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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (2 Viewers)

already in at 6.5 but wanted to mention i been using this all season
last 3 seasons 27 is the magic number beating the cowboys. opponents are 22-25-1 su and 24-24 ats vs cowboys L3 seasons:
scoring 26 or fewer: 3-22 su and ats
scoring 27 or more: 19-3-1 su and 21-2 ats

so i put some on vikes o26.5
 
recently mcdaniel and them trapped bills in a hot box of south florida humidity. before that fins 0-11 L11 vs teams better than 500 (going back to 12/23)

then they held commanders, saints, jets to 13 ppg. that's their 4-0 L4. steelers are the third team they've faced with a winning record this season

line +3 seems short but does seem to be getting some love

Tomlin 11-1 MNF home. Steelers since 1990 23-2 MNF home

🤷‍♀️ that's what i got
 
I think the +3.5 might have been the sharp play here. Steelers starting LT only 13 (?) career snaps. Watt out. Dolphins winning (never fade a winning streak). Steelers run defense (?) The worst thing they've done is defend the run.

and talking weather.. tomlin and them 1-8 su and 2-7 ats (avg line +4) in games 39° or colder since Jan 2024. to be fair only one of those was this season but just seems like less of an advantage than first suspected

idk about this game. i think the 3.5 was prolly the sharpest play
 

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