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QB Match Ups to Exploit/Avoid Week 6... (1 Viewer)

Ministry of Pain

Footballguy
I am going to do this a little different this week...just want to change it up and get you folks thinking a little bit. I might switch back next week but I can use this as a template for the rest of the season as we progress along. I am going to cover all 32 teams week by week with the Qb that played agianst them. Let’s breakdown the passing defenses before we jump into who is a good start and who isn’t.

AFC East:

New England:

Week 1: Chad Pennington 16/21, 167, 2TD…game was a blowout but this was a decent week for owners.

Week 2: Phillip Rivers 19/30, 179, 2 TD and 2 INT…seems like they were just giving up short passes early in the season, however QBs posting 2 TD a week is good news for owners.

Week 3: Trent Edwards 10/20, 97, 0TD…rookie but you can see he was very limited.

Week 4: Carson Palmer 21/35, 234, 1TD and 2 INT…a stud QB and they pretty much limited him most of the night. Great pair of WR to throw to, and he really had a sub par night for Carson Palmer.

Week 5: Derek Anderson 22/43 287, 2TD, 3INT…In terms of FF, any owner who was forced to start Anderson had to be at least satisfied. The 3 INT maybe erase 1 of the TD but he still racked up close to 300 yds.

Overall the Pats are far from a pushover in the passing game. However, they have allowed 2 TD in 3 different games and that could give FF owners some reason for optimism. I am sure Romo owners are looking this over very closely this week.

Buffalo:

Week 1: Jay Cutler 22/39, 304 TD/INT

Week 2: Big Ben 21/34, 242, TD/INT

Week 3: Tom Brady 23/29, 311, 4TD

Week 4: Pennington 32/39, 290, TD/2INT

Week 5: Tony Romo 29/50 309, 2TD/5INT

What does all of this mean? They have faced a lot of quality NFL Qbs…Penny and Cutler are middle of the road right now. They are playing tough even though they are giving up a lot of yds. The Interceptions seem meaningless as they are allowing about 300 yds a game. However they have only 2 games where the Qb threw for 2+TD.

New York Jets:

Week 1: Tom Brady 22/28, 297, 3TD…can’t fault them against the Pats.

Week2: Kyle Boller 23/35, 185, 2TD…a lot of FF owners will take that and run almost every week.

Week 3: Trent Green 23/36, 318, TD/INT…Miami was down 31-13 in the 4th…lot of garbage time stats here.

Week 4: Trent Edwards 22/28, 234, TD/INT…rookie QB has success on your secondary?

Week 5: Eli Manning 13/25, 186, 2TD/INT…they had him contained for most of the day. Penny really did lose them this game.

3 games of 2+ TD, Brady has the most impressive yds, Green was in garbage time really, the other 3 outings are a mixed bag. Pretty soft secondary but they are not exactly stiff on the run either so offense are doing whatever they like right now. I have a feeling most Qbs can expose this secondary when they want to.

Miami:

Week 1: Jason Campbell 12/21, 222, 2 INT

Week 2: Tony Romo 14/29, 186, 2TD

Week 3: Pennington 15/22, 124, 2 TD

Week 4: CulPepper 5/12, 75, 2TD…3 rushing TD just for S&G.

Week 5: Matt Schaub 20/34, 294, INT

You look at Miami and you see that they have not been beaten for a lot of yards most weeks. But they also are allowing an atrocious amount of rushing yards typically. They are at #4 on the depth charts at Free Safety…the kid looked lost out there against Houston and Schaub should have had a couple of TD in that game, ended up with a couple of PI calls. The Dolphins are terrible on defense right now in almost every aspect of the game, I expect if they do stiffen up on the ground that most teams will just take to the air and go bombs away on them. They are giving up 1 TD per 19-20 attempts…and that is without CPepp’s 3 rushing TD factored in.

AFC North

Pittsburgh:

Week 1: Anderson/Frye 17/38, 218, TD, 2 INT…sent Frye to QB3 for Seattle…ouch!

Week 2: J.P.Losman 15/25, 154…Buffalo was awful with Losman under center.

Week 3: Alex Smith 17/35, 209, TD/INT…they look good against the inferiors for sure.

Week 4: Warner/Leinart 21/35, 225, TD…their pass defense was not the problem in this game really.

Week 5: Matt Hasselbeck 13/27, 116, INT…just destroyed the Seahawks passing game…really the run as well in this one.

There is no doubt they are a tough tough tough pass defense. And when you factor in they were short handed in the secondary last week…this group is awesome. They have not faced the upper tier QBs so I would question that a bit but compared to what other teams are doing, they look great.

Baltimore:

Week 1: Carson Palmer 20/32, 194, 2TD…considering the Qb, I don’t think this was that bad.

Week 2: Kellen Clemens 19/37, 260, TD/2INT…got the job done, but not the best.

Week 3: Warner/Leinart 24/40, 311, 2 TD…They were ahead by about 20 at one point…then they started to get soft. Had a hammer lock on Leinart though.

Week 4: Derek Anderson 10/18 204, 2 TD/INT…3rd game of 2+ TD for the season.

Week 5: Trent Dilfer 12/19, 126, TD/INT…look at the Qb here before you give them any kudos.

I don’t think they are studs but you have to take into account they are stiff stiff stiff against the run. Teams would rather take their chances thru the air really. In fact I think they still do have a pretty solid secondary. I wouldn’t just wheel out my Qb against them and expect great numbers against them.

Cleveland:

Week 1: Big Ben 12/23, 161, 4TD

Week 2: Palmer 33/50, 401, 6TD/2INT

Week 3: McPepp 14/26, 226, TD

Week 4: McNair 34/53, 307, TD/INT

Week 5: Brady 22/38, 265, 3 TD

The fact is they have given up 15 TD this season. Can a guy like Cleo Lemon exploit them this week? I am sure he will get “Good/Great Match up” this week but it’s CLEO LEMON!!! This secondary has faced Palmer and Brady so it’s understandable to get lit up by them, they also have made McNair and Big Ben look like Brady and Palmer in terms of FF production.

Cincinnati:

Week 1: Steve McNair 20 - 34 - 203 - 0 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Derek Anderson, Pass: 20 - 33 - 328 - 5 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Matt Hasselbeck, Pass: 24 - 37 - 248 - 3 TD / 2 INT

Week 4: Tom Brady, Pass: 25 - 32 - 231 - 3 TD / 1 INT

Week 5: Bye

The Bengals have just been rocked on many weeks. They were OK against McNair week 1 but then they allowed 11 TD over the next 3 weeks. Can the injured Damon Huard do anything against this secondary? I am more inclined to bet on Dwayne Bowe at WR as Joseph is OUT/Suspended.

AFC South:

Indianapolis:

Week 1: Drew Brees, Pass: 28 - 41 - 192 - 0 TD / 2 INT…everyone is keeping Brees and crew down, not sure this was any great achievement looking back.

Week 2: Vince Young, Pass: 17 - 27 - 184 - 1 TD / 0 INT…VY had another 50+ on the ground but they pretty much held him in check. In NFL terms though, VY had a solid game, no mistakes really till the last play and even then you can’t fault the guy.

Week 3: Matt Schaub, Pass: 27 - 33 - 236 - 1 TD / 2 INT…considering Schaub didn’t have Andre Johnson in this game I think he did pretty well.

Week 4: Jay Cutler, Pass: 13 - 21 - 131 - 1 TD / 1 INT…pretty pedestrian numbers.

Week 5: Jeff Garcia, Pass: 18 - 23 - 143 - 2 TD / 0 INT

What I see and take form this are several things. 1st, even in games where the Qbs are having success, they want to try and keep Manning off the field so they run even more than they usually do. Not many teams are going to try and defeat the Colts by airing it out as Indy can match them score for score all day if they want to. They are really only allowing about 150-175 yds a week thru the air and only 1 TD. Besides Brees, most of the other game the Qbs are only throwing it around 25-27 times a game, that’s not much in the NFL…and these teams are LOSING!!! It’s not like the recipe is working or anything but they still are doing it. So I think most weeks you are going to be fairly disappointed when your Qb faces Indy.

Jacksonville:

Week 1: Vince Young, Pass: 11 - 18 - 78 - 0 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Joey Harrington, Pass: 12 - 20 - 200 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 3: Jay Cutler, Pass: 16 - 23 - 222 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 4: Bye

Week 5: Huard/Croyle, 25 - 43 - 279 - TD / 1 INT

The Jags have not exactly been beating down the best of the NFL Qbs, however they are a mighty stiff defense as of late. They are not giving anything away on defense anywhere right now. They had KC pretty much shutout till the very end of that game. I want to see them face someone with a real Qb…Schaub would be a great test but he is missing his WR1/WR2…but it still will be worth monitoring.

Tennessee:

Week 1: David Garrard, Pass: 17 - 30 - 204 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 2: Peyton Manning, Pass: 28 - 42 - 312 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Drew Brees, Pass: 29 - 45 - 225 - 0 TD / 4 INT

Week 4: Bye

Week 5: Joey Harrington, Pass: 16 - 31 - 87 - 0 TD / 1 INT, Byron Leftwich, Pass: 2 - 8 - 28 - 0 TD / 1 INT

They are playing at a very high level as well. Manning had 300+ and a TD but 42 attempts to get there, really not that bad an effort. Mixed bag of Qbs other than manning but they are really playing hard right now. This week they travel into hostile Tampa Bay but I see them able to shut down the Bucs as they will have a hard time running it and also do not possess anyone outside of Joey Galloway who will likely be blanketed this week.

Houston:

Week 1: Damon Huard, Pass: 22 - 33 - 168 - 0 TD / 2 INT

Week 2: Jake Delhomme, Pass: 27 - 41 - 307 - 3 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Peyton Manning, Pass: 20 - 29 - 273 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Joey Harrington, Pass: 23 - 29 - 223 - 2 TD / 0 INT

Week 5: Cleo Lemon, Pass: 15 - 27 - 151 - 0 TD / 1 INT, Trent Green…KO!!!

The Texans really only have 1 poor showing and a lot of that was done by the incredible play of Steve Smith helping Jake Delhomme out. The improvement of their DL has made them much improved with a better overall pass rush and also they have been good against the run minus Ronnie Brown last week. I can’t see where David Garrard would be a great play this week really.

AFC West:

Oakland:

Week 1: Jon Kitna, Pass: 27 - 36 - 289 - 3 TD / 2 INT

Week 2: Jay Cutler, Pass: 23 - 33 - 269 - 1 TD / 2 INT

Week 3: Derek Anderson, Pass: 18 - 37 - 248 - 1 TD / 2 INT

Week 4: Trent Green, Pass: 14 - 25 - 158 - 1 TD / 2 INT

Week 5: Bye

Since week 1, they have been a lot better against the pass. Detroit has a lot of weapons so I wouldn’t fault them too much in week 1. 3 TD vs 6 INT the next 3 weeks…I know many people laugh that they are in 1st place but this defense is not as bad as some imagine it to be. Anderson and Green had trouble completing passes. Rivers might have his hands full on Sunday. This is going to be a big game for a young team, Oakland, on Sunday. The Chargers need this one badly as well but I wouldn’t think Rivers has an explosion or anything.

San Diego:

Week 1: Rex Grossman, Pass: 12 - 23 - 145 - 0 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Tom Brady, Pass: 25 - 31 - 279 - 3 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Brett Favre, Pass: 28 - 45 - 369 - 3 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Damon Huard, Pass: 17 - 29 - 284 - 2 TD / 2 INT

Week 5: Jay Cutler, Pass: 23 - 36 - 232 - 0 TD / 1 INT

People are going to point to last week’s game and think SD is back, they really are not and here is why. I don’t consider Cutler an upper tier QB and in fact I don’t like anything Denver is doing right now on offense. Has Henry scored yet??? 1 TD, that’s right. All that said, they were lit up by Tom Brady, Brett Favre…you can live with those but Damon Huard? Almost 300 yds and 2 TD in a game they lost. Culpepper is not a guy I pin my dreams on every week but he is coming off a skewed 5 TD performance, but the match up IMO is great. If Curry is healthy and Porter can be effective…might not be a bad match up, would prefer a healthy Jordan though to catch balls o.o.t.b. though.

Denver:

Week 1: J.P. Losman, Pass: 14 - 21 - 97 - 0 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Josh McCown, Pass: 8 - 16 - 73 - 1 TD / 3 INT

Week 3: David Garrard, Pass: 14 - 20 - 154 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Peyton Manning, Pass: 20 - 27 - 193 - 3 TD / 0 INT

Week 5: Philip Rivers, Pass: 13 - 18 - 270 - 2 TD / 0 INT

While the 1st 3 weeks were really impressive, they did it against very average to poor Qbs. When they faced Manning and Rivers they got smoked pretty good to the tune of 5 TD vs 0 INT. They get a bye this week but they could easily be 0-5 right now. I think if you have a solid QB option you plug him in. It is possible the Travis Henry issue was a distraction to the team this week. He went form a possible season ending knee injury that wa mostly smoked up on the internet, to a season ending suspension that he has managed to stave off for a few weeks it appears.

Kansas City:

Week 1: Matt Schaub, Pass: 16 - 22 - 225 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Rex Grossman, Pass: 20 - 34 - 160 - 1 TD / 2 INT

Week 3: Kelly Holcomb, Pass: 14 - 28 - 165 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Philip Rivers, Pass: 21 - 42 - 211 - 0 TD / 2 INT

Week 5: David Garrard, Pass: 20 - 27 - 218 - 1 TD / 0 INT

KC is a hard team to gauge and here is why. Despite what they did against Jax on Sunday…and really it was 1 big run by MJD that made those stats looks that good…Fred Taylor did not tear it up…but KC is pretty good at stopping the run. They don’t get gashed every other play as some others in the league. You would think that more teams would try to pass it more on them yet they don’t. SD tried but Rivers simply failed. When you look at this body of work they have done well against Grossman, Holcomb, and Rivers…2 of them are not real starters in this league. Schaub did alright but it was his 1st start so it was actually really solid and they won 20-3 so he wasn’t asked to do a lot. Garrard was effective but didn’t bury them or anything. We’ll see what they are made of at home this week against Carson Palmer.

NFC East:

Dallas:

Week 1: Eli Manning, Pass: 28 - 41 - 312 - 4 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Trent Green, Pass: 23 - 40 - 287 - 2 TD / 4 INT

Week 3: Rex Grossman, Pass: 15 - 32 - 195 - 0 TD / 3 INT

Week 4: Marc Bulger, Pass: 11 - 24 - 114 - 0 TD / 1 INT

Week 5: Trent Edwards, Pass: 23 - 31 - 176 - 0 TD / 1 INT

Very mixed reviews I think. They have had some injuries in their secondary but shutting down Rex Grossman, Bulger and the rib injury, and Trent Edwards does not impress me. What does New England do best? Throw the ball although they can run it too, but Brady and crew should have a good time in Dallas on Sunday even if the game is a little tougher. They walked right thru that trap game against Cleveland and manage to win handily, the same could not be said of Dallas. The defense is opportunistic though and they have 10 INT on the season…they will need them this week if they have any hope of winning against the Pats.

Washington:

Week 1: Trent Green, Pass: 24 - 38 - 219 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 2: Donovan McNabb, Pass: 28 - 46 - 240 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 3: Eli Manning, Pass: 21 - 36 - 232 - 1 TD / 2 INT

Week 4: Bye

Week 5: Jon Kitna, Pass: 16 - 29 - 106 - 0 TD / 2 INT

This is somewhat impressive. They have a very solid secondary. My question and I hope Skins fans will take the time to educate us on their DL…where is the pressure coming form because without getting heat on the Qb, no secondary can survive. They shut down McNabb, Manning was meh, and what they did to Kitna was criminal. Now they will have their hands full with Brett Favre this weekend but I am thinking they are up to the challenge. Imagine the Skins at 4-1…are they really that good? I don’t think Green bay is all that great so they certainly are beatable.

NY Giants:

Week 1: Tony Romo, Pass: 15 - 24 - 345 - 4 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Brett Favre, Pass: 29 - 38 - 286 - 3 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Jason Campbell, Pass: 16 - 34 - 190 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Donovan McNabb, Pass: 15 - 31 - 138 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 5: Chad Pennington, Pass: 21 - 36 - 229 - 1 TD / 3 INT

They have gone from the outhouse to the penthouse the last few weeks. After having Romo and Favre take a blowtorch to that secondary in weeks 1 and 2, they have bounced back hard. OK, Campbell doesn’t count, but McNabb and shut down Penny for most of the day. Those guys do have weapons at their disposal and they couldn’t get it done…I know McNabb was missing Westbrook but he did nothing against the Giants. They travel to Atlanta on MNF, might be seriously going 4-2 after this week…crazy talk after the way they started the season. I’m not totally sold on them being a good pass defense but they should be able to handle Joey and Lord Byron.

Philadelphia:

Week 1: Brett Favre, Pass: 23 - 42 - 206 - 0 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Jason Campbell, Pass: 16 - 29 - 209 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Jon Kitna, Pass: 29 - 46 - 446 - 2 TD / 1 INT

Week 4: Eli Manning, Pass: 14 - 26 - 135 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 5: Bye

When all is said and considering the injuries that they have sustained, they actually have held up pretty well. 206 yds on 42 attempts is really good against Favre. Kitna had a lot of yards but didn’t really do the damage those numbers would first indicate. They have a good chance to help the Jets usher in the Kelly Clemens era this weekend. I don’t see where Pennington will light them up short of being able to exploit some injuries, but other teams have not really done that.

NFC North:

Green Bay:

Week 1: Donovan McNabb, Pass: 15 - 33 - 184 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Eli Manning, Pass: 16 - 29 - 211 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Philip Rivers, Pass: 27 - 36 - 306 - 3 TD / 1 INT

Week 4: Kelly Holcomb, Pass: 21 - 39 - 258 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 5: Brian Griese, Pass: 15 - 25 - 214 - 2 TD / 1 INT

Other than Rivers, they haven’t really been bad. Griese had his moments but that should not have lost Green bay the game when you look at the stats…Favre really hurt them in that loss. Manning had a bum shoulder, McNabb was in his 1st game back from his ACL tear…I could try and find excuses for why they are just average but really they have played pretty solid.

Detroit:

Week 1: Josh McCown, Pass: 30 - 40 - 313 - 2 TD / 2 INT

Week 2: Tarvaris Jackson, Pass: 17 - 33 - 166 - 0 TD / 4 INT

Week 3: Donovan McNabb, Pass: 21 - 26 - 381 - 4 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Brian Griese, Pass: 34 - 52 - 286 - 2 TD / 3 INT

Week 5: Jason Campbell, Pass: 23 - 29 - 248 - 2 TD / 0 INT

We all know they are bad. McCown had his best day, McNabb his best day, Griese had almost 300 yds and 2 TD, Campbell had his best day of the season…they are not good, far from it.

Chicago:

Week 1: Philip Rivers, Pass: 22 - 31 - 190 - 0 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: Damon Huard, Pass: 19 - 28 - 175 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Tony Romo, Pass: 22 - 35 - 329 - 2 TD / 1 INT

Week 4: Jon Kitna, Pass: 20 - 24 - 247 - 2 TD / 0 INT

Week 5: Brett Favre, Pass: 29 - 40 - 322 - 1 TD / 2 INT

The Bears are another team that is tough to gauge because of all the injuries. They shut down Rivers mostly week 1, Huard week 2, Romo lights them up in week 3, Kitna was bottled up till late in that game, and Favre was doing fine against them till he started to throw interceptions. 2 games of over 300 yds, another for about 250 over the past 3 weeks but both of their CB have had injuries…although Tillman was in the line up and very productive against Brett Favre on Sunday. I doubt TJax lights them up this week or Holcomb for that matter.

Minnesota:

Week 1: Joey Harrington, Pass: 23 - 32 - 199 - 0 TD / 2 INT

Week 2: Jon Kitna, Pass: 22 - 33 - 245 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Damon Huard, Pass: 20 - 29 - 206 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Brett Favre, Pass: 32 - 45 - 344 - 2 TD / 0 INT

Week 5: Bye

Favre has a sensational game but that was special moment where he broke Marino’s record. The Vikes dropped the hammer down pretty good on the lesser Qbs although they did fare well against Kitna too. When you consider how great they are at stopping the run, its hard to imagine why they aren’t giving up more yards thru the air. Griese will have his moments this weekend but I don’t see him posting 20 points like he did last week.

NFC South:

Tampa Bay:

Week 1: Matt Hasselbeck, Pass: 17 - 24 - 222 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 2: Drew Brees, Pass: 26 - 44 - 260 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Marc Bulger, Pass: 17 - 26 - 116 - 0 TD / 3 INT

Week 4: David Carr, Pass: 19 - 41 - 155 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 5: Peyton Manning, Pass: 29 - 37 - 253 - 2 TD / 1 INT

The Bucs are better than people think. Manning had a good day without Harrison by his side but the overall picture for the Bucs has been pretty good. Now granted when you shut Brees down right now, it doesn’t seem to carry as much weight as all the other teams are doing it too, but they have not been torched for 300 yds yet, and they also have only 1 game with over 2 TD and that was against Manning. This is not a pushover for opposing Qbs for sure. While I do think the Titans are going to march into TB and win the game, I don’t expect superstar numbers form Vince Young this weekend.

Carolina:

Week 1: Marc Bulger, Pass: 22 - 42 - 167 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 2: Matt Schaub, Pass: 20 - 28 - 227 - 2 TD / 0 INT

Week 3: Joey Harrington, Pass: 31 - 44 - 361 - 2 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Jeff Garcia, Pass: 15 - 25 - 176 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 5: Drew Brees, Pass: 29 - 47 - 252 - 0 TD / 2 INT

Harrington of all people has had the most success of anyone right now. They are not a super easy team to put points on. They are going to travel this week to AZ who now have Warner starting…not sure if that is good or bad. Warner does well off the bench, will be different when he is actually out there from the 1st snap.

Atlanta:

Week 1: Tarvaris Jackson, Pass: 13 - 23 - 163 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 2: David Garrard, Pass: 17 - 25 - 272 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 3: Jake Delhomme, Pass: 10 - 18 - 109 - 2 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Matt Schaub, Pass: 28 - 40 - 317 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 5: Vince Young, Pass: 20 - 33 - 157 - 0 TD / 3 INT

Schaub and Garrard found success, but they have held their own on other weeks. Part of it is teams know they can run the ball on Atlanta, but they are not swiss cheese in the secondary as some believe. They did a number on Vince Young last week but Young is still learning the ropes in the NFL and he is going to have some bad games. Not the best, not the absolute worst you could be facing either.

New Orleans:

Week 1: Peyton Manning, Pass: 18 - 30 - 288 - 3 TD / 0 INT

Week 2: Jeff Garcia, Pass: 10 - 16 - 243 - 2 TD / 0 INT

Week 3: Vince Young, Pass: 14 - 22 - 164 - 2 TD / 1 INT

Week 4: Bye

Week 5: David Carr, Pass: 10 - 17 - 119 - 1 TD / 1 INT

The Saints can be passed on. Carr was not a good test, and they still managed to lose that game. Why Hasselbeck is so far down on the cheat sheets this week is beyond explanation. I understand he has Branch and Hackett out, but DJ Hackett hasn’t been a part of the offense yet this season. Still ahs Engram in the slot, Burleson lined up wide, and likely Seneca Wallace or Obunwhatever on the other side. I think Hass will be fine, and the game is in Seattle for crying out loud.

NFC West:

Seattle:

Week 1: Jeff Garcia, Pass: 19 - 27 - 201 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 2: Matt Leinart, Pass: 23 - 37 - 299 - 1 TD / 1 INT

Week 3: Carson Palmer, Pass: 27 - 43 - 342 - 1 TD / 2 INT

Week 4: Trent Dilfer, Pass: 12 - 33 - 128 - 0 TD / 2 INT

Week 5: Ben Roethlisberger, Pass: 18 - 22 - 206 - 1 TD / 0 INT

They have only given up 3 passing TD on the season, not much at all really. A couple of 300 yd games here and there as well. Factor in Drew brees has been awful this season and I don’t see how most owners can start Drew Brees this week. He should remain kind of quiet, especially in that hell hole up in Seattle. The Nest is not a fun place to play football for the opposition.

Arizona:

Week 1: Alex Smith, Pass: 15 - 31 - 126 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 2: Matt Hasselbeck, Pass: 22 - 36 - 281 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 3: Steve McNair, Pass: 20 - 27 - 198 - 1 TD / 0 INT, Kyle Boller, Pass: 8 - 10 - 83 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Ben Roethlisberger, Pass: 17 - 32 - 244 - 2 TD / 2 INT

Week 5: Gus Frerotte, Pass: 24 - 43 - 262 - 3 TD / 3 INT

The Cardinals have given up 5 TD the past 2 weeks. They do get David Carr however so I don’t anticipate large FF points for him this week. Big Ben’s numbers a little deceptive as the Steelers were playing form behind and FWP was doing nothing on the ground that day. Frerotte’s numbers a mixed bag…a pick for every TD is not good. 43 attempts for 262 yd is not that impressive either.

San Fran:

Week 1: Matt Leinart, Pass: 14 - 28 - 102 - 1 TD / 2 INT

Week 2: Marc Bulger, Pass: 24 - 41 - 368 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 3: Ben Roethlisberger, Pass: 13 - 20 - 160 - 1 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Matt Hasselbeck, Pass: 23 - 31 - 281 - 2 TD / 1 INT

Week 5: Steve McNair, Pass: 29 - 43 - 214 - 0 TD / 0 INT,

Pretty solid outside of allowing Bulger to throw for 368 yds. Just 1 game of 2 TD. Looks like they have a bye this week.

St Louis:

Week 1: Jake Delhomme, Pass: 18 - 27 - 201 - 3 TD / 0 INT

Week 2: Alex Smith, Pass: 11 - 17 - 126 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 3: Jeff Garcia, Pass: 14 - 22 - 151 - 0 TD / 0 INT

Week 4: Tony Romo, Pass: 21 - 33 - 339 - 3 TD / 1 INT

Week 5: Kurt Warner, Pass: 14 - 28 - 190 - 1 TD / 1 INT, Matt Leinart, Pass: 7 - 13 - 100 - 0 TD / 1 INT

The Rams are all over the place but understand one thing…teams can run almost at will so they tend to not have to pass the ball that much. I imagine most teams could as Dallas showed but at the same time there is no reason to press the issue. They are on the road at Baltimore this week. McNair has been pretty stale most weeks but if they want to light up St. Louis I believe they can.

Top 10 Qbs that I think are overrated this week:

Kurt Warner: Carolina is not soft serve on defense, Warner has shown over the past few seasons a knack to under perform when given the reigns. I understand people want to get behind him and I am picking him up in many of my redraft leagues, however I have some very tempered enthusiasm for him. I would not rank him as high as he is right now.

Jason Campbell: The Pack are middle of the road but I don’t think Campbell should be ranked ahead of guys like…wow this is a crappy week for Qbs…still top10 for this guy is too much for me right now. Way too inconsistent.

David Garrard: Are you kidding me? No way do I rank him in the top10 this week. I don’t think Garrard will ever be called upon to throw more than 25 times in a game. He has a ceiling of about 200 yds and a TD per week.

Guys towards the bottom this week that should do well:

Matt Hasselbeck: He should be much higher. Even with Nate as his only real weapon on the outside, he will find a way to exploit that secondary of New Orleans. I like him this week, and I told you he was going to do crap last week. I have had a good beat on Matt most of the season, and I give him the green light to start this week. Branch is out, plug in someone else. Look what other Qbs like Matt Schaub are doing with even less really.

Daunte Culpepper: So many bad plays this week, he might actually be decent against the Bolts. This is a big game for the Raiders…I mean B-I-G, BIG!!! They can keep sole possession of 1st place this week and they have like 2,000 new RB in the mix there to keep everyone fresh.

Must starts:

Tom Brady

Tony Romo…YES!!!

Carson Palmer

Donovon McNabb…if you got him, play him this week against the Jets.

Eli Manning…against the Falcons on MNF, he should be top10 this week really.

Games that could end in a 0-0 tie include…

Tennessee at Tampa Bay…both teams will be challenged to put up any points

Minnesota at Chicago…the Vikes do not have the personnel to exploit the Bears secondary, and Chicago does not fare well when they cannot run the ball, I don’t see how they can against the Vikes…low scoring affair I imagine.

Games that could see the doors blown off include…

New England at Dallas…duh

Miami at Cleveland…neither defense especially good at much, Qbs are shaky though.

Oakland at San Diego…the Raiders are avg about 50 points total a game…the Chargers 43…we likely will see something like 24-21 one way or the other, could be a lot of points in this game.

Anyone that has an opinion on what they are looking at, please post your thoughts. It's not about being right or wrong, or trying to twist the stats in any one direction. I think a lot of you guys have some great takes so fire away. That’s all I got right now...sound off folks, cause I’m exhausted.

 
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Remember in week 2 jesus gave kitna a concussion for a quarter and a half. o'sullivan came in and threw for 13/24 148 1 2. i think griese is a good bye week candidate this week. nothing spectacular but could be solid.

I like the new format - and all your weekly match-up posts for that matter :goodposting:

 
Remember in week 2 jesus gave kitna a concussion for a quarter and a half. o'sullivan came in and threw for 13/24 148 1 2. i think griese is a good bye week candidate this week. nothing spectacular but could be solid.I like the new format - and all your weekly match-up posts for that matter :goodposting:
Thanks for that info..I did forget about that concussion because I too suffered one banging my head against :no: the table as he had to come out of the game.
 
All I have to say is wow. Great stuff as usual.

I also really like Culpepper this week. I got him and Palmer and Eli Manning so I'll be going with Palmer. Not that anyone cares. For a brief milisecond I thought about going with Eli, but I think the Bengals are going to come out of the bye with the fury.

They'll make the playoffs with 10 wins. jmo.

My top 10 QBs this week are:

1. Palmer Big day for him here. Easily the best O the Chiefs have seen all year. Chiefs will be exposed.

2. T. Romo Either he'll throw them to victory or get plenty of comeback work. Either way 50+ attempts are almost a lock.

3. D. McNabb He'll toss in 2 and maybe run one in. Westbrook ailing, so he'll need to do some extra.

4. D. Anderson This guy just scores about 20 every week and against anyone. He'll be 25+ points here.

5. E. Manning Like MOP said, big week. Falcons haven't seen a decent QB yet, this is one.

6. T. Brady Pats, might be up and run late. Still 2 TDs and 250+ for Tom.

7. D. Brees (Yes that's right) Biggest game of his year. Saints restore hope they may not be done yet.

8. B. Favre Just because this year is his year.

9. B. Griese Don't laugh, he put up pretty good numbers against a good GB D. Good start.

10. D. Culpepper Dark Horse of the week. If you don't have these other 9 guys play him and relax.

 
All I have to say is wow. Great stuff as usual.I also really like Culpepper this week. I got him and Palmer and Eli Manning so I'll be going with Palmer. Not that anyone cares. For a brief milisecond I thought about going with Eli, but I think the Bengals are going to come out of the bye with the fury.They'll make the playoffs with 10 wins. jmo.My top 10 QBs this week are:1. Palmer Big day for him here. Easily the best O the Chiefs have seen all year. Chiefs will be exposed.2. T. Romo Either he'll throw them to victory or get plenty of comeback work. Either way 50+ attempts are almost a lock.3. D. McNabb He'll toss in 2 and maybe run one in. Westbrook ailing, so he'll need to do some extra.4. D. Anderson This guy just scores about 20 every week and against anyone. He'll be 25+ points here.5. E. Manning Like MOP said, big week. Falcons haven't seen a decent QB yet, this is one.6. T. Brady Pats, might be up and run late. Still 2 TDs and 250+ for Tom.7. D. Brees (Yes that's right) Biggest game of his year. Saints restore hope they may not be done yet.8. B. Favre Just because this year is his year. 9. B. Griese Don't laugh, he put up pretty good numbers against a good GB D. Good start.10. D. Culpepper Dark Horse of the week. If you don't have these other 9 guys play him and relax.
A fine list there lad
 
This post is downright sick. You have really outdone yourself, MoP. Freaking outstanding work.

Honestly amazing analysis. THX

 
This post is downright sick. You have really outdone yourself, MoP. Freaking outstanding work.Honestly amazing analysis. THX
I was getting tired of folks from other sites, both pay and free ones posting projections with absolutely no basis or rational thought process put into it. They are just loking at the FF points given up and going off that...to me that's a recipe for disaster. Not saying I have all the answers cause surely I don't but at least we can go back now and look at what these defenses have been up to. You can find a lot of this info on FBG, but what I wanted was to group it all together...and if I waited a couple more weeks it might never have happened...finding all the stats is one thing, getting them into word and a working format/template is quite another.I am really glad you appreciate it. Love the avatar, better days ahead for us.
 
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:cry: ;)

awesome man, I been sort of doing this myself every week when trying to decide on who to start. Going to a team's schedule and looking through every box score is a pain. This is great to look at, thanks!

 
Pretty good stuff. I have some things that should be considered when looking at Mr. Kurt Warner for this week.

Let's review the Panthers DEF again and look at the big picture.

So far the Panthers have allowed the opposing QBs to go....

117/186 = 62.9% completion

1183 total passing yards = 236.6 Ypg

5 Passing TDs/2 Interceptions = 1TD per game and .4 INTs per game (NOTE: That the 2 INTs came last week against Brees. We'll get to the QBs in a moment)

The Opposing QBs

Bulger - Season totals TD/INT = 2/4 (Wasn't exactly lighting it up before getting hurt because his O-Line sucks so bad; Threw one TD agianst SF)

Schaub - Season totals TD/INT = 5/4 (Carolina is the only team he's thrown multiple TDs against and one of only two teams that haven't intercepted him)

Harrington - Season totals TD/INT = 4/3 (JOEY HARRINGTON THREW 2 TDs and ZERO INTs versus CAROLINA. BTW I'm a Falcons)

Garcia - Season totals TD/INT = 4/0 (he has 3 games in which he went 0/0. Against Seattle, St Louis, and Carolina)

Brees - Season totals TD/INT = 1/9 (Gave Car both of their INTs; One of which was dropped by Henderson)

These QBs are a combined 12TDs and 20INTs on the year.

All this and Carolina only has 2 INTs?

All this and Carolina only has 2 sacks?

What's that you say? Arizona has only allowed 5 sacks this year?

Warner has gone for 4 TDs and 1 INT against the likes of:

Baltimore, St Louis, and Pittsburg who have a combined 11 INTs and 3 sacks.

I can understand wanting to go against the grain, but in this case, for this week, Warner is a NO-BRAINER TOP 10 start.

 
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MoP,

With Leinart out for the year and Pittsburgh on a bye, I need a QB for this week (and beyond) and am debating between Griese and Culpepper. I like Culpepper actually for this weekend but am not sold that he will be the starter for the remainder of the year. Griese ahd a decent game stats-wise against a good GB D, why do you think it could be possible for a scoreless game (I know you didn't mean it literally)? I think he can post solid numbers for the rest of the year. He is tied for 5th in points among QBs for the last two weeks in my league.

 
Pretty good stuff. I have some things that should be considered when looking at Mr. Kurt Warner for this week.

Let's review the Panthers DEF again and look at the big picture.

So far the Panthers have allowed the opposing QBs to go....

117/186 = 62.9% completion

1183 total passing yards = 236.6 Ypg

5 Passing TDs/2 Interceptions = 1TD per game and .4 INTs per game (NOTE: That the 2 INTs came last week against Brees. We'll get to the QBs in a moment)

The Opposing QBs

Bulger - Season totals TD/INT = 2/4 (Wasn't exactly lighting it up before getting hurt because his O-Line sucks so bad; Threw one TD agianst SF)

Schaub - Season totals TD/INT = 5/4 (Carolina is the only team he's thrown multiple TDs against and one of only two teams that haven't intercepted him)

Harrington - Season totals TD/INT = 4/3 (JOEY HARRINGTON THREW 2 TDs and ZERO INTs versus CAROLINA. BTW I'm a Falcons)

Garcia - Season totals TD/INT = 4/0 (he has 3 games in which he went 0/0. Against Seattle, St Louis, and Carolina)

Brees - Season totals TD/INT = 1/9 (Gave Car both of their INTs; One of which was dropped by Henderson)

These QBs are a combined 12TDs and 20INTs on the year.

All this and Carolina only has 2 INTs?

All this and Carolina only has 2 sacks?

What's that you say? Arizona has only allowed 5 sacks this year?

Warner has gone for 4 TDs and 1 INT against the likes of:

Baltimore, St Louis, and Pittsburg who have a combined 11 INTs and 3 sacks.

I can understand wanting to go against the grain, but in this case, for this week, Warner is a NO-BRAINER TOP 10 start.
Bless your heart. Great analysis on Warner. Just scooped him up today!
 
Pretty good stuff. I have some things that should be considered when looking at Mr. Kurt Warner for this week.

Let's review the Panthers DEF again and look at the big picture.

So far the Panthers have allowed the opposing QBs to go....

117/186 = 62.9% completion

1183 total passing yards = 236.6 Ypg

5 Passing TDs/2 Interceptions = 1TD per game and .4 INTs per game (NOTE: That the 2 INTs came last week against Brees. We'll get to the QBs in a moment)

The Opposing QBs

Bulger - Season totals TD/INT = 2/4 (Wasn't exactly lighting it up before getting hurt because his O-Line sucks so bad; Threw one TD agianst SF)

Schaub - Season totals TD/INT = 5/4 (Carolina is the only team he's thrown multiple TDs against and one of only two teams that haven't intercepted him)

Harrington - Season totals TD/INT = 4/3 (JOEY HARRINGTON THREW 2 TDs and ZERO INTs versus CAROLINA. BTW I'm a Falcons)

Garcia - Season totals TD/INT = 4/0 (he has 3 games in which he went 0/0. Against Seattle, St Louis, and Carolina)

Brees - Season totals TD/INT = 1/9 (Gave Car both of their INTs; One of which was dropped by Henderson)

These QBs are a combined 12TDs and 20INTs on the year.

All this and Carolina only has 2 INTs?

All this and Carolina only has 2 sacks?

What's that you say? Arizona has only allowed 5 sacks this year?

Warner has gone for 4 TDs and 1 INT against the likes of:

Baltimore, St Louis, and Pittsburg who have a combined 11 INTs and 3 sacks.

I can understand wanting to go against the grain, but in this case, for this week, Warner is a NO-BRAINER TOP 10 start.
Awesome!!!This is why I put these out there, to get the feedback and get you guys thinking. That's a powerful sound argument for Warner...it's totally wrong but sound nonetheless. I never let facts get in the way of my opinions...I'm just kidding, good stuff.

 
MoP,With Leinart out for the year and Pittsburgh on a bye, I need a QB for this week (and beyond) and am debating between Griese and Culpepper. I like Culpepper actually for this weekend but am not sold that he will be the starter for the remainder of the year. Griese ahd a decent game stats-wise against a good GB D, why do you think it could be possible for a scoreless game (I know you didn't mean it literally)? I think he can post solid numbers for the rest of the year. He is tied for 5th in points among QBs for the last two weeks in my league.
If it's just for 1 week, then we look at the match up...I don't trust the Oakland HC, and I think at some point we will see Mr Russell in action...and McCown could come back into the picture when he gets healthy too. Griese is the starting QB in Chicago, the Rex Grossman era is over for now. Griese has produced pretty well so far.
 
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New format is tremedously effective and surprisingly easy to read. Having the previous qb stats readily available allows the reader to create an opinion and compare with the writers current matchup analysis mixed in with previous games.

Vote: Continue with new format :thumbup: :goodposting:

Already looking forward to week 7.

 
Great job MoP!! Really good stuff. I have been looking and looking for info like that, there's a lot of info on IDP but not too much on Team Defenses,which is too bad because in my league Team Def's can rival most QBs on a good day. I have Garcia, Campbell, Culpepper and I think I'm going to take a flyer on C-Pep this week.

 
Damn MOP, this is some serious work you pu in every week. This is a key week for me and I'm considering all three of my guys so this helps. Thanks.

 
JohnMC, greyone, spacevan, DD, Peak...thank you very much, I really appreciate the fact you guys like it. I wanted to change it up a little this week. not sure I will do this every week but now I can simply add the weekly stats on top of this.

 
MOP,Thank you for this. I wish FBG went into such depth...
They do. It's just spread out a little bit. Cheatsheets are just that, cheatsheets. Match Ups from Wimer are just that, match ups. They have an awful lot of content...and you can click on the players to get their gamelogs...not sure they have a place to point and click where you can analyze the pass defenses such as this, and let's face it, if they did I would be foolish to replicate it. This was put together using a lot of their tools. FBG rocks as do the boards, I just think peoples expectations have gone thru the roof and this site IMO has pushed that envelope every year. Show me a paysite that has as much stuff weekly as FBG...you can kill a lot of time reading all their articles. But thank you, much appreciated.
 
I really was leaning towards Harrington this week vs the NYG. But, maybe they have righted the ship a little lately. With news on Huard starting vs the Bengals, I think that may be the safer play. It will likely be a shootout and Huard rarely makes a lot of mistakes.

I dropped Griese, and I agree that it could be a yawner of a game offensively. Looks like Berrian might not play, so I think Griese is a very risky start this week. I can see about 180 yds 1td and 2 int for him.

What are your feelings on what kind of numbers Huard might put up against the Bengals...I'm kind of stuck on this one. Bowe is really coming on, and Cini can't cover anyone. Looks like a good matchup.

 
I think you and I are the only ones who think Hasslebeck is a decent start this week.

FBg currently ranked at #22, vs the saints. :bag:

Know I know Branch is out, but the Saints D is horrible.

 
I really was leaning towards Harrington this week vs the NYG. But, maybe they have righted the ship a little lately. With news on Huard starting vs the Bengals, I think that may be the safer play. It will likely be a shootout and Huard rarely makes a lot of mistakes. I dropped Griese, and I agree that it could be a yawner of a game offensively. Looks like Berrian might not play, so I think Griese is a very risky start this week. I can see about 180 yds 1td and 2 int for him.What are your feelings on what kind of numbers Huard might put up against the Bengals...I'm kind of stuck on this one. Bowe is really coming on, and Cini can't cover anyone. Looks like a good matchup.
The match up far exceeds the guy under center...Huard's best game was against San Diego IIRC...they say he is playing. The Chiefs are in the thick of it with their division...would it really surprise people if they went 9-7 and possibly won that division? I know SD fans think the Chargers are going to roar back in the 2nd half of the season, but with Indy and NE likely locking up the homefield at some point, and if not them, Pittsburgh looks ready to roll...winning the AFC West is simply going to allow teams to maybe win the wildcard and then get thumped traveling to Indy/NE the next week.Back to the match up though...considering all the bad match ups this week and lack of good middle tier Qbs, it's likely Huard could produce some points. I jusut wouldn't want to have to rely on him if I could help it.
 
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MoP -- Excellent as usual. Thank you for the working hard on this. One small request for the future, do you think you could keep the team names one color? It would greatly help those like me who are incapable of seeing the full spectrum. If not, no worries, I just highlight to see what I need. Thanks again!

 
I think you and I are the only ones who think Hasslebeck is a decent start this week.FBg currently ranked at #22, vs the saints. :bag: Know I know Branch is out, but the Saints D is horrible.
BCS, I am completely miffed by their ranking this week. I try not to post the exact number they have him at, but you sure can. Now that the cat is out of the bag, where did they come up with that ranking? They have guys in the top 10 that I wouldn't really want to start and then they take a quality Qb like Hass and send him down to the bottom. I know he had a bad week against Pittsburgh but we all saw that coming a mile away. I talked about Pittsburgh running Seattle out of the building last week and that's exactly what they did. I had some doubts right before kickoff when they announced the folks that were going to inactive but it didn't seem to make a difference and Seattle does not travel well. I think Hass will find some success against New Orleans. Bottom 5 this week I just don't see.
 
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MoP -- Excellent as usual. Thank you for the working hard on this. One small request for the future, do you think you could keep the team names one color? It would greatly help those like me who are incapable of seeing the full spectrum. If not, no worries, I just highlight to see what I need. Thanks again!
I didn't think about people that are color blind...I don't always color the teams but I thought it would break up the post as it is rather lengthy...I hope I am not being insensitive when I say that most of the readers likely can see the full spectrum, but I'll work on it.
 
I think you and I are the only ones who think Hasslebeck is a decent start this week.FBg currently ranked at #22, vs the saints. :confused: Know I know Branch is out, but the Saints D is horrible.
I have Hasselbeck significantly higher than that, although not in the elite group, because you can't expect that passing offense to hum like it usually does with Engram moved out of his comfort zone in the slot, Pollard banged up, and no Branch to occupy the deep safety. Maybe Obomanu can make up for some of the loss of Branch, but that remains to be seen. The passing offense was stalled out on the side of the road last week, against a sometimes vulnerable Pittsburgh secondary, but Hasselbeck seemed uncomfortable and looked like he was pressing once Branch was out - trying instead of just doing...But the trump card here is still the Saints D - they have made every QB they have faced look good, except Carr - and that just tells you the bad play of Carr trumps the bad play of even the worst defense. It does get tougher if you have the option of McNair, Huard, or Warner, who have good matchups and better weapons.
 
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MoP -- Excellent as usual. Thank you for the working hard on this. One small request for the future, do you think you could keep the team names one color? It would greatly help those like me who are incapable of seeing the full spectrum. If not, no worries, I just highlight to see what I need. Thanks again!
I didn't think about people that are color blind...I don't always color the teams but I thought it would break up the post as it is rather lengthy...I hope I am not being insensitive when I say that most of the readers likely can see the full spectrum, but I'll work on it.
Like I said no worries; I’ve had to work around other site's liberal use of colors before. I'll just copy and paste into a text editor.
 
I will continue to enjoy this thread until next year when you move to the dark side (subscriber content). :confused:

Thanks for all the effort. I really enjoy and use the info each week.

 
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Good Stuff MoP as usual, although I have my doubts about Favre being a top 10 play this week. They play against a Skins defense who that is only allowing 12 PPG. They have also only allowed 2 passing TDs through four weeks. I can see maybe 200+ yards and a TD, but not much else. JMO. :goodposting:

Overall Good job!

 
I really was leaning towards Harrington this week vs the NYG. But, maybe they have righted the ship a little lately. With news on Huard starting vs the Bengals, I think that may be the safer play. It will likely be a shootout and Huard rarely makes a lot of mistakes. I dropped Griese, and I agree that it could be a yawner of a game offensively. Looks like Berrian might not play, so I think Griese is a very risky start this week. I can see about 180 yds 1td and 2 int for him.What are your feelings on what kind of numbers Huard might put up against the Bengals...I'm kind of stuck on this one. Bowe is really coming on, and Cini can't cover anyone. Looks like a good matchup.
The match up far exceeds the guy under center...Huard's best game was against San Diego IIRC...they say he is playing. The Chiefs are in the thick of it with their division...would it really surprise people if they went 9-7 and possibly won that division? I know SD fans think the Chargers are going to roar back in the 2nd half of the season, but with Indy and NE likely locking up the homefield at some point, and if not them, Pittsburgh looks ready to roll...winning the AFC West is simply going to allow teams to maybe win the wildcard and then get thumped traveling to Indy/NE the next week.Back to the match up though...considering all the bad match ups this week and lack of good middle tier Qbs, it's likely Huard could produce some points. I jusut wouldn't want to have to rely on him if I could help it.
Well, I just might have to rely on him. I have Schaub as my primary backup to P. Manning, but I really don't like his matchup vs the Jags. So, it looks like Harrington, Griese or Huard off the waiver wire for my starter.As of now I have Harrington, but really leaning towards Huard.Love the write up btw. Stellar work.
 
Pretty good stuff. I have some things that should be considered when looking at Mr. Kurt Warner for this week.

Let's review the Panthers DEF again and look at the big picture.

So far the Panthers have allowed the opposing QBs to go....

117/186 = 62.9% completion

1183 total passing yards = 236.6 Ypg

5 Passing TDs/2 Interceptions = 1TD per game and .4 INTs per game (NOTE: That the 2 INTs came last week against Brees. We'll get to the QBs in a moment)

The Opposing QBs

Bulger - Season totals TD/INT = 2/4 (Wasn't exactly lighting it up before getting hurt because his O-Line sucks so bad; Threw one TD agianst SF)

Schaub - Season totals TD/INT = 5/4 (Carolina is the only team he's thrown multiple TDs against and one of only two teams that haven't intercepted him)

Harrington - Season totals TD/INT = 4/3 (JOEY HARRINGTON THREW 2 TDs and ZERO INTs versus CAROLINA. BTW I'm a Falcons)

Garcia - Season totals TD/INT = 4/0 (he has 3 games in which he went 0/0. Against Seattle, St Louis, and Carolina)

Brees - Season totals TD/INT = 1/9 (Gave Car both of their INTs; One of which was dropped by Henderson)

These QBs are a combined 12TDs and 20INTs on the year.

All this and Carolina only has 2 INTs?

All this and Carolina only has 2 sacks?

What's that you say? Arizona has only allowed 5 sacks this year?

Warner has gone for 4 TDs and 1 INT against the likes of:

Baltimore, St Louis, and Pittsburg who have a combined 11 INTs and 3 sacks.

I can understand wanting to go against the grain, but in this case, for this week, Warner is a NO-BRAINER TOP 10 start.
Awesome!!!This is why I put these out there, to get the feedback and get you guys thinking. That's a powerful sound argument for Warner...it's totally wrong but sound nonetheless. I never let facts get in the way of my opinions...I'm just kidding, good stuff.
MoP, awesome thread as usual.You said:

Kurt Warner: Carolina is not soft serve on defense, Warner has shown over the past few seasons a knack to under perform when given the reigns. I understand people want to get behind him and I am picking him up in many of my redraft leagues, however I have some very tempered enthusiasm for him. I would not rank him as high as he is right now.
I'm biased as I've just grabbed Warner off the wire as by Big Ben bye replacement, but I would add to the above that Warner's success or failure in recent past has been tied to Oline performance, and as noted above the Cardinals are providing more than adequate pass protection. I think its reasonable to assume that the Cardinals and Warner should be able to generate more offense against the Panthers than did the Falcons and Joey Harrington.From what I've read, the FF community seems to be split into groups that believe that Warner is "permanently broken" and those that don't...FWIW.

 
I think you and I are the only ones who think Hasslebeck is a decent start this week.

FBg currently ranked at #22, vs the saints. :kicksrock:

Know I know Branch is out, but the Saints D is horrible.
I have Hasselbeck significantly higher than that, although not in the elite group, because you can't expect that passing offense to hum like it usually does with Engram moved out of his comfort zone in the slot, Pollard banged up, and no Branch to occupy the deep safety. Maybe Obomanu can make up for some of the loss of Branch, but that remains to be seen. The passing offense was stalled out on the side of the road last week, against a sometimes vulnerable Pittsburgh secondary, but Hasselbeck seemed uncomfortable and looked like he was pressing once Branch was out - trying instead of just doing...But the trump card here is still the Saints D - they have made every QB they have faced look good, except Carr - and that just tells you the bad play of Carr trumps the bad play of even the worst defense. It does get tougher if you have the option of McNair, Huard, or Warner, who have good matchups and better weapons.
I thought I read that Engram was staying put and Obama would step into the #2 role. :eek: Great job, MOP. Love the upgrade. I don't see how Hass isn't top 12 at a minimum. Over-reaction to last week, I guess.

 
Someone needs to get MoP a job here at FBG. This thread alone is reason enough, notwithstanding all the rest of his posts and contributions.

 
Thanks for putting in the effort MoP. Great work. :kicksrock: For those of you who are subscribers and are asking for more of this other than the QBs that Mop was so kind to display, check out the defensive game logs. Go to Target Details then choose a team season summary and then click on Def. game logs. Info right at your fingertips for every team.

This is a great feature.

 
Good Stuff MoP as usual, although I have my doubts about Favre being a top 10 play this week. They play against a Skins defense who that is only allowing 12 PPG. They have also only allowed 2 passing TDs through four weeks. I can see maybe 200+ yards and a TD, but not much else. JMO. :kicksrock: Overall Good job!
If you notice, i don't have him under my must starts so I share in what you are saying. Good stuff.
 
Great work MOP! :lmao:

It makes me think Jason Campbell would be a better start this week than Brett Favre.

The Redskins defense is THAT good??

 
Pretty good stuff. I have some things that should be considered when looking at Mr. Kurt Warner for this week.

Let's review the Panthers DEF again and look at the big picture.

So far the Panthers have allowed the opposing QBs to go....

117/186 = 62.9% completion

1183 total passing yards = 236.6 Ypg

5 Passing TDs/2 Interceptions = 1TD per game and .4 INTs per game (NOTE: That the 2 INTs came last week against Brees. We'll get to the QBs in a moment)

The Opposing QBs

Bulger - Season totals TD/INT = 2/4 (Wasn't exactly lighting it up before getting hurt because his O-Line sucks so bad; Threw one TD agianst SF)

Schaub - Season totals TD/INT = 5/4 (Carolina is the only team he's thrown multiple TDs against and one of only two teams that haven't intercepted him)

Harrington - Season totals TD/INT = 4/3 (JOEY HARRINGTON THREW 2 TDs and ZERO INTs versus CAROLINA. BTW I'm a Falcons)

Garcia - Season totals TD/INT = 4/0 (he has 3 games in which he went 0/0. Against Seattle, St Louis, and Carolina)

Brees - Season totals TD/INT = 1/9 (Gave Car both of their INTs; One of which was dropped by Henderson)

These QBs are a combined 12TDs and 20INTs on the year.

All this and Carolina only has 2 INTs?

All this and Carolina only has 2 sacks?

What's that you say? Arizona has only allowed 5 sacks this year?

Warner has gone for 4 TDs and 1 INT against the likes of:

Baltimore, St Louis, and Pittsburg who have a combined 11 INTs and 3 sacks.

I can understand wanting to go against the grain, but in this case, for this week, Warner is a NO-BRAINER TOP 10 start.
Awesome!!!This is why I put these out there, to get the feedback and get you guys thinking. That's a powerful sound argument for Warner...it's totally wrong but sound nonetheless. I never let facts get in the way of my opinions...I'm just kidding, good stuff.
MoP, awesome thread as usual.You said:

Kurt Warner: Carolina is not soft serve on defense, Warner has shown over the past few seasons a knack to under perform when given the reigns. I understand people want to get behind him and I am picking him up in many of my redraft leagues, however I have some very tempered enthusiasm for him. I would not rank him as high as he is right now.
I'm biased as I've just grabbed Warner off the wire as by Big Ben bye replacement, but I would add to the above that Warner's success or failure in recent past has been tied to Oline performance, and as noted above the Cardinals are providing more than adequate pass protection. I think its reasonable to assume that the Cardinals and Warner should be able to generate more offense against the Panthers than did the Falcons and Joey Harrington.From what I've read, the FF community seems to be split into groups that believe that Warner is "permanently broken" and those that don't...FWIW.
Absolutely SVBD, and I did pick him up in some of my redraft leagues, but I still have to be objectionable. Warner is a statue so he needs an incredible pass blocking OLine in front of him...Leinart is a lot more mobile and look what happened to him...I'm just saying. Warner when pushed into being the starter, and he is the rest of the way, has not done so great in recent history. But I'm pulling for the guy, he is one of the model citizens in the NFL.
 

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