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Player Spotlight: Donald Brown (1 Viewer)

Did Brown sign yet? If not, how much time can he afford to miss and still be considered a sleeper that will be the clear #2 to Addai?

 
Routilla said:
Did Brown sign yet? If not, how much time can he afford to miss and still be considered a sleeper that will be the clear #2 to Addai?
Brown signed this afternoon per CBS Sportsline.
 
This will be one to watch in the preseason.
I think they're gonna use Donald AT LEAST as much as they used Addai in his rookie season... and I see Brown as a more explosive player than Addai was then... and even moreso now. I just took him 7.3 (PPR) and 6.8 (.25/rec) in two drafts today and am excited about his prospects.
 
Colts have avg'd 429 carries over the past three seasons, and that includes last year's 30th ranked rushing offense that attempted only 370 carries..I think they're going to run the ball closer to 480 times this season as they try to get a more balanced attack..the offense will likely change a bit now that Tom Moore has retired..Addai and Brown will likely have a 50/50% split over the majority of the workload, while Hart picks up the scraps and churns out about 50 carries himself..that leaves about 430 carries for Brown and Addai
Perhaps they will change the offense significantly, though that would surprise me with Manning still their best player. DataDominator goes back to 2002. Since then, only 4 teams have reached 480 RB carries. The Colts' total RB carries in those seasons ranged between 345 (last year) and 420. They averaged about 417 RB carries from 2005 to 2007 before last year's unusually low total, so it seems reasonable that they will be back around that number.Note: DD shows only 330 RB carries for IND last year, but PFR shows 345. Not sure if the other totals are similarly off, for IND and/or the rest of the teams from 2002 to 2008.Anyway, projecting 480 RB carries seems excessive. IMO 415-420 is reasonable.
So the Colts finished with 339 RB carries this season...
 
Addai was drafted to start, Brown was drafted to complement.
POlien drafting him in the first round was to compliment Addai??? This does not make sense. Re-read what you wrote. You will admit if you think about it.
Felix Jones was drafted to start over Barber?Jonathon Stewart was drafted to start over Williams?Funny how last year everyone was saying that despite those guys being drafted in the first, they wouldn't beat out the incumbent. Addai had outperformed Barber every season except last, and Williams had been a backup all along until last season.Add in the fact, that Polian came out right after the draft and said that the NFL was moving toward two and three RB running attacks, and that they felt their running game was the best when Addai was a rookie paired with Rhodes. He also said that Addai would be able to have a much longer career as a Colt, with Brown being drafted to share carries with him.When they drafted Addai, they envisioned him as the new Edge. It admittedly didn't turn out that way. But they now want to run 2 RB system, which is why they drafted Brown.You Addai haters / Brown supporters might not like it, but that's the cold hard truth.
:confused: You have no idea how much that hurt to do ...
I can't wait to make you eat crow over this. I can't wait.
Waiting :crickets:
 
I think Addai is more talented than Brown, and I don't see Brown making much of an impact this year. I expect Addai to get 70% of the RB touches, with the remainder split between Hart and Brown. assuming Addai plays 16 games, I see Brown along the lines of:65/280/1
If Brown doesn't get 300 yards rushing this season I'll be SHOCKED. Hart is clearly the #3 back at best - and that assumes he fully recovers from injury. You don't draft a RB in round 1 so that he can split time with Mike Hart - that would be poor management by the Colts. I expect Brown to get 35 to 40% of the carries this season, with a highish YPC. Probably won't get enough TDs to draft very high except to target both Addai and Brown and "hope" one takes over.I'll say 180/790/4 - with about 20 receptions for 160 yards.
78/281/3final statlinebut he was injured so looks like i lucked out. might have been closer to your projections if he was healthy all year.
 

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