Yeah, these kinds of effects don't happen quickly for housing market changes. Most of the world has changed in the past two months, and the lingering effects will be seen in the months to come. I'm not surprised things aren't showing up right now...the main thing is how long it will take (if at all) for changes to set in based on the huge loss of income, the huge disruption to industry, to global demand, oil drops, etc.
Many communities in the south, especially south Louisiana, are heavily dependent on gas and oil. With what we're seeing now, some communities that were growing like crazy could go from that, to huge layoffs in a city within 6 months. Demand for housing drops, causes huge shifts in the market.
I was out looking at apartments today in town, and a place our company rented from said that they had 40 units with an oil company in town, and the company is unwinding those holdings over the next 2 months. The guy, in the middle of a pandemic, in the middle of layoffs at the plants, will have to fill 40 single/double/triple apartments. And he's just one of many in this town that built up to match growing demand...but the ground shifted underneath them and it'll take time to come back.
I'd love to believe the market will come back in the next few months, but I suspect we're in for at the absolute minimum, another 6 months of on and off again shutdowns due to spiking infections. The kind of impact that will have on business, on demand, and ultimately on the housing market I think will be significant. However, i don't have a crystal ball and I could be way off. The asymptomatic rate could be much higher, the risk of re-opening the economy could be much lower than I suspect, and we could get back to normal fairly quickly. If that happens, I suspect housing prices may fluctuate a bit, but ultimately stabilize and start growing again. I just don't see that global scenario as being likely, as with the 1918 spanish flu the second wave was far worse than the first...and we seem to be following in the footsteps of society back then, hankering to open back up, people not taking it seriously, etc.
Anyway, enjoy the convo and especially opposing points of view. Definitely not saying I'm right, but I am putting forward my perspective to see if you guys see any weaknesses to my points or have other insights I didn't consider like those links you posted.