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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (3 Viewers)

the caps first two shorthanded goals last night had me yelling in glee on a tuesday. now they play again tonight at home against the flyers again. wonder if thats gonna be the letdown spot coming home like that

also golden knights score a ****load of points in the 1P and again last night they must be pretty good but to me playing hockey in the desert is against gods will and i will never condone it
 
I know man and it's a running joke between Herbstreit and Michaels about how much the games suck and how little points get scored
 
the line is short 100% because rams haven't had to travel since september. meanwhile minnesota is coming from overseas. granted they both had bye weeks - and thats the only thing thats making me not bet more - but all that time at home with:
McVay
vs his old OC
Kupp back
Minny defensive green dot playcaller out
Minny off a game vs Detroit (which is a spot being researched right now as a spot where teams aren't covering the spread at the moment)
All that **** is what's making this game -3 instead of 6.5 imo. All this time to prepare for that 3-days rest hurdle without having to step foot on a plane while Minnesotas been traveling overseas
plus u know how McVay got them up for San Fran and won. It doesn't happen often where a team has more than 1 week to prep for a Thursday night they did enough to beat Raiders and thats weeks of prep time and database shows whats happened in the past and its 81% bets 87% money in on Minnesota rn and all the line did was go from 3 to 2.5
 
its still just a thursday game and thats what i keep reminding myself too even though im pretty stoked on the angle. this could all melt into nuthin once the game starts Minnesota is the better team by far
 
hotel room has espn i'm going with these even though I know nba about as good as i know hockey

sixers 3.5 -108
maxey o28.5 -115
 
just read vegas insiders free pick of the day on vikings. if this thing doesnt get to 3.5 something is wrong. dumpster behind chinese restaurant wrong. very dishonorable spread. spread very dishonorable
 
I locked up a win or at least a cover for the Rams last night when I put in a 3x bet on Vikings -2.5. I'd say 80% of the time I bet big on a "sure thing",I lose.
 
theres a chance
the lines have been sharp
remember Dallas/NYG Thursday night football -5.5 ended 20-15 and we were all like "its fixed"
im just a conspiracy theorist and drool every time somebody rings a bell
if minnesota wins by 3 none of this stuff matters
 
sagarins number is between 5 and 7
that 6.5 is what I would've thought so
3 is probably just THE sharp 50/50 number for the situation and not special in any way
😈 I'm probably gonna go rams though BUT
pregame spread doesnt interest me as much as a +1000 live because u know rams have comebacks in them after SF
 
Jefferson TD
Kupp TD
Williams 25+ rushing
Jones 60+ rushing
Over 39.5
Boosted to +660

Stafford 225+ passing
Jones over 55.5 rushing
Jones TD
+230

Vikings -2.5. -120
 
Raging weasel said:
Cowboysfan8 said:
Raging weasel said:
I locked up a win or at least a cover for the Rams last night when I put in a 3x bet on Vikings -2.5. I'd say 80% of the time I bet big on a "sure thing",I lose.
Click to expand...
Yeah, you might be in trouble. I don’t play sides but I believe I am laying the 2.5

Sorry :(
Click to expand...
I think you misunderstood my post, I have Vikings -2.5 so we have the same bet.🤞
Click to expand...
No I understood. I don’t play sides cuz I suck at sides that’s why I apologized for being on your side lol
 
(Rotowire) The Rams activated Nacua (knee) from injured reserve Thursday ahead of a Week 8 matchup with the Vikings, but he remains questionable for that contest, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.

Analysis: Per Adam Schefter of ESPN, there's an expectation that Nacua will be able to play Thursday, but the Rams won't make a decision until they see how he fares in pregame warmups. Nacua made a speedy recovery from the PCL sprain in his right knee that he suffered Week 1, but both he and Cooper Kupp (ankle) should be back in action for the Rams in Week 8.
 
looked a bit at k props and how they relate to wins/losses. cole a lot more ks regardless and 5+ usually means good and a win for flaherty. also he looks like he goes deeper after long rest. this is the first time this year you could buy cole as a dog. last season two wins as the dog, 6-0 and 6-2. regardless those k props are too expensive. might be cool to fade both flaherty under 14.5 outs at plus money and yankees at plus money. only saying that mostly because contrarian betting.
 
ChainsawU said:
playoffs this year teams are 21-13 SU scoring first but only 5-9 SU scoring 1 run first and the other team ties/takes the lead so when you "score first" you really want to score multiple runs first, not just 1 so the other team takes the lead & momentum full game
Click to expand...
gonna keep this in mind for live betting
 
L20 years home team 13-7 SU and 14-6 to the over in G1 of the series..also 13-7 SU in G2.. G3/G4 drops off to 45% and 30% respectively

G1 of the WS is also most profitable series game for the over.. mulling things over myself. still 3 hours before tip off
 
probably gonna find someone else to eff wit besides washington. thought the line movement from 6.5 to 5.5 might be notable. movement like that is something I always look at first like baylor and toledo last week but I don't think that line move was real. Indiana is probably the heaviest bet side so far today and book might just have to eat it. and it doesn't look like the pump fake from 6.5 to 5.5 fooled anybody. this isht is so stepped on its not even fun to me give me a pure line elsewhere y mas púro
 
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