Ahem. My first post in the forum. Be gentle with me... I already had Addai in a contract league last season. With two Yahoo redraft leagues this year, I took Addai with the 3rd pick in the 10-team, touchdown-heavy league, and with the 3rd pick in the 12-team, half-point-per-reception league. Both no-brainers for me (sorry, LJ fans). Here are the reasons:* High-scoring offense that was DYING for an every-down RB that could allow Manning to run the no-huddle with maximum effect;* Great offensive line;* The gradual increase in Addai's workload last year showed he was learning and gaining the coaches' confidence;* Manning's public vote of confidence in Addai during the offseason, and* Just plain watching the guy. He's a patient runner with great vision for the lanes, the smarts to take what's available and maneuver for extra yards, and the awareness to GET DOWN cleanly at the end of a run without taking a big hit. Apologies to the MJD fans, but the Fireplug never met a jarring hit he didn't like.In the first game this year against NO, this was all on display. No highlight-reel runs, just a steady stream of "Addai for 8 yards" and "Addai for 12 yards." Here's what I e-mailed to my brother after the game:
"Looked at the play-by-play for last night's game. I count 26 touches for Addai, of which 16 were successful according to FO's [Football Outsiders] metrics (40% of needed yards on first down, 60% on second down, 100% on 3rd or 4th down). Ten out of 14 touches in the first half for a 71% success rate. Six out of 12 in the second half for a 50% success rate, when they were shifting to Cover 1 and trying to stop the run. Addai had a 61.5% success rate overall. None of his catches or carries went for negative yards. Unbelievable."
That ability to move the chains on the ground is vital for Manning. If Addai can keep the ground game moving, Manning has the confidence to check to a run when the coverage favors it, or when he doesn't like what he sees when he had planned to pass. And that's the other reason Addai's so good...they have full confidence in him in all field situations, and so won't pull him except for rest.Just to wallow in the detail, here's Addai's workload from the NO game:1) 1-10, 4 yds, success2) 1-10, 1 yd 3) 3-1, 5 yds, success4) 1-10, 4 yds, success5) 1-10, 7 yds, success6) 2-3, 10 yds, success7) 1-10, 8 yds, success8) 2-2, 8 yds, success9) 2-10, 3 yds10) 1-10, 5 yds, success11) 1-10, 2 yds12) 1-10, 14 yds, success13) 1-10, 12 yds, success14) 2-10, 5 ydssecond half:15) 1-10, 1 yds16) 2-9, 9 yds, success17) 1-10, 2 yds18) 2-8, 1 yd19) 2-2, 2 yds, TD, success20) 1-10, 7 yds, success21) 2-3, 15 yds, success22) 1-10, 3 yds23) 1-10, 3 yds24) 2-7, 5 yds, success25) 1-10, 6 yds, success26) 1-10, 3 ydsBTW, any RB that gets 26 touches a game gets my vote!