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Roddy White (1 Viewer)

AtomicDogg97

Footballguy
I have seen a lot of talk about Roddy White as a sleeper for the upcoming season. I was wondering why so many people are high on him? Isn't Michael Jenkins the #1 WR in Atlanta? What kind of stats do you guys see White putting up?

 
I have seen a lot of talk about Roddy White as a sleeper for the upcoming season. I was wondering why so many people are high on him? Isn't Michael Jenkins the #1 WR in Atlanta? What kind of stats do you guys see White putting up?
Sleeper? If you mean the kind that falls asleep waiting for a pass to be thrown his way then yeah. Seriously, the Falcons are a running team with a running QB that throws sometimes to his TE. Every once in a while he screws up the play and the ball sails long and a WR is there to catch it.As for White v Jenkins, they are both pretty good and would be stars on other teams. They probably look forward to see who can claim the first 40 catches between them. Afterall, that's about what they'll get if they're lucky.

OTOH-if Vick gets injured then their stock will sky. I'm not knocking Vick it's just the way it is. He's still exciting to watch. Just not much of a passer and that's not good for fantasy football WR's.

 
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I guess I don't know what I'm doing then because I picked him up in 3 of my 4 Survivor drafts as my WR4 or WR5. :shrug:

 
I have seen a lot of talk about Roddy White as a sleeper for the upcoming season. I was wondering why so many people are high on him? Isn't Michael Jenkins the #1 WR in Atlanta? What kind of stats do you guys see White putting up?
Sleeper? If you mean the kind that falls asleep waiting for a pass to be thrown his way then yeah. Seriously, the Falcons are a running team with a running QB that throws sometimes to his TE. Every once in a while he screws up the play and the ball sails long and a WR is there to catch it.
:lmao: Back on topic... It's not an extremely unlikely event that Atlanta ranks near the bottom in receiving yards like last year (2900) and comes with with a good fantasy WR.

Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh had only 100 more receiving yards than Atlanta last year and I think we all know how well their #1 WRs turned out.

If Roddy White could be somewhat of the deep threat that Galloway is, he could come away with servicable numbers fantasy wise. 800 and a few TDs will get you in the top 36, and that's not bad for a guy who will go undrafted.

 
White  = 55/850/6 this year.  Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either

 
If you read that Atlanta intends to pass more, would that seem like something you read every year or would you put some weight in that?

 
White = 55/850/6 this year. Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either
I can't answer for Diesel, but I expect Roddy to score more than Jenkins for a couple of reasons:1) White is the speed, burner, #1 WR; Jenkins is the #2 possession type

2) White has likely gotten better this year at running routes, reading defenses, etc. Most 2nd year WRs do.

3) Vick already has a possession receiver named Crumpler. I foresee many passing plays where Vick looks for White and then checks down to Crumpler, regardless of whether Crumpler is supposed to be the 2nd option or Jenkins is.

 
White  = 55/850/6 this year.  Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either
Better WR and will be a more focal point of the offense.Jenkins is very pedestrian IMO.

 
White  = 55/850/6 this year.  Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either
Better WR and will be a more focal point of the offense.Jenkins is very pedestrian IMO.
So is Vick as a passer. Until I see it I'll believe it. And only at the expense of Crumpler and Jenkins as well and that make the odds even longer. Sounds like the White "fluff" piece is fooling a few folks into believeing that despite several years of proven inability to effectively throw the football that somehow it's alll changing this year? Yeah right.
 
White = 55/850/6 this year. Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either
Better WR and will be a more focal point of the offense.Jenkins is very pedestrian IMO.
So is Vick as a passer. Until I see it I'll believe it. And only at the expense of Crumpler and Jenkins as well and that make the odds even longer. Sounds like the White "fluff" piece is fooling a few folks into believeing that despite several years of proven inability to effectively throw the football that somehow it's alll changing this year? Yeah right.
Don't you mean that you'll believe it when you see it?Anyway, ATL attempted 60 more passes in 2005 than they did in 2004. They increased their WR production by 13 receptions, 300 yards and 2 TDs. With Dunn a year older, Duckett on the trading block and Norwood a rookie, I think those trends continue this season. So even if Vick makes no progress as a passer, I think they may throw it 40-50 more times, completing 15-20 of those to WRs. Reading the White "fluff" piece makes me think that he is progressing as the #1 WR they anticipated and therefore he should command a greater percentage of the increase in production than Jenkins. Again, we're leaving Crumpler's production and Vick's passing ability constant. If Crumpler goes through some injuries or something, or (Gasp!) Vick gets more accurate, then White could really surprise some people.

 
[so is Vick as a passer. Until I see it I'll believe it. And only at the expense of Crumpler and Jenkins as well and that make the odds even longer. Sounds like the White "fluff" piece is fooling a few folks into believeing that despite several years of proven inability to effectively throw the football that somehow it's alll changing this year? Yeah right.
What solid #1 WRs has Vick had to work with? Nevermind that his accuracy is not great, but he still has not had a better WR than Brian Finneran, Dez White and Peerless Price. I think many are discounting that way too quickly.
 
[so is Vick as a passer. Until I see it I'll believe it. And only at the expense of Crumpler and Jenkins as well and that make the odds even longer. Sounds like the White "fluff" piece is fooling a few folks into believeing that despite several years of proven inability to effectively throw the football that somehow it's alll changing this year? Yeah right.
What solid #1 WRs has Vick had to work with? Nevermind that his accuracy is not great, but he still has not had a better WR than Brian Finneran, Dez White and Peerless Price. I think many are discounting that way too quickly.
No I think 1-2 years and you question somewhat. But his career is defined now and it's not changing. In fact, everyone is forgetting his declaration earlier this spring that he plans to get back to what got him here and that's running.
 
White  = 55/850/6 this year.  Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either
Better WR and will be a more focal point of the offense.Jenkins is very pedestrian IMO.
So is Vick as a passer. Until I see it I'll believe it. And only at the expense of Crumpler and Jenkins as well and that make the odds even longer. Sounds like the White "fluff" piece is fooling a few folks into believeing that despite several years of proven inability to effectively throw the football that somehow it's alll changing this year? Yeah right.
Don't you mean that you'll believe it when you see it?Anyway, ATL attempted 60 more passes in 2005 than they did in 2004. They increased their WR production by 13 receptions, 300 yards and 2 TDs. With Dunn a year older, Duckett on the trading block and Norwood a rookie, I think those trends continue this season. So even if Vick makes no progress as a passer, I think they may throw it 40-50 more times, completing 15-20 of those to WRs. Reading the White "fluff" piece makes me think that he is progressing as the #1 WR they anticipated and therefore he should command a greater percentage of the increase in production than Jenkins. Again, we're leaving Crumpler's production and Vick's passing ability constant. If Crumpler goes through some injuries or something, or (Gasp!) Vick gets more accurate, then White could really surprise some people.
This is a great example of trying to fit a square peg in a round hole. It just doens't work.
 
White = 55/850/6 this year. Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either
Better WR and will be a more focal point of the offense.Jenkins is very pedestrian IMO.
So is Vick as a passer. Until I see it I'll believe it. And only at the expense of Crumpler and Jenkins as well and that make the odds even longer. Sounds like the White "fluff" piece is fooling a few folks into believeing that despite several years of proven inability to effectively throw the football that somehow it's alll changing this year? Yeah right.
Don't you mean that you'll believe it when you see it?Anyway, ATL attempted 60 more passes in 2005 than they did in 2004. They increased their WR production by 13 receptions, 300 yards and 2 TDs. With Dunn a year older, Duckett on the trading block and Norwood a rookie, I think those trends continue this season. So even if Vick makes no progress as a passer, I think they may throw it 40-50 more times, completing 15-20 of those to WRs. Reading the White "fluff" piece makes me think that he is progressing as the #1 WR they anticipated and therefore he should command a greater percentage of the increase in production than Jenkins. Again, we're leaving Crumpler's production and Vick's passing ability constant. If Crumpler goes through some injuries or something, or (Gasp!) Vick gets more accurate, then White could really surprise some people.
This is a great example of trying to fit a square peg in a round hole. It just doens't work.
What do you mean? :confused:
 
White  = 55/850/6 this year.  Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either
Better WR and will be a more focal point of the offense.Jenkins is very pedestrian IMO.
So is Vick as a passer. Until I see it I'll believe it. And only at the expense of Crumpler and Jenkins as well and that make the odds even longer. Sounds like the White "fluff" piece is fooling a few folks into believeing that despite several years of proven inability to effectively throw the football that somehow it's alll changing this year? Yeah right.
Don't you mean that you'll believe it when you see it?Anyway, ATL attempted 60 more passes in 2005 than they did in 2004. They increased their WR production by 13 receptions, 300 yards and 2 TDs. With Dunn a year older, Duckett on the trading block and Norwood a rookie, I think those trends continue this season. So even if Vick makes no progress as a passer, I think they may throw it 40-50 more times, completing 15-20 of those to WRs. Reading the White "fluff" piece makes me think that he is progressing as the #1 WR they anticipated and therefore he should command a greater percentage of the increase in production than Jenkins. Again, we're leaving Crumpler's production and Vick's passing ability constant. If Crumpler goes through some injuries or something, or (Gasp!) Vick gets more accurate, then White could really surprise some people.
This is a great example of trying to fit a square peg in a round hole. It just doens't work.
What do you mean? :confused:
IOW-if it walks like a duck, smells like duck and talks like a duck, then it must a QB that can throw like a duck. And that's not good. :yucky:
 
White = 55/850/6 this year. Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either
Better WR and will be a more focal point of the offense.Jenkins is very pedestrian IMO.
So is Vick as a passer. Until I see it I'll believe it. And only at the expense of Crumpler and Jenkins as well and that make the odds even longer. Sounds like the White "fluff" piece is fooling a few folks into believeing that despite several years of proven inability to effectively throw the football that somehow it's alll changing this year? Yeah right.
Don't you mean that you'll believe it when you see it?Anyway, ATL attempted 60 more passes in 2005 than they did in 2004. They increased their WR production by 13 receptions, 300 yards and 2 TDs. With Dunn a year older, Duckett on the trading block and Norwood a rookie, I think those trends continue this season. So even if Vick makes no progress as a passer, I think they may throw it 40-50 more times, completing 15-20 of those to WRs. Reading the White "fluff" piece makes me think that he is progressing as the #1 WR they anticipated and therefore he should command a greater percentage of the increase in production than Jenkins. Again, we're leaving Crumpler's production and Vick's passing ability constant. If Crumpler goes through some injuries or something, or (Gasp!) Vick gets more accurate, then White could really surprise some people.
This is a great example of trying to fit a square peg in a round hole. It just doens't work.
What do you mean? :confused:
IOW-if it walks like a duck, smells like duck and talks like a duck, then it must a QB that can throw like a duck. And that's not good. :yucky:
OK. But as much as a QB does shape his WRs fantasy prospects, those prospects are not derived 100% from the QB. You have to see how the WR has changed as well. I think White has gotten better than he was in his rookie season last year. Last year he held out, had an injury and came into the NFL from a smaller school. This year, he shouldn't have those issues. So, with Vick not getting any better, I think White will get open more often/catch more of the passes intended to him. So that lifts his stats up some. I also think that the Falcons will throw a little more this year. So that should raise his stats a little more, again, regardless of whether Vick gets any better. I think that White can be a top 40 WR by year's end and be a great WR4/occasional WR3. Don't let your negative feelings toward Vick, however justified, make you too negative toward White, Jenkins or Crumpler.
 
White  = 55/850/6 this year.  Very much worth drafting as a #3/#4 guy
Where do you see Jenkins' stats?
45/600/3
why less than roddy?

BTW To whomever said "If Vick gets hurt their value soars" well also if Crumpler gets hurt or Dunn plays old or if Norwood struggles like alot of rookies do. Not strong odds but not too crazy either
Better WR and will be a more focal point of the offense.

Jenkins is very pedestrian IMO.
So is Vick as a passer. Until I see it I'll believe it. And only at the expense of Crumpler and Jenkins as well and that make the odds even longer. Sounds like the White "fluff" piece is fooling a few folks into believeing that despite several years of proven inability to effectively throw the football that somehow it's alll changing this year? Yeah right.
Don't you mean that you'll believe it when you see it?

Anyway, ATL attempted 60 more passes in 2005 than they did in 2004. They increased their WR production by 13 receptions, 300 yards and 2 TDs. With Dunn a year older, Duckett on the trading block and Norwood a rookie, I think those trends continue this season. So even if Vick makes no progress as a passer, I think they may throw it 40-50 more times, completing 15-20 of those to WRs. Reading the White "fluff" piece makes me think that he is progressing as the #1 WR they anticipated and therefore he should command a greater percentage of the increase in production than Jenkins. Again, we're leaving Crumpler's production and Vick's passing ability constant. If Crumpler goes through some injuries or something, or (Gasp!) Vick gets more accurate, then White could really surprise some people.
This is a great example of trying to fit a square peg in a round hole. It just doens't work.
What do you mean? :confused:
IOW-if it walks like a duck, smells like duck and talks like a duck, then it must a QB that can throw like a duck. And that's not good. :yucky:
OK. But as much as a QB does shape his WRs fantasy prospects, those prospects are not derived 100% from the QB. You have to see how the WR has changed as well. I think White has gotten better than he was in his rookie season last year. Last year he held out, had an injury and came into the NFL from a smaller school. This year, he shouldn't have those issues. So, with Vick not getting any better, I think White will get open more often/catch more of the passes intended to him. So that lifts his stats up some. I also think that the Falcons will throw a little more this year. So that should raise his stats a little more, again, regardless of whether Vick gets any better. I think that White can be a top 40 WR by year's end and be a great WR4/occasional WR3. Don't let your negative feelings toward Vick, however justified, make you too negative toward White, Jenkins or Crumpler.
Good post but I think you're off the mark a tad. I like Vick, he's just not a good passer. Nothing personal but we're talking fantasy football here.

Your point about White is valid. But to date he has not taken the number 1 away from Jenkins just yet. And what value does that have exactly? You're locked into the idea that because he's improved he's going to get more looks, catches his way. Bur you still can't get away from the fact that ATL is a run first, 2nd & 3rd team. They only pass as a formality to keep D's honest more so than an actual threat. The proves this and there is no evidence that's changing.

In fact the evidence that's out there suggests Vick will run more. That's what he said he's going to do and his coach backs him up on that statement. So I just don't see what your seeing on this. That's not a knock on anyone but that's the way it is.

As for Crumpler, I'd take him anyday. He's solid and he's the man Vick looks to when they do throw. Not so much the WR's. Sorry.

 
:shrug: I disagree and think they will run less this year out of set plays, not including Vick scrambling. I think White is poised to pass Jenkins as the WR1. Guess we'll see.
 
:shrug: I disagree and think they will run less this year out of set plays, not including Vick scrambling. I think White is poised to pass Jenkins as the WR1. Guess we'll see.
I completely understand you feel that way. But what are you basing your opinion on? Have you heard or read anything to support your conclusions? Reading what you posted above it seems you are reading an aweful lot into their circumstances. When you read what they are actually saying it possible to believe they might even throw less. I'm nt saying it's what they should do but it's what they're saying they are likely to do.In any case I like how you are looking at the possible scenarios and what their potential impacts are. I'd buy into it if there was actually some evidence or discussion to support it would happen. Just haven't seen anything outside of a "fluff" piece on White. BTW-I think he's going to be a good WR. :thumbup:

 
:shrug: I disagree and think they will run less this year out of set plays, not including Vick scrambling. I think White is poised to pass Jenkins as the WR1. Guess we'll see.
I completely understand you feel that way. But what are you basing your opinion on? Have you heard or read anything to support your conclusions? Reading what you posted above it seems you are reading an aweful lot into their circumstances. When you read what they are actually saying it possible to believe they might even throw less. I'm nt saying it's what they should do but it's what they're saying they are likely to do.In any case I like how you are looking at the possible scenarios and what their potential impacts are. I'd buy into it if there was actually some evidence or discussion to support it would happen. Just haven't seen anything outside of a "fluff" piece on White. BTW-I think he's going to be a good WR. :thumbup:
:confused: Have you even read my posts?I posted the statistics from 2004 and 2005 in a post above, which showed a downward trend in running the ball and an upward trend in passing the ball over the last two years. I opinioned that the trend would continue because on the running side, Dunn is older, Duckett is on the trade block so he's not the answer, and Norwood is only a rookie. I opinioned that the trend would continue on the passing side because of the "fluff" piece on White that shows that he is catching more balls, putting on muscle and working out more with Vick and Schaub.

Editted to take out early morning harshness. :thumbup:

 
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ConstruxBoy is right in his thinking.

Word here in Atlanta is that White is progressing well. Added bulk to his frame and has been working extra with Vick. The feeling is he'll be at worst WR 1B with Jenkins WR 1A. White the speed deep threat, Jenkins the possession WR.

Last year the Falcons as a team had 451 pass attempts. With the improvement to their D via draft, FA moves & getting some key players back from injury, that should result in more stops and as a direct result, more offensive plays in total.

More offensive plays leads to more passing opportunities.

Then we've got the fact that last year, White was a rookie and did not play at full strength for all 16 games because oh his ankle injury.

So even if Vick does not progress at all, barring injury, it would be almost impossible for White not to increase his numbers from last year. And there is a good chance he does much better.

 
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:shrug: I disagree and think they will run less this year out of set plays, not including Vick scrambling. I think White is poised to pass Jenkins as the WR1. Guess we'll see.
I completely understand you feel that way. But what are you basing your opinion on? Have you heard or read anything to support your conclusions? Reading what you posted above it seems you are reading an aweful lot into their circumstances. When you read what they are actually saying it possible to believe they might even throw less. I'm nt saying it's what they should do but it's what they're saying they are likely to do.In any case I like how you are looking at the possible scenarios and what their potential impacts are. I'd buy into it if there was actually some evidence or discussion to support it would happen. Just haven't seen anything outside of a "fluff" piece on White. BTW-I think he's going to be a good WR. :thumbup:
:confused: Have you even read my posts?I posted the statistics from 2004 and 2005 in a post above, which showed a downward trend in running the ball and an upward trend in passing the ball over the last two years. I opinioned that the trend would continue because on the running side, Dunn is older, Duckett is on the trade block so he's not the answer, and Norwood is only a rookie. I opinioned that the trend would continue on the passing side because of the "fluff" piece on White that shows that he is catching more balls, putting on muscle and working out more with Vick and Schaub.

Editted to take out early morning harshness. :thumbup:
Thanks for not beating me up so to speak. I wasn't looking for a fight. One of the great things about discussions like this is that you can sell your opinions and I can mine. AWho knows, we might even sell each other and move on our thoughts.As for your post, I guess what's absent then is your unwillingness to ackowledge what they're saying they're going to do. What's your response to Vick and coach saying they plan to utilize Vick's running skill more? I see that's absent from your opined theory. Not sure how that applies in your thinking on this.

Just because White has improved it doesn't mean he's suddenly going to have better stats. Sure he might take over from Jenkins (and I'm not sold on that yet as Jenkin's getting better too) as the #1 but what's that mean in terms of fantasy production? Not that much it seems.

 
ConstruxBoy is right in his thinking.

Word here in Atlanta is that White is progressing well. Added bulk to his frame and has been working extra with Vick. The feeling is he'll be at worst WR 1B with Jenkins WR 1A. White the speed deep threat, Jenkins the possession WR.

Last year the Falcons as a team had 490 pass attempts. With the improvement to their D via draft, FA moves & getting some key players back from injury, that should result in more stops and as a direct result, more offensive plays in total.

More offensive plays leads to more passing opportunities.

Then we've got the fact that last year, White was a rookie and did not play at full strength for all 16 games because oh his ankle injury.

So even if Vick does not progress at all, barring injury, it would be almost impossible for White not to increase his numbers from last year. And there is a good chance he does much better.
It also could mean more running opportunites couldn't it? While the theory makes sense it doesn't correlate to White suddenely being the #1 or that he's going to get that many more passes.Look, what's completely absent from this discussion is tha fact that ATL is a running team. Period. They do not pass well so they tend to do what it is they do well which is run. There is absolutely no evidence that will change. Any discussion to that end is nothing more than wishful thinking.

This discussion has been had for several years about how Vick is going to be better and throw more. Amd yet ATL continues the same trend of being one the worst passinf teams in the league. Why do you suppose that is?

 
:shrug: I disagree and think they will run less this year out of set plays, not including Vick scrambling. I think White is poised to pass Jenkins as the WR1. Guess we'll see.
I completely understand you feel that way. But what are you basing your opinion on? Have you heard or read anything to support your conclusions? Reading what you posted above it seems you are reading an aweful lot into their circumstances. When you read what they are actually saying it possible to believe they might even throw less. I'm nt saying it's what they should do but it's what they're saying they are likely to do.In any case I like how you are looking at the possible scenarios and what their potential impacts are. I'd buy into it if there was actually some evidence or discussion to support it would happen. Just haven't seen anything outside of a "fluff" piece on White. BTW-I think he's going to be a good WR. :thumbup:
:confused: Have you even read my posts?I posted the statistics from 2004 and 2005 in a post above, which showed a downward trend in running the ball and an upward trend in passing the ball over the last two years. I opinioned that the trend would continue because on the running side, Dunn is older, Duckett is on the trade block so he's not the answer, and Norwood is only a rookie. I opinioned that the trend would continue on the passing side because of the "fluff" piece on White that shows that he is catching more balls, putting on muscle and working out more with Vick and Schaub.

Editted to take out early morning harshness. :thumbup:
Thanks for not beating me up so to speak. I wasn't looking for a fight. One of the great things about discussions like this is that you can sell your opinions and I can mine. AWho knows, we might even sell each other and move on our thoughts.As for your post, I guess what's absent then is your unwillingness to ackowledge what they're saying they're going to do. What's your response to Vick and coach saying they plan to utilize Vick's running skill more? I see that's absent from your opined theory. Not sure how that applies in your thinking on this.

Just because White has improved it doesn't mean he's suddenly going to have better stats. Sure he might take over from Jenkins (and I'm not sold on that yet as Jenkin's getting better too) as the #1 but what's that mean in terms of fantasy production? Not that much it seems.
I do not believe that Vick will end up running alot more to be honest. There are alot of coaches and players saying things in June that will not end up being correct. Not as much smoke now as before the draft, but still alot of "smoke" articles, which in my opinion can be just as dangerous to believe as "fluff" articles. Here's my take on them saying that Vick will run more: Vick has a very big ego (as do alot of players). Mora seems to have a very big ego. Here comes this Vince Young guy into the league that some scouts and analysts say can be a bigger, stronger (but not faster) Michael Vick with a better arm. I think Mike is upset by these statements and wants to show the world that there is only one Mike Vick. So he and Mora want to talk to the media about how Mike is going to go back to being the Michael Vick that won that Vikings game in overtime with the amazing run. They may roll him out more so that they aren't trying to fit a square peg (mobile QB) into a round hole (pocket passer). But if they really call more running plays for Vick, one of two things will happen, IMHO:

1) The team will not perform as well, get behind in games, and have to pass more to catch up.

2) Vick will get creamed by a defender, get hurt and Matt Schaub will take over.

In either of those cases, I think the passing game gets a boost.

 
ConstruxBoy is right in his thinking.

Word here in Atlanta is that White is progressing well. Added bulk to his frame and has been working extra with Vick. The feeling is he'll be at worst WR 1B with Jenkins WR 1A. White the speed deep threat, Jenkins the possession WR.

Last year the Falcons as a team had 490 pass attempts. With the improvement to their D via draft, FA moves & getting some key players back from injury, that should result in more stops and as a direct result, more offensive plays in total.

More offensive plays leads to more passing opportunities.

Then we've got the fact that last year, White was a rookie and did not play at full strength for all 16 games because oh his ankle injury.

So even if Vick does not progress at all, barring injury, it would be almost impossible for White not to increase his numbers from last year. And there is a good chance he does much better.
It also could mean more running opportunites couldn't it? While the theory makes sense it doesn't correlate to White suddenely being the #1 or that he's going to get that many more passes.Look, what's completely absent from this discussion is tha fact that ATL is a running team. Period. They do not pass well so they tend to do what it is they do well which is run. There is absolutely no evidence that will change. Any discussion to that end is nothing more than wishful thinking.

This discussion has been had for several years about how Vick is going to be better and throw more. Amd yet ATL continues the same trend of being one the worst passinf teams in the league. Why do you suppose that is?
Nobody is arguing that Family Matters. There is absolutely no doubt that Atlanta is a running team.

But to think that if Atlanta increases their number of offensive snaps this year by say 50 that all 50 of those extra offensive snaps will be running plays is a ridiculous assumption.

Even if we say that Mora calls a ridiculous 66.6% run play to 33.3% pass play ratio, those extra 50 offensive snaps would still result in an additional 16 passing plays.

Again taking into account White is now in his second year, added bulk, spent extra time with Vick, is now solidly in the falcons WR rotation as at least the WR 1B and will hopefully enter the season without a bum wheel, it will be virtually impossible for him to not increase on his numbers from last year. :shrug:

 
Last year, the Falcons attempted 451 passes, and the WRs caught 118. Here was the breakdown:

+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+| Name | G | RSH YARD AVG TD | REC YARD AVG TD |+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+| Romby Bryant | 3 | 0 0 0.0 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 || Brian Finneran | 16 | 0 0 0.0 0 | 50 611 12.2 2 || Michael Jenkins | 14 | 0 0 0.0 0 | 36 508 14.1 3 || Jerome Pathon | 8 | 0 0 0.0 0 | 1 18 18.0 0 || Dez White | 6 | 0 0 0.0 0 | 2 25 12.5 1 || Roddy White | 16 | 4 12 3.0 0 | 29 446 15.4 3 |+----------------------+----+-----------------------+----------------------+Who here thinks Finneran will catch 50 again? I don't. In 2004, he was the #3 receiver with 23 catches, though he did also miss 4 games.Consider targets. Last season, here were the WR targets:

Finneran 81

Jenkins 71

Roddy 68

Dez 10

Pathon 3

Roddy White had only 29 catches last season, but he was targeted often. Clearly he was raw last season, and has potential for significant improvement this season. That could lead both to catching more of his targets and to being targeted more frequently.

I could easily see White adding one catch per game, even if WR catches don't increase. That would leave Jenkins & Finneran to split the the other 70 from this trio last year. This would push him to 45 catches. If he maintains his ypc and TD % averages, that would give him a statline like this: 45/693/5

Last year, that would have ranked as WR37. I think that qualifies as sleeper material... FBG says his current ADP is WR57.

Now, is that the ceiling, either for White or this passing game? No. Add 50 more plays as was discussed earlier and call 20 of them passing plays, which would give Atlanta 471 passing attempts. WRs have caught ~26% of Atlanta's passes over the past two years, so that means a few more catches for the WRs. If White is the leading receiver, that could give him a few more catches.

More importantly, is it possible for the WRs to get more passes this season? I think so. In 2002, Vick's best passing year, WRs caught 28.6% of Atlanta's 479 passing attempts. Entering his third year with the same coaching staff & offense, I could see Vick's confidence as improved, plus he is healthy unlike last year. So I could see him looking downfield more. If the WRs could catch 28.6% of 471 passes instead of 26%, that is 135 catches for the WRs, 17 more than last year. Again assuming White is the #1, or at least co-#1, that could be 7-10 more catches for him over the numbers I showed earlier. That could get him to 55/847/6... WR28 last year.

Finally, consider his splits from last season:

First 8 games: 8/94/0 receiving, with 23 targets

Last 8 games: 21/352/3, with 45 targets

If he was able to carry his second half performance forward to this year and maintain it all season, that would be 90 targets and 42/704/6, which last season would have ranked as WR35.

Looks to me like there is a reasonable chance for White to end up in the WR30-W40 range, and he is currently being drafted far below that. Hence, he would seem to be a good value.

 

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