*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (13 Viewers)

[ChainsawU]

i got nuthin

 

[LoveKC]

teaser
SF pck
Rams +10

 

[ChainsawU]

one thing I remember from the old days is that Tomlin loves night games

 

[ChainsawU]

Darnell Washington scores a touchdown +1300 boosted (I know what boost is now)

 

[ChainsawU]

they were selling cards at 480 in a two-point game and i bought in. knew they didn't have a kicker. seemed like good value. cue the mason fumble and ensuing field goal. still high off it

 

[ChainsawU]

under sure looks like the play in the early mlb maybe 3 or 4 would be a better number

 

[ChainsawU]

det/cle
u6½ -140
u5½ +104
u4½ +210

 

[Raging weasel]

det/cle
u6½ -140
u5½ +104
u4½ +210

I know it's playoff baseball and Skubal on the mound but I have a really hard time betting an under of 5.5 especially with Boyd on the other side.

 

[ChainsawU]

me too. especially after seeing clevelands offense the other day. seems like an insane play but that 6.5 open knocked down to 6 and 5.5 in some places with 95% of the action on the over 93% of money they could've easily gotten people to bet o7 it's a huge trap somebodys getting shut out

 

[ChainsawU]

the 6.5 is gonna hit i just added the other two as ladder plays maybe i end up breaking even or -1 unit but I'd rather risk it for a chance at +4 units

 

[Raging weasel]

Tigers
Under 8
Skubal over 5.5 Ks
+246
Go Tigers!!

 

[ChainsawU]

tigers!

 

[ChainsawU]

that hpu was Ramon De Jesus just for future reference

 

[ChainsawU]

also that ball hit the ground in the 8th

 

[Raging weasel]

Tigers
Under 8
Skubal over 5.5 Ks
+246
Go Tigers!!

Using a little of the winnings for this parlay boosted to+1800
Saints +7.5
Carr over 213.5
Mahomes under 1.5 pass TDs
Kelce under 58.5 rec
Olave over 58.5 rec

This bet is to try and help my fantasy teams to get wins. If the opposite of all those things happen I should win both games

 

[ChainsawU]

Karlaftis sack -102

he's due

 

[Wingnut]

Hunt over 48.5 rush yds
Kamara over 24.5 receiving yds
Carr over 0.5 INT
+350

And

Hunt over 14.5 carries
+250

 

[Wingnut]

Hunt over 48.5 rush yds
Kamara over 24.5 receiving yds
Carr over 0.5 INT
+350

And

Hunt over 14.5 carries
+250

BOOM!

 

[ChainsawU]

market not telegraphing **** today this is just me guessing. Sean Manaea 0-3 SU playoffs Aaron Nola 6-3 SU playoffs..

Nola -108

 

[ChainsawU]

Phi o5½ +300

 

[ChainsawU]

first time ever Buehler underdog 138 starts

 

[ChainsawU]

all Manaea has done is get every single batter to 0-2 count. third time thru and still nothing. ump has been great. Manaea has just been pumping strikes and 0-2 count every single time

 

[ChainsawU]

that sidearm is annoying af when you're on the other side. prolly looks pretty sweet from mets pov

 

[ChainsawU]

Buehler 2-44-4 to the under when Dodgers score less than 4 runs. And u dont wanna **** w this King guy on extra rest. I don't wanna lay juice on SD and don't really feel like sweating an under. might just watch the game and not bet :shudder:

 

[ChainsawU]

Corey Blaser is the ump tonight. Since 2021 the home team has gone 41-17 SU 70.7% in games with Blaser behind home plate. That's the most-profitable homer ump +$2,106 during that time. Good for Padres backers.

 

[ChainsawU]

cool stat in those 58 games with blaser as the ump:
29-29 50% RL
28-28-2 50% OU

right dead center both RL and OU yet major skew toward home team thats crazy to me

 

[ChainsawU]

colts feels like a trap what do you think that line should be

 

[ChainsawU]

no mlb telegraphs in all 4 games just luck

 

[ChainsawU]

Thanks for wondering.

bro..

 

[ChainsawU]

Don’t forget London football tomorrow or wherever the hell it is

jets didn't take the bye now mnf

 

[ChainsawU]

i tried to check what happens when you play this week with a different HC after you played last weeks game with a different HC didn't find much

 

[ChainsawU]

Cle -116

cle 15-8 su after day off detroit 9-11 su

 

[ChainsawU]

Lance Barrett behind home plate in yankees/royals road teams 20-11 SU and 20-11 ou in his games this year

 

[ChainsawU]

road teams scored 5+ in 22 of those 31 barrett games

 

[Raging weasel]

Mets winning after 5
Yanks win
+245

 

[ChainsawU]

this phillies starter has literally been the most profitable underdog in the league - until lately. i love dogs and that made me want to play phils especially after that frustrating sweeper **** from mets lefty yesterday. thats a lot of pent up energy against lefties for the phils.

i cant do it though after looking at suarez lately. this series is 3-0 to the over so far and in 24 wins vs lefties this season mets 6+ runs in 16 of those 24..

Mets -118
Mets o5½ +240

 

[Wingnut]

My parlay lock of the week (using alternate yds). Not a huge payout but I'm fine hitting singles and doubles, don't always need a home run.

Purdy 225+ pass yds
Geno 225+ pass yds
Mason 50+ rush yds
+150

$100 wins $250

Easy money.

 

[ChainsawU]

man i knew that price on cle was too good for "bullpen game" shoulda trust AJ like i did in the wc

 

[ChainsawU]

ranger suarez better quit efen around and give up some runz

 

[ChainsawU]

now quintana cant throw a strike congrats philly bettors

 

[ChainsawU]

INEED TO SEE THE APPLE COME OUT

 

[Angry Beavers]

Lad sd under 8 -115

 

[ChainsawU]

INEED TO SEE THE APPLE COME OUT

THERE IT IS!!!!!!!!!!

 

[ChainsawU]

Lad sd under 8 -115

THERE HE IS!!!!

also, ballsy
where u been AB
we been needing some GLTA

 

[ChainsawU]

i knew id only have 8 innings to hit this over

 

[FairWarning]

Cleveland-Tigers under 6.5-105

 

[ChainsawU]

12 unanswered runs scored by LA in 17 scoreless innings for Pods

 

[ChainsawU]

shoulda trust AJ

lets finish this **** off

Tigers 106

 

[ChainsawU]

colts feels like a trap what do you think that line should be

this line is movin the wrong way bro

 

[Raging weasel]

I think the 49ers game looks like a trap too but they do have lots of injuries. For now I'm playing it "safe" and going with this.
Geno under 23.5 completions
Walker anytime TD
+238
I expect Seattle to try and control the clock with the run.