. 

So what I'm saying, I expect Bubba not to be as good as +4000 in a few weeks. 
Give me Bryson and Finau

 
Give me Bryson and Finau
I'm already sitting on a Bryson 26-1 ticket from May. 

I have an issue w Finau right now w some of his stats. Course history is good to be sure and I think a top 10 bet is totally fine, not to mention (which is a complete BS fallacy) he is "due"... For me I'm not going to target him. He gets wild off the tee in big spots and Day 4s and I think he's definitely a nerves guy. He  needs to run wire to wire w a 3 stroke lead to win it IMO

 
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With the vikings at 0-2 and titans at 2-0, vikings home, I find that to be a bit of a stay away to be honest. However I'm over here shouting daily for months about Zona going 13-3 so I can't question ya there. 

Best of luck mate! 
It does look like a trap but Minnesota's defense is just so bad and now Barr is on IR. 

 
Two locks of the week:

TEN -2.5 and ARI -5.5

Think both teams roll against opponents that are severely out matched. 

Teaser of the week:

TEN +3.5, CLE -1.5, TB PK, ARI +0.5, CIN +12.5 & IND -4.5
Totally agree on the first two.  Tenn under a fg does seem trappy, but I think Minnesota is actually bad.

 
Niemann 150-1

Phil 100-1

Ancer 100-1

Sergio 100-1

Bet all of these a couple of months ago.  Only one I feel good about at all is Ancer.  Meh.

 
For the record, even though I had a ticket I made in May, I don't think DeChambeau is a horse for Augusta's course.

He thrives on his strength and destroying errant drives out of the rough, but Augusta, IMO, it's not really known for overgrown and difficult rough. Being strong doesn't help you get out of the thicket of a small forest of trees. Winged Foot was perfect for him. He's a talented golfer and a top 10 wouldn't shock me, but I'm not laying money at this point on Bryson.

Ancer is the answer. 

 
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AndrewClark said:
Btw I brought it up this early because as the tourney gets closer, people start to focus more on past performance etc (the typical square metrics) and will remember quickly Bubba top 10d last year, won twice, and has been sneaky good this year without getting talked about. 

So what I'm saying, I expect Bubba not to be as good as +4000 in a few weeks. 
Rahm for me, and my token Brandt Snedeker bet (assuming he’s in it)

no idea who this Ancer cat is but sounds like I’ll be betting him

 
CR69 said:
Gotcha. I'm just too much of a degenerate to only have a two leg teaser lol. I do try to apply the 3/7/10 threshold principle though, do I get points for that?
Dude I'm not judging.  You do you.  I just learned the hard way not to use those 2 points from 1 to the other 1.

 I often do 3 or 4 (or more) leg teasers if they wong.  Last week I did SF/KC/Bal when they were all either 7.5 or 8.5 faves.  I also got effed by the Colts week 1.  What do I know?

 
Rahm for me, and my token Brandt Snedeker bet (assuming he’s in it)

no idea who this Ancer cat is but sounds like I’ll be betting him
You will like rooting for him.  He is a gorgeous Mexican.  Looks like he should be playing the cartel boss on Netflix.

 
Dude I'm not judging.  You do you.  I just learned the hard way not to use those 2 points from 1 to the other 1.

 I often do 3 or 4 (or more) leg teasers if they wong.  Last week I did SF/KC/Bal when they were all either 7.5 or 8.5 faves.  I also got effed by the Colts week 1.  What do I know?
Well as much as I like to gamble I enjoy winning even more so keep the feedback coming! I just prefer high variance stuff because, well, I'm a degen. 

 

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