a look at last season:
Reggie averaged 15 touches per game, deuce averaged 17. Stecker chipped in 1.5 touches. They totaled 540 touches, averaging about 34 per game.
In the first 3 games this season, these 3 RBs averaged 27 touches combined. Over a 16 game season, that is 437 touches. At that same pace, the Saints RBs should have another 355 touches to go. Even giving Reggie 75% of those (last season he had 243, this projection would give him 311, counting the 45 he already has), there should still be about 90 touches minimum left for Thomas and/or Stecker. And that is assuming the Saints play 13 more games as ineptly as they played the first three.
Just for the sake of argument, lets say that the productivity of the RBs improves a little, to the average of last season's touch average and this seasons touch average (540+437, /2). Still a nearly 20% drop in RB touches from last season. That would give them about 396 touches left. Sounds reasonable. Taking 75% of those touches, Bush would average 23 touches for the remaining 13 games, up from 15 per game last season and 15 per game so far this season. For context, Tiki averaged 24, Westbrook averaged 21. So 23 is a big increase, but not impossible.
Best I can figure, there are about 100 touches left over for RBs not Reggie to divvy up. Thats 7-8 per game. And more than 1 guy trying to get them.
Bottom line- until Reggie is proven incapable of handling 23 tuches, AND either Stecker or Pierre Thomas emerges, there really isn't much fantasy value for Thomas or Stecker. Even if Bush only takes 20 per game, less than Westbrook, thats still only about 10 to divide between 2 guys. Yuck.
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Note: When I started this post, I thought I would reach a different conclusion. I liked what Thomas showed in pre-season, but there just aren't enough touches to go around. Especially disapointing since I added both Thomas and Stecker.