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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (5 Viewers)

CFB Sicko said:
Both the Heat and Thunder's last two games have gone under. So my general strategy is to PRESS those until the over hits in one or both. Really like that Heat / Raptors over.

7:30PM
1H - Rockets / Cavaliers O112
1H - Warriors / Pacers U117
Q1 - Celtics / Hawks O55.5

8:00PM

Q1 - Pistons / Pelicans O56.5
1H - Raptors / Heat  [Pick of the Day]
1H - Twolves ML, +140 (0.5 unit)
Spurs / Thunder O217.5 [Pick of the Day #2]

10:00PM
Q1 - Lakers +3 / ML +170 (0.25 unit on ML)

Parlay (+556):

Celtics ML, -125
Hornets / Suns U225.5
Lakers / Jazz O218.5
Click to expand...
In on all the 8pm plays. GL!!

 
CFB Sicko said:
Both the Heat and Thunder's last two games have gone under. So my general strategy is to PRESS those until the over hits in one or both. Really like that Heat / Raptors over.

7:30PM
1H - Rockets / Cavaliers O112
1H - Warriors / Pacers U117
Q1 - Celtics / Hawks O55.5

8:00PM

Q1 - Pistons / Pelicans O56.5
1H - Raptors / Heat  [Pick of the Day]
1H - Twolves ML, +140 (0.5 unit)
Spurs / Thunder O217.5 [Pick of the Day #2]

10:00PM
Q1 - Lakers +3 / ML +170 (0.25 unit on ML)

Parlay (+556):

Celtics ML, -125
Hornets / Suns U225.5
Lakers / Jazz O218.5
Click to expand...
CASH Q1 - Pistons / Pelicans O56.5

 
CFB Sicko said:
Both the Heat and Thunder's last two games have gone under. So my general strategy is to PRESS those until the over hits in one or both. Really like that Heat / Raptors over.

7:30PM
1H - Rockets / Cavaliers O112 L
1H - Warriors / Pacers U117 W
Q1 - Celtics / Hawks O55.5 W

8:00PM

Q1 - Pistons / Pelicans O56.5 W
1H - Raptors / Heat  [Pick of the Day] W
1H - Twolves ML, +140 (0.5 unit) L
Spurs / Thunder O217.5 [Pick of the Day #2] L

10:00PM
Q1 - Lakers +3 / ML +170 (0.25 unit on ML) W

Parlay (+556): L

Celtics ML, -125
Hornets / Suns U225.5
Lakers / Jazz O218.5
Click to expand...
Depending on how you want to grade that half unit risk on 1H Twolves ML, that's good for 5-3 or 5-2(0.5).

62 or 66%. Enough to win the daily battle. You start stacking a few days like this on top of each other and everyone is slapping high fives.

 
After a beating last night, I only bet two games tonight. I won both, but nothing to call home about. 

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Hi. If you’re getting ready for March, KenPom has Loyola-Chicago as the 10th best team in the country; and yet you can get them at +4500 to win it all, the 21st best odds. Seems like decent value to me.

I don’t bet much, just getting into March mode and noticed that. 

 
facook said:
I was wondering about you the other day.  Keep em coming bud.
Click to expand...
Last night I bet ARZ -156, LAK +137 and TBL -150 as individual bets. And all hit which was nice.

  • Then I also did a 3 team parlay with LAK, ARZ and COL (-175) which paid +511... and Colorado lost


Two nights ago I bet CHI +111 and PIT -106 as individual bets and they both hit as well

  • Then I did a 3 team parlay with those two and MTL over OTT (-202) which paid +513 and with the disallowed Montreal game winning goal, this was a really bad beat.


I've only been doing a half unit on the parlays, so I'm still well ahead for the week and the year but man, if those two games, which were both the biggest favourites of the night, had hit I would be feeling really good right now.

Not learning from my lessons, I do have a EDM/NJ/DAL/CGY parlay tonight as well  :bag:

 
Not a great night for hockey betting tonight.

I have Minnesota -172 so far.

There's a favourable edge on NYR +152 but I don't have a ton of confidence in them actually winning... might do .5u

I kind of like COL/ARZ o5.5, depending on who the starting goalies are. Kuemper left last game injured, if it's anything other than a Grubauer/Kuemper combo, I think it's a solid bet but will wait and see.

 
Northern Voice said:
Not a great night for hockey betting tonight.

I have Minnesota -172 so far.

There's a favourable edge on NYR +152 but I don't have a ton of confidence in them actually winning... might do .5u

I kind of like COL/ARZ o5.5, depending on who the starting goalies are. Kuemper left last game injured, if it's anything other than a Grubauer/Kuemper combo, I think it's a solid bet but will wait and see.
Click to expand...
I'm tailing tonight. Don't #### me (jk, you can #### me but please be gentle).

 
greedygoat said:
Your new boys get your play almost 2 hours before tip-off and we only get 20 minutes?  :shrug:
Click to expand...
It breaks my heart you think I would play favorites. 😭 Combination of timestamp issue and the game actually starting a half hour later than I thought.

Everybody gets the picks at the same time (relatively inconvenient intervals). Jesus usually whispers the leans into my head 15 to 20 minutes before gametime through the use of the Holy Spirit.

A slam dunk for believers in Christ.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
CFB Sicko said:
1H - UC Davis U64. Starts in 15 minutes.

@facook
Click to expand...
There used to be a kid around here.  Good kid for the most part, but every once in a while he'd lose his mind and get himself banned.  Had to keep coming back with different aliai.  When he got hot he'd have a certain catchphrase he would scream-type.  "That's who I am!" or "Look at what I can do!" or something similar.  I can't quite remember.  Anyway, was just thinking you should come up with a catchphrase like that to celebrate these sweet victories.  Just a suggestion.

Thanks for the winner!

 
Capella said:
Hi. If you’re getting ready for March, KenPom has Loyola-Chicago as the 10th best team in the country; and yet you can get them at +4500 to win it all, the 21st best odds. Seems like decent value to me.

I don’t bet much, just getting into March mode and noticed that. 
Click to expand...
I grabbed any tea but Zaga or Baylor -134

 
I had a $25 free bet expiring at MGM tonight--I just went boring and took a ML parlay of Clips/Warriors at -116. 

Memphis may be missing a few players tonight and there is no way they repeat what they did last night. 

$25 gets me $21.67 free money (hopefully).  

 
Northern Voice said:
####... trust the process I guess
Click to expand...
My logic is that we see dogs hit everyday. So that if you're not betting at least one dog straight up everyday, you're probably doing it wrong.

Especially when you consider that the whole market is built on getting people to overbuy the favorites.

Either way, great call. 

 
CFB Sicko said:
My logic is that we see dogs hit everyday. So that if you're not betting at least one dog straight up everyday, you're probably doing it wrong.

Especially when you consider that the whole market is built on getting people to overbuy the favorites.

Either way, great call. 
Click to expand...
Thanks. 🍻

And with this in mind... I'm adding Detroit +136. Malcolm Subban is in net for Chicago and he's been good lately but he's not as good as Lankinen and puts the Red Wings in play.

Edit - Dylan Larkin is out for Detroit, I would pass on this. 

 
Last edited by a moderator:
CFB Sicko said:
Kent State / Miami Ohio O146

You may have to grab live. Cutting it close.
Click to expand...
The one downside to using Pinnacle is less live betting options. I should probably get a second site going for line shopping anyway... What site are most people using here? I did a quick search on reddit and Pinnacle seems to still be regarded as the best for lines and fast payouts. Looks like a lot of people love Bet365 for live betting. 

Also looking further, these sites might still be geo-restricted in the US and I'm probably asking in the wrong place.

 
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