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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (3 Viewers)

the empathy has nowhere to hide. its also going to suck rooting for touchdowns. unless she turns out to be good luck charm/sweet sweet angel
 
what about this tory horton fella I been sniffin around him like its gonna make his dad upset

edit just gonna chill. thursday nfl
 
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an old gf just text me. she's excited. apparently she called-in to the latest stavvy podcast and talked about me. no idea what she said. never seen her this excited before.
 
I'm a glutton for punishment.

D Kincaid BUF o3.5 receptions
J Allen BUF o1.5 td passes
J Cook BUF o64.5 rush yds
Q Johnston LAC o48.5 rec yds
Boosted to +900
 
i am rooting for georgia idk whether yall know. also my neighbor got an air fryer/toaster oven. yesterday she made me a pizza that tasted like febreeze today she made me a styrofoam plate of wet seafood. YUM bro. YUMMYY so glad she got that air fryer toaster oven
 
Forgot to post earlier. 1 leg to go.

MLB hit parlay

Aranda TB ✓
Lile WAS ✓
Bohm PHI ✓
Correa HOU
+300

Cash out is at +150, I'm riding it out.
Correa pulled after the 3rd inning. Laaaame. That's a wrap on my baseball bets for the season.
 
chargers are in a spot. I don't ever remember seeing a team scheduled three division rivals in consecutive weeks, much less to start the season. chargers went 3-0. you only have three division rivals. chargers are up on every one. that was a summer's worth of planning. and I don't think they spent 1 minute of the summer working on the giants.

I saw the giants host kc. they could've won. but when russ is bad, he's really bad. the devensive line looked great though. like, exciting to watch amirite. meanwhile chargers' offensive lineman is out, the other dude questionable..

then there's the venue. new jersey. at 10am chargers' time. there's probably more stuff. but after spending years studying trends and isht (this type of thing is huge in CFL by the way), the three division games followed by a cross country trip to play a non-conference game across 3 time zones really stuck out to me. legit fade spot.
 
Glad I didn't bet the few props I was looking at for the Dublin game...none of them hit.

I'm staying away from all international games.
 
chargers are in a spot. I don't ever remember seeing a team scheduled three division rivals in consecutive weeks, much less to start the season. chargers went 3-0. you only have three division rivals. chargers are up on every one. that was a summer's worth of planning. and I don't think they spent 1 minute of the summer working on the giants.

I saw the giants host kc. they could've won. but when russ is bad, he's really bad. the devensive line looked great though. like, exciting to watch amirite. meanwhile chargers' offensive lineman is out, the other dude questionable..

then there's the venue. new jersey. at 10am chargers' time. there's probably more stuff. but after spending years studying trends and isht (this type of thing is huge in CFL by the way), the three division games followed by a cross country trip to play a non-conference game across 3 time zones really stuck out to me. legit fade spot.
Great insight, wish I would have followed it :bag:
 
chargers are in a spot. I don't ever remember seeing a team scheduled three division rivals in consecutive weeks, much less to start the season. chargers went 3-0. you only have three division rivals. chargers are up on every one. that was a summer's worth of planning. and I don't think they spent 1 minute of the summer working on the giants.

I saw the giants host kc. they could've won. but when russ is bad, he's really bad. the devensive line looked great though. like, exciting to watch amirite. meanwhile chargers' offensive lineman is out, the other dude questionable..

then there's the venue. new jersey. at 10am chargers' time. there's probably more stuff. but after spending years studying trends and isht (this type of thing is huge in CFL by the way), the three division games followed by a cross country trip to play a non-conference game across 3 time zones really stuck out to me. legit fade spot.
Nice call. NYG knocked several out of my survivor league
 
The total on the Texas-Florida game has moved from 42 to 46.5 at Circa. Is that just beating a line into shape, or is there something else there?
 
par'd last nights tops with sundays jets. got a nice live line on tops. sagarin has jets favored around 2.5, so i figured +110 is value. cowboys being favored doesn't really stink that bad or else 99% of the bets would be on cowboys catching points. instead they're making people pay 15 cents/30 cents moneyline to bet a cowboy tax, maximize profits on a jets win.

it's a matchup between two teams who just played off national tv last week and basically spotlighted on national tv this week. so decent size handle with recency bias in full effect. jets home advantage is fine. but can't imagine prioritizing cowboys over last weeks division rival. although random teams do tend to get up for the cowboys.

all mason taylor does is catch first downs so you know he's gonna get 3. book knows it. o2.5 -182 while o3.5 +136.

garrett is lined about the same yardage as last week with a mild payout on the td. last week he got there negated by offensive p.i. that would've cashed his td+receiving yards. then officially with a 22 (?) yard, one-handed td catch.. didn't really get active until 2nd half. number had dropped around 54 or so. it was a good sweat
 

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