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Playoff philosopy? Go for it or be conservative? (1 Viewer)

cincipd

Footballguy
If you have a pretty even game on paper do you put in the high risk/reward guys or go with the more conservative guy. For instance say you have Fits who has been great all year but plays in the late game and is a GTD. Do you put in the steady option that plays in the early game, or gamble with Fitz and if he doesn't play get stuck starting someone worse like Anthony Gonzalez. I know others must have similar decisions, what makes you decide one way or the other??

 
Don't do any thinking differently than you would if this was week 7. Anything else is a trap.

Much easier said than done

 
I didn't even mention who my option is. You need to get over yourself and your monitoring. I thought the example calrified what I was asking. Thanks for the other responses. I have changed names several times but I've been on these boards a long time and know the rules. I was a member back when it was cheatsheets by Joe.

Everyone else thanks for the posts. I guess everyone just views playoffs as a normal game and start the guys that got you there, makes sense

 
It all depends on the matchup against your opponent, and whether or not you need to play conservatively.

Example would be if you had Rex Grossman last year. He could either get you 40 points, or -4.

If you had him and were the underdog, you play him and hope for the best.

If you had a decent matchup with the rest of your guys, you'll start your other QB and be satisfied with a dozen points or so.

Nothing changes in the playoffs, except that your analysis window is a single week.

 
Starting your studs should always be the starting off point. That said, there are times when "all else being equal" applies and situations where you should deviate from playing your best players without thought.

First, assess whether you are the favorite or the dog. This can be obvious given that Thursday night fantasy football playoffs results are posted before most leagues require their Sunday lineups.

So, let's say you're down big 40+pts after Thursday and are choosing your players the rest of the way on Sunday morning. Avoid "connectors" (TE/WRs on same team as your opponents QB) and choose "differentiators" (RBs on same team as oppontents WRs; WRs on same team as opponents RBs). If you're up big do the opposite.

Play for high variation when you're the underdog and play for low variation when you are the favorite.

 
I always start the guys I think will score the most that week regardless of it being the playoffs or not

 
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For the answer to this, take a look at stats from the past. How often do studs actually sit out games when they are listed as probable, questionable, doubtful, etc? Just to give you some sort of reference, in my league, here are the top 10 at each position who have missed at least one game:

QB - none. The highest QB to miss a game is McNabb, at QB14

RB - Westbrook (1), AP (2), Addai (1), Lewis (1)

WR - Fitz (1). Only other WR in the top 20 to miss a game was when Jennings missed the first 2 games of the season.

TE - Dallas Clark (1)

K - none. The highest K to miss a game is Morten Anderson, at K27

D- none, obviously

So, of the top 10 at each of the 6 positions through 13 weeks, a total of 7 games were missed (5 by RB's, 1 by WR, and 1 by TE). And that's out of a possible 780 starts (6 positions x top 10, x 13 weeks). And, of those 7 games that were missed, how many were already declared out before gametime? All 7, if I recall correctly.

 
My philosopy is to take chances if on paper it doesn't look like I have a chance against my opponent, otherwise it's status quo.

 
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