QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Sad Scenario
Seahawks are OUT
Happy Scenario
Seahawks are IN. Changing Just One Game! Guess which one! (answer in first spoiler)
Below is the whole breakdown of what has to happen for the Squawks to make it. They are as good as in!
Seattle must win vs TB in Week 15, at GB in Week 16, and vs TEN in Week 17 (obviously)
Dallas must lose at NO in Week 15, at Wash in Week 16, and vs PHIL in Week 17
The Giants must go either EXACTLY 1-2 or 0-1-2 in their last 3 games (at Wash, vs Car, at Minnesota - as aside if they beat Minny, things become a lot TIGHTER for the Seahawks)
Atlanta must go either EXACTLY 2-1 or 1-0-2 in their last 3 games (At Jets, vs Buff, at TB)
Atlanta must beat Tampa Bay in Week 17 and go EXACTLY 1-1 or 0-0-2 in their other two games (at Jets, Vs Buff) *fixed this now*
San Francisco must go 1-1-1 or worse in their last 3 games (at Phil, vs Det, at StL)
Carolina must have at least 1 loss or tie in their last 3 games (vs Minn, at Giants, vs NO)
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If all of these things happen, the Giants will place 2nd over Dallas (on head-to-head), Atlanta will place 2nd in the South, and Seattle will place 2nd in the West.
They did not all play each other, so head-to-head is out as a tiebreaker.
They all will be 6-6 in the conference, so that tiebreaker is out (as a side note here, if the Bears were to be 8-8 and in a 4-way tie, they'd be eliminated at this step due to their 5-7 conference record, thus the Bears are OUT)
They do not have enough common games between the 3 of them.
So the next tiebreaker is the notorious Strength of Victory.
Seattle will have victories over St Louis, Jacksonville, Detroit, St Louis (again), San Francisco, Tampa Bay, Green Bay, and Tennessee
Giants will have victories over Washington, Dallas, Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Oakland, Atlanta, Dallas, and 1 of Washington/Carolina/Minnesota
Atlanta will have victories over Miami, Carolina, San Francisco, Chicago, Washington, Tampa Bay, and 2 of Jets/Buffalo/Tampa Bay
Long story short - Seattle will need the teams they have beaten to win, while the teams that the Giants and Atlanta beat lose so that the teams they have beaten will have the most wins (thus giving them the tiebreaker)
Thus, in the example above, the Indianapolis/Buffalo game could, at least potentially, impact which team gets the last wildcard in the NFC.
So there ya go!
Seattle is as good as in!!!
Edited to clarify what Atlanta has to do which I made a mistake with in my original post
-QG
Seahawks are OUTHappy Scenario
Seahawks are IN. Changing Just One Game! Guess which one! (answer in first spoiler)Below is the whole breakdown of what has to happen for the Squawks to make it. They are as good as in!
Seattle must win vs TB in Week 15, at GB in Week 16, and vs TEN in Week 17 (obviously)
Dallas must lose at NO in Week 15, at Wash in Week 16, and vs PHIL in Week 17
The Giants must go either EXACTLY 1-2 or 0-1-2 in their last 3 games (at Wash, vs Car, at Minnesota - as aside if they beat Minny, things become a lot TIGHTER for the Seahawks)
Atlanta must go either EXACTLY 2-1 or 1-0-2 in their last 3 games (At Jets, vs Buff, at TB)
Atlanta must beat Tampa Bay in Week 17 and go EXACTLY 1-1 or 0-0-2 in their other two games (at Jets, Vs Buff) *fixed this now*
San Francisco must go 1-1-1 or worse in their last 3 games (at Phil, vs Det, at StL)
Carolina must have at least 1 loss or tie in their last 3 games (vs Minn, at Giants, vs NO)
-----------------
If all of these things happen, the Giants will place 2nd over Dallas (on head-to-head), Atlanta will place 2nd in the South, and Seattle will place 2nd in the West.
They did not all play each other, so head-to-head is out as a tiebreaker.
They all will be 6-6 in the conference, so that tiebreaker is out (as a side note here, if the Bears were to be 8-8 and in a 4-way tie, they'd be eliminated at this step due to their 5-7 conference record, thus the Bears are OUT)
They do not have enough common games between the 3 of them.
So the next tiebreaker is the notorious Strength of Victory.
Seattle will have victories over St Louis, Jacksonville, Detroit, St Louis (again), San Francisco, Tampa Bay, Green Bay, and Tennessee
Giants will have victories over Washington, Dallas, Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Oakland, Atlanta, Dallas, and 1 of Washington/Carolina/Minnesota
Atlanta will have victories over Miami, Carolina, San Francisco, Chicago, Washington, Tampa Bay, and 2 of Jets/Buffalo/Tampa Bay
Long story short - Seattle will need the teams they have beaten to win, while the teams that the Giants and Atlanta beat lose so that the teams they have beaten will have the most wins (thus giving them the tiebreaker)
Thus, in the example above, the Indianapolis/Buffalo game could, at least potentially, impact which team gets the last wildcard in the NFC.
So there ya go!
Seattle is as good as in!!!
Edited to clarify what Atlanta has to do which I made a mistake with in my original post
-QG
Last edited by a moderator:
raying:
Seahawks are OUT
-QG