Player Spotlight: Joey Galloway (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

2006 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Joey Galloway, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Page Link: Joey Galloway Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 

[Joe T]

2006 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Joey Galloway, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Page Link: Joey Galloway Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

Coming off a huge season I expect Galloway to revert to the mean a little. I'd still like to have him on my roster, but I would not overpay for him.

 

[oswizzle]

Flukey Fluke season due to Claytons Injury..he wont crack a 1,000 yrds this year

 

[joffer]

Simms sure seemed to build a chemistry with him last year, there wasn't any dropoff in Joey's #s after Griese went down. He's always been good when given the targets AND could stay healthy.

He'll come back down to earth a little in 06, but not all the way down.

69/988/7

 

[Frenchy Fuqua]

Health will always be the #1 issue with Galloway. Gruden loves him and understands what he brings to the TB O. If you knew Joey G would play 16 games in this offense he's probably a top 10 WR again this year. Factor in 2-3 missed games and he's probably somewhere around 20.

67 receptions

1,000 yards

8 TD

 

[imeimex]

If you heard Gruden talk about Galloway last year you can tell how much he loves the guy. There are plenty of clips where Gruden is gushing over Galloway during games and at practices. His numbers will drop a little with Clayton playing better this season. I am not as sold on Chris Simms as most people are but with a lack of other options he will perform very well.

75 catches 1100 yards 8 TDs

 

[MLBrandow]

If you heard Gruden talk about Galloway last year you can tell how much he loves the guy. There are plenty of clips where Gruden is gushing over Galloway during games and at practices. His numbers will drop a little with Clayton playing better this season. I am not as sold on Chris Simms as most people are but with a lack of other options he will perform very well.

75 catches 1100 yards 8 TDs

He's hit or miss this year IMO.While Simms is the answer, the home-run threat is going to be replaced by a gadget guy (TBD) in a pound-the-rock west-coast offense.

While Gruden finishes the transition over this season and next, expect lower numbers for Galloway on all three counts of a) being a year older, b) a healthy Clayton, and c) a lot more receptions out of the backfield.

Somewhere around 60/925/5 sound about right.

Clayton is the No.1, and just because he was hurt a year doesn't mean he lost his job.

Simms is going to throw for around 3300 this year, and if Galloway were to get as much love as he did last year from Simms, he'd get over 1400 yards. That said, I expect him to get about 25-30% of the targets, with Clayton getting about 35%.

That would equate to a little over 900 yards for him.

 

[JimmyD]

Galloway proved last year that you can find diamonds in the rough.

This year he will prove that last years production does not equal this years predictions.

Positives: Fast, super fast and they throw to him early and often. Runs good routes. Was big part of offensive production last year.

Negatives: Guy named Clayton, 2nd year stud RB, Alstott, age and injury prone.

Galloway will do just fine in that offense and probably finish somewhere in the 20 to 30 range for WR. The big problem is that he's being drafted as that sure fire WR2 when last year he was drafted as WR3 or 4. Drafting him at the WR2 spot is just too much risk for his reward. He'll be good and you could do worse, but his upside was last year. I find it hard to see him account for as much offense as he did last year, just the progress that Clayton/Williams will have should eat a little bit up. I see him getting quite a bit of receptions but not a lot of yards or TD's.

In otherwords if you are looking for a steal, Joey Galloway is not. If looking for a stable WR that will bring you production every week then he is your man, you'll just have to draft him as so.

My advice, let someone else draft him early and work on finding this year's Galloway.

Prediction

70/850/6 - (I'd consider this his ceiling)

 

[Musesboy]

Galloway was one of the biggest surprises last year. He waited until his 11th season to set career-highs in both receptions and yardage, and had his second-highest TD total. Galloway was the clear number one option in the passing game and managed to play 16 games for the first time since 2002. He also had 19 gains of 20+ yards; another career-high. Galloway had to deal with a change at QB after six games, but he was still effective while the inexperienced Chris Simms was under center.

2005 was the first time that Galloway had reached 1000 yards since 1998, so it seems unwise to expect a repeat. One of the reasons for Galloway's big year was the ineffectiveness of Michael Clayton. After an astounding 80/1193/7 performance in his rookie year, Clayton was expected to be the clear number one last year. Unfortunately, he was slow to recover from offseason knee surgery, and he then struggled with turf toe during the season. HC Jon Gruden is expecting a lot more from Clayton this year.

Only six receivers were targeted more often than Galloway last year. In fact, he ended up getting 56.3% of the WR targets for the Bucs. That is a huge percentage. For comparison, consider that Steve Smith had 52.2% of the targets for the Panthers. I believe that as Simms starts to mature, and with Clayton back to full fitness, the ball will be spread around more evenly. Galloway clearly still has his speed, and last year was a great effort, but I don't him to get close to those numbers unless Clayton gets hurt again.

Prediction

66 receptions 950 yards 6 TDs

 

[Cool in the pocket]

Galloway could be a perfect example of drafting off last year's stats. As other posters have pointed out:

--crazy percentage of team's targets

--career high yards and catches last year

--lack of a #2WR due to Clayton's injury/ineffectiveness

--Caddy's breakdown in the middle of the year

At a curent ADP of early round 6, he is a full round or more ahead of guys I'd consider will post the same if not better stats--Rod Smith, Kennison... It's unreasonable to expect the same percentage of targets, yards or catches with Clayton back and Caddy likely to see an increase in catches. Let someone else overpay for him at his current ADP, his dream season was last year. As long as he has his wheels he'll break a long one every now and then, but it'll be alot more of "then" not "now"

60 catches 850 yards, 6 TD's

 

[rzrback77]

Galloway could be a perfect example of drafting off last year's stats.  As other posters have pointed out:

--crazy percentage of team's targets

--career high yards and catches last year

--lack of a #2WR due to Clayton's injury/ineffectiveness

--Caddy's breakdown in the middle of the year

At a curent ADP of early round 6, he is a full round or more ahead of guys I'd consider will post the same if not better stats--Rod Smith, Kennison...  It's unreasonable to expect the same percentage of targets, yards or catches with Clayton back and Caddy likely to see an increase in catches.  Let someone else overpay for him at his current ADP, his dream season was last year.  As long as he has his wheels he'll break a long one every now and then, but it'll be alot more of "then" not "now"

60 catches 850 yards, 6 TD's

Very I'd like to add that since 1998 Galloway has had only one 1,000 yard season (last year). He has been in the NFL eleven years and only gone above 72 catches once (last year). Last year, as has been previously stated Clayton was injured and Cadillac missed several games mid-season. In weeks five through ten, Galloway had over ten targets six weeks in a row. After week 10, he had only two games with double digit targets. Also, one of his major strengths is speed and he is now 35 years old, should start to slow down if he hasn't already.

In 2005, he was an extremely late round, in some case waiver wire, super value. This season I think that he will be drafted at least two rounds early, but not by me.

60 catches 780 yards and 5 TDs

edited for spelling and clarity

 

[fatboyj711]

2006 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Joey Galloway, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Page Link: Joey Galloway Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

Coming off a huge season I expect Galloway to revert to the mean a little. I'd still like to have him on my roster, but I would not overpay for him.

what's overpayment for a guy like galloway. he's currently the 23rd WR being taken in the 6th round according the antsports...

 

[rzrback77]

from previous post fatboyj711

what's overpayment for a guy like galloway. he's currently the 23rd WR being taken in the 6th round according the antsports...

His current ADP is 65 and I just can't justify anything approaching that high. I won't be drafting him because I probably wouldn't consider him until the ninth round or 10th round.

 

[Musesboy]

what's overpayment for a guy like galloway. he's currently the 23rd WR being taken in the 6th round according the antsports...

I think it would be reasonable to consider Galloway in round eight or nine, but I wouldn't touch him at his current ADP of 65. Matt Jones, Muhsin Muhammad, Rod Smith and Isaac Bruce all seem much better value. Bruce is going 70 picks later than Galloway, he's a year younger, and he plays on an offense that is projected to have around 1200 more passing yards than Tampa Bay's.

 

[Lauryn]

Clayton is the No.1

 

[Sopranos]

If you heard Gruden talk about Galloway last year you can tell how much he loves the guy. There are plenty of clips where Gruden is gushing over Galloway during games and at practices. His numbers will drop a little with Clayton playing better this season. I am not as sold on Chris Simms as most people are but with a lack of other options he will perform very well.

75 catches 1100 yards 8 TDs

 

[Cool in the pocket]

If you heard Gruden talk about Galloway last year you can tell how much he loves the guy. There are plenty of clips where Gruden is gushing over Galloway during games and at practices. His numbers will drop a little with Clayton playing better this season. I am not as sold on Chris Simms as most people are but with a lack of other options he will perform very well.

75 catches 1100 yards 8 TDs

Aside from the rook Caddy, who else on the Tampa O would Gruden gush over last year? Galloway had a dream season with dream circumstances:--A QB who locked in on him

--A productive runner who missed several games stifling the running game

--No WR2 to take targets away

I'd be shocked if all of the above were not erased this year. 75/1100/8 is basically another career year for Galloway.

 

[Musesboy]

Predicted

66 receptions 950 yards 6 TDs

Actual

62 receptions 1057 yards 7 TDs

This prediction was close enough to be useful. I didn't end up with Galloway in any of my 18 leagues as others ranked him higher. If I had known that Gradkowski and Rattay would be starting most of the games between them, I would have projected Galloway to do a lot worse. His 17.0 ypc was the third-highest average of his career.

Galloway was one of the biggest surprises last year. He waited until his 11th season to set career-highs in both receptions and yardage, and had his second-highest TD total. Galloway was the clear number one option in the passing game and managed to play 16 games for the first time since 2002. He also had 19 gains of 20+ yards; another career-high. Galloway had to deal with a change at QB after six games, but he was still effective while the inexperienced Chris Simms was under center.

2005 was the first time that Galloway had reached 1000 yards since 1998, so it seems unwise to expect a repeat. One of the reasons for Galloway's big year was the ineffectiveness of Michael Clayton. After an astounding 80/1193/7 performance in his rookie year, Clayton was expected to be the clear number one last year. Unfortunately, he was slow to recover from offseason knee surgery, and he then struggled with turf toe during the season. HC Jon Gruden is expecting a lot more from Clayton this year.

Only six receivers were targeted more often than Galloway last year. In fact, he ended up getting 56.3% of the WR targets for the Bucs. That is a huge percentage. For comparison, consider that Steve Smith had 52.2% of the targets for the Panthers. I believe that as Simms starts to mature, and with Clayton back to full fitness, the ball will be spread around more evenly. Galloway clearly still has his speed, and last year was a great effort, but I don't him to get close to those numbers unless Clayton gets hurt again.

Prediction

66 receptions 950 yards 6 TDs

 

[BGP]

Joey Galloway has had extenuating circumstances that has somewhat derailed what should have been a stellar NFL career:

1999: After a godly start to his career in Seattle, in year 5 he misses half the season in a contract holdout. At the end of the season he is dealt to the Cowboys for two #1 picks.

http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archiv...ackval=GooglePM

2000: In his first year and very first game with a mega-contract, he blows out his ACL.

http://www.nflplayers.com/players/player.aspx?id=22528

2001: Galloway returns to action a year later, but hasn't fully-recovered from surgery. Its not uncommon to need 2 years to come back from an ACL if it happens at all.

2002: Now two years removed from the ACL, Galloway posts 908/6.

2003: Galloway was for the most part healthy here. Unfortunately, he had absolutely NO help. Throwing him the football were Quincy Carter (17 TDs / 21 INTs) and the lead rusher was Troy Hambrick.

Perhaps the Cowboys overpaid for Galloway by sending two #1 picks to the Seahawks for him. But they compounded that mistake by getting rid of him after 2003. Galloway was NOT the problem - he was part of the solution.

2004: Misses 6 games due to a groin injury.

2005: Now finally healthy and having a half-decent QB throwing him the ball (Griese and Simms) Galloway returns to form and posts 1287/10.

2006: Healthy yet again, but now with a disaster at QB, Galloway still manages to post 1057/7.

-----------

Galloway has been one of the most intriguing fantasy players of the decade. He has incredible skills. But he has been so injury-prone and has had to play with some awful quarterbacks that he hasn't reached his potential. He is an AWESOME mid-round selection - I target him every year. He still has quite a bit of skill, such that if everything fell right I believe his best fantasy season may still be ahead of him.

 

[BGP]

Here's an amazing stat.

This is the TD/INT Ratio for the QB with the most playing time who played with Galloway, by year:

1995: Rick Mirer: 13 TDs, 20 INTs

1996: Rick Mirer: 5 TDs, 12 INTs

1997: Warren Moon: 25 TDs, 16 INTs

1998: Warren Moon: 11 TDs, 8 INTs

1999: John Kitna: 23 TDs, 16 INTs

2001: Quincy Carter: 5 TDs, 7 INTs

2002: Chad Hutchinson: 7 TDs, 8 INTs

2003: Quincy Carter: 17 TDs, 21 INTs

2004: Brian Griese: 20 TDs, 12 INTs

2005: Chris Simms: 10 TDs, 7 INTs

2006: Bruce Bradkowski: 9 TDs, 9 INTs

Galloway has played with some awful QBs over the years.