There's only one game left in an exciting 2016-17 college football season.
We've asked our experienced group of gambling experts -- Phil Steele, Will Harris, "Stanford Steve" Coughlin, Chris Fallica and Rufus Peabody -- to provide their best bet for the CFP National Championship Game presented by AT&T on Monday.
Alabama Crimson Tide (-6.5) vs.
Clemson Tigers
8 p.m. ET, ESPN
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Fla.
Total: 50.5
PickCenter consensus: 65 percent Clemson
"Stanford Steve" Coughlin: There has been plenty of talk about the revenge factor and the motivation Clemson has after being so close to last year's title in Glendale, Arizona, against Nick Saban's squad. But don't you think there is also motivation for Alabama to get another chance at defending that Clemson offense, specifically,
Deshaun Watson, as he sliced and diced his way in, around and over the Tide defense, accounting for over 470 yards of offense and throwing four touchdowns? While plenty of people have weighed in about the dismissal of Lane Kiffin, I really don't think it will be that much of a difference.
The one thing I would look for is the Crimson Tide to run the ball more, especially in the red zone, which was always an area where I thought Kiffin tried to get too cute sometimes with his playcalling. I don't think Bama will play as poorly as it did in the Peach Bowl, and Clemson will not be as dominant as it was in the Fiesta Bowl. But the Tigers have the tools on offense to keep the Crimson Tide defense off-kilter, and I think Clemson wins the game on the field, but we will for sure take the points as well.
Keep in mind, though, that Alabama has faced three teams ranked in the top 10 nationally in defensive efficiency -- Florida, LSU and Washington -- and Clemson will be the fourth. In those three games, the Tide averaged under 340.3 yards per game (5.3 per play), scored touchdowns on just eight of 37 drives and failed to gain a first down on 16 of those drives. Quarterback
Jalen Hurts struggled; in those three games he was 28-of-53 and averaged 100.7 passing yards per game with one TD pass and two turnovers. He also was sacked six times in those games. And when he had to throw on third down, Hurts was just 8-of-19, and only two of those completions went for a first down. So while many people will be focusing on the Clemson offense versus the Bama defense -- and rightly so -- don't forget this angle as well.
Clemson is the class of that lot. The Tide survived a shootout with a lesser Tigers squad last year, and this year they face a bigger threat from an older, wiser outfit that's no longer new to the big stage. But Alabama has been preparing for this kind of showdown for almost three years. Being better able to handle an elite "fastball" team, as Saban calls them, has been the driving motive behind a shift in the kind of defense played at Alabama and the kind of players who play it.