I didn't read this whole thread so don't know if this has been said, but make sure you're looking at the situation of the player. Having the 2nd or 3rd best receiver on the Broncos this year might be better than having the 1st receiver in Buffalo. If a player is limited by his opportunity it limits their upside regardless of talent.
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Post Your Tidbit of Fantasy Advice - Draft Strategy (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter mbuehner
- Start date
Ilov80s
Footballguy
If it's live, pay attention to the reactions of other drafters and maybe take some quick notes for future trade advantage. Notice if a guy grimaces or makes a comment like "well I guess I have to take so and so here." Pay attention to anyone that ohhs or ahhhs when you take someone.
GoBears84
Footballguy
3 that I live by:
If you are near the turn in a snake draft, keep an eye on the # of positional players on the guy behind you and draft accordingly. For example - at 4.11 - if you need a RB and WR and available players are equal value and the guy behind you already has 2 RB's, grab the WR first, knowing that the similarly ranked RB will likely come back to you.
Don't be afraid to modify your strategy on the fly if the players you target disappear. Do enough mocks so that you can take the BPA and still have an idea of what you want to do.
Know your league history. Knowing when the runs are going to come allows you to either get ahead of them or draft contrarily.
If you are near the turn in a snake draft, keep an eye on the # of positional players on the guy behind you and draft accordingly. For example - at 4.11 - if you need a RB and WR and available players are equal value and the guy behind you already has 2 RB's, grab the WR first, knowing that the similarly ranked RB will likely come back to you.
Don't be afraid to modify your strategy on the fly if the players you target disappear. Do enough mocks so that you can take the BPA and still have an idea of what you want to do.
Know your league history. Knowing when the runs are going to come allows you to either get ahead of them or draft contrarily.
MattFancy
Footballguy
cloppbeast
Footballguy
Don't pigeon-hole your strategy with a pre-concieved prejudice. Allow the flow of the draft to dictate how you fill out your roster. Understand that no positional strategy reigns supreme, so you take what your league-mates leave you.
Get 2 elite players with your fist two picks no matter the position, then go from there. If is your destiny to take the last qb or te, wait as long as possible. If you don't get rbs or wrs early, take the bird shot approach and load 'em up in the middle-late rounds.
Get 2 elite players with your fist two picks no matter the position, then go from there. If is your destiny to take the last qb or te, wait as long as possible. If you don't get rbs or wrs early, take the bird shot approach and load 'em up in the middle-late rounds.
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I'm going to go the opposite- take a stud QB if you can (with value). I think theres nasty trap in the late QB game- yeah you can get real value in a late QB, but you might not. In which case, you're in serious trouble. Every league I played in last season, the Manning team won the championship. Now it may see like that proves the point (Manning coming off injury was being taken well down the board), but all it proves is you need a stud QB to compete. If you can strike gold and the guy you get at QB11 OR 12 delivers, sure you're in a great spot. It seems like Cam or RG3 or Russell would be such a steal... but what if they aren't? You burn a pick on Brees or Rodgers you know with near metaphysical certainty that short of an injury, you are going to be competitive. You roll the dice on QBs with questions... even going shotgun on them, you could be breaking rule #1 by losing your league in the first three rounds (by missing on your biggest point machine).
Gustavo Fring
Footballguy
This. I think I paid $11 for Brandon Pettigrew last year...thought I got him for $1 and was just seeing double, but...
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Insoxicated
Griffindor
Footballguy
Don't draft Gordon.
Instinctive
Footballguy
The only consistently winning strategy is to pick the best players. The rest doesn't matter in-draft. Just mock a ton and find which position where will help you find the value guys that are the best players.
Then remember that the league always has waivers, injuries, and trades. Not to mention lineup decisions.
Then remember that the league always has waivers, injuries, and trades. Not to mention lineup decisions.
Tanner9919
Footballguy
draft players who'll still be 'trying' in weeks 13-16. for many years, in Indy , Manning stunk it up or played just the first half of late season games..some teams rest players ,late..avoid them..or have a plan B.. Avoid Romo in December ..its important to start out with a win week 1, sounds simple, but it's a non-bye week..your're going to struggle during byes.get the first week win under your belt..starting 0-1 , you're staring 0-2 in the face, and that causes all kinds of desperate , knee-jerk moves...
draft players who look good in preseason but are low on ranking lists - Chris Jonhson , for example, should shred the Oakland defense in week 1..Gore has been invisible in preseason, but despite SF's futility in fake games, both Gore and Hyde should carve Dallas' d to bits in week 1. Lions' defense should be the best defense in week 1, Eli Manning looks a mess..
try to get out of the gates with a win, and draft guys with indoor ,or home games, in december, and especially like players from strong offenses that are backed by weak defenses - dallas offense, Atl, etc.
dont get caught up in any runs..go for another position when the run starts..why take a RB 'just because ' they're getting gobbled up? at this point you are settling for a guy rather than getting someone you really want.
draft Az wr's and Carson Palmer..Fitz should have a huge bounce back year.
draft players who look good in preseason but are low on ranking lists - Chris Jonhson , for example, should shred the Oakland defense in week 1..Gore has been invisible in preseason, but despite SF's futility in fake games, both Gore and Hyde should carve Dallas' d to bits in week 1. Lions' defense should be the best defense in week 1, Eli Manning looks a mess..
try to get out of the gates with a win, and draft guys with indoor ,or home games, in december, and especially like players from strong offenses that are backed by weak defenses - dallas offense, Atl, etc.
dont get caught up in any runs..go for another position when the run starts..why take a RB 'just because ' they're getting gobbled up? at this point you are settling for a guy rather than getting someone you really want.
draft Az wr's and Carson Palmer..Fitz should have a huge bounce back year.
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I've always thought the "Let the draft come to you" is the most important strategy. If you get stuck on preplanned strategies, or having absolute must-have players, you can do yourself a disservice come draft day. This also comes down to making sure you focus on player tiers as opposed to specific rankings.
And make sure you know the scoring setup. There were some changes to my main league for our last draft, going from 2RB/3WR/TE/flex to 1RB/2WR/TE/2flex, and you had to use that to change your draft outlook. I love doing PPR drafts with people who are just using standard scoring sheets ;-)
And get lucky.
And make sure you know the scoring setup. There were some changes to my main league for our last draft, going from 2RB/3WR/TE/flex to 1RB/2WR/TE/2flex, and you had to use that to change your draft outlook. I love doing PPR drafts with people who are just using standard scoring sheets ;-)
And get lucky.
Voice Of Reason
Footballguy
Disregard preseason performances or stats.
Bobby Guano
Footballguy
I always avoid guys who had a career year last season. Never overpay for last years numbers unless they are a proven top 5 guy at their position. I need a couple years of proven production before i consider someone with my first two picks.
LawFitz
Footballguy
1. Adjust VBD by expected health, particularly in the early rounds. You can't predict injuries, but you can certainly place odds based on position, playing style, personal injury history, team dynamic, etc. Simplest example: pocket QBs with quick minds and good OLs are less likely to get hurt than WRs and even moreso, than RBs.
2. KNOW YOUR SCORING SYSTEM and ROSTER CONFIG - slight tweaks here and there make all the difference in the world! 1 vs. 2 QB/superflex; PPR; 2 vs 3 WR; 4 vs. 6 pt TDs; yardage vs TD heavy; return yardage are all common/key examples.
E.g. In my return yardage league, I project Cordarrelle Patterson to be a WR1 this season. Without return yards, a WR2. Differentiates him by as much as two draft rounds or more.
3. Use a color-coded draft board to track your draft. Yahoo, ESPN online draft interfaces are junk. Use fantasyfootballcalculator.com's draft board as a model. It's easily recreated with a multicolor pen and paper during your draft to differentiate positional selections. This will allow you to quickly track what the teams around you have done and what they might do in upcoming rounds based on roster needs.
4. Use late rounds to grab upside guys over replaceable names. This is unless you play in very deep roster size leagues, where free agents are thinned out.
5. Matchup D is the new model. Be prepared to use two roster spots on D's, if not at the draft, then soon after, with at least one of those D's carrying a juicy week 1 matchup.
2. KNOW YOUR SCORING SYSTEM and ROSTER CONFIG - slight tweaks here and there make all the difference in the world! 1 vs. 2 QB/superflex; PPR; 2 vs 3 WR; 4 vs. 6 pt TDs; yardage vs TD heavy; return yardage are all common/key examples.
E.g. In my return yardage league, I project Cordarrelle Patterson to be a WR1 this season. Without return yards, a WR2. Differentiates him by as much as two draft rounds or more.
3. Use a color-coded draft board to track your draft. Yahoo, ESPN online draft interfaces are junk. Use fantasyfootballcalculator.com's draft board as a model. It's easily recreated with a multicolor pen and paper during your draft to differentiate positional selections. This will allow you to quickly track what the teams around you have done and what they might do in upcoming rounds based on roster needs.
4. Use late rounds to grab upside guys over replaceable names. This is unless you play in very deep roster size leagues, where free agents are thinned out.
5. Matchup D is the new model. Be prepared to use two roster spots on D's, if not at the draft, then soon after, with at least one of those D's carrying a juicy week 1 matchup.
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