pollardsvision
Footballguy
it's an interesting question.Bad teams tend to stay bad. Good teams tend to stay good. A single starter, on average, accounts for something less than 4.5% of his team's value. QBs account for more than any other position. Does RB really account for less than WR, or strong safety, or left guard? Do you have any data which supports that idea?Maybe, but the problem is, for RBs, even if you do hit on a 1st round pick, it doesn't seem to have the overall impact that it does at other positions.This is true for every position. If you look at players drafted in the first round, most of them did nothing, some of them were minor contributors, and a few became stars. At every position, there are players drafted later in the draft who performed better than the first-rounders. This is precisely the reason why productive players are more valuable than draft picks.Looking at the entire 1st round, you have to go back to 2000-01 to find 1st rounders drafted that had a huge positive influence on the organization (outside of AP). Reggie Bush was arguably the best other 1st round RB pick in that span, and very few would call that a great draft pick. Most were useless. Some ended up in committees. The most successful tended to end up holding that "best offensive weapon on a bad team" tag indefinitely.
Even though the pick might bust, using it on another position is still more valuable than 2.8 more years of Richardson on his rookie contract.
I'd put RB in the bottom half of importance among starting positions. Not sure exactly where, and no I don't have any data to support that.
