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Not necessarily. I'm sure they'll try to get better at it, but they're not going to forget who they are. I hate to do it, but drawing from Hard Knocks, you can tell Rex Ryan feels VERY strongly about the team knowing who they are and sticking to that identity: playing great defense and running the ball up your ###.
So where do you think he would be ranked right now if he wan't suspended? Somewhere in the 13-16, 17-20, or 21-24 range?
No question that Ward is/was the 1a in Pittsburgh. He and Santonio finished with the same amount of FPTS, with Ward carrying more TDs and receptions. However, I don't know that it means much in this particular case. Braylon Dropwards finished the year with 28% of the Jets receiving production, while Cotchery accounted for 34%. Same as Andre Johnson. That translated to 680 & 821 yards respectively. If Holmes were to come in and take over that 34% that Cotchery had, and Cotchery or Edwards were to split the remaining production, you would still need Sanchez to raise his game up significantly for Holmes to see enough of an uptick to make him a WR2. I don't question Holmes' talent. Not by any means. But to think that he'll produce much in that "run it right up their ###" system of Rex's seems unreasonable to me. Certainly open to it, but don't see it at this point...and haven't seen any data that suggests that he can be more than a solid WR3.Too much is tied to an inexperienced QB and a run-heavy scheme for it to happen. Would love to read thoughts to the contrary as I do own him.
With a more optimistic look at things you can take the Ravens who were more of a run orientated team in Flacco's rookie year and relied on their defense much like the Jets formula with Sanchez in his rookie year. Flacco had 428 pass attempts in his rookie year and in his sophmore year they upped that total to 499 attempts.... He also went from 14 td's his rookie season to 21 in his sophmore year.Sanchez and the Jets will be a lot more balanced than a year ago..... .They are obviously still going to rely on the run first, but I think it is very hard to make accurate projections for a QB based too much on a rookie year.
Sure, I'll take that. Looking at Mason, he was WR17 with 1028/7. Good example. Thanks.Looking at it deeper, the Ravens went from a 42%/58% pass/rush blend in 2008 to 52%/48% in 2009. They moved the needle 10%.If the Jets were to do the same, they would go from 39%/61% to 49%/51%. With the same amount of plays as last year assumed, that increases Sanchez's attempts to 491 attempts.491 attempts @ Sanchez's current Y/A of 6.7 = 3,289 yards31% of 3,289 = 1019 yards for Holmes1019 = 102 FPTSHe would therefore need between 4-5 TDs to make it to WR24, if we assume the Jets take the same path as the Ravens.
It's obviously all prognostication, but I was using yards over receptions for analysis. Cotchery had 34% of the Jets receiving yards.
