If the top teams keep losing and Gonzaga wins out a tough 2 game road trip this weekend, they will creep close to that #1 spot.
Was thinking the same thing with Arizona but then the Cal game... Duke and the Zags the only 2-loss teams left
Arizona hasn't really been that impressive. Them and Gonzaga probably have to do more than just win to get a #1 seed b/c their resumes don't really compare. They have to hope that some of these other teams suffer some bad losses as well.
Not so sure I agree on the "weak resume" comment.Gonzaga has played an outstanding non-conf schedule; its the only way they can get a 12 RPI with so many weak conference games.
This would be a good point if the committee seeded based on "non-conference strength of schedule," but they don't. Strength of schedule is strength of schedule.Also I don't see how their non-conference SOS is so great. Six teams in the Pomeroy Top 50, but only one in the Top 20 (@OK State, clearly their best win). The next three toughest opponents are ranked 27, 32 and 43. So we're already getting into borderline tournament teams playing them on the road, and one of those was a loss to boot. Not exactly a murderer's row.
Yeah their SOS looked a lot better earlier in the year when they were playing those teams, I'll give you that. Doesn't help that Butler and Illinois seem to keep losing too. They have to win out and get some help to be considered for a one seed and even then
they'll probably end up with a 3 or 4 after the annual Selection Sunday screwjob.
Thankfully they'll have a chance to overcome that annual screwjob on the court, by beating those higher seeded teams on their way to the Final Four. Just like they do every year.
This is a bit of a disingenuine statement. You seem to be implying that seeding doesn't really matter when it clearly does. It also affects where teams end up playing. Take the Zags last year. They were seeded 7th which was fine, facing 10th seeded West Virginia. The kicker? The game was played 75 miles from WVUs campus essentially making it a home game for them. The Zags still won, however. Same thing happened in 08 when they faced lower seeded Davidson at a "neutral" site that was less than a 3 hour drive from the Davidson campus.
Usually, they try to place the games closer to the higher seed's home. This rarely seems to be the case for the Zags. Tough draws always happen, they just seem to be way more common for GU. This year with their ranking so high, lots of fans are expecting and hoping to be seeded and playing somewhere in the West, but I'm not counting on it. We'll see. Unrelated, I was at the St. Mary's game last night. Lots of Zag fans in the house who kind of took over after St. Mary's fans left in droves at around 4 minutes left in the game.